NCAABB Bracket / Bookie Buster Weekend System

 Thanks to jbragg10 at the rxfourm


This is for next weekend 2/21 for bracketbuster weekend
2008: 64%
2007: 65%-68% ... can't remember exactly.
2006: in the mid 60% as well

So here it is:
Play:
- all the double digit dogs
- all the totals under 144.5 to go OVER
- all the dogs from 1-3.5
- all the teams that don't usually have lined games (meaning smaller teams that you usually can't bet with)



TEAMS THAT NORMALLY DO NOT HAVE LINED GAMES:
PLAY ON:
LIBERTY +8
VERMONT -5.5
N DAKOTA ST. CONFLICT PASS
S. DAKOTA ST. +3.5
GARDNER WEBB +10
MARYLAND BALTIMORE COUNTY +8.5
BOSTON UNIV. -5
MORGAN ST. CONFLICT PASS
WINTHROP PK (potential conflict)
HARTFORD +8
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +13
BUCKNELL +2

BRACKETBUSTER DOUBLE DIGIT DOGS (PLAY ON ALL):
TOLEDO +10
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +13
GARDNER WEBB +10 (ALREADY A PLAY IN TEAMS WITHOUT LINES PLAYS)
MOREHEAD ST +10

These are subject to change as we get closer to tipoff, there are many at +9.5 now, so this list could change.

:UNDERDOGS OF 1-3.5::
***We all saw the value of a half point last night, with VCU losing by 1 with a line of +1.5, so make sure these stay within the range, do not buy points, the worst betting philosophy ever with few exceptions.

BUCKNELL +2.5 (ALREADY INCLUDED IN UNLINED TEAMS)
WICHITA ST. +1
MIAMI,O. +1.5
TOWSON +2 (CONFLICT NO PLAY)
LOY,CHI. +2
LONG BEACH ST. +3
OHIO,U. +2.5
ELON +1
HOFSTRA +2.5
JACKSONVILLE ST. +1.5
MISC-MILW +1.5 (CONFLICT PASS)
SE MISSOURI ST. +3.5
PACIFIC +1.5
SD ST +3.5
CS NORTHRIDGE +3.5
LIST SUBJECT TO CHANGE

:TOTALS:
ALL THE FOLLOWING TEAMS ARE TO BE PLAYED OVER::
LIBERTY 135.5
DAVIDSON 133
WILL & MARY 122
B GREEN 122
W. MICH 123
INDIANA ST. 123
BALL ST. 130
MURRAY ST. 121.5
SIENA 140
WICHITA ST 118.5
EVANSVILLE 117.5
LOY,CHI 127.5
E. MICH 116.5
YOUNG ST. 124.5
ST. MARY'S 131
LONG BEACH ST 142
E. KENTUCKY 133
NC WILM 143
FAIRFIELD 129.5
KENT ST. 131
TN MTN 139
PORT ST 144.5
ILL CHI 128
VALPO 120.5
TENN ST. 130.5
DRAKE 139
SE MISS ST. 144.5
SAN DIEGO 115.5
CREIGHTON 134.5
UC SANTA BARBARA 131
SAN JOSE ST 122.5
IDAHO 137
HAWAII 125
NC GREEN 141

I have not locked in on any of these, and will adjust lines and games accordingly for official grading. I won't be able to change them until after tip-off as I use 7 books, and take the best possible lines.


I know it's a lot of games and some of them may change when it gets closer to game time. As you can see in the past, these games have done well in each of their section, so that might be a good decision for many people.


Last year I think it went 35-19 maybe?

Here is a message from the man who started this (When he posts the plays, I will post them in here for you):

---

I will be opening a thread tomm. with all the bracketbuster plays, I will include all the plays, but remember the ones that are close to the edge of the line of value, I will post them, but I will not be playing them until the last minute, and if the lines change late, it may be listed here, but I might not play it. I'm leaving that to anyone who decides to follow to decide for themselves.

You might have to pick the game yourself instead of me trying to post at game time, so watch those lines closely:

Example:

Let's say there is an 8PM EST tip-off with a total of 144. I mill post that here with an asterisk next to it, meaning close to the line wait as long as possible. Since the cutoff is 144, if it goes to 145 it will not be a play, but too late to come back in here to get the message out, you'll have to make your own decision.

The plays were 80-31 ATS the first 3 years 72%
Last year they went 35-19-1 ATS 64.8%
The 4 year total is now 115-50-1 ATS 69.7%

The catergories are as follows:

1) ALL TOTALS 144.5 or less are played OVER ... The exception is if it is a line of 10+ do not play!!!

So to simplify:

Play all totals of 144.5 or less to go over unless the game line is 10 or more

2) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 10 OR MORE (this has been 15-7)

3) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 1-3.5 (this has been 23-8)

4) PLAY ON ALL TEAMS THAT NORMALLY DON'T HAVE LINED GAMES ( IE. Holy Cross, Central Connecticut St., etc) I will point thse games out

5) THIS IS MOST IMPORTANT!!! PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY!!!

Don't play this for more than you can afford to lose, PLEASE!!!! There is no guarantees here. It has been lights out for 6 years, and who knows what year 7 brings. The oddsmakers have had trouble with these games every year, and I found their weakness, it doesn't mean it will continue forever, as they are not stupid!

Last year there was 55 plays! You will have to play a ton of games to play this in its most effective manner. If you do not have the bankroll to support it, please do not try this!!! You could really get hurt! Even if you play 5/10 dollars a game, you could still win a lot, don't get greedy thinking this is a be-all-end-all, it is not!

With that said, I play this hard every year, and will again. I trust what I do, and I don't put out anything that doesn't offer value, win or lose.

Just be careful, bet responsibly, and hopefully we'll be celebrating in the end. I just see a lot getting on the bandwagon here, and its more than worth investing in, just make sure you invest properly, and don't try to hit the lottery, there will be more games to get some money, I promise.

Best of luck, just look for the Bracket Buster thread sometime laate tomm. and everything will be in there that I am playing.

Good luck to all with all your action!



if u wanted to cut down on games played dont u think its safe enough that u can play sides only just to cut back on action

this is from across the street>>


2) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 10 OR MORE (this has been 15-7)

3) PLAY ON ALL DOGS OF 1-3.5 (this has been 23-8)

Nice work Montana Max...

I will wait on u for the plays!!!!