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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    WHY reg Bettors always lose money every year !!!!

    marquis
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    mbtn2006
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    marquis
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2006 - 11:39 PM ET #1

    IT is simple really beacuse THEY never leraned why they lost a BET ! it took me years of losing to finannly find a way to devolop systems in PRO sports NOT TRENDS because TRENDS only apply to ONE team under certain specific instances ! and the word TRENDS tells you that Following trends to handicap games will END sooner than later a System is something that Gives you the same results every year with every team so LEARNING why you lost a BET is MORE important than Why YOU Won ! many Teams in NFL fall into this system when they WIN a Game vs a DIV Rival and are sandwhiched Between DIV Rivals vs a NON div NON Conf opponent and are Favored they will LOSE ATS over 80% of The TIME PUT these Teams on the Road and They Really become money Burners as a Favorite ! BUT it's ONLY IF THEY WON the DIV. Game THE Cardinals have a 100% TREND Going if a DOG away Before any DIV game they are 0 - 8 ATS past 4 years ! Hence they are the worst Road team in NFL BUT watch out at HOME as DOG vs that Rival
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    IT is simple really beacuse THEY never leraned why they lost a BET ! it took me years of losing to finannly find a way to devolop systems in PRO sports NOT TRENDS because TRENDS only apply to ONE team under certain specific instances ! and the word TRENDS tells you that Following trends to handicap games will END sooner than later a System is something that Gives you the same results every year with every team so LEARNING why you lost a BET is MORE important than Why YOU Won ! many Teams in NFL fall into this system when they WIN a Game vs a DIV Rival and are sandwhiched Between DIV Rivals vs a NON div NON Conf opponent and are Favored they will LOSE ATS over 80% of The TIME PUT these Teams on the Road and They Really become money Burners as a Favorite ! BUT it's ONLY IF THEY WON the DIV. Game THE Cardinals have a 100% TREND Going if a DOG away Before any DIV game they are 0 - 8 ATS past 4 years ! Hence they are the worst Road team in NFL BUT watch out at HOME as DOG vs that Rival
     
    Z-Man
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2006 - 12:03 AM ET #2

    Thanks for the info. keep it coming. I myself am terrible at capping the NFL (the NBA also) and I believe it is because it is the one sport (maybe the NBA also) where strategic betting, under the cicumstances you just described; plays a major role because the linesmen know how the regular NFL bettor will react to certain situations without playing attention to the ATS. It plays a much greater role than in CFB that's for sure!
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    Thanks for the info. keep it coming. I myself am terrible at capping the NFL (the NBA also) and I believe it is because it is the one sport (maybe the NBA also) where strategic betting, under the cicumstances you just described; plays a major role because the linesmen know how the regular NFL bettor will react to certain situations without playing attention to the ATS. It plays a much greater role than in CFB that's for sure!
     
    marquis
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2006 - 12:05 PM ET #3

    YUP z MAN IN nba ALSO SAME THINGS APPLY i FADED BULLS AFTER THEY WOM BY 42 @ HEAT TOOK HEAT TO BOUNCE BACK AFTER THAT LOSS BANG 2-0 IT'S CALLED THE BOUNCE THEORY AND ALSO IN NBA TEAMS PLAYING B 2 B NIGHTS GOING UP TO DENVER OR COMING DOWN TO LOW SEA LEVEL VS A RESTED TEAM ARE POOR BETS i always wondered WHY in my early years of betting the Nuggets at home i won more times than lost ! and Teams playing B 2 b 4 games in 5 nights vs a rested team also fade them HUGE edge if team they are facing is rested 1 night playing the rested Team
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    YUP z MAN IN nba ALSO SAME THINGS APPLY i FADED BULLS AFTER THEY WOM BY 42 @ HEAT TOOK HEAT TO BOUNCE BACK AFTER THAT LOSS BANG 2-0 IT'S CALLED THE BOUNCE THEORY AND ALSO IN NBA TEAMS PLAYING B 2 B NIGHTS GOING UP TO DENVER OR COMING DOWN TO LOW SEA LEVEL VS A RESTED TEAM ARE POOR BETS i always wondered WHY in my early years of betting the Nuggets at home i won more times than lost ! and Teams playing B 2 b 4 games in 5 nights vs a rested team also fade them HUGE edge if team they are facing is rested 1 night playing the rested Team
     
    mbtn2006
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2006 - 6:07 PM ET #4

    most people are afraid to bet home dogs. NFL & NBA hit at some nice %'s over the years. So far NBA 9-4-1. Yeah i know only 1 week. But NFL this year is 27-14 with 14 or 15 SU winners. Wouldn't you wished you played the money lines on those games.
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    most people are afraid to bet home dogs. NFL & NBA hit at some nice %'s over the years. So far NBA 9-4-1. Yeah i know only 1 week. But NFL this year is 27-14 with 14 or 15 SU winners. Wouldn't you wished you played the money lines on those games.
     
    marquis
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2006 - 6:56 PM ET #5

    mbtn i have bet many money lines this year already the only loss i had was VIKES ML on MNF vs Patriots ML DOG winners to date VIKES week 1 MNF +175 W 49ers ML wk 2 +135 W JAGS ML +130 wk 2 MNF W SAINTs ML wk 3 MNF +180 W PATS ML wk 4 +190 W SAINTs ML +145 wk 6 W FALCONS ML wk 7 +125 W RIDERS ML wk 7 +135 W GIANTS ML +155 wk 7 W VIKES ML +100 wk 8 L REDSKINS ML wk 9 +135 W LIONS ML +190 wk 9 W 49ers ML +180 wk 9 W BRONCOS ML wk 9 +135 W ||an_dance.gif' border=0>
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    mbtn i have bet many money lines this year already the only loss i had was VIKES ML on MNF vs Patriots ML DOG winners to date VIKES week 1 MNF +175 W 49ers ML wk 2 +135 W JAGS ML +130 wk 2 MNF W SAINTs ML wk 3 MNF +180 W PATS ML wk 4 +190 W SAINTs ML +145 wk 6 W FALCONS ML wk 7 +125 W RIDERS ML wk 7 +135 W GIANTS ML +155 wk 7 W VIKES ML +100 wk 8 L REDSKINS ML wk 9 +135 W LIONS ML +190 wk 9 W 49ers ML +180 wk 9 W BRONCOS ML wk 9 +135 W ||an_dance.gif' border=0>
     
     
    mbtn2006
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2006 - 9:23 PM ET #6

    Well done Marquis
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    Well done Marquis
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