If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
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If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
interested. lets see some plays for this year. would like to see how it goes for the remainder of the season
thanks!!
I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.
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Quote Originally Posted by pd_:
interested. lets see some plays for this year. would like to see how it goes for the remainder of the season
thanks!!
I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!
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Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!
My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!
Dude, it's not about perfection. If you have something that hits over 60% with -110 juice, you can retire. There is no perfection in sports wagering, even in chases. The one chase that goes 0-5 especially with juice is going to wipe out an entire year or more not to mention the agony of sitting through even the winners of game 4 or 5 with a ton of money on the line. Post the plays, please or give us the rules. I for one would be very content with 67% winners.
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:
My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!
Dude, it's not about perfection. If you have something that hits over 60% with -110 juice, you can retire. There is no perfection in sports wagering, even in chases. The one chase that goes 0-5 especially with juice is going to wipe out an entire year or more not to mention the agony of sitting through even the winners of game 4 or 5 with a ton of money on the line. Post the plays, please or give us the rules. I for one would be very content with 67% winners.
I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.
good stuff. looking forward to it
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:
I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
I think the same
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Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.
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A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
Your numbers are off here. Total of 288 series. A game would be 162-126, B game 72-54. Total A&B record combined is 234-180, 56.5 %. Flat betting at -110 odds would be a 36 unit profit.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
Your numbers are off here. Total of 288 series. A game would be 162-126, B game 72-54. Total A&B record combined is 234-180, 56.5 %. Flat betting at -110 odds would be a 36 unit profit.
5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?
without the juice
A game -1 unit
B game -2 units
C game -4 units
D game -8 units
E game -16 units
total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units. i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150
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5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?
without the juice
A game -1 unit
B game -2 units
C game -4 units
D game -8 units
E game -16 units
total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units. i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150
A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.
Looks like you didn't figure in any juice (72 units). I show a 2 game chase record of 234-54. If we get odds at a -120 a 2 game loss would be 3.84 units. This would result in a 27 unit profit, 234 - (54 x 3.84). If we got -110 in both games we have a 50 unit profit.
Don't get me wrong, I'll take a 27-50 unit profit anythime, but I think if Jeff ran this as a 5 game chase, I'd probably use a labby line. The 3-5 games had a record of 27-27 for game 3, 17-10 for game 4 and 10-0 for game 5, combined 54-37. At low juice compared to other chases I'd be able to get over 200 unit profit on the labby line without risking too much.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:
A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.
Looks like you didn't figure in any juice (72 units). I show a 2 game chase record of 234-54. If we get odds at a -120 a 2 game loss would be 3.84 units. This would result in a 27 unit profit, 234 - (54 x 3.84). If we got -110 in both games we have a 50 unit profit.
Don't get me wrong, I'll take a 27-50 unit profit anythime, but I think if Jeff ran this as a 5 game chase, I'd probably use a labby line. The 3-5 games had a record of 27-27 for game 3, 17-10 for game 4 and 10-0 for game 5, combined 54-37. At low juice compared to other chases I'd be able to get over 200 unit profit on the labby line without risking too much.
5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?
without the juice
A game -1 unit
B game -2 units
C game -4 units
D game -8 units
E game -16 units
total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units. i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150
Degen, I think you misread my first post. You are correct about 31 units for game loss, I was comparing it to a -150 ave system which is roughly 82 units.
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Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?
without the juice
A game -1 unit
B game -2 units
C game -4 units
D game -8 units
E game -16 units
total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units. i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150
Degen, I think you misread my first post. You are correct about 31 units for game loss, I was comparing it to a -150 ave system which is roughly 82 units.
Wow, isn't expect all the attention. By the way guys early returns on using a hybrid of this system in NHL are looking good, should have last years back check this evening. As far as baseball plays I know for ure we have a CINC under starting tomorrow.
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Wow, isn't expect all the attention. By the way guys early returns on using a hybrid of this system in NHL are looking good, should have last years back check this evening. As far as baseball plays I know for ure we have a CINC under starting tomorrow.
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