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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA RPI SYSTEM

    12 Next Last»
    riceman003
    DegenGamble
    BG6
    hyvong
    bettor2win
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 4607
    Posts: 31
    12 Next Last»
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2012 - 2:14 AM ET #1

    This system is fully inspired by bettor2win and i finished it with the help of DegenGamble. So fully credits to both of them and i cant thank degen enough for help me with this

    The system focuses on moneyline play and spread play, however i will post over and under tho that has not thing to do with the system

    i do not know how well this works since i cant back test it as i dont have previous RPI data for previous dates. this is not the official release and i am still tracking some stuff and tweaking a few equations here and there for Spread play.

    i will post my picks daily, but right now idk how well this system is going to work for the playoffs especially with this stupid memphis game tonight.

    here is the excel

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwMUkyaDZsbk1HT0E

    and once again TY DEGENGAMBLE AND BETTOR2WIN

    NOTE: this system does not guarantee anything in gambling

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    This system is fully inspired by bettor2win and i finished it with the help of DegenGamble. So fully credits to both of them and i cant thank degen enough for help me with this

    The system focuses on moneyline play and spread play, however i will post over and under tho that has not thing to do with the system

    i do not know how well this works since i cant back test it as i dont have previous RPI data for previous dates. this is not the official release and i am still tracking some stuff and tweaking a few equations here and there for Spread play.

    i will post my picks daily, but right now idk how well this system is going to work for the playoffs especially with this stupid memphis game tonight.

    here is the excel

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwMUkyaDZsbk1HT0E

    and once again TY DEGENGAMBLE AND BETTOR2WIN

    NOTE: this system does not guarantee anything in gambling

     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2012 - 2:25 AM ET #2

    4/30/2012 picks

    Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
    OKC -6 1/2 
    Money line Miami

    not playing indiana or heats

    These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
    OKC vs Dallas under 200
    NY vs Miami over 184
    Orlando vs Indiana Over 187

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    4/30/2012 picks

    Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
    OKC -6 1/2 
    Money line Miami

    not playing indiana or heats

    These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
    OKC vs Dallas under 200
    NY vs Miami over 184
    Orlando vs Indiana Over 187

     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2012 - 2:44 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by riceman003:

    4/30/2012 picks

    Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
    OKC -6 1/2 
    Money line Miami

    not playing indiana or heats

    These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
    OKC vs Dallas under 200
    NY vs Miami over 184
    Orlando vs Indiana Over 187


    if following caution filter
    if following caution filter
    Knicks +9 1/2
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    Quote Originally Posted by riceman003:

    4/30/2012 picks

    Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
    OKC -6 1/2 
    Money line Miami

    not playing indiana or heats

    These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
    OKC vs Dallas under 200
    NY vs Miami over 184
    Orlando vs Indiana Over 187


    if following caution filter
    if following caution filter
    Knicks +9 1/2
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posts: 1150
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2012 - 2:49 PM ET #4

    Thanks for the props Riceman!!! BOL :)
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    Thanks for the props Riceman!!! BOL :)
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 1, 2012 - 12:40 AM ET #5

    Regular Filter

    1-1

    Caution Filter

    1-2

    Looks like theres alot of tweaking needed for the over unders so i wont post them anymore till probably next season

    also i have updated the spread play calculations for a better spread plays if following the new calculations could of have been

    Regular Filter 2-1
    Caution filter 2-2

    Tomorrows play will be:

    Regular Filter:
    Chicago -6.5

    Caution Filter
    Chicago -6.5
    Atlanta -4

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    Regular Filter

    1-1

    Caution Filter

    1-2

    Looks like theres alot of tweaking needed for the over unders so i wont post them anymore till probably next season

    also i have updated the spread play calculations for a better spread plays if following the new calculations could of have been

    Regular Filter 2-1
    Caution filter 2-2

    Tomorrows play will be:

    Regular Filter:
    Chicago -6.5

    Caution Filter
    Chicago -6.5
    Atlanta -4

     
    BG6
    BG6
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    Posts: 29
    Posted: May. 9, 2012 - 9:23 AM ET #6

    This looks very impressive riceman, how is your record looking from this formula since your last post?
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    This looks very impressive riceman, how is your record looking from this formula since your last post?
     
    hyvong
    hyvong
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    Posts: 1077
    Posted: May. 9, 2012 - 9:52 AM ET #7

    Not sure how this work since they are totally different. In baseball: chase and money line. baseketball: single game and spread. 
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    Not sure how this work since they are totally different. In baseball: chase and money line. baseketball: single game and spread. 
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posted: May. 11, 2012 - 2:39 AM ET #8

    sorry i have been really busy with exams so i havent been betting. but for the sake of the system i was keeping up with the plays

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0Mwa2lEMzI1b05PQ0U

    the link is the spread with out the update after the 5/10 game

    the system would of went 1-1 today

    Denver - Win
    Celtics- Loss

    ALSO i forgot to keep a file of the stats from everyday cause of exams but the second link is from 5/1 and if u used it to follow the play for 5/2 you would of went

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwZW9USXg1SWlfcDQ

    1-0 following regular filter
    Spurs - win
    2-0 following caution filter
    spurs - win
    indiana - win


    also the RPI isnt really working since RPI on espn isnt being updated anymore cause of play offs. so for now its just the spread play.

    I will post the plays for 5/11 5/12 and 5/13 game tomorrow once my lines update
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    sorry i have been really busy with exams so i havent been betting. but for the sake of the system i was keeping up with the plays

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0Mwa2lEMzI1b05PQ0U

    the link is the spread with out the update after the 5/10 game

    the system would of went 1-1 today

    Denver - Win
    Celtics- Loss

    ALSO i forgot to keep a file of the stats from everyday cause of exams but the second link is from 5/1 and if u used it to follow the play for 5/2 you would of went

    https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwZW9USXg1SWlfcDQ

    1-0 following regular filter
    Spurs - win
    2-0 following caution filter
    spurs - win
    indiana - win


    also the RPI isnt really working since RPI on espn isnt being updated anymore cause of play offs. so for now its just the spread play.

    I will post the plays for 5/11 5/12 and 5/13 game tomorrow once my lines update
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 11, 2012 - 2:51 AM ET #9

    Forgot to add

    YTD

    Regular Filter

    2-2

    Caution Filter

    2-4

    also ive realized the spread play becomes more accurate as more games are played so i think its good to skip maybe game 1 and 2 of every new round
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    Forgot to add

    YTD

    Regular Filter

    2-2

    Caution Filter

    2-4

    also ive realized the spread play becomes more accurate as more games are played so i think its good to skip maybe game 1 and 2 of every new round
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 11, 2012 - 2:13 PM ET #10

    No plays today my thing says clippers will be giving point but the book says otherwise

    Unofficial play:
    ML Clippers +113

    5/12 plays

    Skipping the first few games of a new round

    Unofficial: 
    Nuggets + 7.5
    Celtics -4

    5/13

    Skipping the first few games of a new round

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    No plays today my thing says clippers will be giving point but the book says otherwise

    Unofficial play:
    ML Clippers +113

    5/12 plays

    Skipping the first few games of a new round

    Unofficial: 
    Nuggets + 7.5
    Celtics -4

    5/13

    Skipping the first few games of a new round

     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posted: May. 12, 2012 - 1:44 AM ET #11

    Official Play:
    Regular Filter: 2-2
    Caution Filter: 2-4

    Unofficial Play
    Parlay: 0-0
    Straight bet: 0-1

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    Official Play:
    Regular Filter: 2-2
    Caution Filter: 2-4

    Unofficial Play
    Parlay: 0-0
    Straight bet: 0-1

     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 12:30 PM ET #12

    5/13 MOTHERS DAY

    Official Play

    Regular Filter:
     none
    Caution filter:
    clippers +7.5 -107 1U

    Unofficial None


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    5/13 MOTHERS DAY

    Official Play

    Regular Filter:
     none
    Caution filter:
    clippers +7.5 -107 1U

    Unofficial None


     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 3:56 PM ET #13

    WOOT clippers won
    also went through my post i realized i counted unofficial play as an official

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -1.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

    5/14 Plays

    None skipping the first 2 games of the new round

    FOR TRACKING PURPOSES ONLY NOT PLAYING

    Lakers +8.5
    boston -3.5


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    WOOT clippers won
    also went through my post i realized i counted unofficial play as an official

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -1.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

    5/14 Plays

    None skipping the first 2 games of the new round

    FOR TRACKING PURPOSES ONLY NOT PLAYING

    Lakers +8.5
    boston -3.5


     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 4:05 PM ET #14

    Forgot to add no plays till 5/16
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    Forgot to add no plays till 5/16
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 4:22 PM ET #15

    Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!
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    Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 4:54 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!

    THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    Hot Dam! Riceman! I love the fact you are creating this. I hope this turns out to be something great!!!! I just noticed the thread today. Good luck and start a thread when the new season starts so we can all follow along. Thanks for the props brotha!

    THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: May. 13, 2012 - 4:59 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by riceman003:


    THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 

    Strong work. Tweak it till it breaks! And like a man, put some Duct tape on it. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by riceman003:


    THX. i never intended for this to be used for playoffs but since its going on i thought it wouldnt hurt to track and tweak it for the next play offs, and i definitely will start a new thread during the new season. though it seems like urs the rpi and spread play gets more and more accurate as more games are played. so i prob wont post any official plays till each team has 10 games each. 

    Strong work. Tweak it till it breaks! And like a man, put some Duct tape on it. 

     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 17, 2012 - 5:16 AM ET #18

    sorry i didnt post the play for 5/16 was really busy and forgot.

    Plays for 5/17 heats -1 1/2
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    sorry i didnt post the play for 5/16 was really busy and forgot.

    Plays for 5/17 heats -1 1/2
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 18, 2012 - 2:40 PM ET #19

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

    5/18

    Unofficial plays

    OKC +2.5
    Celtics +2
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    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-3 -3.00U

    5/18

    Unofficial plays

    OKC +2.5
    Celtics +2
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 29, 2012 - 3:23 PM ET #20

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-5 -5.00U

    since my last post okc and celtics both lost. stupid on my part for not following my own filters in the game

    anyways ive been on vacation and tracking the plays it seems the spread play is alot more strict during playoffs if following the system. Meaning if the system says the team will be giving 4 points it will generally only give 4 points or they will blow them out of the water.

    So today we have spurs at -5.5 when it opened and now its down to 4.5. system says they will only win by 4 points.

    For tracking purposes and i will be placing a bet on this i am going to buy points and take 

    spurs at -3.5 for -135

    why dont i just bet against the system and take okc at +4.5? like i said before they its likely that spurs will win the game by more than 4.5 and blow them out of the water
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    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-5 -5.00U

    since my last post okc and celtics both lost. stupid on my part for not following my own filters in the game

    anyways ive been on vacation and tracking the plays it seems the spread play is alot more strict during playoffs if following the system. Meaning if the system says the team will be giving 4 points it will generally only give 4 points or they will blow them out of the water.

    So today we have spurs at -5.5 when it opened and now its down to 4.5. system says they will only win by 4 points.

    For tracking purposes and i will be placing a bet on this i am going to buy points and take 

    spurs at -3.5 for -135

    why dont i just bet against the system and take okc at +4.5? like i said before they its likely that spurs will win the game by more than 4.5 and blow them out of the water
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 30, 2012 - 6:21 AM ET #21

    Go Spurs!

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-5 -4.26U

    5/30/2012 Plays

    Once again for tracking purposes

    Unofficial:

    Spread should be played at -7.5 but if factoring only the playoffs then the spread should be at -4.5

    imma buy the points to -4.5 at -230 to test the system 

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    Go Spurs!

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-5 -4.26U

    5/30/2012 Plays

    Once again for tracking purposes

    Unofficial:

    Spread should be played at -7.5 but if factoring only the playoffs then the spread should be at -4.5

    imma buy the points to -4.5 at -230 to test the system 

     
    inthefareast
    inthefareast
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    Joined: Sep, 2010
    Posts: 31
    Posted: May. 30, 2012 - 6:52 AM ET #22

    Nice work I am following it. 
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    Nice work I am following it. 
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: May. 31, 2012 - 4:37 AM ET #23

    Man such a close game if Wade just made that 2nd free throw at the end 

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-6 -5.26U


    No plays tomorrow
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    Man such a close game if Wade just made that 2nd free throw at the end 

    Official YTD

    Regular Filter: 0-1 -2.00U
    Caution Filter: 1-3 -2.07U

    Unofficial Plays:
    ML Play: 1-1 -.75U
    Spread Play: 0-6 -5.26U


    No plays tomorrow
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: Jun. 2, 2012 - 5:24 PM ET #24

    Todays play is

    OKC -3.5
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    Todays play is

    OKC -3.5
     
     
    riceman003
    riceman003
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 127
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #25

    No plays today
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    No plays today
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