Posted:
#1
I did some number crunching. There have been 47 OT games out of 177 so
far this year. If had you bet all of them, it would bring a small profit.
Each night if you bet all games to tie in regulation, you would need at least
25% of the games to tie to make a profit, although small. So far this year in total it has hit at just over 26% at 26.55.
Example: 12 game schedule, 3 games tie.
3 games = 330+340+360 = 1030 = 10.3 units - 9 units (lost on games that did not tie) = 1.3 unit profit.
So far Saturday nights have been pretty good (excluding the opener in Europe) (using +340 as a conservative average payout)
10/11 = 13 games, with 4 ties. 4 x 340 = (13.60 - 9) = 4.60 unit profit
10/18 = 13 games, with 6 ties. 6 x 340 = (20.4 - 7) = 13.4 unit profit (wow)
10/25 = 15 games, with 5 ties. 5 x 340 = (17 - 10) = 7 unit profit
11/1 = 12 games, with 3 ties. 3 x 340 = (10.2 - 9) = 1.2 unit profit (OK not so great here but a profit nonetheless)
Betting $100 at about a +340 (conservative) or so average, the system would be up $2980 (or 29.8 units) after a month and a bit so far. I'm not sure if its worth it but it is something to look at. Well I guess being up $2980 is worth it, but we'll see if this stands the test of time. I'll keep track of it and hopefully it works out. One would expect as the the season goes on and positioning for playoffs becomes more prevalent, the games would get tighter.
Some days have been great with 3 ties out of 5 but some have been brutal with the worst being 1 OT in 12 games but this is obviously a long term betting system. I wouldn't recommend betting on this yet. I am going to wait about a week or so before I jump in just to make sure. Maybe betting Saturday nights is the key, I don't know. Either way we'll see what transpires.
Please feel free to contribute on this. I don't sleep much so let me know if I made any errors. Thanks guys.
Example: 12 game schedule, 3 games tie.
3 games = 330+340+360 = 1030 = 10.3 units - 9 units (lost on games that did not tie) = 1.3 unit profit.
So far Saturday nights have been pretty good (excluding the opener in Europe) (using +340 as a conservative average payout)
10/11 = 13 games, with 4 ties. 4 x 340 = (13.60 - 9) = 4.60 unit profit
10/18 = 13 games, with 6 ties. 6 x 340 = (20.4 - 7) = 13.4 unit profit (wow)
10/25 = 15 games, with 5 ties. 5 x 340 = (17 - 10) = 7 unit profit
11/1 = 12 games, with 3 ties. 3 x 340 = (10.2 - 9) = 1.2 unit profit (OK not so great here but a profit nonetheless)
Betting $100 at about a +340 (conservative) or so average, the system would be up $2980 (or 29.8 units) after a month and a bit so far. I'm not sure if its worth it but it is something to look at. Well I guess being up $2980 is worth it, but we'll see if this stands the test of time. I'll keep track of it and hopefully it works out. One would expect as the the season goes on and positioning for playoffs becomes more prevalent, the games would get tighter.
Some days have been great with 3 ties out of 5 but some have been brutal with the worst being 1 OT in 12 games but this is obviously a long term betting system. I wouldn't recommend betting on this yet. I am going to wait about a week or so before I jump in just to make sure. Maybe betting Saturday nights is the key, I don't know. Either way we'll see what transpires.
Please feel free to contribute on this. I don't sleep much so let me know if I made any errors. Thanks guys.
0
Missed it by just under 2 mins!
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