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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Neilsy's MLB 33 System

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    neilsy25
    jayray2324
    Snappa
    bigdog56
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    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2012 - 5:21 PM ET #26

    update..thanks for pointing out the games i missed

    adding

    Angels (Oakland lose)  -182     1.82u to win 1u

    Detroit (KC lose)  -103   1.03u to win 1u

    Boston should be to win 1.21u   , i already have the play in as above to win 2.21u .,,but to properly track the system i will count is as 1.82u to win 1.21u

     

     

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    update..thanks for pointing out the games i missed

    adding

    Angels (Oakland lose)  -182     1.82u to win 1u

    Detroit (KC lose)  -103   1.03u to win 1u

    Boston should be to win 1.21u   , i already have the play in as above to win 2.21u .,,but to properly track the system i will count is as 1.82u to win 1.21u

     

     

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 6:07 AM ET #27

    Tuesday results   +7.41u

    YTD :  +8.09 units

    Wednesday Plays

    Boston  -124   2.26u to win 1.82u

    Miami (Cubs lose)  -118   1.18u to win 1u

    Dodgers  +160   1.4u to win 2.24u

    Dodgers (Mil lose)  +160   2.48u to win 3.97u

    Washington (Houston lose) -196  5.94u to win 3.03u

    Baltimore (W.Sox lose) +139   4.05u to win 5.63u

    St.Louis -128     1.28u to win 1u

    Cleveland -102    2.04u to win 2u

    Angels (Oak lose) -168  4.74u to win 2.82u

    Detroit (KC lose) - waiting for line

     

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    Tuesday results   +7.41u

    YTD :  +8.09 units

    Wednesday Plays

    Boston  -124   2.26u to win 1.82u

    Miami (Cubs lose)  -118   1.18u to win 1u

    Dodgers  +160   1.4u to win 2.24u

    Dodgers (Mil lose)  +160   2.48u to win 3.97u

    Washington (Houston lose) -196  5.94u to win 3.03u

    Baltimore (W.Sox lose) +139   4.05u to win 5.63u

    St.Louis -128     1.28u to win 1u

    Cleveland -102    2.04u to win 2u

    Angels (Oak lose) -168  4.74u to win 2.82u

    Detroit (KC lose) - waiting for line

     

     
    jayray2324
    jayray2324
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 10:11 AM ET #28

    Just double checked the plays and it seems Texas is a play as well, they have won 5 in a row, so there is another conflict with them and Boston. Also, what have the numbers been in the past in cases where a play has gone pasta third game which shifts the type of play?
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    Just double checked the plays and it seems Texas is a play as well, they have won 5 in a row, so there is another conflict with them and Boston. Also, what have the numbers been in the past in cases where a play has gone pasta third game which shifts the type of play?
     
    jayray2324
    jayray2324
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 10:18 AM ET #29

    From what I can see this year this has happened 4 times with split results, 2 of the times the 4th game hit on the original play and 2 of the times the play went to the first game for the new streak. Just curious if you have info on this, I know you have been switching to the other side, but why not play the original play and if it wins on what would be the 4th game, then you would have a second play on the second streak.
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    From what I can see this year this has happened 4 times with split results, 2 of the times the 4th game hit on the original play and 2 of the times the play went to the first game for the new streak. Just curious if you have info on this, I know you have been switching to the other side, but why not play the original play and if it wins on what would be the 4th game, then you would have a second play on the second streak.
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 10:51 AM ET #30

    Hey Jayray

    In the case of this conflict  Boston is to win 2.82, Texas is to win 1 ..therefore my actual bet is boston to win 1.82 .. on my lines however, i will treat each as if they were bet as seperate plays..didnt really look into chasing past 3..

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    Hey Jayray

    In the case of this conflict  Boston is to win 2.82, Texas is to win 1 ..therefore my actual bet is boston to win 1.82 .. on my lines however, i will treat each as if they were bet as seperate plays..didnt really look into chasing past 3..

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 11:53 AM ET #31

    line update - Tigers (KC kose)  -120  1.2u to win 1u

     

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    line update - Tigers (KC kose)  -120  1.2u to win 1u

     

     
    Snappa
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2012 - 2:20 PM ET #32

    Just jumped on board yesterday in time to for a 7.1 unit win.  Thanks for posting your system, neilsy.
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    Just jumped on board yesterday in time to for a 7.1 unit win.  Thanks for posting your system, neilsy.
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 6:00 AM ET #33

    Wednesday results   -10.94 units

    YTD :  -2.85 units

    Thursday Plays

    Cleveland   +141   2.87u to win 4.04u

    Miami  -152    1.52u to win 1u

    Miami (Cubs lose) -152   3.02u to win 2u

    Dodgers  +122           1.97u to win 2.4u

    Dodgers (Mil lose)   +122   3.05u to win 3.72u

    Washington  -157    1.57 u to win 1u

    Washington (Hou lose)  -157   1.57u to win 1u

    Angels (oak lose) -198    11.37u to win 5.74u

    St. Louis   -157   1.57u to win 1u

    Texas   -115   1.15u to win 1u

    Baltimore (W.sox lose) +126    6.10u to win 7.68u

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    Wednesday results   -10.94 units

    YTD :  -2.85 units

    Thursday Plays

    Cleveland   +141   2.87u to win 4.04u

    Miami  -152    1.52u to win 1u

    Miami (Cubs lose) -152   3.02u to win 2u

    Dodgers  +122           1.97u to win 2.4u

    Dodgers (Mil lose)   +122   3.05u to win 3.72u

    Washington  -157    1.57 u to win 1u

    Washington (Hou lose)  -157   1.57u to win 1u

    Angels (oak lose) -198    11.37u to win 5.74u

    St. Louis   -157   1.57u to win 1u

    Texas   -115   1.15u to win 1u

    Baltimore (W.sox lose) +126    6.10u to win 7.68u

     
    Snappa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 9:32 AM ET #34

    Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.
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    Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 9:45 AM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by Snappa:

    Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.

    Now come on, it was a bad night, but not that bad !  , i do not have my spreadsheet here at work, but I will double check when i get home, just quickly looking at the results, it woulsnot be -19.91..

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Snappa:

    Maybe I missed something, but I peg Wednesday's loss at -19.91 units, not -10.94.

    Now come on, it was a bad night, but not that bad !  , i do not have my spreadsheet here at work, but I will double check when i get home, just quickly looking at the results, it woulsnot be -19.91..

     

     
    Snappa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 10:40 AM ET #36

    BOS   L       -2.26

    MIA    W      +1.00

    LAD    L       -1.4
                        -2.48
     
    WAS   L       -5.94

    BAL    L       -4.05

    STL    W      +1.00

    CLE    L       -2.04

    LAA    L       -4.74

    DET   W      +1.00
    ________________
                        -19.91
     I still come up with the same answer.  Maybe I'm not understanding your system.  My results are a little different, due to rounding, but my loss totaled 18.96U.   Better luck today.

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    BOS   L       -2.26

    MIA    W      +1.00

    LAD    L       -1.4
                        -2.48
     
    WAS   L       -5.94

    BAL    L       -4.05

    STL    W      +1.00

    CLE    L       -2.04

    LAA    L       -4.74

    DET   W      +1.00
    ________________
                        -19.91
     I still come up with the same answer.  Maybe I'm not understanding your system.  My results are a little different, due to rounding, but my loss totaled 18.96U.   Better luck today.

     
    jayray2324
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 10:56 AM ET #37

    Washington was a winner last night, that should bring the number down to where neilsy has it. I got off a little better last night, played cws to win and took lad run line which was a winner, also skipped Boston due to conflict with Texas, that saved me 3 big losses.
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    Washington was a winner last night, that should bring the number down to where neilsy has it. I got off a little better last night, played cws to win and took lad run line which was a winner, also skipped Boston due to conflict with Texas, that saved me 3 big losses.
     
    Snappa
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2012 - 11:16 AM ET #38

    Thanks, Jayray.  I had WAS as a loss on my ticket for some reason. DUH.  My bad, Neilsy. 

    Good.  I didn't lose as much as I thought!  Go get 'em today!!
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    Thanks, Jayray.  I had WAS as a loss on my ticket for some reason. DUH.  My bad, Neilsy. 

    Good.  I didn't lose as much as I thought!  Go get 'em today!!
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 10:56 AM ET #39

    Wednesday results   +5.76 units

    YTD :  +2.91 units

    Friday Plays

    Baltimore +137   1u   to win 1.37u

    Atlanta -118   1.18 u to win 1u

    Atlanta (Arizona lose) -118   1.18u to win 1u

    Yankees (Boston lose)  -109   4.36u to win 4u

    Cincinatti (Cubs lose)   -121  2.42u to win 2u

    Detroit  -107    1.07u to win 1u

    Dodgers (Houston lose)  -132     3.39u to win 2.57u

    Jays (KC lose)  -108  2.16u to win 2u

    Washington  -115    1.81u to win 1.57u

    Oakland  +108    7.75u  to win 8.37u

    Philly (SD lose)  -133  1.33u to win 1u

    St. Louis   -133     3.42u to win 2.57u

     

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    Wednesday results   +5.76 units

    YTD :  +2.91 units

    Friday Plays

    Baltimore +137   1u   to win 1.37u

    Atlanta -118   1.18 u to win 1u

    Atlanta (Arizona lose) -118   1.18u to win 1u

    Yankees (Boston lose)  -109   4.36u to win 4u

    Cincinatti (Cubs lose)   -121  2.42u to win 2u

    Detroit  -107    1.07u to win 1u

    Dodgers (Houston lose)  -132     3.39u to win 2.57u

    Jays (KC lose)  -108  2.16u to win 2u

    Washington  -115    1.81u to win 1.57u

    Oakland  +108    7.75u  to win 8.37u

    Philly (SD lose)  -133  1.33u to win 1u

    St. Louis   -133     3.42u to win 2.57u

     

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2012 - 10:57 AM ET #40

    sorry that above shouild read Thursday results  +5.76u
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    sorry that above shouild read Thursday results  +5.76u
     
    jayray2324
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 12:33 AM ET #41

    I'm trying to follow along to help out, a couple things about Friday games, should lad(hou to lose) have been a play? Also, how was balt a play? And what about Texas? I know Detroit was a play, but Texas is rolling.
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    I'm trying to follow along to help out, a couple things about Friday games, should lad(hou to lose) have been a play? Also, how was balt a play? And what about Texas? I know Detroit was a play, but Texas is rolling.
     
    bigdog56
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 2:04 AM ET #42

    Yah, it looks like Baltimore shouldn't have been a play.

    They are WWLWWLWL in their last 8 games.
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    Yah, it looks like Baltimore shouldn't have been a play.

    They are WWLWWLWL in their last 8 games.
     
    bigdog56
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 2:07 AM ET #43

    Oops nevermind....Baltimore was a play against Angels LLL
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    Oops nevermind....Baltimore was a play against Angels LLL
     
    jayray2324
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 3:12 AM ET #44

    Yeah my bad on the Baltimore, but, glad I took laa on another system (Cisco's home fav system)
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    Yeah my bad on the Baltimore, but, glad I took laa on another system (Cisco's home fav system)
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Posts: 818
    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 10:38 AM ET #45

    Friday results   +8.96 units

    YTD :  +11.87 units

    Saturday Plays

    Baltimore  +181   1.31u tw 2.37u

    Atlanta  -120   1.59u to win 1.33u

    Atlanta (Zona lose)  -120   1.59u  to win 1.33u

    Yankees (Bos lose)  +109      3.03u to win 3.30u

    Colorado +110     1.21u to  win 1.33u

    Cincy (Cubs lose)  -132  1.76u to win 1.33u

    Detroit   -103   1.03u to win 1u

    Jays  (KC lose)  -120     2.8u to win 2.33u

    San Fran  +1.03    2.45u to win 2.52u

    San Fran (Mets lose)  +103   2.26u to win 2.33u

    Miami   +156      2.56u to win 4u

    Philly  (SD lose)   -146   3.4u to win 2.33u

    Oakland   -133      11.3u   to win 8.37u

     

    Notes - I have cleared the first 50 lines, therefore increased my base unit 33%  to 1.33 (the power of compounding !)

    I have spread out the 7.75u  loss on Oakland last night over several different team lines to keep Oaklands numbers from getting to big.

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    Friday results   +8.96 units

    YTD :  +11.87 units

    Saturday Plays

    Baltimore  +181   1.31u tw 2.37u

    Atlanta  -120   1.59u to win 1.33u

    Atlanta (Zona lose)  -120   1.59u  to win 1.33u

    Yankees (Bos lose)  +109      3.03u to win 3.30u

    Colorado +110     1.21u to  win 1.33u

    Cincy (Cubs lose)  -132  1.76u to win 1.33u

    Detroit   -103   1.03u to win 1u

    Jays  (KC lose)  -120     2.8u to win 2.33u

    San Fran  +1.03    2.45u to win 2.52u

    San Fran (Mets lose)  +103   2.26u to win 2.33u

    Miami   +156      2.56u to win 4u

    Philly  (SD lose)   -146   3.4u to win 2.33u

    Oakland   -133      11.3u   to win 8.37u

     

    Notes - I have cleared the first 50 lines, therefore increased my base unit 33%  to 1.33 (the power of compounding !)

    I have spread out the 7.75u  loss on Oakland last night over several different team lines to keep Oaklands numbers from getting to big.

     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 11:06 AM ET #46

    just noticed Detroit/Texas are playing a doubleheader,, so there will be a play on the 2nd game based on the results of the 1st game.

     

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    just noticed Detroit/Texas are playing a doubleheader,, so there will be a play on the 2nd game based on the results of the 1st game.

     

     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Apr. 21, 2012 - 2:53 PM ET #47

    game 2 of Detroit/Texas ...(I am assuming Texas holds on to the 9-2 lead and getting it in now while i can)

    Detroit  -152     3.04u to win 2u

     

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    game 2 of Detroit/Texas ...(I am assuming Texas holds on to the 9-2 lead and getting it in now while i can)

    Detroit  -152     3.04u to win 2u

     

     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Apr. 22, 2012 - 11:41 AM ET #48

    Saturday results   -16.96 units  

    YTD :  -5.09 units  

    Sunday Plays

     

    Baltimore  +149   1.55u to win 2.31u

    Atlanta +138  1.69u to win 2.33u

    Atlanta (Zona lose)  +138     1.69u to win 2.33u

    Yankees   -130   3.52u to win 2.71u

    Yankees (Bos lose) -130     1.73u to win 1.33u

    Oakland  -114      10.68u to win 9.37u

    Colorado  +132   2.68u to win 3.54u

    Cincy  (Cubs lose)  -146     4.51u to win  3.09u

    Dodgers  -126    2.52u to win 2u

    Jays  (KC lose)  -108     1.44u to win 1.33u

    San Fran   -124      6.16u to win 4.97u

    San Fran (Mets lose) -124    5.69u to win  4.59u

    Philly  (SD lose)    +103    5.56u to win  5.73u

    Texas    -131   5.24u to win 4u

     

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    Saturday results   -16.96 units  

    YTD :  -5.09 units  

    Sunday Plays

     

    Baltimore  +149   1.55u to win 2.31u

    Atlanta +138  1.69u to win 2.33u

    Atlanta (Zona lose)  +138     1.69u to win 2.33u

    Yankees   -130   3.52u to win 2.71u

    Yankees (Bos lose) -130     1.73u to win 1.33u

    Oakland  -114      10.68u to win 9.37u

    Colorado  +132   2.68u to win 3.54u

    Cincy  (Cubs lose)  -146     4.51u to win  3.09u

    Dodgers  -126    2.52u to win 2u

    Jays  (KC lose)  -108     1.44u to win 1.33u

    San Fran   -124      6.16u to win 4.97u

    San Fran (Mets lose) -124    5.69u to win  4.59u

    Philly  (SD lose)    +103    5.56u to win  5.73u

    Texas    -131   5.24u to win 4u

     

     
    jayray2324
    jayray2324
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    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Apr. 22, 2012 - 12:19 PM ET #49

    CWS (Sea to lose)?
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    CWS (Sea to lose)?
     
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Apr. 22, 2012 - 12:31 PM ET #50

    indeed...thanks

     

    adding

    W.Sox  (seattle lose)    -114    1.52u to win 1.33u

     

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    indeed...thanks

     

    adding

    W.Sox  (seattle lose)    -114    1.52u to win 1.33u

     

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