NFL Week 3 - YPPT Method

I really got interested in the YPPT Method posted by Roughshod and others on this forum last year. At one point, someone put the YPPT Method into an Excel spreadsheet and posted a copy on the board.

So please note that this is not my formula.

I know alot of people are interested in the YPPT Method, so I'm posting the weekly matchups to assist you with your capping. As a point of reference, here is how the system fared for the final half of the 2009 Season.

2009 YPPT NFL
Week 10: 8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS
Week 11: 8-8 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 12: 14-2 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
Week 13: 10-6 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 14: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS
Week 15: 10-6 SU, 4-11-1 ATS
Week 16: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS
Week 17: 8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
WC: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
DIV: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
CONF: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
SB44: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
==============================================================
Regular Season Totals: 79-47 SU (63%), 55-68-3 ATS (45%)
Playoff Totals: 5-6 SU (45%), 4-7 ATS (36%)
Overall Totals: 84-53 SU (61%), 59-75-3 ATS (44%)

As you can see, the YPPT method was not very good ATS last year and I'm pretty sure ESPN or USAToday's pick'em gurus probably did better than 61% in SU picks too.

But maybe it'll do better this year. Here are the Week 3 NFL Games:

TENNESSEE     28     NY GIANTS    26
BUFFALO       17     NEW ENGLAND  34
CLEVELAND      8     BALTIMORE    10
PITTSBURGH    16     TAMPA BAY     7
CINCINNATI    25     CAROLINA     16
ATLANTA       33     NEW ORLEANS  12
SAN FRANCISCO 11     KANSAS CITY  27
DETROIT       12     MINNESOTA    19
DALLAS        13     HOUSTON      50
WASHINGTON    22     ST LOUIS     11
PHILADELPHIA  30*    JACKSONVILLE 30
INDIANAPOLIS  31     DENVER       19
SAN DIEGO     27     SEATTLE      16
OAKLAND       14*    ARIZONA      14
NY JETS       11     MIAMI         6
GREEN BAY     24     CHICAGO      17

*-PHILADELPHIA and OAKLAND had slightly higher points by decimal, but when rounding the scores, it ended in a tie for each of those games.

Is HFA and SOS added to those numbers?

Yes, HFA is 1.5 and SOS comes from Sagarin's Ratings on usatoday.com

Ok, YPPT is very good but, its more like a tool which helps you to get an idea what totals or spread should be...Also there are so many ways to use it, currently im testing about 4 different formulas with YPPT...