NBA playoffs- Player props

Always been a huge fan of DanRules systems. I’m going to take a similar approach with player props in this years playoffs. 

Rule- Chase the star player on the favorite team to win the series to go over on points for one game, then the series is over. 

yesterdays games:

Cleveland fav to win series- Donovan Mitchell over 19.5 

Minnesota fav to win series- Anthony Edward’s over 25.5 

Knicks fav to win series- Brunson over 31.5 

Denver fav to win series- Jokic over 27.5 

4/21

Boston fav to win series, Tatum over 25.5

Dallas fav to win series, Doncic over 32.5

Pacers fav to win series, Halliburton over 20.5

OKC fav to win series, SGA over 28.5

Record so far

”A” games: 3-1

”B” games: Brunson pending

System result 3-0, +3 units

4/21

Boston fav to win series, Tatum over 25.5 moves to B game 

Dallas fav to win series, Doncic over 32.5  Series over 

Pacers fav to win series, Halliburton over 20.5  Moves to B game 

OKC fav to win series, SGA over 28.5 Moves to B game 

Record so far

Game A: 4-4

Game B: 0-0 (4 pending) 

4/22

Brunson over 30.5 ( 2.3 to win 2.1)

That is such a good idea.  All it takes is a big star stepping up in the playoffs and having a big game, even if the team barely loses the game.  I am hanging back for Round 2.  Thanks for sharing 

4/22- Brunson loss 2.3 units, moves to “C” game

Play recap so far

”A” games 4-4 (-0.4 units)

Mitchell over winner (1 unit)

Jokic over winner (1 unit) 

Edwards over winner (1 unit)

Brunson over loser (-1.1 unit)

Tatum over loser (-1.1 unit)

Doncic over winner (1 unit)

SGA over loser (-1.1 unit)

Halliburton over loser (-1.1 unit)

B games (0-1)

Brunson over loser (-2.3 units) Move to C game

Halliburton pending 2 to win 2.1 over 19.5

SGA pending 2.3 to win 2.1 over 29.5

Tatum pending 2.3 to win 2.1 over 25.5

Halliburton over loser. Moves to C game. 

Makes me rethink this approach. Halliburton isn’t a top scorer. Should have gone PRA with him. Something to think about. 

When I jump in, I probably won't do every team.  Not all the teams have 25+ ppg All-Star.   Also I don't know enough details about the NBA.  

Tatum over Game B winner

SGA over pending tonight 

SGA over winner as well!

Brunson winner game C! 

Will put up a recap. Play would be on Halliburton over but may skip and move to next round. Will post recap soon

First round recap so far

8 series, Goal is 8 units. 

Game A (4-4)

Game B (2-2)

Game C (1-0)

8 series we are at 7-0 (+3.9 units) , with 1 pending (Halliburton over) 

Since we made almost half of the goal and the other half pending on Halliburton, I am going to keep my profits and move to 2nd round. I will only chase the over if the teams top player is top 10 in scoring. Halliburton is a pass first player. Should’ve thought about that before. Anyhow moving on the 2nd round. 3.9 units nothing to scoff at. 

Good Call 

2nd round incoming! 

2nd round

Wolves/Nuggets

Nuggets (-195) to win the series

Jokic points over chase. Jokic is so dominant, you can chase the over in scoring and the PRA over. For this thread, we will only be chasing his over in scoring. 

Game A, Jokic over 27.5 1.1 to win 1 

I just wagered $11.50 to win $10 

Boom

Jokic over Game A winner 1 unit 

Thanks to Nikola Jokic.  He played well, took a lot of shots, scored a lot of points, and his team barely lost.  That's the type of Playoff Game I envisioned when I read about the idea for this system.  Congrats 

Pacers/Knicks series

Game A Brunson over 34.5 (-106) 1 to win 1 

Round 2

Nuggets(fav)/Wolves- Game a winner. Series over (1-0)

Knicks(fav)/Pacers- Brunson over 34.5. Game A tomorrow

Celtics(fav)/Cavs- Game A Tuesday. (Tatum over)

OKC(fav)/Mavs- Game A Tuesday. (SGA over)

Brunson over winner. Game A 

2-0, +2 units

Todays plays were on 

Tatum over 

SGA over