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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Parlay with a pivotal game.

    «First Previous 123 ... 151617 Next Last»
    mike7002
    the-profit
    ERBATIZ
    donfernando
    chensucht
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 29856
    Posts: 418
    «First Previous 123 ... 151617 Next Last»
     
    mike7002
    mike7002
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 12:59 AM ET #351

    It's time for NFL.  Don't worry--your up 330 units.  Your doing great.
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    It's time for NFL.  Don't worry--your up 330 units.  Your doing great.
     
    the-profit
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 2:04 AM ET #352

    Relax and keep capping as always. Variance makes sure none of us can be 65% over time. It will all come back right when you need it.
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    Relax and keep capping as always. Variance makes sure none of us can be 65% over time. It will all come back right when you need it.
     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 1:06 PM ET #353



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    donfernando
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2015 - 5:30 PM ET #354

    DICIPLINE,  my man, is the key to success in gambling. all gamblers (good and bad) unfortunally has to go thru a bad streak, what makes you a winner is the dicipline
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    DICIPLINE,  my man, is the key to success in gambling. all gamblers (good and bad) unfortunally has to go thru a bad streak, what makes you a winner is the dicipline
     
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 2:23 AM ET #355

    As i said boys. This is the time to fade me. I know i will be back on track, but until it happens, i suggest fade me. There is value on it.
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    As i said boys. This is the time to fade me. I know i will be back on track, but until it happens, i suggest fade me. There is value on it.
     
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 2:25 AM ET #356

    Thursday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Monday´s result: -45 units.

                                Total earnings: 290.52 units.
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    Thursday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Monday´s result: -45 units.

                                Total earnings: 290.52 units.
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 2:32 AM ET #357

    Friday, September 11st:

    Pivotal game: Toronto Argonauts +3.5 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (4-5-6)

    Play with:

    Game 2 Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) Parlay 10 units to win 25

    Texas Rangers (-150)  Parlay 10 units to win 21.82

    Under 44.5 Utah-Utah State (-110) Parlay 10 units to win 26.45

    Tulsa Shock +5 (-110)  Parlay 10 units to win 26.45

    Phoenix Mercury -4 (-110) Parlay 10 units to win 26.45


    Good luck all!
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    Friday, September 11st:

    Pivotal game: Toronto Argonauts +3.5 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (4-5-6)

    Play with:

    Game 2 Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) Parlay 10 units to win 25

    Texas Rangers (-150)  Parlay 10 units to win 21.82

    Under 44.5 Utah-Utah State (-110) Parlay 10 units to win 26.45

    Tulsa Shock +5 (-110)  Parlay 10 units to win 26.45

    Phoenix Mercury -4 (-110) Parlay 10 units to win 26.45


    Good luck all!
     
    staf
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2015 - 12:59 PM ET #358

    Something to think about.

    I've got the record of your parlays at 153-337 31%, with the total amount your betting progression has staked being 2214 units.

    If you had used the game with the worst odds as your "pivotal game", the parlays would be 172-317 35%.  The betting progression would have produced 155 more units of profit, and have only staked 1745 units.  Your worst run would have resulted in a maximum bet of 9 units on July 27th, and your line would have been cancelled out 2 days later.  Today's line would be 1,1,2,3,4, with bets of 5 units.
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    Something to think about.

    I've got the record of your parlays at 153-337 31%, with the total amount your betting progression has staked being 2214 units.

    If you had used the game with the worst odds as your "pivotal game", the parlays would be 172-317 35%.  The betting progression would have produced 155 more units of profit, and have only staked 1745 units.  Your worst run would have resulted in a maximum bet of 9 units on July 27th, and your line would have been cancelled out 2 days later.  Today's line would be 1,1,2,3,4, with bets of 5 units.
     
    the-profit
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 12:27 AM ET #359

    That is a great find. Would have worked tonight with Texas as well.Nice work staf.
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    That is a great find. Would have worked tonight with Texas as well.Nice work staf.
     
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:02 AM ET #360

    Friday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Monday´s result: -45 units.

                                Total earnings: 245.52 units.
    Reply
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    Friday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Monday´s result: -45 units.

                                Total earnings: 245.52 units.
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:12 AM ET #361

    Quote Originally Posted by staf:

    Something to think about.

    I've got the record of your parlays at 153-337 31%, with the total amount your betting progression has staked being 2214 units.

    If you had used the game with the worst odds as your "pivotal game", the parlays would be 172-317 35%.  The betting progression would have produced 155 more units of profit, and have only staked 1745 units.  Your worst run would have resulted in a maximum bet of 9 units on July 27th, and your line would have been cancelled out 2 days later.  Today's line would be 1,1,2,3,4, with bets of 5 units.

    Great info! As you can see i don´t like to take games with odds higher than -150. Never in the pivotal, and i believe in the side games it has happened 4 or 5 games  only (i remember one because of a Chicago Cubs had not run line bet open yet). I could also take a high favorite as a pivotal specially now that i´m on a downward spiral.  but i prefer only take games with a maximum of -135 odds. Also i believe the worse is over.


    Anyways your analysis is fantastic. I really appreciate it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by staf:

    Something to think about.

    I've got the record of your parlays at 153-337 31%, with the total amount your betting progression has staked being 2214 units.

    If you had used the game with the worst odds as your "pivotal game", the parlays would be 172-317 35%.  The betting progression would have produced 155 more units of profit, and have only staked 1745 units.  Your worst run would have resulted in a maximum bet of 9 units on July 27th, and your line would have been cancelled out 2 days later.  Today's line would be 1,1,2,3,4, with bets of 5 units.

    Great info! As you can see i don´t like to take games with odds higher than -150. Never in the pivotal, and i believe in the side games it has happened 4 or 5 games  only (i remember one because of a Chicago Cubs had not run line bet open yet). I could also take a high favorite as a pivotal specially now that i´m on a downward spiral.  but i prefer only take games with a maximum of -135 odds. Also i believe the worse is over.


    Anyways your analysis is fantastic. I really appreciate it.
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:20 AM ET #362

    Correction:

    Friday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Friday´s result: -50 units.

                                Total earnings: 240.52 units.


    Reply
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    Correction:

    Friday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    None


    Loser tickets:

    All of them.




    Friday´s result: -50 units.

                                Total earnings: 240.52 units.


     
    chensucht
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:25 AM ET #363

    Saturday, September 12nd:

    Pivotal game: Clemson .19 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (4-5-6-7)

    Play with:

    Cincinnati Reds (+125) Parlay 11 units to win 36.25

    Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105)  Parlay 11 units to win 30

    Miami Marlins -1.5 (+145) Parlay 11 units to win 40.45

    Over 8 Angels-Astros (-120)  Parlay 11 units to win 27.50

    Saskatchewan Roughriders -1 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09


    Good luck all!
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    Saturday, September 12nd:

    Pivotal game: Clemson .19 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (4-5-6-7)

    Play with:

    Cincinnati Reds (+125) Parlay 11 units to win 36.25

    Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105)  Parlay 11 units to win 30

    Miami Marlins -1.5 (+145) Parlay 11 units to win 40.45

    Over 8 Angels-Astros (-120)  Parlay 11 units to win 27.50

    Saskatchewan Roughriders -1 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09


    Good luck all!
     
    mike_abruzzi
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 5:43 AM ET #364

    I assume you mean Clemson -19 (110) vs. Appalachian St.

    Please confirm.


    I'm sure we will win today!

    Good mojo to all!

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    I assume you mean Clemson -19 (110) vs. Appalachian St.

    Please confirm.


    I'm sure we will win today!

    Good mojo to all!

     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 7:18 AM ET #365

    Friday's plays were another great example for the Round_Robin format.  The RR finished +5 units based on a 1 unit 6 game parlay and a 6 game RR parlay for 1 unit each.

    Just food for thought.

    Good luck today Chensucht.
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    Friday's plays were another great example for the Round_Robin format.  The RR finished +5 units based on a 1 unit 6 game parlay and a 6 game RR parlay for 1 unit each.

    Just food for thought.

    Good luck today Chensucht.
     
    the-profit
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 11:00 AM ET #366

    Quote Originally Posted by chensucht:


    Great info! As you can see i don´t like to take games with odds higher than -150. Never in the pivotal, and i believe in the side games it has happened 4 or 5 games  only (i remember one because of a Chicago Cubs had not run line bet open yet). I could also take a high favorite as a pivotal specially now that i´m on a downward spiral.  but i prefer only take games with a maximum of -135 odds. Also i believe the worse is over.

    Chensucht he said your game with the worst or highest odds. He didn't say games -150 or over. If this is true it is valuable info.

    Anyways your analysis is fantastic. I really appreciate it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by chensucht:


    Great info! As you can see i don´t like to take games with odds higher than -150. Never in the pivotal, and i believe in the side games it has happened 4 or 5 games  only (i remember one because of a Chicago Cubs had not run line bet open yet). I could also take a high favorite as a pivotal specially now that i´m on a downward spiral.  but i prefer only take games with a maximum of -135 odds. Also i believe the worse is over.

    Chensucht he said your game with the worst or highest odds. He didn't say games -150 or over. If this is true it is valuable info.

    Anyways your analysis is fantastic. I really appreciate it.
     
    staf
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 12:05 PM ET #367

    Just to clarify.
    When I say the game with the worst odds, I mean, of the 6 games chensucht predicts, the one with the worst odds.

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    Just to clarify.
    When I say the game with the worst odds, I mean, of the 6 games chensucht predicts, the one with the worst odds.

     
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 12:37 PM ET #368

    Yes i mean Clemson, but i believe i lose before this game starts with these reversal line movement.

    Anyways. Good luck.
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    Yes i mean Clemson, but i believe i lose before this game starts with these reversal line movement.

    Anyways. Good luck.
     
    mike7002
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:11 PM ET #369

    Clemson covers.  Glad you didn't have Auburn--can't believe Jacksonville St. took them to overtime.
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    Clemson covers.  Glad you didn't have Auburn--can't believe Jacksonville St. took them to overtime.
     
    chensucht
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:26 PM ET #370

    Yeah, but thar reversal line movement really scared me, that´s why i made another bet on the under 57 and i hope this is the beginning of the recover.

    I´m leaning UNLV on a single bet tonight. Let´s see what happens.

    Best of luck.
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    Yeah, but thar reversal line movement really scared me, that´s why i made another bet on the under 57 and i hope this is the beginning of the recover.

    I´m leaning UNLV on a single bet tonight. Let´s see what happens.

    Best of luck.
     
    mike7002
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2015 - 4:30 PM ET #371

    I love the UNLV bet, but then again that's the only team we have in Vegas.  But they say an NHL team is coming--it would be pretty cool to have a pro team out here.   Good luck the rest of the day.
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    I love the UNLV bet, but then again that's the only team we have in Vegas.  But they say an NHL team is coming--it would be pretty cool to have a pro team out here.   Good luck the rest of the day.
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 532
    Posted: Sep. 13, 2015 - 12:14 AM ET #372

    Saturday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    Clemson, Cincinnati Reds                                 36.25 units.
    Clemson, Miami Marlins -1.5                             40.45 units.


      Loser tickets:

    Clemson, Chicago Cubs -1,5                                  -11    units.
    Clemson, Over Angels-Astros                                 -11    units.
    Clemson, Saskatchewan Roughriders                    -11    units.



    Saturday´s result: 43.70 units.

                                Total earnings: 294.22 units.
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    Saturday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    Clemson, Cincinnati Reds                                 36.25 units.
    Clemson, Miami Marlins -1.5                             40.45 units.


      Loser tickets:

    Clemson, Chicago Cubs -1,5                                  -11    units.
    Clemson, Over Angels-Astros                                 -11    units.
    Clemson, Saskatchewan Roughriders                    -11    units.



    Saturday´s result: 43.70 units.

                                Total earnings: 294.22 units.
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 532
    Posted: Sep. 13, 2015 - 12:23 AM ET #373

    Sunday, September 13th:

    Pivotal game: Ottawa Redblacks +4 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (5-6)

    Play with:

    Houston Texans -1 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 (-110)  Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Oakland Raiders +3 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Baltimore Ravens +4.5 (-110)  Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Atlanta Dream +4 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09


    Good luck all!
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    Sunday, September 13th:

    Pivotal game: Ottawa Redblacks +4 (-110)

    Sequence of bet (5-6)

    Play with:

    Houston Texans -1 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 (-110)  Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Oakland Raiders +3 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Baltimore Ravens +4.5 (-110)  Parlay 11 units to win 29.09

    Atlanta Dream +4 (-110) Parlay 11 units to win 29.09


    Good luck all!
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 532
    Posted: Sep. 13, 2015 - 8:17 PM ET #374

    The sequence is over, but my terrible running cost me a lot of money on this series.

    Time to rebuild. I hope i can shake the rusty.


    Reply
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    The sequence is over, but my terrible running cost me a lot of money on this series.

    Time to rebuild. I hope i can shake the rusty.


     
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 532
    Posted: Sep. 13, 2015 - 8:23 PM ET #375

    Sunday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    Ottawa Redblacks, Atlanta Dream                     29.09 units.


      Loser tickets:
    Ottawa Redblacks. Houston Texans                       -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Tampa Bay Buccaners                           -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Baltimore Ravens                     -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Oakland Raiders                        -11  units.



    Sunday´s result: -14.91 units.

                                Total earnings: 279.31 units.
    Reply
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    Report User
    Sunday´s recap:

       Winner tickets:

    Ottawa Redblacks, Atlanta Dream                     29.09 units.


      Loser tickets:
    Ottawa Redblacks. Houston Texans                       -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Tampa Bay Buccaners                           -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Baltimore Ravens                     -11    units.
    Ottawa Redblacks, Oakland Raiders                        -11  units.



    Sunday´s result: -14.91 units.

                                Total earnings: 279.31 units.
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