How do we feel about NOVAK +175?

Is it worth a shot?

Yessssir

All because the unknown is Sinner's elbow

Joker didn’t practice Thursday due to his rough fall at the end of his match . I like Sinner in 4 

any liking to the over under

Djokovic is all time great on grass.  Sinner is good, but prefers hard courts.

the two times they played on grass Djokovic won, but that was in 2023 and 2022.  the most recent Djokovic won in straight sets

imo the value is on the over and Djokovic assuming he is ok.  He looked to move just fine the last two points of his match

Sinner should already be home as most know....he was getting completely outplayed by Dimitrov...the injuries make this almost a complete guessing game.... However no one fakes injuries better than the Djoker...guy missed his calling for football as far as that goes..

And I will be taking Novak at the plus money here in one of his last, if not the last, opportunities to advance and get that chance to win yet another Wimbledon title

5 of last 7 matches between these two has had a tiebreak.  With how good these two serve there may be value there at around -200 to put in a parlay.  Djokovic has been starting out slow (and getting broken the first set) so I may live bet this after the first set

@RayRayK

 Agreed ....Sinner in 4 sets

Super solid parlay imo: Joker to win a set + Belgian Women to score a goal vs. Portugal (Women's Euros) should net you something like -115.

For those who know little about women's football: the Belgians are overpriced because they're playing for nothing (they cannot qualify for the knockout phase) whereas the Portuguese still have a chance to qualify. Last time these two teams met the Belgians won 3-0 (just over a month ago). Portugal going for the win (a draw will not suffice) means leaving themselves open at the back. Belgium knows this, they'll absorb the pressure and strike on the counter. Belgium might not win or even draw, but they scored twice against the best team in the tournament (Spain), everything points to their scoring here (cue the low odds for them doing so).

As for the Joker, he isn't getting bageled in his last ever Wimbledon semi. I don't believe Sinner would sweep him in sets even if he was fully fit, but he's not. I'll pay to see it happen, the addition of the Belgian option gets me a great price for that belief. The worse scenario I see is Sinner goes up 2-0, and then starts a set badly and then just mails that set, content not to waste energy trying to fetch back a lost cause. That's routinely how these guys deal with their opponent coming at them with the kitchen sink when they're otherwise sitting quite comfortably on the scoreboard. They let their opponent have their period basking in the sun, then resume dominance in the next set. Practically speaking expect a 3-1 Skinner win because, even injured to whatever degree, Joker is yesterday's man. Wasn't that long ago that once you passed the age of 34 you had zero chance of making a Slam QF never mind winning anything. The era of the Big 3 changed that, but even they have a used-by date. It's enough he's made a semi, have no bias against him making the final, just being realistic.

Took only 3 mins into the game to recoup my money (also took the Belgians to score 1st at +145). Their TT o0.5 goals was stupidly easy money. They're still plus money to win despite being up a goal, it's crazy. They'll score again.

Belgium 2-1, despite being raped of a completely good goal by VAR.