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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    nba parlay system

    12 Next Last»
    jv040
    tomius
    MontanaMax
    sabia
    rudie
    ...
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    12 Next Last»
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2009 - 8:25 AM ET #1

    nba parlay system

    heres one I saw in a e-book I picked up on sports betting.

    only bet on home teams

    both home teams must be above 600 pct

    teams thier playing against must be below 400 pct.

    it doesn't say if the bet is on moneyline or pointspread

    watch out for injuries

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    nba parlay system

    heres one I saw in a e-book I picked up on sports betting.

    only bet on home teams

    both home teams must be above 600 pct

    teams thier playing against must be below 400 pct.

    it doesn't say if the bet is on moneyline or pointspread

    watch out for injuries

     

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2009 - 7:31 AM ET #2

    I decided to test this out on spreadpoint bet.

    todays parlays are

    Den  and lal

    Reply

    I decided to test this out on spreadpoint bet.

    todays parlays are

    Den  and lal

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 2, 2009 - 2:43 AM ET #3

    den and lal
    Reply
    den and lal
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 2, 2009 - 2:44 AM ET #4

    todays parlay dec 2

    Atl  and orl 

    Reply

    todays parlay dec 2

    Atl  and orl 

     
    tomius
    tomius
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    Posted: Dec. 2, 2009 - 6:45 PM ET #5

    Reply
     
    MontanaMax
    MontanaMax
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    Posted: Dec. 2, 2009 - 8:29 PM ET #6

    Good one bro...........
    Yeah its been around for a minute but cant' find any prior results myself neither
    Also don't forget for what its worth the team with the .600 hm win % must be above .500
    The team with below .400 rd win % must be below .500 if I'm correct
    if I am correct
    Yes I would say about the injuries applies to only the starting line up or at least a good 6th man
    Pending how it goes would it be an option to chase considering the risk vs payout ratio regarding the ML parlays
    Your right about whether to parlay the spread or ML's
    Hmmm............
    If your able to track both just in case that be cool
    ................... man
    Reply
    Good one bro...........
    Yeah its been around for a minute but cant' find any prior results myself neither
    Also don't forget for what its worth the team with the .600 hm win % must be above .500
    The team with below .400 rd win % must be below .500 if I'm correct
    if I am correct
    Yes I would say about the injuries applies to only the starting line up or at least a good 6th man
    Pending how it goes would it be an option to chase considering the risk vs payout ratio regarding the ML parlays
    Your right about whether to parlay the spread or ML's
    Hmmm............
    If your able to track both just in case that be cool
    ................... man
     
    sabia
    sabia
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2009 - 12:24 AM ET #7

    Reply
     
    sabia
    sabia
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2009 - 12:26 AM ET #8

    Reply
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2009 - 4:48 PM ET #9

    atl  -  orl 

    record so far

    1-1    ml

    1-1    spread

    Reply

    atl  -  orl 

    record so far

    1-1    ml

    1-1    spread

     
    rudie
    rudie
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2009 - 8:17 PM ET #10

    just weak
    Reply
    just weak
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2009 - 9:20 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by rudie:

    just weak

    if the parlay bet is on spread then 50% wins so far is not weak its profit.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by rudie:

    just weak

    if the parlay bet is on spread then 50% wins so far is not weak its profit.

     
    PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2009 - 12:22 AM ET #12

    If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.
    Reply
    If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2009 - 7:59 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by PatrickBateman:

    If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.

    I took a look at that. it looks like it started out good then fell apart.

    heres another thought I have.  the plays could probably be  bet on the spreadpoint but just bet them straight and don't parlay them. could try it both ways.   for me personally I think with parlays I'm sticking to 2 or 3 teams and I'm going to also try just betting them straight on spreadpoint line. I'm going to be playing both ways.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by PatrickBateman:

    If you search for a poster under the name "fritz" you will find some results from the previous two years.

    I took a look at that. it looks like it started out good then fell apart.

    heres another thought I have.  the plays could probably be  bet on the spreadpoint but just bet them straight and don't parlay them. could try it both ways.   for me personally I think with parlays I'm sticking to 2 or 3 teams and I'm going to also try just betting them straight on spreadpoint line. I'm going to be playing both ways.

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2009 - 8:10 AM ET #14

    dec 4th qualifying plays

    atl

    cle

    uta

    looks like uta has a couple of new injury's but the line is falling so it might still be a ok bet.

    Reply

    dec 4th qualifying plays

    atl

    cle

    uta

    looks like uta has a couple of new injury's but the line is falling so it might still be a ok bet.

     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2009 - 8:33 AM ET #15

    I parlayed atl and cle together.
    Reply
    I parlayed atl and cle together.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2009 - 11:19 AM ET #16

    I also parlayed cle and uta.
    Reply
    I also parlayed cle and uta.
     
    rome1
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2009 - 11:45 AM ET #17

    another winning night GOOD JOB!
    Reply
    another winning night GOOD JOB!
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2009 - 12:08 PM ET #18

    thanks rome hopefully I will continue to hit them.

     

    atl and cle

    cle and uta

    ml  2-2

    sp  2-2

     

    it doesn't look like  theres going to be anything till at least tuesday

    Reply

    thanks rome hopefully I will continue to hit them.

     

    atl and cle

    cle and uta

    ml  2-2

    sp  2-2

     

    it doesn't look like  theres going to be anything till at least tuesday

     
    jbrent95
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 2:44 PM ET #19

    Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

    Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.
    Reply
    Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

    Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 8:10 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by jbrent95:

    Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

    Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.

     

    do you have the breakdown for the last 5 years

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jbrent95:

    Since 2004, 0.600 teams are 249-290-18 ATS (468-89 SU) at home against sub-0.400 teams.  The ATS winning percentage is 46.1%.  The break even winning percentage for each team in a 2-team parlay is 52.7%.

    Betting your system against the point spread is not going to be profitable in the long run.

     

    do you have the breakdown for the last 5 years

     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 8:16 PM ET #21

    I personaly think the calculation is off for ats. only 30% parlays need to come in too break even.
    Reply
    I personaly think the calculation is off for ats. only 30% parlays need to come in too break even.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 8:26 PM ET #22

    I was also thinking about putting SU on a 10% method betting it looks like it would definitly work out thou some bets would be real steep.  I'm thinking as far as parlays go to parlay starting with strongest teams and going to weakest teams I wonder if theres a way to go back and check how that turned out ats  in previous years.
    Reply
    I was also thinking about putting SU on a 10% method betting it looks like it would definitly work out thou some bets would be real steep.  I'm thinking as far as parlays go to parlay starting with strongest teams and going to weakest teams I wonder if theres a way to go back and check how that turned out ats  in previous years.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 8:41 PM ET #23

    I forgot to state what the rest of the system was in my first post but montanamax stated what the rest was in the six post.  thinking about filters like maybe not to include teams playing east against west or something like that. especially if it's the first game of a  2 or 3 game road trip. those types of teams often cover.  maybe after this season is over and see where my losses are.
    Reply
    I forgot to state what the rest of the system was in my first post but montanamax stated what the rest was in the six post.  thinking about filters like maybe not to include teams playing east against west or something like that. especially if it's the first game of a  2 or 3 game road trip. those types of teams often cover.  maybe after this season is over and see where my losses are.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 8:58 PM ET #24

    I think it's more like 33% parlays ATS to break even.
    Reply
    I think it's more like 33% parlays ATS to break even.
     
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2009 - 9:42 PM ET #25

    this is the whole system

    two teams chosen must be at home

    2 home teams chosen must be above 500 pct

    2 home teams chosen must be above 600 pct at home

    road teams must be below 500 pct

    road teams must be below 400 pct on the road

    watch out for injurys

     

    Reply

    this is the whole system

    two teams chosen must be at home

    2 home teams chosen must be above 500 pct

    2 home teams chosen must be above 600 pct at home

    road teams must be below 500 pct

    road teams must be below 400 pct on the road

    watch out for injurys

     

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