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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home System

    12 Next Last»
    dufresne
    grecycle99
    ERBATIZ
    MILKMAN0923
    longstah
    ...
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    Posts: 28
    12 Next Last»
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 1:02 PM ET #1

    This is an attempt to apply a system that worked for baseball to another sport, in this case hockey. An attempt with NFL football is ongoing but the juice from ML plays is killing it.

    The strategy for MLB this season is posted here:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=100738022

    Last years top ten home game leaders are:

    2009-2010 NHL 
    WSH 30 
    VAN  30 
    CHI   29 
    PHX  29 
    SJ    27 
    NJ    27 
    OTT  26 
    DET  25 
    PIT   25 
    BUF 25 
    ANA 25 
    MIN  25

    That's twelve teams due to the 25 home win tie at the bottom of the list.

    We will play ML with OT.  We will chase losses. I will post units but the strategy is about which games to play and not which money management scheme to use. Apply any MM you like.

    Opening day has only one play. Minnesota is on the list but Hartwell Areena in Helsinki, Finland is not their home ice.

    Pittsburgh  Game 1

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    This is an attempt to apply a system that worked for baseball to another sport, in this case hockey. An attempt with NFL football is ongoing but the juice from ML plays is killing it.

    The strategy for MLB this season is posted here:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=100738022

    Last years top ten home game leaders are:

    2009-2010 NHL 
    WSH 30 
    VAN  30 
    CHI   29 
    PHX  29 
    SJ    27 
    NJ    27 
    OTT  26 
    DET  25 
    PIT   25 
    BUF 25 
    ANA 25 
    MIN  25

    That's twelve teams due to the 25 home win tie at the bottom of the list.

    We will play ML with OT.  We will chase losses. I will post units but the strategy is about which games to play and not which money management scheme to use. Apply any MM you like.

    Opening day has only one play. Minnesota is on the list but Hartwell Areena in Helsinki, Finland is not their home ice.

    Pittsburgh  Game 1

     

     
    grecycle99
    grecycle99
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 1:22 PM ET #2

    Hi, this is looking good.

    I was wondering if someone backtest this for the top 10 team on the road.

     

    Thanks GL

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    Hi, this is looking good.

    I was wondering if someone backtest this for the top 10 team on the road.

     

    Thanks GL

     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 3:31 PM ET #3

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    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 5:26 PM ET #4

    o dam, i started something similar on the NHL forum back in september when I was using the baseball system....excepte Im using top 10 home and worse 10 on the road (fade)...i will update my list b/c i didnt even realize 4 teams were tied for 10
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    o dam, i started something similar on the NHL forum back in september when I was using the baseball system....excepte Im using top 10 home and worse 10 on the road (fade)...i will update my list b/c i didnt even realize 4 teams were tied for 10
     
    longstah
    longstah
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 5:26 PM ET #5

    pitts is not a play, for what i know is you have to play a 6 game homestand, and pitt only 2 home game and 1 away and 3 homegame. there is no play for today. Let me know if i am wrong thank you.

     

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    pitts is not a play, for what i know is you have to play a 6 game homestand, and pitt only 2 home game and 1 away and 3 homegame. there is no play for today. Let me know if i am wrong thank you.

     

     
    longstah
    longstah
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 5:28 PM ET #6

    i am new to this never play this system before but i just check their schedule and that is what i see.
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    i am new to this never play this system before but i just check their schedule and that is what i see.
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 5:38 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

    i am new to this never play this system before but i just check their schedule and that is what i see.


    he's mixing it up, guess he is playing any home game...I have a system that im tracking where the home team has to be on a 3 gm home stand...in baseball they used 6 b/c of the series but with NHL its different
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    Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

    i am new to this never play this system before but i just check their schedule and that is what i see.


    he's mixing it up, guess he is playing any home game...I have a system that im tracking where the home team has to be on a 3 gm home stand...in baseball they used 6 b/c of the series but with NHL its different
     
    longstah
    longstah
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 5:50 PM ET #8

    so milkman you got any system that play for NHL yet? i think the 9 oct there are some game to play right?

     

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    so milkman you got any system that play for NHL yet? i think the 9 oct there are some game to play right?

     

     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 6:09 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

    so milkman you got any system that play for NHL yet? i think the 9 oct there are some game to play right?

     



    yes for my home team chase system oct 9 1st play, for my road tm fade system 1st play oct 8...dont want to post my plays in here to confuse anyone...
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    Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

    so milkman you got any system that play for NHL yet? i think the 9 oct there are some game to play right?

     



    yes for my home team chase system oct 9 1st play, for my road tm fade system 1st play oct 8...dont want to post my plays in here to confuse anyone...
     
    longstah
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 6:13 PM ET #10

    have you backtest the system yet milkman? thank you for reply buddy.

     

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    have you backtest the system yet milkman? thank you for reply buddy.

     

     
    longstah
    longstah
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    Posted: Oct. 7, 2010 - 6:23 PM ET #11

    i mean for the NHL system.
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    i mean for the NHL system.
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 5:47 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Pittsburgh  Game 1 

    Longstah,

    If you have a look at the NHL schedule you won't find a lot of six game homestands. I am trying to adapt to each sport to see if it can use this strategy.

    grecycle 

    ERBATIZ 

    MILKMAN 

    I hate losing the first play.

     

    Games Played: 1

    Complete chases: 0-0

    Net Units:  -1.00

    Game 1 wins:  0

     

    Todays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 1
    Detroit  Game 1
    Ottawa  Game 1

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Pittsburgh  Game 1 

    Longstah,

    If you have a look at the NHL schedule you won't find a lot of six game homestands. I am trying to adapt to each sport to see if it can use this strategy.

    grecycle 

    ERBATIZ 

    MILKMAN 

    I hate losing the first play.

     

    Games Played: 1

    Complete chases: 0-0

    Net Units:  -1.00

    Game 1 wins:  0

     

    Todays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 1
    Detroit  Game 1
    Ottawa  Game 1

     

     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 10:30 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Todays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 1 
    Detroit  Game 1 
    Ottawa  Game 1 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Todays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 1 
    Detroit  Game 1 
    Ottawa  Game 1 

     

     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 10:36 PM ET #14

    check out my system its posted in the NHL forum or under my name...1st system play was DET tonight and it won...Im fading the worst ten road teams last yr and betting the top ten home teams from last yr...each on a 3 gm homestand or road trip
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    check out my system its posted in the NHL forum or under my name...1st system play was DET tonight and it won...Im fading the worst ten road teams last yr and betting the top ten home teams from last yr...each on a 3 gm homestand or road trip
     
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 11:41 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    check out my system its posted in the NHL forum or under my name...1st system play was DET tonight and it won...Im fading the worst ten road teams last yr and betting the top ten home teams from last yr...each on a 3 gm homestand or road trip

    Congrats MILKMAN

    Detroit certainly dominated tonight

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    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    check out my system its posted in the NHL forum or under my name...1st system play was DET tonight and it won...Im fading the worst ten road teams last yr and betting the top ten home teams from last yr...each on a 3 gm homestand or road trip

    Congrats MILKMAN

    Detroit certainly dominated tonight

     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 8, 2010 - 11:49 PM ET #16

    Games Played: 4

    Complete chases: 1-0

    Net Units:  -2.47

    Game 1 wins:  1


    I'm skipping San Jose in Stockholm and Phoenix in Prague on Sunday. Not exactly Home Ice.
     

    Saturdays plays (ML with OT):

    Buffalo  Game 1
    Pittsburgh  Game 2
    Washington  Game 1
    Chicago  Game 1
    Vancouver  Game 1

     

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    Games Played: 4

    Complete chases: 1-0

    Net Units:  -2.47

    Game 1 wins:  1


    I'm skipping San Jose in Stockholm and Phoenix in Prague on Sunday. Not exactly Home Ice.
     

    Saturdays plays (ML with OT):

    Buffalo  Game 1
    Pittsburgh  Game 2
    Washington  Game 1
    Chicago  Game 1
    Vancouver  Game 1

     

     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2010 - 12:01 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

    Hi, this is looking good.

    I was wondering if someone backtest this for the top 10 team on the road.

     

    Thanks GL

    Good teams always beat bad teams. No back testing needed.  I do an MLB system that is simular. Yankees good. Indians bad.

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    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

    Hi, this is looking good.

    I was wondering if someone backtest this for the top 10 team on the road.

     

    Thanks GL

    Good teams always beat bad teams. No back testing needed.  I do an MLB system that is simular. Yankees good. Indians bad.

     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2010 - 12:06 AM ET #18

    If you cannot figure this out... please take New Mexico to beat Boise State in NCAA.  Not by 10 or 5 or any point spread...just beat em. Good teams win. Bad teams lose. Pens will win majority, Oilers will lose majority.  Thanks for playing.
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    If you cannot figure this out... please take New Mexico to beat Boise State in NCAA.  Not by 10 or 5 or any point spread...just beat em. Good teams win. Bad teams lose. Pens will win majority, Oilers will lose majority.  Thanks for playing.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Oct. 9, 2010 - 8:32 AM ET #19

    DUFRESNE, Do you ever drop or add teams due to poor or good play? Sorry if I missed it and it's posted.
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    DUFRESNE, Do you ever drop or add teams due to poor or good play? Sorry if I missed it and it's posted.
     
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2010 - 9:03 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Saturdays plays (ML with OT):

    Buffalo  Game 1 
    Pittsburgh  Game 2 
    Washington  Game 1 
    Chicago  Game 1 
    Vancouver  Game 1 

     

    Don't teams like to win their Home opener?

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    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Saturdays plays (ML with OT):

    Buffalo  Game 1 
    Pittsburgh  Game 2 
    Washington  Game 1 
    Chicago  Game 1 
    Vancouver  Game 1 

     

    Don't teams like to win their Home opener?

     
    dufresne
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2010 - 9:11 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    DUFRESNE, Do you ever drop or add teams due to poor or good play? Sorry if I missed it and it's posted.

    bettor2win,

    It's a good idea to have some measure to drop a team that obviously is not playing like last year. In Baseball I dropped teams that had lost seven games in a row (home and away). I haven't posted anything for Hockey yet but maybe I should adopt the same measure. What do you think, is seven losses a good number for the NHL or should it be higher?

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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    DUFRESNE, Do you ever drop or add teams due to poor or good play? Sorry if I missed it and it's posted.

    bettor2win,

    It's a good idea to have some measure to drop a team that obviously is not playing like last year. In Baseball I dropped teams that had lost seven games in a row (home and away). I haven't posted anything for Hockey yet but maybe I should adopt the same measure. What do you think, is seven losses a good number for the NHL or should it be higher?

     
    dufresne
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    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2010 - 10:45 AM ET #22

    Brutal day for the system on Saturday.

     

    Games Played: 9

    Complete chases: 2-0

    Net Units:  -6.66

    Game 1 wins:  2

     


    Mondays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 2
    Buffalo  Game 2
    Washington  Game 1
    Vancouver  Game 2

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    Brutal day for the system on Saturday.

     

    Games Played: 9

    Complete chases: 2-0

    Net Units:  -6.66

    Game 1 wins:  2

     


    Mondays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 2
    Buffalo  Game 2
    Washington  Game 1
    Vancouver  Game 2

     
    dufresne
    dufresne
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 12:53 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

     
    Mondays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 2 
    Buffalo  Game 2 
    Washington  Game 1 
    Vancouver  Game 2 




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    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

     
    Mondays plays (ML with OT):

    New Jersey  Game 2 
    Buffalo  Game 2 
    Washington  Game 1 
    Vancouver  Game 2 




     
    dufresne
    dufresne
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 1:41 PM ET #24

    Still struggling along but it's a long season. Only one play today.

    Games Played: 13

    Complete chases: 4-0

    Net Units:  -9.20

    Game 1 wins:  3
    Game 2 wins:  1

    Tuesdays plays (ML with OT):

    Detroit  Game 1

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    Still struggling along but it's a long season. Only one play today.

    Games Played: 13

    Complete chases: 4-0

    Net Units:  -9.20

    Game 1 wins:  3
    Game 2 wins:  1

    Tuesdays plays (ML with OT):

    Detroit  Game 1

     
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 10:48 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Tuesdays plays (ML with OT):

    Detroit  Game 1 

     

    Deadwings do not survive the shootout 

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    Quote Originally Posted by dufresne:

    Tuesdays plays (ML with OT):

    Detroit  Game 1 

     

    Deadwings do not survive the shootout 

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