AA End of March

Zverev to Win 2nd Q +250 2u

Medvedev to Win 3rd Q +150 1u

Zverev at his best can win this tournament. I especially like how he’s serving right now, >70% 1st serves in and winning 90% of his service games. Very tough to break for the mortals on tour. He should only get tested twice in his quarter if the favs make it through and he’s in way better form than anyone in his field.

Medvedev this year has won all his QF matches and hasn’t missed making a QF. The cyborg comedian is super focused. He’s only dropped one set in his last three years getting to the QF’s here in Miami. Last year he only dropped one set all tournament before winning the title. I think Humbert in the R16 is his biggest threat but his lack of success at the top level is a problem. Winning 250/500’s isn’t the same as beating the top 5 at the majors. Despite the threat level, Medvedev’s at plus money so I’m taking that.

That 4th Q is an interesting one. Sinner might not play so the time to take a dog is now. He might withdraw at some point even if he starts the tournament and even if he plays he might not be in top form. It’s also the toughest draw for the dogs. There’s no one really strong in the bottom half of that Q with Sinner (Paul? He’s gonna go out and party all week and lose early I think), all the competition is upstairs. Rublev, Tstisipas, Bublik and Machac stand out to me but they all have to play each other. 

Leaning Machac to Win 4th Q @ +4100. 

@AverageAllstar

Love your Sinner prediction of possibly withdrawing or "retiring in game" if he loses the first set versus someone he'd be embarrassed to take an official L to.

Rublev/Tsitsipas seem due for a respectful run, but these two are not really dialed in mentally at the moment, so digging deeper like a Machac, Tiafoe, or dare I suggest Berrettini even?

Tiafoe seems like the only American horse worth backing here, but only because he should be well rested.

Can't overlook the late night Miami party scene when capping these games 

Can I interest anyone in Simona Halep ML today? Badosa is all about being an Instagram model at this point in her life, what better city to get new content for her OnlyFans account than South Beach, right?

I was hard on Halep (I should have worded that differently) but I hate betting womens. Maybe I’ll tail ya. See how Imm feeling.

@AverageAllstar

@packersbackers

nice and logical thoughts from both of you. I agree

I do like Rublev here too in that 4th Q

I didn't know Halep was on a doping ban, but that's a good spot for her comeback today. Let's hope she's not on her red monster and she wins. 

@packersbackers

 She's really not doing OnlyFans, is she? Haha

@jvarghese

Her career has undeniably taken a nose dive since hooking up with The Greek,,,and we all know what that means regarding a woman's butthole 

@ACSlater22

 A blood doper returning isnt good for womens tennis 

@packersbackers

Lol oh ya. Badosa getting that Greek in her lmao. She should just start an onlyfans....nothing to lose at this point. 

@AverageAllstar

 Love it..Machac is about to bust out and start making deep runs I'm thinking, excellent odds here.  I might put half a unit on him as well (with the intention to hedge)

Hope everyone is running good!  BOL 

Proper.

GL bud.

Ruusuvouri ML

Draper ML

Purcell/Fucsovics O8.5 Games 1st set

Parlay @ -110 1u

Took Cerundolo Live -1.5 Games 1st set @ +130 1u

Ofner serving excellent. He’s been 45-55% coming into this match.

Lets see if score board pressure prevails. Might take a buyout if I get a chance to break even.

This isn’t going the way I thought it would!

Cerundolo Live -1.5 Games 1st set @ +130

Ruusuvouri ML

Draper ML

Purcell/Fucsovics O8.5 Games 1st set

Parlay 

Humbert & O22.5 +170 

Koepfer hittin overs like its xmas. Everyone at this tournament is winning around 75% of their points on 1st serves. Both these guys should hold serve well. When Koepfer is on, he’s a 65% 1st serve, Humbert 75%. Plus Humbert’s game is really coming together. Should be close  with Umbert prevailing here.