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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Magnificent Seven

    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
    bDnews
    BCap888
    daytradernation
    ERBATIZ
    Mastersharpie
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 46565
    Posts: 287
    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:14 PM ET #1

    For the final time I will be posting a new system here at Covers. This has been long coming, but the time has come. 12 years of posting new systems has been fun, but it ends with this one for me...

    In any event, I'm releasing:

    The Magnificent Seven

    Hold on as this may get a little bumpy. I'll try to answer questions as they come but please be patient. 

    So here we go:

    Find an MLB team that has won by a combined 7 runs in their last 2 games and fade for the next 5 or find a team that has lost by a combined 7 in their last 2 games and chase for the next 5 games.

    Lines do NOT matter. It's only about the combined score over the last 2 games. Home and road are the things you have to watch out for with this. 

    So if the last two games were home games, the game you play has to be a home team. Same for road teams. It doesn't matter if there's a break between the games.

    Also there is a 'Play On' and 'Play Against' list to be followed. The list is based on the last 7 years of team total averages of wins:

    Arizona - 79.71
    Atlanta - 85
    Baltimore - 71.23
    Boston - 88.57
    Cubs - 76.86
    White Sox - 83.14
    Cincinnati - 81.57
    Cleveland - 76.71
    Colorado - 78.86
    Detroit - 86.71
    Houston - 71.71
    Kansas City - 68.71
    Anaheim - 90.71
    LA Dodgers - 85.29
    Florida - 77.29
    Milwaukee - 83.43
    Minnesota - 81.86
    NYMets - 82
    NYY - 95.71
    Oakland - 81.14
    Philadelphia - 91.29
    Pittsburgh - 67.43
    San Diego - 78.86
    San Francisco - 82.71
    Seattle - 73.57
    St Louis - 86
    Tampa Bay - 83.57
    Texas - 85.71
    Toronto - 81.43
    Washington - 72.71

    ***Average wins for each team from 2006 to 2012***
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    For the final time I will be posting a new system here at Covers. This has been long coming, but the time has come. 12 years of posting new systems has been fun, but it ends with this one for me...

    In any event, I'm releasing:

    The Magnificent Seven

    Hold on as this may get a little bumpy. I'll try to answer questions as they come but please be patient. 

    So here we go:

    Find an MLB team that has won by a combined 7 runs in their last 2 games and fade for the next 5 or find a team that has lost by a combined 7 in their last 2 games and chase for the next 5 games.

    Lines do NOT matter. It's only about the combined score over the last 2 games. Home and road are the things you have to watch out for with this. 

    So if the last two games were home games, the game you play has to be a home team. Same for road teams. It doesn't matter if there's a break between the games.

    Also there is a 'Play On' and 'Play Against' list to be followed. The list is based on the last 7 years of team total averages of wins:

    Arizona - 79.71
    Atlanta - 85
    Baltimore - 71.23
    Boston - 88.57
    Cubs - 76.86
    White Sox - 83.14
    Cincinnati - 81.57
    Cleveland - 76.71
    Colorado - 78.86
    Detroit - 86.71
    Houston - 71.71
    Kansas City - 68.71
    Anaheim - 90.71
    LA Dodgers - 85.29
    Florida - 77.29
    Milwaukee - 83.43
    Minnesota - 81.86
    NYMets - 82
    NYY - 95.71
    Oakland - 81.14
    Philadelphia - 91.29
    Pittsburgh - 67.43
    San Diego - 78.86
    San Francisco - 82.71
    Seattle - 73.57
    St Louis - 86
    Tampa Bay - 83.57
    Texas - 85.71
    Toronto - 81.43
    Washington - 72.71

    ***Average wins for each team from 2006 to 2012***
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:29 PM ET #2

    The total wins for the league over this period of time is 2429.49 divided by 30 teams is 80.98 wins for the league over this period of time.

    Teams that have lost by 14(7+7) runs less than this average twice in this period of time are on the 'Play Against" list. For this time period those teams would be:

    Baltimore
    Cubs
    Houston
    Kansas City
    Minnesota
    Seattle 
    Tampa Bay 
    Washington

    Teams that have won by 14(7+7) runs more than this average twice in this period of time are on the 'Play On" list. For this time period those teams would be:

    Atlanta
    Boston 
    Detroit
    Anaheim
    NYY
    Philadelphia

    So to clarify, under no circumstances do you play on the teams on the 'Play Against' list; do not play against teams on the 'Play On' list.

    There are a total of 14 teams, though not split evenly, on the lists combined. This leaves a total of 16 '2 way' teams to be played when available.
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    The total wins for the league over this period of time is 2429.49 divided by 30 teams is 80.98 wins for the league over this period of time.

    Teams that have lost by 14(7+7) runs less than this average twice in this period of time are on the 'Play Against" list. For this time period those teams would be:

    Baltimore
    Cubs
    Houston
    Kansas City
    Minnesota
    Seattle 
    Tampa Bay 
    Washington

    Teams that have won by 14(7+7) runs more than this average twice in this period of time are on the 'Play On" list. For this time period those teams would be:

    Atlanta
    Boston 
    Detroit
    Anaheim
    NYY
    Philadelphia

    So to clarify, under no circumstances do you play on the teams on the 'Play Against' list; do not play against teams on the 'Play On' list.

    There are a total of 14 teams, though not split evenly, on the lists combined. This leaves a total of 16 '2 way' teams to be played when available.
     
    BCap888
    BCap888
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:36 PM ET #3

    I like this, I just have one question regarding the last two games part. Do the previous 2 games both have to be wins or both have to be losses? You said they had to win by a combined 7 runs, does this just mean for example 5 and 2 or does it include say, 10 and -3? I'm sure it's just 2 wins or 2 losses but just want to be sure. This looks like a lot of work on your part, hope it's a good one for you!
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    I like this, I just have one question regarding the last two games part. Do the previous 2 games both have to be wins or both have to be losses? You said they had to win by a combined 7 runs, does this just mean for example 5 and 2 or does it include say, 10 and -3? I'm sure it's just 2 wins or 2 losses but just want to be sure. This looks like a lot of work on your part, hope it's a good one for you!
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:41 PM ET #4

    The play selection itself isn't based on the lines, but the plays are based on the lines. So when a play fits the parameters, play the favorites on the money lines and the dogs on the run lines.

    I will be posting a detailed breakdown shortly. But before it gets to late to play it, here is today's play:

    G2 - Arizona

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    The play selection itself isn't based on the lines, but the plays are based on the lines. So when a play fits the parameters, play the favorites on the money lines and the dogs on the run lines.

    I will be posting a detailed breakdown shortly. But before it gets to late to play it, here is today's play:

    G2 - Arizona

     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:48 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by BCap888:

    I like this, I just have one question regarding the last two games part. Do the previous 2 games both have to be wins or both have to be losses? You said they had to win by a combined 7 runs, does this just mean for example 5 and 2 or does it include say, 10 and -3? I'm sure it's just 2 wins or 2 losses but just want to be sure. This looks like a lot of work on your part, hope it's a good one for you!


    Both wins if playing against or both losses if playing on.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCap888:

    I like this, I just have one question regarding the last two games part. Do the previous 2 games both have to be wins or both have to be losses? You said they had to win by a combined 7 runs, does this just mean for example 5 and 2 or does it include say, 10 and -3? I'm sure it's just 2 wins or 2 losses but just want to be sure. This looks like a lot of work on your part, hope it's a good one for you!


    Both wins if playing against or both losses if playing on.
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2014 - 4:52 PM ET #6

    For the record:

    Posting start date - 04/14/14
    Posting start time - 4:14PM EST

    Posting end date - 07/0714
    Posting end time - 7:07PM EST
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    For the record:

    Posting start date - 04/14/14
    Posting start time - 4:14PM EST

    Posting end date - 07/0714
    Posting end time - 7:07PM EST
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2014 - 4:14 PM ET #7

    G3 - Arizona
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    G3 - Arizona
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2014 - 4:20 PM ET #8

    Adding:

    G2 - San Francisco, Toronto
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    Adding:

    G2 - San Francisco, Toronto
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2014 - 11:42 AM ET #9

    G1 - Milwaukee, NYY

    G4 - Arizona
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    G1 - Milwaukee, NYY

    G4 - Arizona
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 12:34 AM ET #10

    G1 - NYY, CWSox
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    G1 - NYY, CWSox
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 1:10 AM ET #11

    M7 - 2014 Record - (29-0)

    1 - (16-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)
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    M7 - 2014 Record - (29-0)

    1 - (16-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 1:11 AM ET #12

    Adding:

    G1 - Philadelphia
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    Adding:

    G1 - Philadelphia
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 1:43 AM ET #13

    The M7 Totals - (29-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-15)
    G2 - (8-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)
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    The M7 Totals - (29-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-15)
    G2 - (8-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 1:45 AM ET #14

    G2 - NYY Under
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    G2 - NYY Under
     
    daytradernation
    daytradernation
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 4:49 AM ET #15

    may i ask why you are stopping?
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    may i ask why you are stopping?
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 11:15 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by daytradernation:

    may i ask why you are stopping?


    I've been posting here, and other forums, for over a decade now. It's just time for me to step aside from the forum scene on a regular basis. I'll still be around from time to time, just not posting anything in the way of new systems. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by daytradernation:

    may i ask why you are stopping?


    I've been posting here, and other forums, for over a decade now. It's just time for me to step aside from the forum scene on a regular basis. I'll still be around from time to time, just not posting anything in the way of new systems. 

     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 11:40 AM ET #17

    M7 - 2014 Record - (29-0)

    1 - (16-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)

    G1 - NYY, CWSox, Philadelphia


    The M7 Totals - (29-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-15)
    G2 - (8-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)

    G2 - NYY Under
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    M7 - 2014 Record - (29-0)

    1 - (16-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)

    G1 - NYY, CWSox, Philadelphia


    The M7 Totals - (29-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-15)
    G2 - (8-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)

    G2 - NYY Under
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 12:52 PM ET #18

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    Mastersharpie
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 5:01 PM ET #19

    i thought the 7 referred to inches for the ding a ling
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    i thought the 7 referred to inches for the ding a ling
     
    bDnews
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 8:23 PM ET #20

    Nice (4-0) day...
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    Nice (4-0) day...
     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 2179
    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 8:48 PM ET #21

     my first day and i took your plays great
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     my first day and i took your plays great
     
    bbreit
    bbreit
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    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 77
    Posted: Apr. 20, 2014 - 8:49 PM ET #22

    Hell ya
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    Hell ya
     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Posts: 6012
    Posted: Apr. 21, 2014 - 10:21 AM ET #23

    M7 - 2014 Record - (32-0)

    1 - (19-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)



    The M7 Totals - (30-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-16)
    G2 - (9-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)

    1 - Colorado Under, Philadelphia Under, CWSox Under

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    M7 - 2014 Record - (32-0)

    1 - (19-13)
    2 - (12-1)
    3 - (1-0)
    4 - (0-0)
    5 - (0-0)



    The M7 Totals - (30-0) ***All Plays Are Unders***

    G1 - (14-16)
    G2 - (9-7)
    G3 - (4-3)
    G4 - (3-0)
    G5 - (0-0)

    1 - Colorado Under, Philadelphia Under, CWSox Under

     
    bDnews
    bDnews
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    Joined: Jan, 2002
    Posts: 6012
    Posted: Apr. 21, 2014 - 5:19 PM ET #24

    Adding:

    G2 - Texas(Oakland won the 1st 2 games of their series with Houston by 9 runs actually making them a G1 play yesterday. They lost and are now a play against vs Texas.)
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    Adding:

    G2 - Texas(Oakland won the 1st 2 games of their series with Houston by 9 runs actually making them a G1 play yesterday. They lost and are now a play against vs Texas.)
     
     
    traderjoe13
    traderjoe13
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    Joined: Sep, 2012
    Posts: 696
    Posted: Apr. 22, 2014 - 12:23 AM ET #25

    I enjoy you systems some I use but they are all filed away for possible future use. I was just curious if you do this professionally or just as a hobby?! I hope you enjoy the free time that comes from breaking up with covers. We will always welcome you back with open arms. Thank you for all you have done
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    I enjoy you systems some I use but they are all filed away for possible future use. I was just curious if you do this professionally or just as a hobby?! I hope you enjoy the free time that comes from breaking up with covers. We will always welcome you back with open arms. Thank you for all you have done
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