Also, confused as to why HOU is a play. They haven't lost 8 in a row?? They pushed against NJ two games ago (their 7th game)/if you got the line early enough, you won as it opened -3.
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I can help you out over the weekend. :)
Also, confused as to why HOU is a play. They haven't lost 8 in a row?? They pushed against NJ two games ago (their 7th game)/if you got the line early enough, you won as it opened -3.
Also, I have a lot more than just 1 loss for system #7. There's at least two losses. I'm confident there is actually 4 though since 05-06, and that backtested to 1995 there are 9 total losses. If we begin however @ game 8 instead of 7, it drops to just 2 losses since 05-06, 3 back to 1995.
Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +35.7 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +39.9 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +61.5 units
Not trying to undermine Air1 at all, he's amazing. I just hate losing money more than I do making it. I strive for perfection. Thought I'd backtest this myself and see what I came up with. These are my results. I am human though so maybe I made a mistake. That is all.
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Also, I have a lot more than just 1 loss for system #7. There's at least two losses. I'm confident there is actually 4 though since 05-06, and that backtested to 1995 there are 9 total losses. If we begin however @ game 8 instead of 7, it drops to just 2 losses since 05-06, 3 back to 1995.
Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +35.7 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +39.9 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +61.5 units
Not trying to undermine Air1 at all, he's amazing. I just hate losing money more than I do making it. I strive for perfection. Thought I'd backtest this myself and see what I came up with. These are my results. I am human though so maybe I made a mistake. That is all.
Also, I have a lot more than just 1 loss for system #7. There's at least two losses. I'm confident there is actually 4 though since 05-06, and that backtested to 1995 there are 9 total losses. If we begin however @ game 8 instead of 7, it drops to just 2 losses since 05-06, 3 back to 1995.
Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +35.7 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +39.9 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +61.5 units
Not trying to undermine Air1 at all, he's amazing. I just hate losing money more than I do making it. I strive for perfection. Thought I'd backtest this myself and see what I came up with. These are my results. I am human though so maybe I made a mistake. That is all.
Really appreciate the concern the_man . Can you please backtest the NBA 1st quarters moneyline systems as well if you can. I came up with 4 system losses in the first half of 2010 - 2011 season !! Just needed two more eyes to confirm it.
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Quote Originally Posted by The__Man:
Also, I have a lot more than just 1 loss for system #7. There's at least two losses. I'm confident there is actually 4 though since 05-06, and that backtested to 1995 there are 9 total losses. If we begin however @ game 8 instead of 7, it drops to just 2 losses since 05-06, 3 back to 1995.
Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +35.7 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +39.9 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +61.5 units
Not trying to undermine Air1 at all, he's amazing. I just hate losing money more than I do making it. I strive for perfection. Thought I'd backtest this myself and see what I came up with. These are my results. I am human though so maybe I made a mistake. That is all.
Really appreciate the concern the_man . Can you please backtest the NBA 1st quarters moneyline systems as well if you can. I came up with 4 system losses in the first half of 2010 - 2011 season !! Just needed two more eyes to confirm it.
Hey The_Man, thanks for the info. I know it takes A LOT of work as I have done it myself. After all the talk earlier about system #6, even I got a little confused. I thought that betting it after game #7 ats was lost was what we should go with as I originally had. Btw what was the longest streak you had for losers ats?
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Hey The_Man, thanks for the info. I know it takes A LOT of work as I have done it myself. After all the talk earlier about system #6, even I got a little confused. I thought that betting it after game #7 ats was lost was what we should go with as I originally had. Btw what was the longest streak you had for losers ats?
How many units are you using as a loss for these series? at -110 I have a 3 game chase -8.26 & 4 game chase -10.44
My bad. I just used -7.7 per 3 game. Precise correct number is -8.26. Precise correct number for 4 game chase is actually -18.45. You wind up betting 10.18 for the 4th game, if it loses you add the 8.26 lost in the previous three games. Total (with rounding) is -18.45.
Re-calculated figures: Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +30.66 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +38.22 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +55.65 units
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Quote Originally Posted by Air1:
How many units are you using as a loss for these series? at -110 I have a 3 game chase -8.26 & 4 game chase -10.44
My bad. I just used -7.7 per 3 game. Precise correct number is -8.26. Precise correct number for 4 game chase is actually -18.45. You wind up betting 10.18 for the 4th game, if it loses you add the 8.26 lost in the previous three games. Total (with rounding) is -18.45.
Re-calculated figures: Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +30.66 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +38.22 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +55.65 units
My bad. I just used -7.7 per 3 game. Precise correct number is -8.26. Precise correct number for 4 game chase is actually -18.45. You wind up betting 10.18 for the 4th game, if it loses you add the 8.26 lost in the previous three games. Total (with rounding) is -18.45.
Re-calculated figures: Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +30.66 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +38.22 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +55.65 units
Yeah, those were the numbers I was getting. btw the 10.44 was a type, should have been 18.44 Impossible to lose only 2 units on a D bet in a chase.
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Quote Originally Posted by The__Man:
My bad. I just used -7.7 per 3 game. Precise correct number is -8.26. Precise correct number for 4 game chase is actually -18.45. You wind up betting 10.18 for the 4th game, if it loses you add the 8.26 lost in the previous three games. Total (with rounding) is -18.45.
Re-calculated figures: Chase record since 1995 (at closing lines) Starting @ game 7: 105-9 +30.66 units
Starting @ game 8: 63-3 +38.22 units
4 game chase starting @ game 7: 111-3 +55.65 units
Yeah, those were the numbers I was getting. btw the 10.44 was a type, should have been 18.44 Impossible to lose only 2 units on a D bet in a chase.
Pending Plays System #3/4: Pending next two hou games System #5: Bet on Hou to W ats vs LAL Streakers Mil Won 5 in a row ats
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: -.41 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +3 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +15.6 Units
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Pending Plays System #3/4: Pending next two hou games System #5: Bet on Hou to W ats vs LAL Streakers Mil Won 5 in a row ats
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: -.41 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +3 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +15.6 Units
Pending Plays System #3: Start a 2 game chase vs. Pho then Lal. System #5: Bet on Hou to W ats vs LAL Streakers Mil Won 6 in a row ats... waiting for X game Mia Lost 4 in a row ats
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: -.41 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +3 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +15.6 Units
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Pending Plays System #3: Start a 2 game chase vs. Pho then Lal. System #5: Bet on Hou to W ats vs LAL Streakers Mil Won 6 in a row ats... waiting for X game Mia Lost 4 in a row ats
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: -.41 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +3 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +15.6 Units
Pending Plays None Streakers Mil Won 8 in a row ats... waiting for X game NY Won 5 in a row ats... waiting for X game Pho Won 5 in a row ats... waiting for X game
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: +.6 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +4 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +17.6 Units
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Pending Plays None Streakers Mil Won 8 in a row ats... waiting for X game NY Won 5 in a row ats... waiting for X game Pho Won 5 in a row ats... waiting for X game
Results so far System #1: +8 Units System #2: +4 Units System #3: +.6 Units System #4: No Plays System #5: +4 Units System #6: +1 Units Total:::::::::: +17.6 Units
there are more lengthier winning streaks than there are losing streaks. Ny could go up to 14 games like dal did last season. If you are going to do that you are better off betting against mil (although idk since they traded for ellis) Good luck either way
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there are more lengthier winning streaks than there are losing streaks. Ny could go up to 14 games like dal did last season. If you are going to do that you are better off betting against mil (although idk since they traded for ellis) Good luck either way
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