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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Simple 4/4 system

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    MONEYshotS
    hrabri_pero
    sports_Network
    PuckHog
    mikkii10
    ...
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    Views: 4174
    Posts: 55
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    MONEYshotS
    MONEYshotS
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    Posted: May. 24, 2009 - 9:58 AM ET #26

    Yeah I did not mention it but I only played St. L yesterday because I went against Marquis in his previous outing and he looked like Cy Young.

    I will play the Cards again today with you Hrabi.
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    Yeah I did not mention it but I only played St. L yesterday because I went against Marquis in his previous outing and he looked like Cy Young.

    I will play the Cards again today with you Hrabi.
     
    MONEYshotS
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    Posted: May. 25, 2009 - 12:04 AM ET #27

    So the system is on Philly for Monday right hrabi?
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    So the system is on Philly for Monday right hrabi?
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 25, 2009 - 2:25 AM ET #28

    YTD: +17.65  31-10
    yesterday  -1.45   0-1

    today:

    phillies
    mets

    i don't have time for a proper handicapping so system is all i have going for me at the moment. it is only one information you can use when deciding if it's a play or not... simple 4/4 mechanics can give you 60%... any extra effort can give you better results

    gl moneyshots
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    YTD: +17.65  31-10
    yesterday  -1.45   0-1

    today:

    phillies
    mets

    i don't have time for a proper handicapping so system is all i have going for me at the moment. it is only one information you can use when deciding if it's a play or not... simple 4/4 mechanics can give you 60%... any extra effort can give you better results

    gl moneyshots
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 26, 2009 - 6:04 AM ET #29

    goal slipping away 

    YTD: +17.40 32-11
    yesterday:  -.25  1-1

    today:

    metropolitans


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    goal slipping away 

    YTD: +17.40 32-11
    yesterday:  -.25  1-1

    today:

    metropolitans


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 27, 2009 - 8:08 AM ET #30

    YTD: +18.40   33-11
    yesterday: +1u 1-0

    today:

    BAL ... system says.. but playing against Halladay??
    PHI 
    Mets... even more players on DL ...??
    CIN

    in phase 2 (if i ever get there)... i'll  keep separate records for 'pure' system and 'cut' version... the one not betting against aces
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    YTD: +18.40   33-11
    yesterday: +1u 1-0

    today:

    BAL ... system says.. but playing against Halladay??
    PHI 
    Mets... even more players on DL ...??
    CIN

    in phase 2 (if i ever get there)... i'll  keep separate records for 'pure' system and 'cut' version... the one not betting against aces
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 27, 2009 - 8:32 AM ET #31

    Do you incorporate any variables, or is your system totally  'disciplined'  aka: taking the Orioles against the BlueJays, and their 'ace' Halladay? would you consider taking TOR today? or a scratch? Is your play BAL? The outcome should be interesting, based on the success ratio of your formula..
     
    by the way, I am curious, who are the 'metropolitans' ?
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    Do you incorporate any variables, or is your system totally  'disciplined'  aka: taking the Orioles against the BlueJays, and their 'ace' Halladay? would you consider taking TOR today? or a scratch? Is your play BAL? The outcome should be interesting, based on the success ratio of your formula..
     
    by the way, I am curious, who are the 'metropolitans' ?
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 27, 2009 - 8:53 AM ET #32

    New York Mets are Metropolitans... sorry if that confused someone

    for now i play only those games that fall into definition of this system...
    purely automatic
    my rule is to never revert your 'possible' plays... better to scratch 

    so until i reach 20u i will play all system games

    i'm working on my database for this year and will try some real capping.
    for now i'm still 'shopping' for profitable low risk system

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    New York Mets are Metropolitans... sorry if that confused someone

    for now i play only those games that fall into definition of this system...
    purely automatic
    my rule is to never revert your 'possible' plays... better to scratch 

    so until i reach 20u i will play all system games

    i'm working on my database for this year and will try some real capping.
    for now i'm still 'shopping' for profitable low risk system

     
    PuckHog
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    Posted: May. 27, 2009 - 11:44 PM ET #33

    3-1 excellent night especially with that Balt win over Jays
     
    GL....hp get that 20 units++++
     
      good looking system
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    3-1 excellent night especially with that Balt win over Jays
     
    GL....hp get that 20 units++++
     
      good looking system
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 5:34 AM ET #34

    gp:48
    wins:36
    advantage ratio:75% ...........................
    unit$:20+progression
     
     
    creative research, breeds successful handicapping....               well done "hrabri_pero"..welcome to the "70% Club"
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    gp:48
    wins:36
    advantage ratio:75% ...........................
    unit$:20+progression
     
     
    creative research, breeds successful handicapping....               well done "hrabri_pero"..welcome to the "70% Club"
     
    mikkii10
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 8:49 AM ET #35

    so the plays for today games may 28 would be cle,dodgers,and ARZ right ?
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    so the plays for today games may 28 would be cle,dodgers,and ARZ right ?
     
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 28, 2009 - 9:44 AM ET #36

    YTD: +19.40 36-12
    yesterday: +1u  3-1   philly loss was expensive, but at least some profit

    obviously it's better not to think too much... not even Halladay can pitch 11 innings

    DODGERS for today  

    indians are not within system parameters. TB has 4 wins in last 10 games, same for Dbacks. Atlanta is 5-5 in last 10
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    YTD: +19.40 36-12
    yesterday: +1u  3-1   philly loss was expensive, but at least some profit

    obviously it's better not to think too much... not even Halladay can pitch 11 innings

    DODGERS for today  

    indians are not within system parameters. TB has 4 wins in last 10 games, same for Dbacks. Atlanta is 5-5 in last 10
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 3:49 AM ET #37

    a mind is a terrible thing to waste... looks like it's too late for me 

    dodgers were away team yesterday... so it couldn't be a play... they won but that won't go in the system records

    plays for today... but don't take my word for it

    Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh

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    a mind is a terrible thing to waste... looks like it's too late for me 

    dodgers were away team yesterday... so it couldn't be a play... they won but that won't go in the system records

    plays for today... but don't take my word for it

    Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 29, 2009 - 5:31 AM ET #38

    Dodgers 2 - Cubs 1  
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    Dodgers 2 - Cubs 1  
     
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 30, 2009 - 2:34 AM ET #39

    YTD: +19.05 37-13
    yesterday: 1-1   -0.35u

    Philadelphia 
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    YTD: +19.05 37-13
    yesterday: 1-1   -0.35u

    Philadelphia 
     
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 12:35 AM ET #40

    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all
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    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all
     
    jay10
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 1:44 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all
    ....wish you well....everything will be ok....
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    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all
    ....wish you well....everything will be ok....
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 2:16 AM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all

          there's more to life, than life itself......

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    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    goal reached
    infinitely insignificant compared to the tragedy i'm currently experiencing

    good luck all

          there's more to life, than life itself......

     
    ApacheM
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    Posted: May. 31, 2009 - 8:51 AM ET #43

     GL Kemosabe, I like this.
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     GL Kemosabe, I like this.
     
    King-of-the-NFL
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2009 - 2:18 PM ET #44

    I have to say ... you have the best system for MLB that I've seen that has been backtested. 

    GREAT JOB! Keep it up!

    Ever looked into any systems with many years of success in NFL/NCAAF? Football is coming soon! 


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    I have to say ... you have the best system for MLB that I've seen that has been backtested. 

    GREAT JOB! Keep it up!

    Ever looked into any systems with many years of success in NFL/NCAAF? Football is coming soon! 


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2009 - 3:32 AM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by King-of-the-NFL:

    I have to say ... you have the best system for MLB that I've seen that has been backtested. 

    GREAT JOB! Keep it up!

    Ever looked into any systems with many years of success in NFL/NCAAF? Football is coming soon! 




    I can backtest many more systems... just too lazy to do them all... 2 months late already for this season


    not sure how this system will go from here... let's hope for at least 20 more

    i'm from europe... NFL/NCAAF are still off my radar. baseball is my choice for now. I played it a little, now softball only. and as i understand it's easier to make a buck betting MLB. i'll dabble with it for a while...

    best of luck King
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    Quote Originally Posted by King-of-the-NFL:

    I have to say ... you have the best system for MLB that I've seen that has been backtested. 

    GREAT JOB! Keep it up!

    Ever looked into any systems with many years of success in NFL/NCAAF? Football is coming soon! 




    I can backtest many more systems... just too lazy to do them all... 2 months late already for this season


    not sure how this system will go from here... let's hope for at least 20 more

    i'm from europe... NFL/NCAAF are still off my radar. baseball is my choice for now. I played it a little, now softball only. and as i understand it's easier to make a buck betting MLB. i'll dabble with it for a while...

    best of luck King
     
    toft33
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2009 - 11:36 AM ET #46

    Hrabi - fantastic work.  You have been an asset to TonyAD's system and looks like you are pioneering a lovely system here as well. I'll check back in daily.
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    Hrabi - fantastic work.  You have been an asset to TonyAD's system and looks like you are pioneering a lovely system here as well. I'll check back in daily.
     
    mikkii10
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #47

    look forward to your june 2 plays
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    look forward to your june 2 plays
     
    King-of-the-NFL
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2009 - 12:01 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:



    I can backtest many more systems... just too lazy to do them all... 2 months late already for this season


    not sure how this system will go from here... let's hope for at least 20 more

    i'm from europe... NFL/NCAAF are still off my radar. baseball is my choice for now. I played it a little, now softball only. and as i understand it's easier to make a buck betting MLB. i'll dabble with it for a while...

    best of luck King

    OK... I still speak your language when it comes to Soccer or should I say in International Speak... .FOOTBALL (The Original).

    I would love to hear about that sport. It has the most potential due to the worldwide involvement..MANY MORE TEAMS. More potential. 

    Do you think that the Soccer/Football sport would be best for you. 

    I'd rather do that ... More potential.
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    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:



    I can backtest many more systems... just too lazy to do them all... 2 months late already for this season


    not sure how this system will go from here... let's hope for at least 20 more

    i'm from europe... NFL/NCAAF are still off my radar. baseball is my choice for now. I played it a little, now softball only. and as i understand it's easier to make a buck betting MLB. i'll dabble with it for a while...

    best of luck King

    OK... I still speak your language when it comes to Soccer or should I say in International Speak... .FOOTBALL (The Original).

    I would love to hear about that sport. It has the most potential due to the worldwide involvement..MANY MORE TEAMS. More potential. 

    Do you think that the Soccer/Football sport would be best for you. 

    I'd rather do that ... More potential.
     
    King-of-the-NFL
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2009 - 12:11 AM ET #49

    I have backtested a Dog/Census system for basketball even WNBA. It looks good but only for 4 years. NBA and WNBA was profitable 4 and 3 years respectively leaving 1 bad year. 6/7 seasons of basketball positive. 

    Bad thing about the system.. you have to watch the census to the last minutes before tip-off and for an alloted amount of given points. 

    I use the idea that the average bettor, thus the census, is dumb selecting the outcome to whatever play..basically go against the public.... knowing a big proportion of the games are rigged. 

    I personally know of people that involve with such but never given heads due to the secrecy and high status involvement that would get me and the other in trouble. Ha. Plus, it's obvious that a good number of them are rigged. It's impossible to monitor and prevent a game to be compromised (rigged) due to millions of dollars involved in the making. Sports is the easiest money maker for wise crooks without getting into trouble. 
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    I have backtested a Dog/Census system for basketball even WNBA. It looks good but only for 4 years. NBA and WNBA was profitable 4 and 3 years respectively leaving 1 bad year. 6/7 seasons of basketball positive. 

    Bad thing about the system.. you have to watch the census to the last minutes before tip-off and for an alloted amount of given points. 

    I use the idea that the average bettor, thus the census, is dumb selecting the outcome to whatever play..basically go against the public.... knowing a big proportion of the games are rigged. 

    I personally know of people that involve with such but never given heads due to the secrecy and high status involvement that would get me and the other in trouble. Ha. Plus, it's obvious that a good number of them are rigged. It's impossible to monitor and prevent a game to be compromised (rigged) due to millions of dollars involved in the making. Sports is the easiest money maker for wise crooks without getting into trouble. 
     
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2009 - 2:37 AM ET #50

    no games for 6/2 and 6/3... 

    soccer/football betting... definitely has some value betting dogs. but those dreaded ties can ruin you. i'm trying for years to figure out some system but nothing solid yet. not many stats to analyze there. only recently could get some useful data, but only for major leagues. 

    european hockey looks like a good opportunity, but that is 6 months away

    rigging matches is old tradition in soccer... either for the benefit of the teams (when relegations and promotions time comes) or for a big profit.  in these region (Balkan) there is a minor 'celebrity' guy that is famous for fixing results in soccer, basketball, handball (he rigged a 0:0 score in handball!!)

    there are big variations from league to league in scores... some average 3.4 goals per match, some 2 for example..

    that is a topic for another thread...  MLB time for now 
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    no games for 6/2 and 6/3... 

    soccer/football betting... definitely has some value betting dogs. but those dreaded ties can ruin you. i'm trying for years to figure out some system but nothing solid yet. not many stats to analyze there. only recently could get some useful data, but only for major leagues. 

    european hockey looks like a good opportunity, but that is 6 months away

    rigging matches is old tradition in soccer... either for the benefit of the teams (when relegations and promotions time comes) or for a big profit.  in these region (Balkan) there is a minor 'celebrity' guy that is famous for fixing results in soccer, basketball, handball (he rigged a 0:0 score in handball!!)

    there are big variations from league to league in scores... some average 3.4 goals per match, some 2 for example..

    that is a topic for another thread...  MLB time for now 
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