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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Trial System NBA/NCAABB

    yahtzee
    jonnymega
    alldayinvestor
    cardsfan82
    oilcountry99
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 992
    Posts: 22
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posts: 697
    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 10:58 AM ET #1

    This is a new strategy that I'm going play through for rest of the NBA/NCAABB season. 

    $1000 Bankroll
    $50 flat bet-per game-ATS
    I will be selling .5 point to the book to eliminate vig

    Criteria
    1.  Must be a national TV game. ie... Espn, TNT, Abc, etc
    2.  Play is against the public consensus-
                 a.  I will use covers.com percentages
                 b.  I am only betting sides....no totals
    3.  Only betting home team

    Please give me your thoughts.  I will start posting my plays today if there any any that fit the system.


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    This is a new strategy that I'm going play through for rest of the NBA/NCAABB season. 

    $1000 Bankroll
    $50 flat bet-per game-ATS
    I will be selling .5 point to the book to eliminate vig

    Criteria
    1.  Must be a national TV game. ie... Espn, TNT, Abc, etc
    2.  Play is against the public consensus-
                 a.  I will use covers.com percentages
                 b.  I am only betting sides....no totals
    3.  Only betting home team

    Please give me your thoughts.  I will start posting my plays today if there any any that fit the system.


     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 11:57 AM ET #2

    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    1.  Lakers at Knicks (39% consensus ATS) +3 (+2.5 @ +100)
    2. Suns at Utah (36% consensus ATS) - 6.5 ( -6 @ +100)

    I will be waiting until close to game time to lock in the plays in order to get the best line possible.  I will be selling .5 point.
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    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    1.  Lakers at Knicks (39% consensus ATS) +3 (+2.5 @ +100)
    2. Suns at Utah (36% consensus ATS) - 6.5 ( -6 @ +100)

    I will be waiting until close to game time to lock in the plays in order to get the best line possible.  I will be selling .5 point.
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 12:04 PM ET #3

    I like your idea of combining the nationally televised game with the consensus-sheep picks to get extra value. It seems the visiting dogs would be worth a good look, too.

    GL!
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    I like your idea of combining the nationally televised game with the consensus-sheep picks to get extra value. It seems the visiting dogs would be worth a good look, too.

    GL!
     
    alldayinvestor
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 1:01 PM ET #4

    Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 
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    Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 1:08 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

    Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 


    Yes, Thank you ADI.  That was a typo.  It would be -7@ +100.
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    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

    Shouldn't the Jazz be -7 at +100?  -6 you would be buying and not selling. 


    Yes, Thank you ADI.  That was a typo.  It would be -7@ +100.
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 7:26 PM ET #6

    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
    jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50

    Reply
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    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
    jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50

     
    cardsfan82
    cardsfan82
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 7:38 PM ET #7

    I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!
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    I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 8:20 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

    I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!


    Sports Interaction - I have been using them for appx 7 years and have had no problems. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

    I was just curios what book you are using. Thanks and good luck!


    Sports Interaction - I have been using them for appx 7 years and have had no problems. 
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 9:45 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:

    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
    jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50

    Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100

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    Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:

    0-0

    Day 1, 2/11/11

    NCAABB
    No plays fit the system today

    NBA
    Knicks +3  (sold .5 point)  +100   $50
    jazz -6.5 (sold .5 point) +100 $50

    Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100

     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 9:58 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

    Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100



    No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).
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    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

    Again shouldn't it be Jazz -7 at +100



    No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 11:16 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:



    No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).

    My bad...sorry yahtzee

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    Quote Originally Posted by yahtzee:



    No,  For clarification the line opened @ -6.5 (-110)......and by this evening the line was pushed down to -6(-110).  I sold a .5 point to make it -6.5 (+100).

    My bad...sorry yahtzee

     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posts: 697
    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 8:41 AM ET #12

    Friday Results:  0-2

    NCAABB 0-0
    NBA 0-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Current BR: 900

    Moving on to Saturday.  We have five college BB games that meet all of the system criteria.  I will be waiting closer to gametime to "pull-the-trigger" to get the best possible lines. I will be playing the following five games:

    NCAAB- 2-12-11
    Kentucky @ Vandy (48%) -1
    Ohio St. @ Wisky (41%) -1
    Oregon St. @ UCLA (46%) -12
    Pitt @ Vill (36%) -3
    Wich St @ N Iowa (49%) E

    NBA 2-12-11
    No Plays
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    Friday Results:  0-2

    NCAABB 0-0
    NBA 0-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Current BR: 900

    Moving on to Saturday.  We have five college BB games that meet all of the system criteria.  I will be waiting closer to gametime to "pull-the-trigger" to get the best possible lines. I will be playing the following five games:

    NCAAB- 2-12-11
    Kentucky @ Vandy (48%) -1
    Ohio St. @ Wisky (41%) -1
    Oregon St. @ UCLA (46%) -12
    Pitt @ Vill (36%) -3
    Wich St @ N Iowa (49%) E

    NBA 2-12-11
    No Plays
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 10:29 AM ET #13

    Locked-In 2/12/11
    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100

    UCLA, Vill, N Iowa will follow today
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    Locked-In 2/12/11
    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100

    UCLA, Vill, N Iowa will follow today
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 5:29 PM ET #14

     2/12/11
    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100 
    UCLA - No play (consensus changed)
    Villanova - 9:00pm
    Northern Iowa 10:00pm

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     2/12/11
    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100 
    UCLA - No play (consensus changed)
    Villanova - 9:00pm
    Northern Iowa 10:00pm

     
    cardsfan82
    cardsfan82
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    Posts: 163
    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 7:34 PM ET #15

    So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!

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    So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!

     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posts: 697
    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 7:50 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

    So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!


    They just give you the option to adjust the line(alternate spreads)....which results in different payouts.  Years ago SIA did not offer this option.  With most games now you have 30+ bets you can play aside from O/U, side, and ML. You can adjust the spread on both sides and totals.  Some people don't like SIA, but i've never had any issues.  It's one of the most "square" books around.  Sometimes their lines are a bit sketchy IMO, but what are ya gonna do. ya know.  I also have a local that I use from time to time when playing favs. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

    So sportsinteraction gives you an option to sell points as you please, or does it give adjusted lines? Just curious as I'm getting tired with the limited options on sportsbook. Thanks for your input. Best of luck tonight too!!!


    They just give you the option to adjust the line(alternate spreads)....which results in different payouts.  Years ago SIA did not offer this option.  With most games now you have 30+ bets you can play aside from O/U, side, and ML. You can adjust the spread on both sides and totals.  Some people don't like SIA, but i've never had any issues.  It's one of the most "square" books around.  Sometimes their lines are a bit sketchy IMO, but what are ya gonna do. ya know.  I also have a local that I use from time to time when playing favs. 
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 7:53 PM ET #17

    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100 
    UCLA - No play (did not fit the system-consensus # changed)
    Villanova -3 +100 (Pending)
    Northern Iowa +1 +100 (Pending)
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    Vandy -1.5  +100 
    Wisconsin -1  +100 
    UCLA - No play (did not fit the system-consensus # changed)
    Villanova -3 +100 (Pending)
    Northern Iowa +1 +100 (Pending)
     
    senbet
    senbet
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2011 - 10:42 AM ET #18

    I love this selling points. I wonder what other sportsbooks that have this option
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    I love this selling points. I wonder what other sportsbooks that have this option
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2011 - 11:07 AM ET #19

    System overall 2-4

    NBA - 0-2
    NCAABB - 2-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Ending BR: 900

    Sunday Plays:

    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
    Reply
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    System overall 2-4

    NBA - 0-2
    NCAABB - 2-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Ending BR: 900

    Sunday Plays:

    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2011 - 11:08 AM ET #20

    System overall 2-4

    NBA - 0-2
    NCAABB - 2-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Ending BR: 900

    Sunday Plays:

    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
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    System overall 2-4

    NBA - 0-2
    NCAABB - 2-2

    Starting BR: 1,000
    Ending BR: 900

    Sunday Plays:

    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 697
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 6:38 PM ET #21

    System Overall 6-5

    Starting Bankroll 1,000
    Current BR: 1,050


    Sunday results
    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
    Reply
    Quote Post
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    System Overall 6-5

    Starting Bankroll 1,000
    Current BR: 1,050


    Sunday results
    NBA
    Heat @ Celtics (47%) +2 (+100)
    Lakers @ Magic (35%) -2 (+100)
    Ok City @ Gold St. (26%) -2.5 (+100)

    NCAABB
    Marq @ Gtown (48%) -5.5 (+100)
    Purdue @ Illinois (48%) -3 (+100)
     
     
    yahtzee
    yahtzee
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 697
    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 6:44 PM ET #22

    Monday System Play
    Kansas @ Kansas St. +5 (22%) +100
    Reply
    Quote Post
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    Report User
    Monday System Play
    Kansas @ Kansas St. +5 (22%) +100
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