Surfer Part 4 - The Final Chapter

Part I

SD and LAD Parlay- flopped

Part II

NHL Small Underdogs  - Small Profit

Part III 

MLB Playoffs Home Underdogs- Undefeated

Part IV

NFL Yards per Play

- I have used a formula to create a point spread using Yards per Play (YPP). I waited until after week 7 in order for each team's stats to develop.  The last 2 weeks I practiced.  I have three categories based on the differential between the point spread I came up with and the actual line (Bovada)

The results this year so far :

2 point differential:

3 - 5

4 point differential 

6 - 2

7 point differential 

5 - 1

Now I am ready to post my alternate point spreads online.  The line goes by the visiting teams.  I understand we use different sports books.  What may be a 2 point differential with Bovada might be a 4 point differential with Pinnacle.  These are the spreads I came up with.  Use however you like

Week 10

Bal -4.5

Atl +0.5

NO +1.5

Jax +3.5

Cle -4.5

Buf -10

Det +3

TB -6

Car +5

Min +1

Phi -1.5

Sea pk

KC +7

LAR -1

I use Bovada. For me, 13 of this weeks 14 games were at least 2 points away and qualified.  All were Underdogs so I am a bit concerned but not too much.  

When betting -110 I use this betting progression chase a profit. 

Win 2 out of 6

1x 2x 4x 6x 8x 12x

Watch from the side or jump in. Good Luck