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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA 2015-2016 Two win streak strategy

    JoeMahirap
    ERBATIZ
    sports_Network
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    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2015 - 7:26 PM ET #1

    Initial outlay of money on the first bet. After a win, you take the winning money and the initial outlay, and bet that total amount on the second bet. Thus you win two straight games/bets. Then start all over with the initial outlay of money again.

    Now if you lose the bet, then you go back to the initial outlay of money bet again on the next bet.

    For easy reference, the first bet will always be $ 100.00 US Dollars.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Initial outlay of money on the first bet. After a win, you take the winning money and the initial outlay, and bet that total amount on the second bet. Thus you win two straight games/bets. Then start all over with the initial outlay of money again.

    Now if you lose the bet, then you go back to the initial outlay of money bet again on the next bet.

    For easy reference, the first bet will always be $ 100.00 US Dollars.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2015 - 7:28 PM ET #2

    I find NBA ATS as the hardest plays in any of the professional sports. I have tried single action to some moderate success, but then would lose more than win on the following season. 

    The worst thing about the NBA action in all my experience, is having many actions or multiple actions per day. I find that limited action per day is the best way to control the bankroll for this game.
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    I find NBA ATS as the hardest plays in any of the professional sports. I have tried single action to some moderate success, but then would lose more than win on the following season. 

    The worst thing about the NBA action in all my experience, is having many actions or multiple actions per day. I find that limited action per day is the best way to control the bankroll for this game.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2015 - 7:29 PM ET #3

    Pick for Tuesday-Oct 27: Cleveland 1H +2 -105 Risking 100 To win 95.
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    Pick for Tuesday-Oct 27: Cleveland 1H +2 -105 Risking 100 To win 95.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2015 - 9:02 PM ET #4

    Final score:

    Chicago 1H 46 Cleveland 1H 40

    Loss -100

    YTD 0-1 -100
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    Final score:

    Chicago 1H 46 Cleveland 1H 40

    Loss -100

    YTD 0-1 -100
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2015 - 10:25 PM ET #5

    best wishes
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    best wishes
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 8:45 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    Initial outlay of money on the first bet. After a win, you take the winning money and the initial outlay, and bet that total amount on the second bet. Thus you win two straight games/bets. Then start all over with the initial outlay of money again.

    Now if you lose the bet, then you go back to the initial outlay of money bet again on the next bet.

    For easy reference, the first bet will always be $ 100.00 US Dollars.
    Joe, you have explained the MM strategy, what system are you using for your (game picks) betting format?
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    Initial outlay of money on the first bet. After a win, you take the winning money and the initial outlay, and bet that total amount on the second bet. Thus you win two straight games/bets. Then start all over with the initial outlay of money again.

    Now if you lose the bet, then you go back to the initial outlay of money bet again on the next bet.

    For easy reference, the first bet will always be $ 100.00 US Dollars.
    Joe, you have explained the MM strategy, what system are you using for your (game picks) betting format?
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 11:12 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    best wishes

    Thanks. I haven't tried this yet anytime. So I just want to see how it pans out by the end of November. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    best wishes

    Thanks. I haven't tried this yet anytime. So I just want to see how it pans out by the end of November. 
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 11:21 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Joe, you have explained the MM strategy, what system are you using for your (game picks) betting format?

    In Hockey I just basically based it in the best team vs the team most likely to lose... straight up.

    In all my experience in NBA wagering, that is simply not the case. A huge lead can simply be eradicated in a matter of minutes. It doesn't matter how good or how bad the team is. We can't control when the coach will make switches and then the other coach doesn't switch and decide to keep his starters in the game. 

    I found the NBA the most difficult games to handicap in any of the professional sports wagering.

    I am going to go with my gut on this one and take the underdog in the first half of the early games. Either a good matchup between good teams, or a home underdog against a favorite team on the road.

    The other thread is for the Western games later in the evening. So, this will be the eastern and central games that start around 7PM or 8PM, or early afternoon games.

    I am thinking first halves underdogs. Why? The better team or favorite team that night, will not be worried about whether they have the lead or not by halftime, since there is no sense of urgency as there is another half of basketball remaining. 

    Yesterday, the defending champions were getting points. Why not? The result today obviously shows why not, because they didn't cover. But I'll still stand by it and see how it pans out by November. Like for tonight I am leaning Orlando 1H at home who is an underdog against a Paul Pierce-less Washington team. I still think that Washington will be missing Paul's leadership this season. Without Paul, it seems like a very different team. He did add in mental toughness that was introduced to him back in 2007-2008 by Kevin Garnett.


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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Joe, you have explained the MM strategy, what system are you using for your (game picks) betting format?

    In Hockey I just basically based it in the best team vs the team most likely to lose... straight up.

    In all my experience in NBA wagering, that is simply not the case. A huge lead can simply be eradicated in a matter of minutes. It doesn't matter how good or how bad the team is. We can't control when the coach will make switches and then the other coach doesn't switch and decide to keep his starters in the game. 

    I found the NBA the most difficult games to handicap in any of the professional sports wagering.

    I am going to go with my gut on this one and take the underdog in the first half of the early games. Either a good matchup between good teams, or a home underdog against a favorite team on the road.

    The other thread is for the Western games later in the evening. So, this will be the eastern and central games that start around 7PM or 8PM, or early afternoon games.

    I am thinking first halves underdogs. Why? The better team or favorite team that night, will not be worried about whether they have the lead or not by halftime, since there is no sense of urgency as there is another half of basketball remaining. 

    Yesterday, the defending champions were getting points. Why not? The result today obviously shows why not, because they didn't cover. But I'll still stand by it and see how it pans out by November. Like for tonight I am leaning Orlando 1H at home who is an underdog against a Paul Pierce-less Washington team. I still think that Washington will be missing Paul's leadership this season. Without Paul, it seems like a very different team. He did add in mental toughness that was introduced to him back in 2007-2008 by Kevin Garnett.


     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 11:22 AM ET #9

    Pick for Wednesday-Oct 28: Orlando 1H +2 -110 Risking 100 To win 91.
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    Pick for Wednesday-Oct 28: Orlando 1H +2 -110 Risking 100 To win 91.
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 12:22 PM ET #10

    Any team in the NBA can exponge a 16 point lead in the final 6 minutes of play, 9pts in the final 2 minutes. that's a calculated coaching fact

    the Magic +2 -110 [first half]

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    Any team in the NBA can exponge a 16 point lead in the final 6 minutes of play, 9pts in the final 2 minutes. that's a calculated coaching fact

    the Magic +2 -110 [first half]

     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 7:53 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Any team in the NBA can exponge a 16 point lead in the final 6 minutes of play, 9pts in the final 2 minutes. that's a calculated coaching fact

    the Magic +2 -110 [first half] 


    Thanks. You nailed it right on the spot. Washington is definitely the better and more talented team, minus it's clutch player Pierce who joined his old coach in LA Clips. 

    Orlando has a new coach, Scott Skiles. He's a hard nosed coach, and is more defensive oriented and expects a lot out of his players. And he might make the difference in ATS spreads for his young team. 

    Halfway through the first quarter, Washington lead by 9 points 18-9, and you'd think that they'd start running away with the game on the road right? Perhaps. Washington lead 31-29 after 1 quarter. But now that it is 8:15 left in the 2nd Qtr, Orlando is leading 39-34.

    This just shows the validity of your point Sports Network. Thanks.
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Any team in the NBA can exponge a 16 point lead in the final 6 minutes of play, 9pts in the final 2 minutes. that's a calculated coaching fact

    the Magic +2 -110 [first half] 


    Thanks. You nailed it right on the spot. Washington is definitely the better and more talented team, minus it's clutch player Pierce who joined his old coach in LA Clips. 

    Orlando has a new coach, Scott Skiles. He's a hard nosed coach, and is more defensive oriented and expects a lot out of his players. And he might make the difference in ATS spreads for his young team. 

    Halfway through the first quarter, Washington lead by 9 points 18-9, and you'd think that they'd start running away with the game on the road right? Perhaps. Washington lead 31-29 after 1 quarter. But now that it is 8:15 left in the 2nd Qtr, Orlando is leading 39-34.

    This just shows the validity of your point Sports Network. Thanks.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 7:59 PM ET #12

    And then all of a sudden Washington goes on a run and within less than 3 and 1/2 minutes has taken a 44-43 lead with 4:54 remaining on the 2nd Qtr. Betting the NBA can be basically be something like a roulette wheel.
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    And then all of a sudden Washington goes on a run and within less than 3 and 1/2 minutes has taken a 44-43 lead with 4:54 remaining on the 2nd Qtr. Betting the NBA can be basically be something like a roulette wheel.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 8:25 PM ET #13

    Final score:

    Washington 1H 53 Orland 1H 51

    Push

    0-1-1 -100

    All of a sudden everyone kept missing free throws as if tweaking the score to two points lead by the first half favorite team. Haha. I love coincidences.
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    Final score:

    Washington 1H 53 Orland 1H 51

    Push

    0-1-1 -100

    All of a sudden everyone kept missing free throws as if tweaking the score to two points lead by the first half favorite team. Haha. I love coincidences.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 8:34 PM ET #14

    BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion.
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    BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 8:35 PM ET #15

    No play. I'll skip to tomorrow's Thursday matchups.
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    No play. I'll skip to tomorrow's Thursday matchups.
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 6:58 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    Final score:

    Washington 1H 53 Orland 1H 51

    Push

    0-1-1 -100

    All of a sudden everyone kept missing free throws as if tweaking the score to two points lead by the first half favorite team. Haha. I love coincidences.
    that's the NBA, well said, in all due respect, your PUSH was a WIN at the majority of sportbooks throughout LV...this game was of particular interest to myself, putting the wager in 20 minutes before tip-off, I received ORL +2.5 @ -110 Westgate SuperBook LV.. although you registered a PUSH, your handicap would have to be considered justified to the 'winning edge' good call
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    Final score:

    Washington 1H 53 Orland 1H 51

    Push

    0-1-1 -100

    All of a sudden everyone kept missing free throws as if tweaking the score to two points lead by the first half favorite team. Haha. I love coincidences.
    that's the NBA, well said, in all due respect, your PUSH was a WIN at the majority of sportbooks throughout LV...this game was of particular interest to myself, putting the wager in 20 minutes before tip-off, I received ORL +2.5 @ -110 Westgate SuperBook LV.. although you registered a PUSH, your handicap would have to be considered justified to the 'winning edge' good call
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 7:13 AM ET #17

    [Quote: Originally Posted by JoeMahirap] BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion. [/Quote] ORL ended up losing the game by "one point" 88-87 covering both the second half, and the game itself.....
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by JoeMahirap] BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion. [/Quote] ORL ended up losing the game by "one point" 88-87 covering both the second half, and the game itself.....
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 7:24 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion.
    Your opinion holds weight, actually I am a Scott Skiles follower back from his days as the Pacers HC, your assessment on his motivation factor, and his defensive awareness, played a major role in taking the first half +2.5, and the +4.5 spread wager to the bank. you appear to be 'tuned'into the NBA, and how it works..
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeMahirap:

    BetDSI has Orlando 2H +2.5 -105 and WagerCastle has Orlando 2H +4.5 -110. I am tempted to take Orlando 2H in the 2nd Qtr. With all the turnovers and missed free throws, it seems the game is being tweaked. At the same time Skiles has his less than stellar team performing defensively creating 8 opposing turnovers and being physical by committing 15 fouls. Washington is definitely the more talented team ion paper, and the playoff team. But Skiles seems to be really motivating this young Orlando team on the defensive end. And that might be the difference. Of course, that's just my opinion.
    Your opinion holds weight, actually I am a Scott Skiles follower back from his days as the Pacers HC, your assessment on his motivation factor, and his defensive awareness, played a major role in taking the first half +2.5, and the +4.5 spread wager to the bank. you appear to be 'tuned'into the NBA, and how it works..
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 11:15 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Your opinion holds weight, actually I am a Scott Skiles follower back from his days as the Pacers HC, your assessment on his motivation factor, and his defensive awareness, played a major role in taking the first half +2.5, and the +4.5 spread wager to the bank. you appear to be 'tuned'into the NBA, and how it works..

    Thanks. Scott Skiles the player is still the best point guard that ever played one game. He holds the record in the NBA for most assist in one game, and that is 30 assists when he did it as a point guard for the Orlando Magic back in the early 90's pre Shaq days. And he'd be in a scuffle here and there as well. During practice he and rookie Shaq would go at it, but it mellowed down. He couldn't care less about a David and Goliath matchup, the effort will be there.
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Your opinion holds weight, actually I am a Scott Skiles follower back from his days as the Pacers HC, your assessment on his motivation factor, and his defensive awareness, played a major role in taking the first half +2.5, and the +4.5 spread wager to the bank. you appear to be 'tuned'into the NBA, and how it works..

    Thanks. Scott Skiles the player is still the best point guard that ever played one game. He holds the record in the NBA for most assist in one game, and that is 30 assists when he did it as a point guard for the Orlando Magic back in the early 90's pre Shaq days. And he'd be in a scuffle here and there as well. During practice he and rookie Shaq would go at it, but it mellowed down. He couldn't care less about a David and Goliath matchup, the effort will be there.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 7:10 PM ET #20

    Arrgghh! I just missed placing my bet for tonight by a few minutes. I was supposed to take Indiana 1H +1.5 -110 Risking 100 To Win 91. Oh well. There's always tomorrow.
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    Arrgghh! I just missed placing my bet for tonight by a few minutes. I was supposed to take Indiana 1H +1.5 -110 Risking 100 To Win 91. Oh well. There's always tomorrow.
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2015 - 8:17 PM ET #21

    I'll count it for standings sake just in order to see how it pans out.

    Final Score:

    Memphis 1H 50 Indiana 1H 49

    Home Dogs has better records in NBA games than NHL games year in and year out it seems. 
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    I'll count it for standings sake just in order to see how it pans out.

    Final Score:

    Memphis 1H 50 Indiana 1H 49

    Home Dogs has better records in NBA games than NHL games year in and year out it seems. 
     
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2015 - 9:19 AM ET #22

    you did post it in advance, the play WON your justified (for standings sake at least). getting the bet in on time was an error on your part.....
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    you did post it in advance, the play WON your justified (for standings sake at least). getting the bet in on time was an error on your part.....
     
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2015 - 5:48 PM ET #23

    Pick for Friday-Oct 30: Miami 1H +2 -115 Risking 100 To win 87.
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    Pick for Friday-Oct 30: Miami 1H +2 -115 Risking 100 To win 87.
     
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2015 - 6:54 PM ET #24

    Pick for Saturday-Oct 31: Utah 1H +1.5 105 Risking 100 To win 95.
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    Pick for Saturday-Oct 31: Utah 1H +1.5 105 Risking 100 To win 95.
     
     
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2015 - 10:58 AM ET #25

    YTD 1-3-1 -200


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    YTD 1-3-1 -200


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