fuck you berdych, thank you wick... couldn't get away with a terrible play on berdych and it costs me.... argentina looking good... just need a solid night and I can feel good...
added plays on raonic... and a dog in seifert
(25-35 -6u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Matosevic -135b, -135r, -115
G. Jones +275b, +335r, +325
2u
Argentina Over Germany -245
Raonic -270
Raonic -4 -120
Raonic 3-0 +215
1u
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Seifert +350
come on gambling gods... after melzer/kunitsyn ruining my lunch, I am owed a good night... have fun and be safe this friday night all...
0
fuck you berdych, thank you wick... couldn't get away with a terrible play on berdych and it costs me.... argentina looking good... just need a solid night and I can feel good...
added plays on raonic... and a dog in seifert
(25-35 -6u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Matosevic -135b, -135r, -115
G. Jones +275b, +335r, +325
2u
Argentina Over Germany -245
Raonic -270
Raonic -4 -120
Raonic 3-0 +215
1u
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Seifert +350
come on gambling gods... after melzer/kunitsyn ruining my lunch, I am owed a good night... have fun and be safe this friday night all...
Levine obviously has the talent advantage but I believe seifert hs had a more impressive run to the semis...
Levine's Run: Walkover; then Odesnik 35+ errors; down a break in the third against C. Ballin QF before coming back
Seifert: Beat yani in 3 (yani a fav to win the tourney); then Beat Bhambri in straights ( a guy who took out another pre tourney fav in Kamke); then destryoed Kudla in straights in QF..
Just better form IMO from Seifert and I saw the line as +150 or better... Value bet as always...
GL on your plays
0
Quote Originally Posted by scitommy:
Why do you like Seifert?
Levine obviously has the talent advantage but I believe seifert hs had a more impressive run to the semis...
Levine's Run: Walkover; then Odesnik 35+ errors; down a break in the third against C. Ballin QF before coming back
Seifert: Beat yani in 3 (yani a fav to win the tourney); then Beat Bhambri in straights ( a guy who took out another pre tourney fav in Kamke); then destryoed Kudla in straights in QF..
Just better form IMO from Seifert and I saw the line as +150 or better... Value bet as always...
Levine obviously has the talent advantage but I believe seifert hs had a more impressive run to the semis...
Levine's Run: Walkover; then Odesnik 35+ errors; down a break in the third against C. Ballin QF before coming back
Seifert: Beat yani in 3 (yani a fav to win the tourney); then Beat Bhambri in straights ( a guy who took out another pre tourney fav in Kamke); then destryoed Kudla in straights in QF..
Just better form IMO from Seifert and I saw the line as +150 or better... Value bet as always...
GL on your plays
Oh ok, thanks man. I've been following the tourney as well and just think Levine's win over Ball was the best win out of both players. Ball was red hot, serving lights out dismissing Sweeting (Never lost here, 2 time champ) and Ginepri.
I also feel like Levine is the more accomplished player on this particular surface with 3 challenger titles Indoors.
Seifert has been playing well this week, but feel like Levine is a step up from who he has played so far. Yani is practically done and Kudla is still a baby.
He'll have to play as good or probably even better to beat Levine or have Levine be totally off his game.
Anything can happen though, it's the challenger curcuit afterall.
0
Quote Originally Posted by AgainstDaConsen:
Levine obviously has the talent advantage but I believe seifert hs had a more impressive run to the semis...
Levine's Run: Walkover; then Odesnik 35+ errors; down a break in the third against C. Ballin QF before coming back
Seifert: Beat yani in 3 (yani a fav to win the tourney); then Beat Bhambri in straights ( a guy who took out another pre tourney fav in Kamke); then destryoed Kudla in straights in QF..
Just better form IMO from Seifert and I saw the line as +150 or better... Value bet as always...
GL on your plays
Oh ok, thanks man. I've been following the tourney as well and just think Levine's win over Ball was the best win out of both players. Ball was red hot, serving lights out dismissing Sweeting (Never lost here, 2 time champ) and Ginepri.
I also feel like Levine is the more accomplished player on this particular surface with 3 challenger titles Indoors.
Seifert has been playing well this week, but feel like Levine is a step up from who he has played so far. Yani is practically done and Kudla is still a baby.
He'll have to play as good or probably even better to beat Levine or have Levine be totally off his game.
Anything can happen though, it's the challenger curcuit afterall.
I watched the Bhambri match and that dude isn't very good at all. He had 8 double faults and sprayed the court like I've never seen. I have no idea how Kamke lost to him.
0
I watched the Bhambri match and that dude isn't very good at all. He had 8 double faults and sprayed the court like I've never seen. I have no idea how Kamke lost to him.
I see some value in Greg Jones tonight. Impressed with his win over Millman and Lu didn't impressed me against Mitchell. Jones took Lu to 3 sets last year in there only encounter and that was in Korea.
Lu should be the favorite, but -435 is pushing it bigtime against the hometown Jones.
0
I see some value in Greg Jones tonight. Impressed with his win over Millman and Lu didn't impressed me against Mitchell. Jones took Lu to 3 sets last year in there only encounter and that was in Korea.
Lu should be the favorite, but -435 is pushing it bigtime against the hometown Jones.
Levine didn't even play all that well and won the match fairly comfortable. Levine's only hiccup was serving for the match at 5-4 in the 2nd set. He said in the post-match interview he got nervous serving for the match. I have no idea why he would get nervous. Seifert is pretty much a scrub.
It seemed the American crowd didn't favor the American Levine. They cheered both guys pretty evenly and even favored Seifert in the 2nd set to go to a 3rd set so they could watch more Tennis.
I was more impressed with Darcis today. He beat the better opponent and pretty soundly.
I didn't like the fact that Levine got broke (at love) serving for the match at 5-4. It was pretty pathetic. Luckily for Levine, Seifert gave the break right back and then couldn't even take advantage of the nerves of Levine at 6-5. Levine will definitely not get away with that against Darcis. I favor Darcis in the final.
0
Levine didn't even play all that well and won the match fairly comfortable. Levine's only hiccup was serving for the match at 5-4 in the 2nd set. He said in the post-match interview he got nervous serving for the match. I have no idea why he would get nervous. Seifert is pretty much a scrub.
It seemed the American crowd didn't favor the American Levine. They cheered both guys pretty evenly and even favored Seifert in the 2nd set to go to a 3rd set so they could watch more Tennis.
I was more impressed with Darcis today. He beat the better opponent and pretty soundly.
I didn't like the fact that Levine got broke (at love) serving for the match at 5-4. It was pretty pathetic. Luckily for Levine, Seifert gave the break right back and then couldn't even take advantage of the nerves of Levine at 6-5. Levine will definitely not get away with that against Darcis. I favor Darcis in the final.
from the limited tennis I have scene, the quality of play in Dallas is very low... I dont imagine this will magically change in the final... I would favor the better player, in this case Levine... Levine will be able to grind it out and limit his errors if the match plays out like the others have...
GL on Darcis I will likely be on the otherside, but not a big play or anything...
Came back from the movies just in time to SEE MY BIG DOGGIE WIN in a third set breaker no less... The gambling gods hooked me up tonight,,, Jonesy!!!
What an up and down week, but I am offically UP...
ADDED some Davis Cup Doubles plays and the over for Bartoli/Zakapolova
(30-36 +13.65u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Fed/Wawa -220*
2u
Argentina Over Germany -245
Bracialli/Starace -105
Bartoli/Zakapolova Over 19 -115
1u
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Jaziri/Donskey Over 22.5 -120**
* Play not fully in yet.... sittin at -216 at pinny now, hope line stays here or gets better... If the line I get is drastically different i will update... but I am hitting the sack and aint waking up till well past noon tomorrow..
** Play not fully in yet.. sitting at -120 on bet365...
Quimper: will play either Jaziri or Donskey in the final if I can get em at -110 or better... Both are playing great and that Semi should be a great one...
passing on Pattaya but I have Kirelenko future so I would like her to win and Hauntucova to lose...
I think Kerber/Wickmayer could be a cracker but often when I think that it ends 6-2, 6-3, laying off but will try to watch if possible as I think the tourney winner comes out of that match....
Will play my boy Matosevic again tomorrow... Really hoping he wins... He hasnt won in a long time... Would really do him good in terms of ranking points, hopefully he can auto qualify for a few tourneys in the next month... Regardless he has made me money this week...
GL ALL
0
^^
from the limited tennis I have scene, the quality of play in Dallas is very low... I dont imagine this will magically change in the final... I would favor the better player, in this case Levine... Levine will be able to grind it out and limit his errors if the match plays out like the others have...
GL on Darcis I will likely be on the otherside, but not a big play or anything...
Came back from the movies just in time to SEE MY BIG DOGGIE WIN in a third set breaker no less... The gambling gods hooked me up tonight,,, Jonesy!!!
What an up and down week, but I am offically UP...
ADDED some Davis Cup Doubles plays and the over for Bartoli/Zakapolova
(30-36 +13.65u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Fed/Wawa -220*
2u
Argentina Over Germany -245
Bracialli/Starace -105
Bartoli/Zakapolova Over 19 -115
1u
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Jaziri/Donskey Over 22.5 -120**
* Play not fully in yet.... sittin at -216 at pinny now, hope line stays here or gets better... If the line I get is drastically different i will update... but I am hitting the sack and aint waking up till well past noon tomorrow..
** Play not fully in yet.. sitting at -120 on bet365...
Quimper: will play either Jaziri or Donskey in the final if I can get em at -110 or better... Both are playing great and that Semi should be a great one...
passing on Pattaya but I have Kirelenko future so I would like her to win and Hauntucova to lose...
I think Kerber/Wickmayer could be a cracker but often when I think that it ends 6-2, 6-3, laying off but will try to watch if possible as I think the tourney winner comes out of that match....
Will play my boy Matosevic again tomorrow... Really hoping he wins... He hasnt won in a long time... Would really do him good in terms of ranking points, hopefully he can auto qualify for a few tourneys in the next month... Regardless he has made me money this week...
Both my doubles plays cancel as both oppnenet change... Bryan/Harrison became Bryan/Fish and Cermak/Rosol became Berdych/Stepanek
Good thing to because they BOTH LOST... Shocker loss from the swiss... If I was up I would have bet them again... Dont know why Wawrinka plays so poorly in Davis.. Fed lost his match too but that can be chopped up to a fluke you gotta believe that he would have steamrolled Fish tom... Anyway, Moot point... USA USA USA!!!
Zakapolova couldnt give me one more game in the second... A bagel after a tiebreak... what a game, at least I pushed.. glad I didnt watch a second... But it is very clear she will not beat Kerber or Wickmayer..
Argentina wins and Challenger goes over... Idiotic Germans putting there tie on clay... They win on a hardcourt...
Added my challeger plays... debating what to do with Kirilenko but will likel let it ride... and maybe be up to live bet Hauntucova...
(32-36 +16.65u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Matosevic -145b, -150r, -150
1u
Levine +110b
Groenfield/Martic -150
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Really worried about Mato play because of how well Jones is playing but he made the final and I bit the bullet the minute I woke up this morning...
Gonna have a rare womens doubles finals tomorrow, chan/chan havent even played a match yet... and am hitting it hard...
0
Both my doubles plays cancel as both oppnenet change... Bryan/Harrison became Bryan/Fish and Cermak/Rosol became Berdych/Stepanek
Good thing to because they BOTH LOST... Shocker loss from the swiss... If I was up I would have bet them again... Dont know why Wawrinka plays so poorly in Davis.. Fed lost his match too but that can be chopped up to a fluke you gotta believe that he would have steamrolled Fish tom... Anyway, Moot point... USA USA USA!!!
Zakapolova couldnt give me one more game in the second... A bagel after a tiebreak... what a game, at least I pushed.. glad I didnt watch a second... But it is very clear she will not beat Kerber or Wickmayer..
Argentina wins and Challenger goes over... Idiotic Germans putting there tie on clay... They win on a hardcourt...
Added my challeger plays... debating what to do with Kirilenko but will likel let it ride... and maybe be up to live bet Hauntucova...
(32-36 +16.65u) Week
ALL PENDING:
3u
Matosevic -145b, -150r, -150
1u
Levine +110b
Groenfield/Martic -150
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
Really worried about Mato play because of how well Jones is playing but he made the final and I bit the bullet the minute I woke up this morning...
Gonna have a rare womens doubles finals tomorrow, chan/chan havent even played a match yet... and am hitting it hard...
I wanna get some money on the ladies doubles so just ignore these plays, if you want.. the play is 100% Mirza/Roidionova... Dont even know why I am posting them, but I am a little bored on a cold rainy sat afternoon...
.5u
Mirza/Rod + Ghana +155b
Mirza/Rod + Barca -155b
Mirza/Rod + Palmieras -140b
Mirza/Rod + Clippers ML + Spurs ML -135b
Mirza/Rod + Minn Twolves ML -130b
I am not gonan count win losses on this just one total win loss on the Mirza/Rod Bet... Pretty pissed that the bet opened so high, but it makes since... but I am always scared of the fix... Need to cut down the juice some how... and this mad sense to me....
May add more with a NCAAB mix... will also be taking Matosevic and Levine in parlays also...
as you can see I really like that play..
GL ALL
0
I wanna get some money on the ladies doubles so just ignore these plays, if you want.. the play is 100% Mirza/Roidionova... Dont even know why I am posting them, but I am a little bored on a cold rainy sat afternoon...
.5u
Mirza/Rod + Ghana +155b
Mirza/Rod + Barca -155b
Mirza/Rod + Palmieras -140b
Mirza/Rod + Clippers ML + Spurs ML -135b
Mirza/Rod + Minn Twolves ML -130b
I am not gonan count win losses on this just one total win loss on the Mirza/Rod Bet... Pretty pissed that the bet opened so high, but it makes since... but I am always scared of the fix... Need to cut down the juice some how... and this mad sense to me....
May add more with a NCAAB mix... will also be taking Matosevic and Levine in parlays also...
Mirza/Rod + Richmond (NCAAB) + Murray St (NCAAB) +100
ADDED:
1u
Japan Over Croatia +400*
*Parlay of Nishikori and Soeda
KERBER A NICE SIZED DOG!!! I love it... will be hitting her up and down... probably make or break... and depending on the night goes with these parlays I may just take my guareenteed profit on my kirelenko play... will see where the line moves... Dont think I have the ability to stay up the live bet that one...
0
.5u
Mirza/Rod + Auckland -190b
Mirza/Rod + Bachinger -135b
Mirza/Rod + Matosevic +115
Mirza/Rod + Levine +165
Mirza/Rod + Nishikori -115
Mirza/Rod + Richmond (NCAAB) + Murray St (NCAAB) +100
ADDED:
1u
Japan Over Croatia +400*
*Parlay of Nishikori and Soeda
KERBER A NICE SIZED DOG!!! I love it... will be hitting her up and down... probably make or break... and depending on the night goes with these parlays I may just take my guareenteed profit on my kirelenko play... will see where the line moves... Dont think I have the ability to stay up the live bet that one...
and I am way too tired tonight to stay up and I hit Hauntucova at -177 for a guaraunteed profit of
+2.30u
Do the math if you like
(36-36 +24.05u) Week
ADDED:
3u
Kerber +155
Kerber +3 -105
1u
Jaziri -150
Mirza/Rodionova -270
Kerber 1st Set +135
Kerber 2-0 +325
Tipsy -9.5 +100
Bogomolov Jr +210
.5u
Mirza/Rod + Jaziri +120*
Mirza/Rod + Huber/Raymond -165*
Mirza/Rod + Kerber +230
*Not in yet, projected
- I like Kerber here because she is simply playing consistent and Bartoli is drooping serve constantly, she has survived but not in form to win the final.. I am very surprised to see people betting Bartoli and I love the value in the dog here...
- Taking Jaziri because he has more weapons but I wanted a better line.
- I am officially in WAAAAYYYY OVER MY HEAD on Mirza/Rod... But Chan/Chan havent even played a match yet... Unless this is a fix I have no clue how they lose, and chan and chan win...
0
I got this:
1u
Kirilenko to win Pattaya +820
and I am way too tired tonight to stay up and I hit Hauntucova at -177 for a guaraunteed profit of
+2.30u
Do the math if you like
(36-36 +24.05u) Week
ADDED:
3u
Kerber +155
Kerber +3 -105
1u
Jaziri -150
Mirza/Rodionova -270
Kerber 1st Set +135
Kerber 2-0 +325
Tipsy -9.5 +100
Bogomolov Jr +210
.5u
Mirza/Rod + Jaziri +120*
Mirza/Rod + Huber/Raymond -165*
Mirza/Rod + Kerber +230
*Not in yet, projected
- I like Kerber here because she is simply playing consistent and Bartoli is drooping serve constantly, she has survived but not in form to win the final.. I am very surprised to see people betting Bartoli and I love the value in the dog here...
- Taking Jaziri because he has more weapons but I wanted a better line.
- I am officially in WAAAAYYYY OVER MY HEAD on Mirza/Rod... But Chan/Chan havent even played a match yet... Unless this is a fix I have no clue how they lose, and chan and chan win...
If Mirza and Rod Lose I am a little fucked... Some plays have already lsot but I havent actually tallied them into the total yets... everything will get cleaned up tomorrow...
Play I may make tomorrow...
Govorstova to win ITF Midland;
0
(36-36 +24.05u) Week
FINAL CARD WITH ALL PENDING PLAYS:
3u
Kerber +155
Kerber +3 -105
1u
Jaziri -150r
Mirza/Rodionova -270
Kerber 1st Set +135
Kerber 2-0 +325
Japan Over Croatia +400
Tipsy -9.5 +100
Bogomolov Jr +210
ALL MY .5u Parlays Pending:
.5u
Mirza/Rod +155b (L)
Mirza/Rod -155b (L)
Mirza/Rod +100 (L)
Mirza/Rod + Minn Twolves ML -130b (L)
Mirza/Rod -140b (W)
Mirza/Rod + Auckland -190b (W)
Mirza/Rod + Clippers ML + Spurs ML -135b (W)
Mirza/Rod + St Louis (NHL) -105 (W)
Mirza/Rod + Matosevic +115 (W)
Mirza/Rod + Levine +165 (W)
Mirza/Rod + Nishikori 1st Set +100b (W)
Mirza/Rod + Yani + Kudla -125b (W)
Mirza/Rod + Nishikori -115
Mirza/Rod + Hawaii ML (NCAAB) -105
Mirza/Rod + Bachinger -135b
Mirza/Rod + Jaziri +120
Mirza/Rod + Huber/Raymond -165
Mirza/Rod + Kerber +230
If Mirza and Rod Lose I am a little fucked... Some plays have already lsot but I havent actually tallied them into the total yets... everything will get cleaned up tomorrow...
wow my lock of the year won 10-8 in the tiebreaker... I will never be doing that again..., I got in over my head on one juicy play... I kept thinking "why are the books letting me do this?" dont they know I am gonna kill them... little did I know it would end up like this... ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS better to be lucky than good... went 13-5 on my Mirza/Rod parlays and made +4.65u
THis is one of those days that I am ecstatic that I did wake up till noon... I woul dhave been pissed watching that doubles match...
Kerber gets it done in three, would have been really nice if she got it done in two... but I will take it... Got rocked on most plays today but my doubles play and kerber both hit so its really all that mattered...
(40-41 +33.2u) Week
would love to win more plays than I lose but this week was good.. got a wave of momentum at the end...
ADDED:
3u
Raonic/Tsonga Over 41.5 -120
1u
Govorstova -140r
0
wow my lock of the year won 10-8 in the tiebreaker... I will never be doing that again..., I got in over my head on one juicy play... I kept thinking "why are the books letting me do this?" dont they know I am gonna kill them... little did I know it would end up like this... ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS better to be lucky than good... went 13-5 on my Mirza/Rod parlays and made +4.65u
THis is one of those days that I am ecstatic that I did wake up till noon... I woul dhave been pissed watching that doubles match...
Kerber gets it done in three, would have been really nice if she got it done in two... but I will take it... Got rocked on most plays today but my doubles play and kerber both hit so its really all that mattered...
(40-41 +33.2u) Week
would love to win more plays than I lose but this week was good.. got a wave of momentum at the end...
last play of the week... After Tsonga destroys Dancevic Pospisil and Bennateau match will be moot... Figuring Pospisil will ahve a chance to beat Bennateau... BUT there is only about a 10% benny would play...
1u
Pospisil Over Benny +320
will also be playing Tsonga on the spread if a line becomes available....
govorstova wins a very tight final
(41-41 +34.2u) Week
ALL PENDING:
1u
Pospisil Over Benny +320
.5u
Kutrovsky +250r
0
last play of the week... After Tsonga destroys Dancevic Pospisil and Bennateau match will be moot... Figuring Pospisil will ahve a chance to beat Bennateau... BUT there is only about a 10% benny would play...
1u
Pospisil Over Benny +320
will also be playing Tsonga on the spread if a line becomes available....
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