Posted:
#276
I use covers for most backtesting that I do.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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NCAA Football -6 game chase 3480-1 since 1980
Posted:
#279
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
Under the NCAAF tab at the top, go to each team and then you can look at previous seasons. Kind of tedious but the info is there.
I know others go a a sports database somewhere and run queries. I'm not sure where, never done it.
Ok, thanks yeah i tried using it but its way over my head with the SQLY ETC ETC STUFF LOL
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Posted:
#281
Week 6, 17 teams left, all in action on Saturday and Sunday.
Still betting over on 2 teams - Georgia State and Kansas. Everyone else is the Under.
Saturday
- Georgia State (2) - 55
- Kansas (3) - 55.5
- Michigan State (4) - 38.5
- Auburn (4) - 56.5
- Massachusets (4) - 51.5
- Marshall (4) - 65.5
- Memphis (4) - 47.5
- Temple (4) - 58
- Washington (4) - 53
- Georgia Tech (4) - 56
- Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57
- Miami OH (5) -47
- Wake Forest (5) - 47
- North Carolina (5) -45.5
- Washington State (5) - 66.5
Sunday
- Hawaii (5) - 55.5
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#285
Pretty good day on Saturday. We went 12-4, with Hawaii yet to play on Sunday.
The 4 teams left (Hawaii pending) are:
Georgia State (going to game 3)
Michigan State (going to game 5)
Washington (going to game 5)
Georgia tech (going to game 5)
Saturday
- Georgia State (2) - 55 Loss
- Kansas (3) - 55.5 WIN
- Michigan State (4) - 38.5 Loss
- Auburn (4) - 56.5 WIN
- Massachusets (4) - 51.5 WIN
- Marshall (4) - 65.5 WIN
- Memphis (4) - 47.5 WIN
- Temple (4) - 58 WIN
- Washington (4) - 53 Loss
- Georgia Tech (4) - 56 Loss
- Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57 WIN
- Miami OH (5) -47 WIN
- Wake Forest (5) - 47 WIN
- North Carolina (5) -45.5 WIN
- Washington State (5) - 66.5 WIN
Sunday
- Hawaii (5) - 55.5
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#286
After Sunday:
The 45 teams left are:
Georgia State (going to game 3)
Michigan State (going to game 5)
Washington (going to game 5)
Georgia tech (going to game 5)
Hawaii (going to game 6)
Saturday
- Georgia State (2) - 55 Loss
- Kansas (3) - 55.5 WIN
- Michigan State (4) - 38.5 Loss
- Auburn (4) - 56.5 WIN
- Massachusets (4) - 51.5 WIN
- Marshall (4) - 65.5 WIN
- Memphis (4) - 47.5 WIN
- Temple (4) - 58 WIN
- Washington (4) - 53 Loss
- Georgia Tech (4) - 56 Loss
- Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57 WIN
- Miami OH (5) -47 WIN
- Wake Forest (5) - 47 WIN
- North Carolina (5) -45.5 WIN
- Washington State (5) - 66.5 WIN
Sunday
- Hawaii (5) - 55.5 Loss
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Posted:
#287
Has any body here continued this chase to this stage?
At a rough guess you would be laying down over 170 units for this week? Plus at least 80 you have out.
At a rough guess you would be laying down over 170 units for this week? Plus at least 80 you have out.
You would have made 115 units, plus the 150 unit that was advised to start with, seems as though you would be covered this week.
I was wondering if there have been any weeks where any of you have not been covered and not had the funds to continue to play?
Also with a chase system like this, is it possible that your sports book could cut you off from betting College Football.
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Posted:
#289
Post 286 should have said 5 teams left not 45.
With 120 teams already winning, that is 120 units or more (see below).
With the 5 teams remaining you'd be down roughly 112 units on those 5 teams for an overall profit right now.
I'm up a little more than the standard 8 units because of how I set my bet progression.
- Game 1 - 11 to win 10
- Game 2 - 27.50 to win 25
- Game 3 - 55 to win 50
- Game 4 - 115.5 to win 105
- Game 5 - 242 to win 220
Given the above numbers I gained 1 unit on every game 1 winner. 1.4 units on every game 2 winner, 1.15 units on game 3 winners, 1.15 on game 4 winners and 1.1 units on game 5 winners.
56 game 1 winners - 56 units
26 game 2 winners - 36.4 units
20 game 3 winners - 23 units
13 game 4 winners - 14.95 units
5 game 5 winners - 5.5 units
Total for 120 winners - 135.85 units
Losses for the 5 remaining teams totaled - 111.65 units
So my personal profit is 24.2 units. A lot lower than I wanted at this point but it's still profit. I'm done betting this as I'll walk with profit just like I did last year without seeing it all the way through.
I will continue to post for the system record sake and anyone else still betting.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#291
Quote Originally Posted by breezeyo:
I am with you Dan. I am up about 18 units based on the way I have done my betting, enough for me to call it a day and walk away.
One thing I might do is bet the Game 6 under combined with some bigger ML bets in a parlay. I will probably only bet 2-3 units on this type of bet though.
I played week 1 and stopped until this past weekend, taking a page out of one of the other posters book. Worked out well. I will be playing this weekend as well.... thanks for posting Dan 
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Posted:
#292
I'm glad to see that you guys are at least profitable on this. It didn't start well and this last week saved us. I can't argue with anyone waiting until week 3 or so. Next year I'll probably lay off week 1 since it seems like that is never a winning week.
If I have time I'll take a look and see if we could maybe add some filters to this to make it better for next year.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Posted:
#297
Saturday results: Went 2-3 with Hawaii being a 6 game system loss. Down to 2 teams, both on game 6 - Michigan State and Georgia Tech.
Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER WIN
Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (Goes to game 6)
Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER WIN
Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (goes to game 6)
Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER LOSS (Done. System loss)
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Posted:
#299
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
Saturday results: Went 2-3 with Hawaii being a 6 game system loss. Down to 2 teams, both on game 6 - Michigan State and Georgia Tech. Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER WIN Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (Goes to game 6) Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER WIN Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (goes to game 6) Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER LOSS (Done. System loss)
Saturday results: Went 2-3 with Hawaii being a 6 game system loss. Down to 2 teams, both on game 6 - Michigan State and Georgia Tech. Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER WIN Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (Goes to game 6) Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER WIN Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (goes to game 6) Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER LOSS (Done. System loss)
I quickly read through this but wouldn't all 5 games posted be wins? If the progression is OOOUUU then Geo St was on game 3 OV Win (as stated) and the rest were on game 5 which should be all unders, but you have LOSS on Mich St, Geo Tech and Hawaii. I didn't read all the way through, mostly where you picked it up in the fall of 2013, so maybe I missed it.
I could back test this easily and also make a spreadsheet for in the future. I gotta save this link.
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