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NHL Double Trouble

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Posted: #501

Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:

Also, you listed the following play on 12/5... Play1  (b) BOS       risking 6.6U   to win     3U BOS had won 8 straight prior to the 12/5 game, so was wondering where the Play1 (a) game came from.  Was this a typo or something?  My other question on this is, what happened to the chase?  They lost to COL on 12/7, and play at OTT tonight. The tracking for this system is tough, but it's a great system.  Thanks for all your hard work!
Bluestar ,I can only attempt to answer the one query and that is Play 1 is only on the lowest favorite for the day , so although it may have been Edmonton on the one day and they lost ,the next day you play the new next lowest odds and if that is boston then they become the (b) bet ,if they lose then move on to the next days lowest fave ,and that becomes the ( c) wager, although fave's should be no lower than 1.33 and no higher than 1.667 ,that is my understanding of this situation , hope this is correct and hope it helps an_cheers

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Posted: #502

MONDAY 12/9 plays:

 

Play1  (a) WSH  risking 2.2 to win 1U

 
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Posted: #503

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

MONDAY 12/9 plays:   Play1  (a) WSH  risking 2.2 to win 1U

Easy to understand.

 
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Posted: #504

Quote Originally Posted by white80:

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

MONDAY 12/9 plays:   Play1  (a) WSH  risking 2.2 to win 1U
Easy to understand.

White, I thought so, but there still seems to be some confusion.

 

Play1 is simply a 3 game straight martingale chase on the strongest (or largest) favourite on the board for that particular day. The only filters applied are (1) the favourite has a moneyline price of-150, or higher, and (2) the favourite has a winning record. That's pretty much it. These parameters are not rigid though (see post #507). I may, from time to time, pick the second or third strongest favourite on the board because i like the matchup better OR don't wish to stake on a ridiculously priced moneyline, say -300 or more. No hard-and-fast rules here, just a strategy. Hope this helps

 
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Posted: #505

MONDAY 12/9 results:(-2.2U)...dogs ruled the night

 

Play1  (a) WSH  loss 2.2U

 

2019/20 season:   +15.5U ($6,200)

Current Bankroll: 158.9U (+138.9U)

Starting Bankroll:   20U

 
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Posted: #506

It's quite comforting to know that backing favorites was WRONG yesterday, all the way, and not only our very own bets cool

 
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Posted: #507

TUESDAY 12/10 plays: apologies for the tardy post gents 

 

Play1  (b) WPG  risking 7.7U to win    3.2U

Play2  no play

Play3  (a)  SJS    risking    1U to win     1.7U

Play4  (a) WPG  risking 2.4U to win        1U     (fade DET  2gc)

            (a) PIT    risking  1.4U to win       1U     (PIT 3gc)

            (a) DAL  risking    2U  to win      1U     (fade NJD 3gc)

            (a) DAL  risking    2U  to win      1U     (DAL 3gc)

            (a) STL   risking 1.3U  to win      1U      (STL 3gc)

 
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Posted: #508

TUESDAY 12/10 results: (+1.8)) baby steps 

 

Play1  (b) WPG  winner  +3.2U

Play2  no play

Play3  (a)  SJS    loser         -1U

Play4  (a) WPG  winner    +1U     (end DET fade chase)

            (a) PIT    loser      -1.4U      (PIT moves to "b" bet)

            (a) DAL  winner    +1U     (end NJD fade chase)

            (a) DAL  winner    +1U     (end DAL chase)

            (a) STL   loser     -1.3U     (STL moves to "b" bet)

 

2019/20 season:      +17.3U ($6,920)

Current Bankroll: 160.7U (+140.7U)

Starting Bankroll:      20U

 
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Posted: #509

WEDNESDAY 12/11 plays: 

 

Play1  (a) COL  risking 1.6U to win     1U

Play2  (a) BOS  risking    1U to win  1.2U

Play3  (b) OTT  risking    2U to win  2.8U

 
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Posted: #510

WEDNESDAY 12/11 results: (-2U) ...home chalk rules the night 

 

Play1  (a) COL  winner     +1U

Play2  (a) BOS  loser        - 1U (BOS moves to "b" bet @ TBL to win 2U)

Play3  (b) OTT  loser         -2U (Play3 moves to "c" bet/risk 3u

 

2019/20 season:      +15.3U ($6,120)

Current Bankroll: 158.7U (+138.7U)

Starting Bankroll:      20U

 
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Posted: #511

THURSDAY 12/12 plays:

 

Play1  (a) WPG  risking  2.2U to win    1U

Play2  (b) BOS   risking  1.6U to win    2U

            (a) STL    risking 1.1U  to win    1U

Play3  (c) NYR   risking    3U  to win 4.2U

Play4  (b) PIT     risking 4.1U  to win  2.4U     (PIT 3gc)

            (b) STL    risking 2.5U  to win 2.3U     (STL 3gc)

            (a) ARZ   risking 1.5U  to win    1U     (ARZ 3gc)

 
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Posted: #512

THURSDAY 12/12 results: (+7.1) ...cashed a few

 

Play1  (a) WPG  loser     -2.2U

Play2  (b) BOS   loser     -1.6U      (BOS moves to "c" bet)

            (a) STL    winner    +1U

Play3  (c) NYR   winner +4.2U

Play4  (b) PIT     winner  +2.4U     (end PIT chase)

            (b) STL    winner +2.3U     (end STL chase)

            (a) ARZ   winner    +1U     (end ARZ chase)

 

2019/20 season:      +22.4U ($8,960)

Current Bankroll: 165.8U (+145.8U)

Starting Bankroll:      20U

 
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Posted: #513

FRIDAY 12/13 plays: superstitious?

 

Play1  (a) COL  risking  2.2U to win    1U  (re-setting chase to "a" bet, no need to risk IMO..."b" bet would be "to win" 3.2U for those that are aggressive)

 
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Posted: #514

Snowball moneybag

 
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Posted: #515

FRIDAY 12/13 results: (+1U) ...a unit-a-day keeps Chaser in play

 

Play1  (a) COL  winner    +1U

 

2019/20 season:      +23.4U ($9,360)

Current Bankroll: 166.8U (+146.8U)

Starting Bankroll:      20U

 
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Posted: #516

***early game*** will post more later

Play1 NYI 1.7U to win 1U

Play2 NYI 1.7U to win 1U (fade BUF 3gc)

 
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Posted: #517

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

***early game*** will post more later Play1 NYI 1.7U to win 1U Play2 NYI 1.7U to win 1U (fade BUF 3gc)
Good luck Chaser, didn't see this in time so went with Arizona play 1 an_popcorn

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Posted: #518

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

***early game*** will post more later Play1 NYI 1.7U to win 1U Play2 NYI 1.7U to win 1U (fade BUF 3gc)
Sorry if it's a stupid question Chaser but I don't understand the play 2 on NYI (fade buff) as both teams have winning streaks ,and my understanding is that play 2 is to break a 3 game losing streak of a team with a winning record , or am I misunderstanding the play? Any help appreciated an_cheers Rustie

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Posted: #519

Might be a typo for play 3, Buf are on a 3-game road trip @ Nyi, Tor and Phi

 
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Posted: #520

play 4, not 3!

 
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Posted: #521

Quote Originally Posted by rustie:

Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

***early game*** will post more later Play1 NYI 1.7U to win 1U Play2 NYI 1.7U to win 1U (fade BUF 3gc)
Sorry if it's a stupid question Chaser but I don't understand the play 2 on NYI (fade buff) as both teams have winning streaks ,and my understanding is that play 2 is to break a 3 game losing streak of a team with a winning record , or am I misunderstanding the play? Any help appreciated  Rustie

I like ARZ for Play1 as well, Rusty and will play it later...hopefully as another “a” bet. Liked the early matchup with NYI and thought we could steal an early unit.

NYI is a fade of BUF (to break winning streak of team with losing record).

 
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Posted: #522

Isles moneybagmoneybag

 
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Posted: #523

Thanks for the explaination and Congrats on the double  hit an_cheers

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Posted: #524

SATURDAY 12/14 plays: 

 

Play1  (a) ARZ risking 2.2U to win1U

Play2  (c) BOS risking 4.1U to win 3.6U

Play3  (a) DET risking 1U to win 2.1U

Play4  (a) ARZ risking 2.2U to win 1U   ( ARZ  3gc)

 
 
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Posted: #525

Wings moneybag

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