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W/L Stats On Baseball Teams After Scoring 10+ Runs In Previous Game, Previous Years...

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Posted: #1
Does anyone know the record last year? The last five years? Any data or input on this system would be excellent!
 
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Posted: #2
Let me know if you are still interested in the results--didn't want to waste my time unless you were...

thx
 
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Posted: #3
also, does the team have to win the game (there are still some 12-11 games, for example)?
 
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Posted: #4
ohman....i had this before but have no idea where it is not....
 
it usually starts off good on the season then fades off
 
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Posted: #5
Yeah i'm still totally interested. Just wondering basically if it hits at 60% and yeah I think I would include teams who scored 10+ and lost. Thanks for any help you can provide, I just thought someone would have it already but yeah I appreciate all the help I get from here.
 
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Posted: #6
ok, here are the results for the past 2 seasons (assuming 10+ Runs scored regardless of W/L)...also using Decimal Odds. Positive results for the most part. A couple more filters and you could find something good here (e.g. Div Rival games, other team scoring less than 3 in previous game etc.)

2007

HF: 66-38 at 1.65 (4.63% ROR)
HD: 19-13 at 2.25 (33.81% ROR)
AF: 26-15 at 1.76 (11.68% ROR)
AD: 32-53 at 2.47 (-7.19% ROR)

2006

HF: 70-33 at 1.68 (14.34% ROR)
HD: 19-24 at 2.21 (-2.18% ROR)
AF: 30-19 at 1.77 (8.45% ROR)
AD: 44-32 at 2.31 (18.02% ROR)

 
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Posted: #7
Wow Borje thank you so much! Looks like a winner to me. I saw it's already 14-7 record-wise this year.
 
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Posted: #8
Is this fading the team that scored 10 runs previously or backing it following a 10 run performance?
 
Thanks
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by duby:

Is this fading the team that scored 10 runs previously or backing it following a 10 run performance?
 
Thanks


backing it...
 
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Posted: #10
Thanks borje21
 
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Posted: #11
Hey Borje21,
 
Where did you get your numbers to figure out those stats cause I would like to filter this further but would need a good place to find info.
 
Thanks,
 
 
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Posted: #12
duby,

Usually I download the Past Results from Covers (for each Team) at the end of each season. Not sure if you use much Excel, but you have to Copy, then Paste using Unicode in Excel. I then parse the data using Text to Columns--I also add a few columns such as DR/NDR/IL (to allow me to filter by Div Rival/non Div Rival etc.). The completed file also allows me to filter by Home/Away/Fav/Dog/ etc.

It is a bit of a hassle to Copy/Paste 30 times (for each team), but it it well worth the effort to build a database of Team Logs (with Moneylines) that you can use for future research. Not sure if there a faster way to get a complete log of all 2430 MLB games.

If you need a copy of the file, just send me a private e-mail and I can save you the trouble..

thx




 
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Posted: #13
Thanks for your help!!
 
And for the file that you already made could you send it to me if you dont mind...It would save me that work at least...
 
Thanks again,
 
How can I get your email?
 
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Posted: #14
duby, sent you a request to add me as a friend..let's try it that way

once accepted, i'll send you my email
 
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Posted: #15
Just accepted you as a friend...thanks
 
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Posted: #16
check your "myspace" for my e-mail...
 
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Posted: #17
So you are playing CHW and Angels tonight then?
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Rampage23:

So you are playing CHW and Angels tonight then?


Rampage, actually I wasn't playing either team..I never bet these systems blindly. I use some other considerations/filters as well.

The Angels and CHW were considered -- as you noticed they both scored Double Digits in their last game.

For this particular thread, I was responding to the original poster's question by running a query to provide him the results.


 
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Posted: #19
 Simply asking a ? it seems over the past 10 or so yrs that a team that has its butt kicked (ie.12-2) rebounds the next day, am I wrong about this ?
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by ApacheM:

 Simply asking a ? it seems over the past 10 or so yrs that a team that has its butt kicked (ie.12-2) rebounds the next day, am I wrong about this ?


Good question--just ran the data for the last 3 seasons. Assume the teams below lost by 10+ in previous game. Doesn't seem like anything conclusive can be derived from the results. For instance, the Away Favs struggled in 2007/2006, but were 12-1 in 2005. Keep in mind these are relatively small samples.

2007

HF: 18-8 at 1.72 (18.77% ROR)
HD: 4-9 at 2.41 (-25.85% ROR)
AF: 7-10 at 1.83 (-24.73% ROR)
AD: 9-25 at 2.50 (-33.85% ROR)

2006

HF: 14-10 at 1.72 (0.05% ROR)
HD: 8-7 at 2.18 (16.07% ROR)
AF: 7-8 at 1.74 (-18.57% ROR)
AD: 15-20 at 2.47 (5.69% ROR)

2005

HF: 5-7 at 1.65 (-31.39% ROR)
HD: 7-13 at 2.14 (-25.15% ROR)
AF: 12-1 at 1.74 (-18.57% ROR)
AD: 11-12 at 2.57 (22.91% ROR)

 
 
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Posted: #21
2005 (corrected)

HF: 5-7 at 1.65 (-31.39% ROR)
HD: 7-13 at 2.14 (-25.15% ROR)
AF: 12-1 at 1.74 (60.9% ROR)
AD: 11-12 at 2.57 (22.91% ROR)
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