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#1
This is just the beginning of a system I want to track and see how it does. The idea behind the system is to wager on those teams where the line was off by more than 10 in their previous game. If they covered by more than 10 they are a bet as long as they are not against another team that also covered in last game by more than 10. Also those teams playing a team that failed to cover by more than 10 would be play against teams. If a team that covered by nore than 10 is playing a team that did not cover by more than ten than these would be the special plays used for larger bets.
Using this criteria, the plays for Wednesday, Feb 4th are as follows.
Wichita St
Georgoa St
Villanova
UCLA
Northeastern
St Louis
Bowling Green
UMass
Miami of Florida
Evansville
Tenn
Ok St
The bigger wagers for tomorrow, again involving a team that coverd by more than 10 in last game against a team that failed to cover by more than 10.
Creighton
Missouri
Mississippi
Minnesota
I chose these for my picks tomorrow in the NCAABB contest, so will be able to track there starting tomorrow how they do. My theory is that the books may not adjust the lines so quickly on these teams after their last game and their will be value in wagering on them. Curious to see if any merit to my theory.
GL all.
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