Puppy on Labby

Hi everybody,

Newbie here, trying a system based on small dogs, between -105 and 109 (1.961/2.09 european) and some kind of custom labby line. Gonna play every team with an average winning rate below 45% or between 50% and 62% (yeah, I did my sdql homeworks but it makes sense, eventually). 

I will try to post plays on Covers but, if not, have a look a the sheet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1io4fET7OFj37JIvpWVUSfqC3GWMXwU_6OK9OuUo_hZw/edit?usp=sharing

Brewers and Padres won yesterday. Twins was not a play as they were 62,5%!

Tonight, maybe Giants, Brewers and Reds but I'd rather play as late as possible (depending on my schedule and considering the fact that I live in Europe).

05/07 (odds/risk):

@MIL 2.03 / 0.583u

@STL 2.00 / 0.6

SF 2.09 / 0.55 

CIN 2.07 / 0.561

Don't know yet if I have to be careful with line movements...in that way, I don't like Sf (and Stl) bets that much

05/09:

ARI 1.961 / 1.248u

No play today, I guess. Brewers are now +104, few minutes before start, but they were above +110 since yesterday, more or less, so I pass.

Brewers won yesterday, wrong move. Have to play early today so DBacks attack:

ARIZONA  2.04 / 1.144u

Keep an eye on Giants, Royals and Nationals but these are teams I don't like so much betting on (A's are 45%)

ARIZONA 

-0.495u

I'll be on the road today so won't be able to post here for the earliest games.

Indians, White Sox 

Padres, Royals, DBacks 

-0.610u

Sorry guys, the spreadsheet is blocked for now because I'm trying to figure out new systems. This present one is...so to say...boring.

Looking for something with home favorites (from -150 to -105) and another one base on series & run differentials.

I bring that thread up instead of posting in MLB section. It's so sad seeing this almighty S&S section abandoned.

Well, simple rules: small dogs on ML, home and away, with increasing wagers to cover losses (some kind of esoteric labby line money management). I never had to bet more than 4% of the BK so I can surely say my MM is quite conservative.

Link to the sheet of post #1 is active so that you could follow the picks if not posted here (and at the same occasion, you can check my bets log mayhem of june/july...various tests but still up 14u on july 31st...)

I play around 10/11 AM ET to avoid rollercoaster line movements.

See you soon

1-4

Pirates +103 / 1.59%

Oh boy, can't say I like it but let's stick to the strategy.

2-4

Tigers +102 / 1.59%

Seriously, Tigers ? Confidence = 

Yankees gm1 line is moving around +104 and +109 but...hum...don't really get why they're not favored tonight

No pain, no gain

Yankees +103 / 1.57%

3-5

That was close, 10th inning loss for Tigers, F5 were good. Well, Rangers are clearly my black cat this season. And I almost put a wager on Baltimore. Almost.

Red Sox -102 / 2.18%

3-6

Twins -105 / 1.98%

Phillies -104 / 1.96%

I messed up my percentage here, should have been slightly higher...nevermind, this is what I actually bet.

Last week was my 3rd negative week since june 1st: -0,4%... far from the -6,9% of 1st week of july though.

5-6

White Sox +103 / 1.57% (Game 1)

6-6

Braves -107 / 1.18%

Giants -101 / 1.11% 

I missed the line on Tex/Cle gm 2... it's annoying because Cleveland opened as a dog exactly within my odd range. 1-1 on the night though but I hate missing winning bets like that.

7-7

Indians -103 / 1.69%

Padres +101 / 1.63%