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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Ultimate Chaser MLB, NBA, NFL,NCAA (Need feedback guys!!!!)

    Bj4eva98
    BaseballChaser
    chaser15
    oilcountry99
    NLCCG
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 2688
    Posts: 15
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 7, 2016 - 6:38 PM ET #1

    Ok guys just a little back story before i begin. Im in my early 20s, start gambling at around 19, and have been trying to brain storm my way to being a very very good sports better. Came across the martingale and its been an off and on thing with it. Until a couple of months ago a light bulb turned on and i kept thinking about it until i made it better and better. So i really want some long time gamblers to give me there opinion and tell me if I've covered every possible means of losing my money. You guys might end up trying it as well. 
    If you guys are familiar with the Martingale, this system does involve that type of strategy.
    So in my search for people who might have been trying to use this strategy there is one thing that has always been the same among different people, and that is everyone uses teams they FEEL hold an advantage. I've also read about a guy that would wait until a team lost a certain amount in a row. With my strategy theres no need for that. 
    Basically where I get my Pick information is from a website called TeamRankings.com, if yu can navigate to the page that lists the team trends then your in the right place. That page displays all teams in a sport and their record against the spread. It also gives you a percentage format of the record so you can have an idea how that team is actually doing. They also do that for over and unders of that sport. 
    What this does for me is really give me a visual on how a team is doing a specific category. They also provide filters with the same information in categories like Home and Away records, Favorite or Underdogs etc. 
    With that being said i can really get into how my strategy works now. So basically after back tracking on previous seasons to see what the losing streaks have looked like for the top teams in each category. Ive found out that Football will be the sport that would be the easiest to make money from. Not alot of games and not alot of room for you to hit a long losing streak, so in football for the NFL and NCAA you can have a base bet that is relatively high. As for the sport that long losing streaks happened more frequently it was baseball that stuck out the most, with losing streaks that went 7-10 long. 
    The obvious thing in the observation is that the more games your playing the easier it is to hit that losing streak. 
    So the question now is how can i avoid that long losing streak in sports that have alot of games to play which would be baseball and basketball and the answer is to narrow a team down to where they play the strongest. What I mean in that is to only play with a team when they are at home or when they are away. For some reason in sports being home or away has had some of the biggest impacts on how a team can perform. So ill Bet like that as well.
    Now when yu narrow the filters to teams and how they play when they are home you get records that are higher in % and lower in the number of games you would have to bet.
    I FEEL LIKE IM TYPING TO MUCH GUYS

    So since today is June 7th, basketball is about to be done. Baseball is right about in the middle of season so thats the best example, and what i will use as my example to this strategy. 
    Right now as of today The San Diego Padres have the best record ATS (AT HOME) which is 20-8. Which also means they have been covering about 71.4 % of the time. Since the begining of the season their longest losing streak at home was 3 games. 
    Now my plan is to make some guidelines to my bets. How does at least the first 2 teams that are doing best in what ever category im betting. If they fall out of the top two, ill start betting on the team that took the teams place. Ill stop betting on the teams that fell out of the top two until i get a win with them to bring me back in profit with that team. Also i would only want to bet on a team that is winning at least 60%.
    I beileve this is going to be my best bet in avoiding long losing streaks. 
    Now this last note is for that dreadfull day that i do meet up on a long losing streak. If you limit yourself with how many bets you are willing to bet to chase and stick to it then it should prevent you from emptying the bank. With that being said i told myself after 5 losses in a row i will not make that 6th bet. It should cost yu about 30 units after 5 losses. If your doing this strategy with more than one team, you should recover quickly.

    PLEASE TELL ME WHAT YOU GUYS THINK, ILL ANSWER ANY AND EVERY QUESTION.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Ok guys just a little back story before i begin. Im in my early 20s, start gambling at around 19, and have been trying to brain storm my way to being a very very good sports better. Came across the martingale and its been an off and on thing with it. Until a couple of months ago a light bulb turned on and i kept thinking about it until i made it better and better. So i really want some long time gamblers to give me there opinion and tell me if I've covered every possible means of losing my money. You guys might end up trying it as well. 
    If you guys are familiar with the Martingale, this system does involve that type of strategy.
    So in my search for people who might have been trying to use this strategy there is one thing that has always been the same among different people, and that is everyone uses teams they FEEL hold an advantage. I've also read about a guy that would wait until a team lost a certain amount in a row. With my strategy theres no need for that. 
    Basically where I get my Pick information is from a website called TeamRankings.com, if yu can navigate to the page that lists the team trends then your in the right place. That page displays all teams in a sport and their record against the spread. It also gives you a percentage format of the record so you can have an idea how that team is actually doing. They also do that for over and unders of that sport. 
    What this does for me is really give me a visual on how a team is doing a specific category. They also provide filters with the same information in categories like Home and Away records, Favorite or Underdogs etc. 
    With that being said i can really get into how my strategy works now. So basically after back tracking on previous seasons to see what the losing streaks have looked like for the top teams in each category. Ive found out that Football will be the sport that would be the easiest to make money from. Not alot of games and not alot of room for you to hit a long losing streak, so in football for the NFL and NCAA you can have a base bet that is relatively high. As for the sport that long losing streaks happened more frequently it was baseball that stuck out the most, with losing streaks that went 7-10 long. 
    The obvious thing in the observation is that the more games your playing the easier it is to hit that losing streak. 
    So the question now is how can i avoid that long losing streak in sports that have alot of games to play which would be baseball and basketball and the answer is to narrow a team down to where they play the strongest. What I mean in that is to only play with a team when they are at home or when they are away. For some reason in sports being home or away has had some of the biggest impacts on how a team can perform. So ill Bet like that as well.
    Now when yu narrow the filters to teams and how they play when they are home you get records that are higher in % and lower in the number of games you would have to bet.
    I FEEL LIKE IM TYPING TO MUCH GUYS

    So since today is June 7th, basketball is about to be done. Baseball is right about in the middle of season so thats the best example, and what i will use as my example to this strategy. 
    Right now as of today The San Diego Padres have the best record ATS (AT HOME) which is 20-8. Which also means they have been covering about 71.4 % of the time. Since the begining of the season their longest losing streak at home was 3 games. 
    Now my plan is to make some guidelines to my bets. How does at least the first 2 teams that are doing best in what ever category im betting. If they fall out of the top two, ill start betting on the team that took the teams place. Ill stop betting on the teams that fell out of the top two until i get a win with them to bring me back in profit with that team. Also i would only want to bet on a team that is winning at least 60%.
    I beileve this is going to be my best bet in avoiding long losing streaks. 
    Now this last note is for that dreadfull day that i do meet up on a long losing streak. If you limit yourself with how many bets you are willing to bet to chase and stick to it then it should prevent you from emptying the bank. With that being said i told myself after 5 losses in a row i will not make that 6th bet. It should cost yu about 30 units after 5 losses. If your doing this strategy with more than one team, you should recover quickly.

    PLEASE TELL ME WHAT YOU GUYS THINK, ILL ANSWER ANY AND EVERY QUESTION.
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 8, 2016 - 2:59 PM ET #2

    TO MAKE THINGS SIMPLE AND SHORT cause no 1 wants to read all of that.

    Here is the link to the website that I will use to pick my picks:

    https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trends/ats_trends/

    KEY: Category - Run Line (ATS), Over and Under

    Situation - Home, Away

    That is just to keep everyone on the same page.

    STRATEGY: In both categories, pick the team that has the best record in both situations and continue to bet that team until they are not leading the list anymore. 
    If that team falls out of first place on the list don't stop betting on that team until you get your win.
    Martingale based strategy






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    TO MAKE THINGS SIMPLE AND SHORT cause no 1 wants to read all of that.

    Here is the link to the website that I will use to pick my picks:

    https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trends/ats_trends/

    KEY: Category - Run Line (ATS), Over and Under

    Situation - Home, Away

    That is just to keep everyone on the same page.

    STRATEGY: In both categories, pick the team that has the best record in both situations and continue to bet that team until they are not leading the list anymore. 
    If that team falls out of first place on the list don't stop betting on that team until you get your win.
    Martingale based strategy






     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 8, 2016 - 3:33 PM ET #3

      I have made rules fore my self and they go as follow:

    Bet the top two teams In each category and both situations.

    If any of the top two teams fall out of 1st and 2nd place, start betting on the team that took their place but dont stop betting on the team that lost its place until you have won with that team.

    If a team is not winning in there category at a percentage of at least 60% do not start betting with them. 

    If the team your betting with falls Under 60%, after your last win stop betting with them.

    If you sustain 5 losses in a row start over at base bet.


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      I have made rules fore my self and they go as follow:

    Bet the top two teams In each category and both situations.

    If any of the top two teams fall out of 1st and 2nd place, start betting on the team that took their place but dont stop betting on the team that lost its place until you have won with that team.

    If a team is not winning in there category at a percentage of at least 60% do not start betting with them. 

    If the team your betting with falls Under 60%, after your last win stop betting with them.

    If you sustain 5 losses in a row start over at base bet.


     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 8, 2016 - 3:50 PM ET #4

    My line Up as of June 7th is as follows:

    Tampa Bay Rays - Over (Away Only)
    Houston Astros - Over (Away Only)
    Cleveland Indians - Over (Home Only)
    Chi Cubs - Run Line (Home Only)
    Chi Cubs - Rune Line (Away Only)
    NY Yankees - Under (Away Only)
    Detroit Tigers - Over (Home Only)
    LA Dogers - Under (Home Only)
    Toronto Blue Jays - Under (Away Only)
    Kansas City Royal - Run Line (Home Only)
    Chi White Sox - Under (Home Only)
    San Diego Padres - Run Line (Away Only)
    Seattle Mariners - Going against them Run Line (Home Only)
    Arizona Diamondbacks - Going against them Rune Line (Home Only)
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    My line Up as of June 7th is as follows:

    Tampa Bay Rays - Over (Away Only)
    Houston Astros - Over (Away Only)
    Cleveland Indians - Over (Home Only)
    Chi Cubs - Run Line (Home Only)
    Chi Cubs - Rune Line (Away Only)
    NY Yankees - Under (Away Only)
    Detroit Tigers - Over (Home Only)
    LA Dogers - Under (Home Only)
    Toronto Blue Jays - Under (Away Only)
    Kansas City Royal - Run Line (Home Only)
    Chi White Sox - Under (Home Only)
    San Diego Padres - Run Line (Away Only)
    Seattle Mariners - Going against them Run Line (Home Only)
    Arizona Diamondbacks - Going against them Rune Line (Home Only)
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 8, 2016 - 4:34 PM ET #5

    Im not rich so im not going to lie and say I have a $10,000 bank roll.
    I have a starting bank roll of about $75 so my base bets are all going to be $1.
    So the outcomes to all the games i bet as of June 7th is as follows:

    Tampa Bay Rays - Over - $1.00/($1.00)
    Houston Astros - Over - $1.00/($1.00)
    Chi Cubs - Run Line (Away) - $1.00/($1.00)
    Detroit Tigers - Over - $1.25/($1.25)
    Toronto Blue Jays - Under - $1.10/1.00
    Chi White Sox - Under - $1.05/($1.05)
    LA Dogers - Under - $1.05/$1.00


    Arizona Diamondbacks - Against them Run Line (so I would bet on Tampa Bay Rays Run Line) $1.25/($1.25)
     

    Seattle Mariners - Against them Run Line ( so i would bet on Cleveland Indians Run Line) $1.80/($1.80)


    Balance: $69.26

    Note: Balance isnt all the way accurate but just bare with me.
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    Im not rich so im not going to lie and say I have a $10,000 bank roll.
    I have a starting bank roll of about $75 so my base bets are all going to be $1.
    So the outcomes to all the games i bet as of June 7th is as follows:

    Tampa Bay Rays - Over - $1.00/($1.00)
    Houston Astros - Over - $1.00/($1.00)
    Chi Cubs - Run Line (Away) - $1.00/($1.00)
    Detroit Tigers - Over - $1.25/($1.25)
    Toronto Blue Jays - Under - $1.10/1.00
    Chi White Sox - Under - $1.05/($1.05)
    LA Dogers - Under - $1.05/$1.00


    Arizona Diamondbacks - Against them Run Line (so I would bet on Tampa Bay Rays Run Line) $1.25/($1.25)
     

    Seattle Mariners - Against them Run Line ( so i would bet on Cleveland Indians Run Line) $1.80/($1.80)


    Balance: $69.26

    Note: Balance isnt all the way accurate but just bare with me.
     
    BaseballChaser
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    Posted: Jun. 9, 2016 - 4:31 PM ET #6

    Good luck 
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    Good luck 
     
    chaser15
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    Posted: Jun. 9, 2016 - 5:48 PM ET #7

    Best of luck BJ! I respect the analysis you've put into the choosing of your plays and think that it could work for grinding out some profit and growing your bankroll. However, given the size of your bankroll, I would caution you to either (1) narrow your plays down to 4 or 5 choice picks, OR (2) use a book that will take half-dollar wagers. Kudos to you for setting your base wager at a disciplined 1 and 1/3 percent of your roll, but that many plays will burn that roll rapidly in the face of marty-chasin. Try doing a test-run with a very likely scenario of a few "B","C", and "D" bets and you will very quickly realize what im referring to...there's just not enough roll to maintain that many chases.  Personally, I would play only a few of the highest percentage plays to get a feel for the flow, then add plays (or in the alternative, increase your base wager amount) as you succeed...and you WILL succeed!  Good luck in your endeavor

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    Best of luck BJ! I respect the analysis you've put into the choosing of your plays and think that it could work for grinding out some profit and growing your bankroll. However, given the size of your bankroll, I would caution you to either (1) narrow your plays down to 4 or 5 choice picks, OR (2) use a book that will take half-dollar wagers. Kudos to you for setting your base wager at a disciplined 1 and 1/3 percent of your roll, but that many plays will burn that roll rapidly in the face of marty-chasin. Try doing a test-run with a very likely scenario of a few "B","C", and "D" bets and you will very quickly realize what im referring to...there's just not enough roll to maintain that many chases.  Personally, I would play only a few of the highest percentage plays to get a feel for the flow, then add plays (or in the alternative, increase your base wager amount) as you succeed...and you WILL succeed!  Good luck in your endeavor

     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Jun. 9, 2016 - 10:42 PM ET #8

    Well said Chaser15
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    Well said Chaser15
     
    Bj4eva98
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    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 9, 2016 - 11:27 PM ET #9

    Chaser15 thats I DEEPLY appreciate your comment! That was something that was crossing my mind as well. I will deff take it into consideration. Probably just play teams that are hitting very very high.
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    Chaser15 thats I DEEPLY appreciate your comment! That was something that was crossing my mind as well. I will deff take it into consideration. Probably just play teams that are hitting very very high.
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2016 - 11:47 AM ET #10

    June 8th outcome: 

    Chi White Sox - Under - $2.05/($2.05)
    Detroit Tigers - Over - $2.36/($2.33)
    Houston Asrtos - Over - $2.10/($2.10)
    Chi Cubs(Away) - Run Line - $2.15/$2.05
    Tampa Bay Rays - Over - $2.25/$2.05
    LA Dogers - Under - $1.35/$1.00
    Seattle Mariners - Against Run Line - $1.81/($1.81)


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    June 8th outcome: 

    Chi White Sox - Under - $2.05/($2.05)
    Detroit Tigers - Over - $2.36/($2.33)
    Houston Asrtos - Over - $2.10/($2.10)
    Chi Cubs(Away) - Run Line - $2.15/$2.05
    Tampa Bay Rays - Over - $2.25/$2.05
    LA Dogers - Under - $1.35/$1.00
    Seattle Mariners - Against Run Line - $1.81/($1.81)


     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2016 - 11:57 AM ET #11

    June 9th Outcome:

    Chi White Sox - Under - $2.36/$2.05
    Seattle Mariners - Against Run Line - $8.31/ $4.75


    Houston Astros - Was suppose to bet them but kinda forgot. They ended up losing in the Over so good thing i didnt bet. Ill just take up where i left off on the 10th.

    End of Day Balance: $73.32
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    June 9th Outcome:

    Chi White Sox - Under - $2.36/$2.05
    Seattle Mariners - Against Run Line - $8.31/ $4.75


    Houston Astros - Was suppose to bet them but kinda forgot. They ended up losing in the Over so good thing i didnt bet. Ill just take up where i left off on the 10th.

    End of Day Balance: $73.32
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2016 - 12:21 PM ET #12

    Line Up As of June 10th:

    Cleveland Indians (Home Only) Over
    Detroit Tigers (Home Only) Over

    LA Dogers (Home Only) Under
    Tampa Bay Rays (Home Only) Under

    Tampa Bay Rays (Away Only) Over
    St. Louis Cardinals (Away Only) Over (NEW TEAM)
    Houston Astros (Away Only) Over (Team Removed)

    Toronto Blue Jays - (Aways Only) Under
    NY Yankees - (Away Only) Under

    Kansas City Royals - (Home Only) Run Line (Team Removed)
    Chi Cubs - (Home Only) Run Line (Team Removed)

    NY Mets - (Home Only) - Against Run Line (NEW TEAM)
    Arizona Diamondbacks - (Home Only) - Against Run Line
    Seattle Mariners - (Home Only) - Against Run Line


    Taking Chaser15's advice and trying to cut down on the number of teams that im betting. Im doing this mainly for two reasons. 1 being that the less amount of teams im betting with, the lower the chances ill actually run into a 5 game losing streak with one. 2 Its pretty tedious to be working with so many teams. So until my bankroll is alittle larger and I can actually devote time to this like a Job then Im going to take my time with this strategy.

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    Line Up As of June 10th:

    Cleveland Indians (Home Only) Over
    Detroit Tigers (Home Only) Over

    LA Dogers (Home Only) Under
    Tampa Bay Rays (Home Only) Under

    Tampa Bay Rays (Away Only) Over
    St. Louis Cardinals (Away Only) Over (NEW TEAM)
    Houston Astros (Away Only) Over (Team Removed)

    Toronto Blue Jays - (Aways Only) Under
    NY Yankees - (Away Only) Under

    Kansas City Royals - (Home Only) Run Line (Team Removed)
    Chi Cubs - (Home Only) Run Line (Team Removed)

    NY Mets - (Home Only) - Against Run Line (NEW TEAM)
    Arizona Diamondbacks - (Home Only) - Against Run Line
    Seattle Mariners - (Home Only) - Against Run Line


    Taking Chaser15's advice and trying to cut down on the number of teams that im betting. Im doing this mainly for two reasons. 1 being that the less amount of teams im betting with, the lower the chances ill actually run into a 5 game losing streak with one. 2 Its pretty tedious to be working with so many teams. So until my bankroll is alittle larger and I can actually devote time to this like a Job then Im going to take my time with this strategy.

     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Aug. 2, 2018 - 5:02 PM ET #13

    OK GUY!! LOL 2  years later and im back. Same strategy just alot more organized with a bigger bank roll. 

    Ill just keep posting, and who ever takes interest and follows along..... Wish me luck!
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    OK GUY!! LOL 2  years later and im back. Same strategy just alot more organized with a bigger bank roll. 

    Ill just keep posting, and who ever takes interest and follows along..... Wish me luck!
     
    Bj4eva98
    Bj4eva98
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    Joined: Jun, 2016
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Aug. 2, 2018 - 5:14 PM ET #14

    .
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    .
     
     
    NLCCG
    NLCCG
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    Joined: Aug, 2017
    Posts: 213
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 5:57 PM ET #15

    Hey dude, I will be following seems like an interesting idea

    37-31 +144.91 (14.49u) (1unit=10)
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    Hey dude, I will be following seems like an interesting idea

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