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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NFL 2012 handicapping strategy / Matchup Rating System

    123 ... 678 Next Last»
    sports_Network
    Jattdoit
    oilcountry99
    ERBATIZ
    akuwudikeeze
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    123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2012 - 8:10 AM ET #1

    Sunday,November 18th,2012 [MRS*]qualifying projections:

    Top Rated "Total action"

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Top Rated "Underdog action"

    Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    Top Rated "Favorite action"

    T.B. Bucaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    Top Rated "MoneyLine action"

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

     

    *the MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Sunday,November 18th,2012 [MRS*]qualifying projections:

    Top Rated "Total action"

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Top Rated "Underdog action"

    Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    Top Rated "Favorite action"

    T.B. Bucaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    Top Rated "MoneyLine action"

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

     

    *the MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

     
    Jattdoit
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2012 - 4:52 PM ET #2

    Good to see you back SN. 
    Reply
    Good to see you back SN. 
     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2012 - 7:24 PM ET #3

    Amazing! He's back...let's go s_N!!!
    Reply
    Amazing! He's back...let's go s_N!!!
     
    Jattdoit
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2012 - 9:33 PM ET #4

    SN are these the official plays for this week?
    Reply
    SN are these the official plays for this week?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2012 - 11:30 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

    SN are these the official plays for this week?

    yes, the thread will be updated until kick-off through out the upcoming week. the plays are official- derived from the MRS and the attached NFL handicapping formulas; which justifies result management, and adjustment technique.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

    SN are these the official plays for this week?

    yes, the thread will be updated until kick-off through out the upcoming week. the plays are official- derived from the MRS and the attached NFL handicapping formulas; which justifies result management, and adjustment technique.

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:15 AM ET #6

    MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

    San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

    Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units

    Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units

    Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units

    Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units

    Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units

    Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units

    take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

    All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

    Reply

    MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

    San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

    Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units

    Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units

    Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units

    Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units

    Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units

    Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units

    take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

    All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:30 AM ET #7

    Reply
     
    akuwudikeeze
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:43 AM ET #8

    glad you are back
    Reply
    glad you are back
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 10:51 AM ET #9

    [Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

    Reply
    [Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Indianapolis Colts -10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

     
    akuwudikeeze
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:00 AM ET #10

    SN i cant find any prob for chargers and broncos at pinnacle. also checked thegreek.com i cant even find broncos first half -3.5 and only getting -5.5 first half. am abit confusion can you please explain more
    Reply
    SN i cant find any prob for chargers and broncos at pinnacle. also checked thegreek.com i cant even find broncos first half -3.5 and only getting -5.5 first half. am abit confusion can you please explain more
     
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:10 AM ET #11

    just saw your final card, thanks. but what of the props?
    Reply
    just saw your final card, thanks. but what of the props?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:25 AM ET #12

    Please pardon a typographical error*

    *Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    in post #1 and #9 the Colts are listed as -10 this was a typo error, and incorrectly published.

     

    Reply

    Please pardon a typographical error*

    *Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    in post #1 and #9 the Colts are listed as -10 this was a typo error, and incorrectly published.

     

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:29 AM ET #13

    [Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network] 

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

    Reply
    [Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network] 

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball)

    Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half]

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

     
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:30 AM ET #14

    also you posted T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers so is the play T.B. Buccaneers -1? becuase in my book  T.B. Buccaneers is +1? just want to understand how your plays are placed so i dont make mistakes. Appricate your response
    Reply
    also you posted T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers so is the play T.B. Buccaneers -1? becuase in my book  T.B. Buccaneers is +1? just want to understand how your plays are placed so i dont make mistakes. Appricate your response
     
    akuwudikeeze
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 11:40 AM ET #15

    ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?
    Reply
    ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 12:08 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by akuwudikeeze:

    ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?

    Always bet the NFL 10 minutes til' kickoff, their are no exceptions to this unwritten rule of handipping the NFL, AND GAINING POINTSPREAD ADVANTAGE;

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by akuwudikeeze:

    ok, i have found it now at pinnacle for -1. thanks. but am getting S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] for -5.5, is it still a play? or do I wait for the line to come down?

    Always bet the NFL 10 minutes til' kickoff, their are no exceptions to this unwritten rule of handipping the NFL, AND GAINING POINTSPREAD ADVANTAGE;

     
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 5:37 PM ET #17

    Are thes e the official plays for the week? 
    Reply
    Are thes e the official plays for the week? 
     
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2012 - 6:09 PM ET #18

    Sorry for the above post. No freaking idea how that got reposted from earlier
    Reply
    Sorry for the above post. No freaking idea how that got reposted from earlier
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2012 - 7:11 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

     

    MRS Performance Results: 

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units [L]

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units [W]

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball) [PUSH]*

    Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots [L]

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers [W]

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders [W]

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units [W]

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] [W]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half] [W]

    * Bears vs 49ers / the TOTAL opened at 39.5, at the time of posting it slipped to 39, the 'action' was intense on the UNDER, the balance concluded a hour before kickoff, to 36, and further to 35.5  with thirty minutes until kickoff. Although listed as a PUSH at 39; This wager was 'scratched' and would be classified as a "no play" based on erratic line movement.

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

     

    MRS Performance Results: 

    Sunday, November 18th, 11/18/12

    Today's Unlimited Action (Final Card)

    Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions OVER 5O / -120  4.8units [L]

    Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 / -11O  4.4units [W]

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers UNDER 39 / -110  4.4units    (MondayNightFootball) [PUSH]*

    Indianapolis Colts +10 /-110  4.4units @ N.E. Patriots [L]

    T.B. Buccaneers -1 /-110  4.4units @ Carolina Panthers [W]

    New Orleans Saints -190 ML /  3.8units @ Oakland Raiders [W]

    Chicago Bears @ S.F. 49ers -185 ML /  3.7units [W]

    S.D. Chargers @ Denver Broncos -3.5 /-120  4.8units [1st Half] [W]

    S.D Chargers @ Denver Broncos UNDER 24.5 /-110 4.4units [1st Half] [W]

    * Bears vs 49ers / the TOTAL opened at 39.5, at the time of posting it slipped to 39, the 'action' was intense on the UNDER, the balance concluded a hour before kickoff, to 36, and further to 35.5  with thirty minutes until kickoff. Although listed as a PUSH at 39; This wager was 'scratched' and would be classified as a "no play" based on erratic line movement.

     

    The MRS is based on individual OFFENSE/DEFENSE in-game handicapping systems, connected to 'situational' play projections.

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2012 - 7:24 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

    RESULTS:

    San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

    Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units  [W]

    Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units  [W]

    Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

    Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units [W]

    Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units [W] hedge

    Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

    take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

    All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    MRS Proposition Handicaps 11/18/12

    RESULTS:

    San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

    Ist Half: Broncos -3.5 [-120]  4.8units  [W]

    Ist Half: UNDER 24.5 [-110]  4.4units  [W]

    Pre In-Game: Broncos -12.5 [+450]  2.25units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

    Pre In-Game: Broncos +8.5 [-655]  6.55units [W]

    Pre In-Game: Chargers +12.5 [-740]  7.4units [W] hedge

    Pre In-Game: Chargers -6.5 [+525]  2.62units [OPPOSITE,NO ACTION]

    take note: The value to prop wagering is the investment of hedging  to contain risk, and manage the initial ROI

    All posted odds at the time of publishing;  that are connected to the MRS handicap are derived exclusively from CantorLV SportBooks. The sanctioned on-line/off-shore sportbooks that coincide with propositional wagers posted in this thread, can be found at the following> Pinnacle | Bet365 | 5Dimes | StanJames | BetFairEx |  I am certain their are numerous books available taking 'prop' bets, the five I have mentioned, are certified, and recommended  as a courtesy to the cappers who may not have availability through their present "recreational classified sportsbook"  may today's action bring prosperity to the cappers who (seriously) participate in NFL investments....the best to you always

     
    jaime2309
    jaime2309
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 2275
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2012 - 12:14 PM ET #21

    Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldnt have tailed either way.

     

    Good luck this year!

    In sports_network we trust!

    All about the chase
    Reply

    Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldnt have tailed either way.

     

    Good luck this year!

    In sports_network we trust!

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2012 - 8:56 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

    Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldn't have tailed either way.

     

    Good luck this year!

    In sports_network we trust!

    May your NFL Sundays, be prosperous; the best in your winning direction

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

    Sports, glad to see your back. Missed the first week, but I also noticed you had a lot of plays as well, so I probably wouldn't have tailed either way.

     

    Good luck this year!

    In sports_network we trust!

    May your NFL Sundays, be prosperous; the best in your winning direction

     
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2012 - 9:43 AM ET #23

    Three on Thursday, November 22, 2012  'early' line play*

    12:30 PM EST

    Houston Texans -4.5 / -162 ML @ Detroit Lions +4.5 / +160 ML

    4:15 PM EST

    Washington Redskins +3 / +164 ML @ Dallas Cowboys -3 / -165 ML

    8:20 PM EST

    N.E. Patriots -7 / -265 ML @ N.Y. Jets +7 / +220 ML

     

    *MRS will release one qualifying game, (of the three) on Thursday AM  [attached to prescribed propositions]

    Reply

    Three on Thursday, November 22, 2012  'early' line play*

    12:30 PM EST

    Houston Texans -4.5 / -162 ML @ Detroit Lions +4.5 / +160 ML

    4:15 PM EST

    Washington Redskins +3 / +164 ML @ Dallas Cowboys -3 / -165 ML

    8:20 PM EST

    N.E. Patriots -7 / -265 ML @ N.Y. Jets +7 / +220 ML

     

    *MRS will release one qualifying game, (of the three) on Thursday AM  [attached to prescribed propositions]

     
    nghia1973
    nghia1973
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    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 1818
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2012 - 10:05 AM ET #24

    Missed your 1st post.  Looking forward to Thursday picks. BOL
    Reply
    Missed your 1st post.  Looking forward to Thursday picks. BOL
     
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2012 - 10:47 AM ET #25

    1st Half 'strong' Leans

    NFL Thursday, November 22, 2012

    Detroit Lions +3.5  EVEN

    Dallas Cowboys -2  EVEN

    N.Y. Jets +4.5  -110

     

    Reply

    1st Half 'strong' Leans

    NFL Thursday, November 22, 2012

    Detroit Lions +3.5  EVEN

    Dallas Cowboys -2  EVEN

    N.Y. Jets +4.5  -110

     

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