NHL RPI Trial

With the success of the MLB RPI system by B2W, I figured it had to work in the NHL as well.  Good teams will beat bad teams.  The problem is that they don't play 3 game series with the same team.  So I thought we could just play a high RPI team and if it lost play the next high RPI team, well I learned with PIT losing to EDM that they were tired and also rested their goalie.  I also learned with the BOS loss that teams can have a bad game.  So I think it best if a team losses we wait till that same team plays another team with a lower RPI, as I saw with the PIT win last night.  It can tie up your bankroll for a while while you wait for the second or third game so adjust your unit size.  So a team with a 37 RPI or higher will be a play and on a loss wait for that team to be a 37 RPI again. We will use last years RPI till this years are out. This will be a 3 game chase.  Here are the results so far, the puckline looks good as well.

October

7 DET H 60 RPI A-W PL-W

8 PHI R 41 RPI A-W PL-W

8 DET R 37 RPI A-W PL-W

9 PIT R 52 RPI A-L PL-L

10 BOS H 42 RPI A-L PL-L

10 VAN R 42 RPI A-W PL-L

11 PIT H 41 RPI B-W PL-W

BOS B game pending....

A 5-2

B 1-0

C 0-0

RPI's for last year can be found here..

https://espn.go.com/nhl/stats/rpi/_/season/2011

I'm going to continue some of those plays on my own, but for now will dedicate most of my bankroll on these RPI plays.

2 plays today...

13 TB R 40 RPI

13 MIN H 39 RPI

On a side note MIN was 6-0 vs EDM last year, so you could even do a side chase for 3 games that MIN will win at least 1 game.

7 DET H 60 RPI A-W PL-W

8 PHI R 41 RPI A-W PL-W

8 DET R 37 RPI A-W PL-W

9 PIT R 52 RPI A-L PL-L

10 BOS H 42 RPI A-L PL-L

10 VAN R 42 RPI A-W PL-L

11 PIT H 41 RPI B-W PL-W

13 TB R 40 RPI A-L PL-L

13 MIN H 39 RPI A-W PL-L

BOS B game pending....

TB B game pending

A 6-3

B 1-0

C 0-0

With the MIN win they are now 7-0 vs EDM and next time they play Oct 20 we should chase for 3 games again for another MIN win,,,

Todays plays

15 WAS H 53 RPI A

15 PHO H 38 RPI A

15 VAN R 77 RPI A

15 TB R 40 RPI B

Looks like any RPI over 50 would be worth a bet on the puckline as well

Overall results

10-0

A 9-4

B 1-1

C 0-0

BOS B game pending

TB C game pending

7 DET H 60 RPI A-W PL-W

8 PHI R 41 RPI A-W PL-W

8 DET R 37 RPI A-W PL-W

9 PIT R 52 RPI A-L PL-L

10 BOS H 42 RPI A-L PL-L

10 VAN R 42 RPI A-W PL-L

11 PIT H 41 RPI B-W PL-W

13 TB R 40 RPI A-L PL-L

13 MIN H 39 RPI A-W PL-L

15 WAS H 53 RPI A-W PL-L

15 PHO H 38 RPI A-W PL-W

15 VAN R 77 RPI A-W PL-L

15 TB R 40 RPI B-L PL-L

No plays today...

Not too bad so far.  WAS last night was the highest at -250 would be the same in baseball if NYY were at home vs BAL

Yes...

No restrictions as of yet, just like in MLB good teams beat bad teams.  Yes PIT was at the end of a road trip Malken was out and they used 2nd goalie, game was lost in the shootout.  Same with TB and last night game was lost in shootout.  TB will have game C tomorrow at home vs FLA so we will see how it works out.  You could just wait and bet all home games but less plays for the season and much higher juice.  Lets see it TB can get the home opener win tomorrow.

Not positive but I think is 4 weeks or so.... I see what you saying only play a road team if it's the first or second game while they are still fresh.  With PIT they had 3 games in 4 days VAN 6, CAL 8, and EDM on the 9th.  The line was PIT -118 so worth a shot I would say.  Maybe we should look into other teams with 3 games in 4 days like that and fade them the last game, be worth looking into to see the results.

Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

Any plays for 10/17 Reality?

Yes we do and here they are....

17 PIT R 37 RPI A

17 NAS R 46 RPI A

17 TB H 40 RPI C

Lets hit this TB C bet today.  NAS and PIT are both on game 1 of their road trips.

PIT

NAS

TB

WIth the TB loss we learn that last years RPI has no bearing on this season when teams get off to a slow start like TB, VAN, SJ. Thats why this thread is called a trial. 

Overall results

10-1

A 9-6

B 1-1

C 0-1

BOS B game pending

NAS B game pending

PIT B game pending

7 DET H 60 RPI A-W PL-W

8 PHI R 41 RPI A-W PL-W

8 DET R 37 RPI A-W PL-W

9 PIT R 52 RPI A-L PL-L

10 BOS H 42 RPI A-L PL-L

10 VAN R 42 RPI A-W PL-L

11 PIT H 41 RPI B-W PL-W

13 TB R 40 RPI A-L PL-L

13 MIN H 39 RPI A-W PL-L

15 WAS H 53 RPI A-W PL-L

15 PHO H 38 RPI A-W PL-W

15 VAN R 77 RPI A-W PL-L

15 TB R 40 RPI B-L PL-L

17 PIT R 37 RPI A-L PL-L

17 NAS R 46 RPI A-L PL-L

17 TB H 40 RPI C-L PL-L

Todays plays

18 WAS H 44 RPI A

18 PHI R 62 RPI A

18 CAL H 43 RPI A

18 VAN H 46 RPI A

We might have to bump up the 37 RPI, we will see how todays plays turn out.

Overall results

13-1

A 12-7

B 1-1

C 0-1

BOS B game pending

NAS B game pending

PIT B game pending

VAN B game pending

7 DET H 60 RPI A-W   PL-W

8 PHI R 41 RPI A-W   PL-W

8 DET R 37 RPI A-W   PL-W

9 PIT R 52 RPI A-L   PL-L

10 BOS H 42 RPI A-L   PL-L

10 VAN R 42 RPI A-W   PL-L

11 PIT H 41 RPI B-W   PL-W

13 TB R 40 RPI A-L   PL-L

13 MIN H 39 RPI A-W   PL-L

15 WAS H 53 RPI A-W   PL-L

15 PHO H 38 RPI A-W   PL-W

15 VAN R 77 RPI A-W   PL-L

15 TB R 40 RPI B-L   PL-L

17 PIT R 37 RPI A-L   PL-L

17 NAS R 46 RPI A-L   PL-L

17 TB H 40 RPI C-L   PL-L

18 WAS H 44 RPI A-W   PL-W

18 PHI R 62 RPI A-W   PL-W

18 CAL H 43 RPI A-W   PL-L

18 VAN H 46 RPI A-L   PL-L

With the above data the new HOME RPI will be 45 or higher and the new ROAD RPI will be 52 or higher.  This will result in less plays but also less losses from those slow starting teams.,

No plays tonight!!!