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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Halftime System

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    mudshark
    KMang
    kevin2565
    sabia
    730champ
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    12 Next Last»
     
    mudshark
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 11:07 AM ET #1

    I have developed a new formula that determines strong halftime plays in Football and Basketball.  I started my research on this three months ago; and I have back tedted my formula for a three year period for football and basketball, pro and college.  After deciding to test it real-time starting 30 days ago, my system is 72%.

    Being a 30-year handicapper, I have always based my handicapping on gathering as much current information as I could.  But, in the sports world, we all know how fast that information changes; and, we never know if the information is true or just a media spin.

    Then I started to think - what is the most reliable inforamtion you can get - ACTUAL GAME FLOW.  This lead me to my 2nd-Half System.  What better, and more reliable, stats, info, and game-flow than the actual first half of the game you are wagering on!!!

    For instance, yesterday, my system put out Clippers +5, Rockets +5.5, and Under (Laker-Rockets).  All winning plays.

    I am going to share my plays for the next few days, in the spirt of helping out fellow cappers during this brutal football season.  Any feedback is welcome.

    It's all about the $$$ !!

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I have developed a new formula that determines strong halftime plays in Football and Basketball.  I started my research on this three months ago; and I have back tedted my formula for a three year period for football and basketball, pro and college.  After deciding to test it real-time starting 30 days ago, my system is 72%.

    Being a 30-year handicapper, I have always based my handicapping on gathering as much current information as I could.  But, in the sports world, we all know how fast that information changes; and, we never know if the information is true or just a media spin.

    Then I started to think - what is the most reliable inforamtion you can get - ACTUAL GAME FLOW.  This lead me to my 2nd-Half System.  What better, and more reliable, stats, info, and game-flow than the actual first half of the game you are wagering on!!!

    For instance, yesterday, my system put out Clippers +5, Rockets +5.5, and Under (Laker-Rockets).  All winning plays.

    I am going to share my plays for the next few days, in the spirt of helping out fellow cappers during this brutal football season.  Any feedback is welcome.

    It's all about the $$$ !!

     
    KMang
    KMang
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 11:54 AM ET #2

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    kevin2565
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 1:29 PM ET #3

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    sabia
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 2:14 PM ET #4

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    730champ
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 5:20 PM ET #5

      hope this works out the other quarter plays seem not to be going to well
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      hope this works out the other quarter plays seem not to be going to well
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2009 - 9:06 PM ET #6

    System Play tonight - Bucks +4 - 2nd Half.

    Note the time of these posts.  These plays will be posted as soon as 2nd half line is posted for each system game.

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    System Play tonight - Bucks +4 - 2nd Half.

    Note the time of these posts.  These plays will be posted as soon as 2nd half line is posted for each system game.

     
    KMang
    KMang
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 9:34 AM ET #7

    That would be 1-0.....good start. 
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    That would be 1-0.....good start. 
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 5:46 PM ET #8

    Just for the record, I have been playing this system since October 15th, and my record is 38 and 15 for 72%.  I told myself I was going to try it out for 30 days; and, if successful (> 54%), I was going to start posting. Started last night:

    Bucks +4 - 2nd half

    Again, to follow this thread, you have to be able to act quick, with halftime lasting, on average, 15 - 20 minutes. Most reputable on-line books get the 2nd half line out within a minute of the 1st half ending. I've got everything set up on my Iphone; and I even have an app that I downloaded that notifies me the second the 1st half ends. I'm pretty sure this app is available for a lot of different cell phones.  I then plug my 1st half data into my system, get the play, and go right to my online book and place the bet, all within 5 minutes.  When multiple games end the 1st half right near each other, I need only 5 minutes to get everything analyzed, which leaves me 10 - 15 minutes to place my wagers. I haven't had any problems yet. During College Basketball season, I am going to have someone helping me imput the 1st-half data during the heavy-schedule days (Mon,Tues, Wed, Sat).

    For Money Management, I am basically using a modified Kelly system, which I beleive is the best system out there.  I read "Fortune's Formula", the complete history behind the Kelly system - extremely interesting to me, only because I am a handicapping geek.

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    Just for the record, I have been playing this system since October 15th, and my record is 38 and 15 for 72%.  I told myself I was going to try it out for 30 days; and, if successful (> 54%), I was going to start posting. Started last night:

    Bucks +4 - 2nd half

    Again, to follow this thread, you have to be able to act quick, with halftime lasting, on average, 15 - 20 minutes. Most reputable on-line books get the 2nd half line out within a minute of the 1st half ending. I've got everything set up on my Iphone; and I even have an app that I downloaded that notifies me the second the 1st half ends. I'm pretty sure this app is available for a lot of different cell phones.  I then plug my 1st half data into my system, get the play, and go right to my online book and place the bet, all within 5 minutes.  When multiple games end the 1st half right near each other, I need only 5 minutes to get everything analyzed, which leaves me 10 - 15 minutes to place my wagers. I haven't had any problems yet. During College Basketball season, I am going to have someone helping me imput the 1st-half data during the heavy-schedule days (Mon,Tues, Wed, Sat).

    For Money Management, I am basically using a modified Kelly system, which I beleive is the best system out there.  I read "Fortune's Formula", the complete history behind the Kelly system - extremely interesting to me, only because I am a handicapping geek.

     
    usakangy
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 6:58 PM ET #9

    Good luck.  Looks promising! 
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    Good luck.  Looks promising! 
     
    bamboo08
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 7:28 PM ET #10

    Good Luck. Do we have to wait all day long like yesterday just for one (1) second half in NBA. This is ......
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    Good Luck. Do we have to wait all day long like yesterday just for one (1) second half in NBA. This is ......
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 8:44 PM ET #11

    My system determines the plays.  I have several filters that I use.  Some days, I have had 3 - 4 plays, some days none.  Give me 1 paly a day, winning 70%, I'll take that all year long.
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    My system determines the plays.  I have several filters that I use.  Some days, I have had 3 - 4 plays, some days none.  Give me 1 paly a day, winning 70%, I'll take that all year long.
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 8:48 PM ET #12

    System Play, Nets -2 2nd Half
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    System Play, Nets -2 2nd Half
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 8:52 PM ET #13

    Miami Heat -6 - 2nd Half
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    Miami Heat -6 - 2nd Half
     
    mudshark
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 9:07 PM ET #14

    Gonzaga )NCAA Basketball) +9 - 2nd half
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    Gonzaga )NCAA Basketball) +9 - 2nd half
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 11:07 PM ET #15

    Kansas -5 - 2nd half

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    Kansas -5 - 2nd half

     
    730champ
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2009 - 11:16 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by mudshark:

    My system determines the plays.  I have several filters that I use.  Some days, I have had 3 - 4 plays, some days none.  Give me 1 paly a day, winning 70%, I'll take that all year long.

     

     

    x2

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    Quote Originally Posted by mudshark:

    My system determines the plays.  I have several filters that I use.  Some days, I have had 3 - 4 plays, some days none.  Give me 1 paly a day, winning 70%, I'll take that all year long.

     

     

    x2

     
    bigkeith
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 12:27 AM ET #17

    Hey Mudshark, Would you care to explain the modifed kelly system or at least give us a link to review it at ????

     

    Thanks

    BK

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    Hey Mudshark, Would you care to explain the modifed kelly system or at least give us a link to review it at ????

     

    Thanks

    BK

     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 1:01 AM ET #18

    0-3-1 tonight - the curse of the public post.  I am staying with it.
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    0-3-1 tonight - the curse of the public post.  I am staying with it.
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 1:06 AM ET #19

    bigkeith,

    A great place to start learning about the Kelly system is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion.  In this article, click on the link that brings you to the Simultaneous Event Kelly Calculator at SBRforum.com

     

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    bigkeith,

    A great place to start learning about the Kelly system is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion.  In this article, click on the link that brings you to the Simultaneous Event Kelly Calculator at SBRforum.com

     

     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 1:10 AM ET #20

    This obviously looks promising despite the bad night tonight.  Keep it up, I've very intrigued by this.
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    This obviously looks promising despite the bad night tonight.  Keep it up, I've very intrigued by this.
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 8:16 PM ET #21

    Miami Heat -2, 2nd Half
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    Miami Heat -2, 2nd Half
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2009 - 8:47 PM ET #22

    Celtics -8.5, 2nd half
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    Celtics -8.5, 2nd half
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2009 - 10:54 AM ET #23

    Last night - Actually got 1.5 when I placed the bet on Heat, so 2 - 0 last night.  Realize some may have gotten Heat -2.  You will find that lines move a lot, real quick, with lots of action at halftime.
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    Last night - Actually got 1.5 when I placed the bet on Heat, so 2 - 0 last night.  Realize some may have gotten Heat -2.  You will find that lines move a lot, real quick, with lots of action at halftime.
     
    mudshark
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2009 - 9:47 PM ET #24

    Spurs -4.5 2nd half
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    Spurs -4.5 2nd half
     
     
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Nov. 25, 2009 - 7:04 PM ET #25

    What happened to this?

     

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    What happened to this?

     

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