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nba road , haves /ats syst

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Posted: #226
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

I agree. This season, however, is a shortened season due to the lockout. It might affect the system (has already affected it?).


yeah it could.  got a 5th bet coming up with sund vs mavs on the 23rd and hopefully it hits. i'll be nervous as hell if this goes to the 6th play.
 
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Posted: #227
nba road system
jan 2012 schedule

nj @ orl (12/29), atl (12/30), cle (1/1)=win (2/6)
tor @ dal (12/30), orl (1/1), ny (1/2)=win (2/6)
atl @ hou (12/31), mia (1/2), chi (1/3)=win (1/6)
cha @ mia (1/1), cle (1/3), ny (1/4)=win (1/6)
gs @ pho (1/2), sa (1/4), lal (1/6)=win (1/6)
ind @ nj (1/2), mia (1/4), bos (1/6)=win (3/6)
hou @ lal (1/3), lac (1/4), okc (1/6)=win (1/5)
mem @ mn (1/4), ut (1/6), lal (1/8)=win (4/6)
chi @ det (1/4), orl (1/6), atl (1/7)=win (5/6)
mil @ sac (1/5), lac (1/7), pho (1/8)=win (2/6)
mia @ gs (1/10), lac (1/11), den (1/13)=win (1/6)
cle @ pho (1/12), lal (1/13), cha (1/16)=win (3/6)
sac @ hou (1/13), dal (1/14), mn (1/16)=win (2/6)
nj @ pho (1/13), ut (1/14), lac (1/16)=win (3/6)
tor @ chi (1/14), atl (1/16), bos (1/18)=win (2/6)
gs @ det (1/15), cle (1/17), nj (1/18)=win (1/6)
okc @ bos (1/16), wa (1/18), nj (1/21)=no play
ind @ sac (1/18), gs (1/20), lal (1/22)=win (2/6)
den @ phi (1/18), wa (1/20), ny (1/21)=win (3/6)
por @ atl (1/18), tor (1/20), det (1/21)=win (1/6)
pho @ ny (1/18), bos (1/20), dal (1/23)=pending
dal @ lac (1/18), ut (1/19), no (1/21)=win (1/6)
sac @ sa (1/20), mem (1/21), por (1/23)=win (3/6)
nj @ chi (1/23), phi (1/25), cle (1/27)
 
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Posted: #228
NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 1/21
HALVES / ATS / 2011 - 12
SERIES RECORD 21 - 0
PENDING: 1

SUMMARY:

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........8
2ND PLAY OF SERIES........ 6
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........5
4TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 1
5TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 1
6TH PLAY OF SERIES.........x
LOSS.................................x


STD PROGRESSION / UNITS + 21.0
LABBY PROGRESSION/ UNITS -UPDATE LATER

COMMENTS: Mem covers last night in the first half. No games today but we have 2 tomorrow which includes a huge game…pho @ dal. Looking at the game….Dal has played 8 home games and has covered at least one half 8 of 8 games for 100% but even better stats is that Dal has covered the last 12 halves at home! I like these numbers to cover at least one half but my only concern is that Dal is coming off a 4 game road trip plus no Nowitzki.
 
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Posted: #229
[Quote: Originally Posted by ERBATIZ] nba road system
jan 2012 schedule

nj @ orl (12/29), atl (12/30), cle (1/1)=win (2/6)
tor @ dal (12/30), orl (1/1), ny (1/2)=win (2/6)
atl @ hou (12/31), mia (1/2), chi (1/3)=win (1/6)
cha @ mia (1/1), cle (1/3), ny (1/4)=win (1/6)
gs @ pho (1/2), sa (1/4), lal (1/6)=win (1/6)
ind @ nj (1/2), mia (1/4), bos (1/6)=win (3/6)
hou @ lal (1/3), lac (1/4), okc (1/6)=win (1/5)
mem @ mn (1/4), ut (1/6), lal (1/8)=win (4/6)
chi @ det (1/4), orl (1/6), atl (1/7)=win (5/6)
mil @ sac (1/5), lac (1/7), pho (1/8)=win (2/6)
mia @ gs (1/10), lac (1/11), den (1/13)=win (1/6)
cle @ pho (1/12), lal (1/13), cha (1/16)=win (3/6)
sac @ hou (1/13), dal (1/14), mn (1/16)=win (2/6)
nj @ pho (1/13), ut (1/14), lac (1/16)=win (3/6)
tor @ chi (1/14), atl (1/16), bos (1/18)=win (2/6)
gs @ det (1/15), cle (1/17), nj (1/18)=win (1/6)
okc @ bos (1/16), wa (1/18), nj (1/21)=no play
ind @ sac (1/18), gs (1/20), lal (1/22)=win (2/6)
den @ phi (1/18), wa (1/20), ny (1/21)=win (3/6)
por @ atl (1/18), tor (1/20), det (1/21)=win (1/6)
pho @ ny (1/18), bos (1/20), dal (1/23)...win (5/6)
dal @ lac (1/18), ut (1/19), no (1/21)=win (1/6)
sac @ sa (1/20), mem (1/21), por (1/23)=win (3/6)
nj @ chi (1/23), phi (1/25), cle (1/27) [....win(1/6)

dallas game 1h i had a push 2h dallas -2 won by 1 LOL
 
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Posted: #230
MEM @ POR (1/24), LAC (1/26), PHO (1/28)
NY @ CLE (1/25), MIA (1/27), HOU (1/28)
TOR @ UT (1/25), DEN (1/27), NJ (1/29)
IND @ CHI (1/25), BOS (1/27), ORL (1/29)
ATL @ DET (1/27), NO (1/29), TOR (1/31)
OKC @ GS (1/27), LAC (1/30), DAL (2/1)
SA @ MN (1/27), DAL (1/29), MEM (1/30)
DET @ MIL (1/30), NY (1/31), NJ (2/1)
 
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Posted: #231
hey erbatiz. I have a question about the lines. when do you take them for the first half of a game? And more importantly when would you take them for the second half of a game? 
 
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Posted: #232
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:

hey erbatiz. I have a question about the lines. when do you take them for the first half of a game? And more importantly when would you take them for the second half of a game? 

 1 h any time dont care tooo much  and 2h as soon they come out,but everybody has their own way to take the haves
 
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Posted: #233
Hi ERBATIZ ! do you have updated yet for next month ? 
Thanks for the works.
 
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Posted: #234
Quote Originally Posted by Hoan115:

Hi ERBATIZ ! do you have updated yet for next month ? 
Thanks for the works.

i have to wait for tony1 HE IS THE OWNER OF THE SYST.
 
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Posted: #235
Hey, i have been watching this system for a month and would like to try it out starting from February, i really admire your work! Very good stats! But one thing that i will add is that if i see a strong team face 3 weak teams in a row i might not follow. But you never know NBA is a bit random at times! So... thanks again and i would really appreciate if you could post the next months schedule! 

 From Europe! 
 
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Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by Soldier4Life:

Anyone that can answer this question, Thank You in advance for your support.... Is it a bad idea to only chase the first 3 series Based off of last years results (Post 211). or am I missing something? I am new to this chase system stuff. If I was betting to win only $10.00 on each series how would this play out. This is what i came up with... am I wrong ?.... Series 1 bet $11.00 to win $10.00 (Lose)  series 2  bet 22 to win $10.00 (Lose)  Series 3  bet $44.00 to win $10.00 after you lose 3 series is Done. Am I figuring this out right... Below is last years data, please tell me if i figured the numbers correct. Respectfully Soldier4Life

 Series 1= 75 wins , Series 2= 26 wins, Series 3 =15 wins  

Total Wins 116 = unit size $10.00  =  $10.00 x 116 = $1160.00

Total Losses = 10 series losses  at $10.00 unit size  $44.00 x 10 = $440.00 loss.     

win $1160.00 - Loss $440.00 = $720.00  profit for last year sys results.                                  

Total wins = 116 wins out of a 126 series  =91% winning

Your math is a little off. The TOTAL UNITS LOST Should be -11, -23.1, -48.5. ADDing them =82.6 for one lost series.

win $1160 - 826 = $334.... while doing this 3 run chase, if you lose 14 times you are in the red.

 
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Posted: #237
oh yeah. this year 3 games have so far lost through this chase. 23 units won - 247.8 = Loss of $17.8 (if 1 units = $10). 
Only way you would be in the green is if you restart the chase after a loss is completed. +3 units so far that way.
 
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Posted: #238
Remaining schedule for Jan

nj @ chi (1/23), phi (1/25), cle (1/27)=win (1/6)
mem @ por (1/24), lac (1/26), pho (1/28)=win(1/6)
ny @ cle (1/25), mia (1/27), hou (1/28)= win (1/6)
tor @ ut (1/25), den (1/27), nj (1/29)=pending
ind @ chi (1/25), bos (1/27), orl (1/29)=win (1/6)
atl @ det (1/27), no (1/29), tor (1/31)
okc @ gs (1/27), lac (1/30), dal (2/1)
sa @ mn (1/27), dal (1/29), mem (1/30)
det @ mil (1/30), ny (1/31), nj (2/1)
 
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Posted: #239
NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 1/25
HALVES / ATS / 2011 - 12
SERIES RECORD 26 - 0
PENDING: 1

SUMMARY:

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........12
2ND PLAY OF SERIES........ 6
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........5
4TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 1
5TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 2
6TH PLAY OF SERIES.........x
LOSS.................................x


STD PROGRESSION / UNITS + 26.0
 
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Posted: #240
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
FEB SCHEDULE
2012

CHA@POR(2/1),PHO(2/4),BOS(2/7)
MEM@ATL(2/2),OKC(2/3),BOS(2/5)
OKC@GS(2/7),SAC(2/9),UT(2/10)
CHI@NO(2/8),CHA(2/10),BOS(2/12)
LAL@BOS(2/9),NY(2/10),TOR(2/12)
HOU@PHO(2/9),GS(2/12),MEM(2/14)
LAC@PHI(2/10),CHA(2/11),DAL(2/13)
PHI@CLE(2/11),CHA(2/13),ORL(2/15)
PHO@SAC(2/11),GS(2/13),DEN(2/14)
UT@MEM(2/12),NO(2/13),OKC(2/14)
MIA@MIL(2/13),IND(2/14),CLE(2/17)
WAS@LAC(2/15),UT(2/17),PHO(2/20)
CHA@MN(2/15),TOR(2/17),IND(2/19)
DEN@DAL(2/15),MEM(2/17),OKC(2/19)
ATL@POR(2/18),CHI(2/20),NY(2/22)
PHI@MN(2/19),MEM(2/21),HOU(2/22)
SAC@CLE(2/19),MIA(2/21),WAS(2/22)
BOS@DET(2/29),DAL(2/20),OKC(2/22)
ORL@MIL(2/20),NJ(2/22),ATL(2/23)
NO@OKC(2/20),IND(2/21),CLE(2/22)
SA@UT(2/20),POR(2/21),DEN(2/23)
MN@LAL(2/29),PHO(3/1),POR(3/3)
MIL@BOS(2/29),ATL(3/2),ORL(3/3)
CHI@SA(2/29)CLE(3/2),PHI(3/4)
OKC@PHI(2/29),ORL(3/1),ATL(3/3)

NOTE: Any road series interrupted by the all-star game is considered as 2 different road trips and each must qualify to be a play. Total series for Feb is 25 not 24 as stated earlier.
 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:



all i know is it has been successful the past 8 years.


Riceboi the TOTAL RISK for 6 plays altogether is $838.95 per $10 unit.
 So if one loss = 84 units.....
2009-10......125 series wins and 1 loss + 41 units
2008- 09 ... 127 series wins and 1 loss + 43 units
2007- 08 ... 90 series wins and 2 losses -78 units
2006- 07... 83 series wins and 1 loss -1 unit
2005- 06 ... 108 series wins and 1 loss +24 units
2004- 05 ... 99 series wins and 0 loss
2003- 04 ... 102 series wins and 0 loss

There are 2 losing seasons in the last 8.
 
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Posted: #242
Jan is completed....record..31 series wins and 0 losses!!!


Nba road system
jan 2012 schedule

nj @ orl (12/29), atl (12/30), cle (1/1)=win (2/6)
tor @ dal (12/30), orl (1/1), ny (1/2)=win (2/6)
atl @ hou (12/31), mia (1/2), chi (1/3)=win (1/6)
cha @ mia (1/1), cle (1/3), ny (1/4)=win (1/6)
gs @ pho (1/2), sa (1/4), lal (1/6)=win (1/6)
ind @ nj (1/2), mia (1/4), bos (1/6)=win (3/6)
hou @ lal (1/3), lac (1/4), okc (1/6)=win (1/5)
mem @ mn (1/4), ut (1/6), lal (1/8)=win (4/6)
chi @ det (1/4), orl (1/6), atl (1/7)=win (5/6)
mil @ sac (1/5), lac (1/7), pho (1/8)=win (2/6)
mia @ gs (1/10), lac (1/11), den (1/13)=win (1/6)
cle @ pho (1/12), lal (1/13), cha (1/16)=win (3/6)
sac @ hou (1/13), dal (1/14), mn (1/16)=win (2/6)
nj @ pho (1/13), ut (1/14), lac (1/16)=win (3/6)
tor @ chi (1/14), atl (1/16), bos (1/18)=win (2/6)
gs @ det (1/15), cle (1/17), nj (1/18)=win (1/6)
okc @ bos (1/16), wa (1/18), nj (1/21)=no play
ind @ sac (1/18), gs (1/20), lal (1/22)=win (2/6)
den @ phi (1/18), wa (1/20), ny (1/21)=win (3/6)
por @ atl (1/18), tor (1/20), det (1/21)=win (1/6)
pho @ ny (1/18), bos (1/20), dal (1/23)=win (5/5)
dal @ lac (1/18), ut (1/19), no (1/21)=win (1/6)
sac @ sa (1/20), mem (1/21), por (1/23)=win (3/6)
nj @ chi (1/23), phi (1/25), cle (1/27)=win (1/6)
mem @ por (1/24), lac (1/26), pho (1/28)=win(1/6)
ny @ cle (1/25), mia (1/27), hou (1/28)= win (1/6)
tor @ ut (1/25), den (1/27), nj (1/29)=win (3/6)
ind @ chi (1/25), bos (1/27), orl (1/29)=win (1/6)
atl @ det (1/27), no (1/29), tor (1/31)=win (1/6)
okc @ gs (1/27), lac (1/30), dal (2/1)=win (3/6)
sa @ mn (1/27), dal (1/29), mem (1/30)=win(2/6)
det @ mil (1/30), ny (1/31), nj (2/1)=win (1/6)
 
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Posted: #243
NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 1/31
HALVES / ATS / 2011 - 12
SERIES RECORD 31 - 0
PENDING: 0

SUMMARY:

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........14
2ND PLAY OF SERIES........ 7
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........7
4TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 1
5TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 2
6TH PLAY OF SERIES.........x
LOSS.................................x


STD PROGRESSION / UNITS + 31.0
LIMITED PROGRESSION / UINTS +32.05
LABBY PROGRESSION / UNITS +7.57

COMMENTS: Jan was a good month! We had 2 series extended to the last game of the series which is normal. I will take a month like this every time!

I have mentioned that this season is different because of the lockout and compact schedule and the fatique factor is very evident for both sides and the advantage may not be as high in past seasons but the edge still goes to the home team.

There is a possibility as we move forward with the season that I will take a careful look at each series as a play or not.
 
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Posted: #244
NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 2/3
HALVES / ATS / 2011 - 12
SERIES RECORD 33 - 0
PENDING: 0

SUMMARY:

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........15
2ND PLAY OF SERIES........ 7
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........7
4TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 2
5TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 2
6TH PLAY OF SERIES..........x
LOSS................................x


STD PROGRESSION / UNITS + 33.0
LIMITED PROGRESSION / UINTS +33.05 (mem @ bos/pending)
LABBY PROGRESSION / UNITS +5.24

COMMENTS: Mem finally loses some steam in the 4th quarter and Okc covers!
The next 2 series … looking as a no play. More details later.
 
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Posted: #245
 
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Posted: #246
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
FEB SCHEDULE
2012
CHA@POR(2/1),PHO(2/4),BOS(2/7)=WIN (1/6)
MEM@ATL(2/2),OKC(2/3),BOS(2/5)=WIN (4/6)
OKC@GS(2/7),SAC(2/9),UT(2/10)=NO PLAY
CHI@NO(2/8),CHA(2/10),BOS(2/12)=NO PLAY
LAL@BOS(2/9),NY(2/10),TOR(2/12)
HOU@PHO(2/9),GS(2/12),MEM(2/14)
LAC@PHI(2/10),CHA(2/11),DAL(2/13)

COMMENTS: I MAY HAVE 3 TO 5 SERIES AS A NO PLAY THIS MONTH!

The next 2 series is a no play . I have been question about the no plays but as mentioned, this season is different and fatigue is very evident on both sides but I still give the edge to the home team. I had no play series in past years so this is nothing new!

Looking at OKC… currently I prefer to avoid this team although the fatigue factor should be a factor with so many road games within a few days.

Looking at Chi…the first 2 games are against two teams that are having a tough time… NO and CHA with Bos to follow. NO has covered at least one half 9 out of the last 10 games but NO is hurting with injuries, the top 3 scorers are out. I was tempted to play this series but decided against it.

This is only my decision but if you prefer to play it…good luck!

And you know by not making these plays the home teams will cover the first half of game one.

The goal this month is to win 20 units and this is still possible with the no plays.
 
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Posted: #247
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
FEB SCHEDULE
2012
CHA@POR(2/1),PHO(2/4),BOS(2/7)=WIN (1/6)
MEM@ATL(2/2),OKC(2/3),BOS(2/5)=WIN (4/6)
OKC@GS(2/7),SAC(2/9),UT(2/10)=NO PLAY
CHI@NO(2/8),CHA(2/10),BOS(2/12)=NO PLAY
LAL@BOS(2/9),NY(2/10),TOR(2/12)=WIN (1/6)
HOU@PHO(2/9),GS(2/12),MEM(2/14)=PENDING
LAC@PHI(2/10),CHA(2/11),DAL(2/13)
PHI@CLE(2/11),CHA(2/13),ORL(2/15)
PHO@SAC(2/11),GS(2/13),DEN(2/14)

COMMENTS: One game today. Yesterday's results...the hou road series extends to the 2nd game of the series at GS on Sunday and Bos covers the first half by one-half point.
 
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Posted: #248
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
FEB SCHEDULE
2012

CHA@POR(2/1),PHO(2/4),BOS(2/7)=WIN (1/6)
MEM@ATL(2/2),OKC(2/3),BOS(2/5)=WIN (4/6)
OKC@GS(2/7),SAC(2/9),UT(2/10)=NO PLAY
CHI@NO(2/8),CHA(2/10),BOS(2/12)=NO PLAY
LAL@BOS(2/9),NY(2/10),TOR(2/12)=WIN (1/6)
HOU@PHO(2/9),GS(2/12),MEM(2/14)=WIN (3/6)
LAC@PHI(2/10),CHA(2/11),DAL(2/13)=WIN (4/5)
PHI@CLE(2/11),CHA(2/13),ORL(2/15)=WIN (2/6)
PHO@SAC(2/11),GS(2/13),DEN(2/14)=WIN (4/6)
UT@MEM(2/12),NO(2/13),OKC(2/14)=WIN (3/6)
MIA@MIL(2/13),IND(2/14),CLE(2/17)=WIN (4/6)
WAS@LAC(2/15),UT(2/17),PHO(2/20)=WIN (2/6)
CHA@MN(2/15),TOR(2/17),IND(2/19)=WIN (2/6)
DEN@DAL(2/15),MEM(2/17),OKC(2/19)=WIN (1/6)
ATL@POR(2/18),CHI(2/20),NY(2/22)=WIN (1/6)
PHI@MN(2/19),MEM(2/21),HOU(2/22)
SAC@CLE(2/19),MIA(2/21),WAS(2/22)
BOS@DET(2/19),DAL(2/20),OKC(2/22)
 
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Posted: #249
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
FEB SCHEDULE
2012

CHA@POR(2/1),PHO(2/4),BOS(2/7)=WIN (1/6)
MEM@ATL(2/2),OKC(2/3),BOS(2/5)=WIN (4/6)
OKC@GS(2/7),SAC(2/9),UT(2/10)=NO PLAY
CHI@NO(2/8),CHA(2/10),BOS(2/12)=NO PLAY
LAL@BOS(2/9),NY(2/10),TOR(2/12)=WIN (1/6)
HOU@PHO(2/9),GS(2/12),MEM(2/14)=WIN (3/6)
LAC@PHI(2/10),CHA(2/11),DAL(2/13)=WIN (4/5)
PHI@CLE(2/11),CHA(2/13),ORL(2/15)=WIN (2/6)
PHO@SAC(2/11),GS(2/13),DEN(2/14)=WIN (4/6)
UT@MEM(2/12),NO(2/13),OKC(2/14)=WIN (3/6)
MIA@MIL(2/13),IND(2/14),CLE(2/17)=WIN (4/6)
WAS@LAC(2/15),UT(2/17),PHO(2/20)=WIN (2/6)
CHA@MN(2/15),TOR(2/17),IND(2/19)=WIN (2/6)
DEN@DAL(2/15),MEM(2/17),OKC(2/19)=WIN (1/6)
ATL@POR(2/18),CHI(2/20),NY(2/22)=WIN (1/6)
PHI@MN(2/19),MEM(2/21),HOU(2/22)=WIN (2/6)
SAC@CLE(2/19),MIA(2/21),WAS(2/22)=WIN (1/6)***
BOS@DET(2/19),DAL(2/20),OKC(2/22)=WIN (1/6)
ORL@MIL(2/20),NJ(2/22),ATL(2/23)=PENDING
NO@OKC(2/20),IND(2/21),CLE(2/22)=WIN (1/6)
SA@UT(2/20),POR(2/21),DEN(2/23)=NO PLAY

COMMENTS: One cover last night with okc covering the 1st half (1/6). Orl road series extends to the 2nd game at NJ and the next play will be (2/5) because of a push for the 1st half of game 1.

***Tonight's play: If you had a push with sac/cle for the 1st half, the next play is sac @ mia (2/6).
 
 
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Posted: #250
erbatiz thank you for sharing
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