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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA - Don't laugh but this system is 6-1 so far this year

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    the_vig
    jv040
    bamboo08
    papagunnz
    boycali01
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    the_vig
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 2:55 AM ET #1

    LoL bear with me.

    Add the highest total of the day with the lowest total, divide by 2 and bet the under on the total that comes closest (up or down) to the average of the high and low. (min. 4 games on the sched.)

    6-1 so far.  Wacky but hitting at 86% so far!
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    LoL bear with me.

    Add the highest total of the day with the lowest total, divide by 2 and bet the under on the total that comes closest (up or down) to the average of the high and low. (min. 4 games on the sched.)

    6-1 so far.  Wacky but hitting at 86% so far!
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 3:04 AM ET #2

    Last year at this time it was 4-1.  When you get the average of the 2 totals round down even if its 200.75, bring it to 200, doing this would result in a 6-0 record at this time last year. 

    There was an average that came out to 194.75.  The game that was 195.5 went over, but the two 193.5 games came under.  So if you would round down to 194 it would have hit the two.  So basically it's only integer results, no decimals and no rounding up.

    Weeeeeeeeeeeeeee

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    Last year at this time it was 4-1.  When you get the average of the 2 totals round down even if its 200.75, bring it to 200, doing this would result in a 6-0 record at this time last year. 

    There was an average that came out to 194.75.  The game that was 195.5 went over, but the two 193.5 games came under.  So if you would round down to 194 it would have hit the two.  So basically it's only integer results, no decimals and no rounding up.

    Weeeeeeeeeeeeeee

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 5:50 AM ET #3

    how far in the season did you go last year?  nice find.
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    how far in the season did you go last year?  nice find.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 5:51 AM ET #4

    I think at some point it will even out.
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    I think at some point it will even out.
     
    bamboo08
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 6:46 AM ET #5

    VIG,

    Example please,sorry can't follow you. I will bear with you . Thanks.
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    VIG,

    Example please,sorry can't follow you. I will bear with you . Thanks.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 7:12 AM ET #6

    can you give example thanks
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    can you give example thanks
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 2:27 PM ET #7

    Ok last night: Highest total on the board was:

    DEN-IND @ 224

    The Lowest was:

    BOS-PHI or MIL-CHI @ 191.5

    (224+191.5) / 2 = 207.75 we round DOWN only to 207

    The game closest to 207 on the board (above or below) was UTA-DAL @ 202.5 which came under the total at 181.

    So far this year on nights where there were enough games (4 minimum) it has hit at 6-1.

    Obviously not a very scientific way of predicting a game, it's just something I've noticed and still fun nonetheless.

    I didn't have time to check how it did last year past Nov. 4...perhaps a good Samaritan wouldn't mind doing the leg work for us.
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    Ok last night: Highest total on the board was:

    DEN-IND @ 224

    The Lowest was:

    BOS-PHI or MIL-CHI @ 191.5

    (224+191.5) / 2 = 207.75 we round DOWN only to 207

    The game closest to 207 on the board (above or below) was UTA-DAL @ 202.5 which came under the total at 181.

    So far this year on nights where there were enough games (4 minimum) it has hit at 6-1.

    Obviously not a very scientific way of predicting a game, it's just something I've noticed and still fun nonetheless.

    I didn't have time to check how it did last year past Nov. 4...perhaps a good Samaritan wouldn't mind doing the leg work for us.
     
    bamboo08
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 2:43 PM ET #8

    Thanks, VIG.

    Ok. I can see UTA-DAL @ 202.5 was below and closest to the average 207, we play UNDER. IF any game is 209 (not exist, only example) ABOVE and closest to the average, then we still play UNDER? or over?  Thanks.
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    Thanks, VIG.

    Ok. I can see UTA-DAL @ 202.5 was below and closest to the average 207, we play UNDER. IF any game is 209 (not exist, only example) ABOVE and closest to the average, then we still play UNDER? or over?  Thanks.
     
    bamboo08
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 2:51 PM ET #9

    Hi VIG,
    Tonight game on board:
    Highest:MEM-GS @ 226
    Lowest:BOS-MIN @ 186.5
    Average: 206

    So, ATL-SAC @ 208.5 is above and closest to 206 is a UNDER play?
    THANKS.
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    Hi VIG,
    Tonight game on board:
    Highest:MEM-GS @ 226
    Lowest:BOS-MIN @ 186.5
    Average: 206

    So, ATL-SAC @ 208.5 is above and closest to 206 is a UNDER play?
    THANKS.
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 3:04 PM ET #10

    Yes Bamboo that's correct!

    Tonight's play is ATL-SAC UNDER 208.5 according to the system.

    But please don't play it yet!  This is something I took note of while waiting for a work related conference call to commence.  There's no genius behind it.  I just love finding crazy stats and trends. 

    In all likelihood it will even it self out, but until then it's fun to keep track of.  Let's be realisitic here, if the under does it, it had nothing to do with the average of the high and low total on the board tonight.  Remember, It's all coincidence obviously.
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    Yes Bamboo that's correct!

    Tonight's play is ATL-SAC UNDER 208.5 according to the system.

    But please don't play it yet!  This is something I took note of while waiting for a work related conference call to commence.  There's no genius behind it.  I just love finding crazy stats and trends. 

    In all likelihood it will even it self out, but until then it's fun to keep track of.  Let's be realisitic here, if the under does it, it had nothing to do with the average of the high and low total on the board tonight.  Remember, It's all coincidence obviously.
     
    bamboo08
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 5:47 PM ET #11

    OK. Thanks for reply. I play bottom 4 today. Keep my eyes on this for fun. Good luck.
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    OK. Thanks for reply. I play bottom 4 today. Keep my eyes on this for fun. Good luck.
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2009 - 11:45 PM ET #12

    So fkn funny.  For shits and giggles I decide to play this (small mind you) and of course the very night I do it goes over.  Couldn't it keep going for just one more fuggin night?
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    So fkn funny.  For shits and giggles I decide to play this (small mind you) and of course the very night I do it goes over.  Couldn't it keep going for just one more fuggin night?
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 1:51 PM ET #13

    Loser on Wednesday ATL@SAC

    No play Thursday

    Winner last night CLE@NY Under

    Updated total: 7-2
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    Loser on Wednesday ATL@SAC

    No play Thursday

    Winner last night CLE@NY Under

    Updated total: 7-2
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 12:49 AM ET #14

    Winner tonight NY-MIL Under 195.5

    Updated Total: 8-2


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    Winner tonight NY-MIL Under 195.5

    Updated Total: 8-2


     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 5:59 AM ET #15

    hey vig i see your using another method taking the bottom 3/4 unders on the board...are you using both systems now...or are you starting to lean toward just one?
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    hey vig i see your using another method taking the bottom 3/4 unders on the board...are you using both systems now...or are you starting to lean toward just one?
     
    boycali01
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 4:38 PM ET #16

    look good on yesterday game. 193.5 under for NY game.
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    look good on yesterday game. 193.5 under for NY game.
     
    boycali01
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 4:41 PM ET #17

    under for lakers game tonight? 197
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    under for lakers game tonight? 197
     
    ballgame1881
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 9:27 PM ET #18

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    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 9:41 PM ET #19

    hate to break it...but this is gonna even out adventually...i started back testing it...not looking too hot so far...so dont start layin buco bucks on this
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    hate to break it...but this is gonna even out adventually...i started back testing it...not looking too hot so far...so dont start layin buco bucks on this
     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 9:43 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by papagunnz:

    hate to break it...but this is gonna even out adventually...i started back testing it...not looking too hot so far...so dont start layin buco bucks on this


    not on this system tho...on the other one where you are choosing bottom 3 or 4 unders...id like to check this one out tonight tho..GL
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    Quote Originally Posted by papagunnz:

    hate to break it...but this is gonna even out adventually...i started back testing it...not looking too hot so far...so dont start layin buco bucks on this


    not on this system tho...on the other one where you are choosing bottom 3 or 4 unders...id like to check this one out tonight tho..GL
     
    Ktino
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 12:04 AM ET #21

    ok, the lakers worked out tonite.........is san antonio the play for monday?
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    ok, the lakers worked out tonite.........is san antonio the play for monday?
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 12:57 AM ET #22

    Sorry did not post the play, but you all knew what it would have been (NO-LAL Under).  Another hit, how about that?

    Yes the play tomorrow looks like TOR-SA Under 202.

    That line looks a little low considering TOR has not gone 100 pts yet this season and SA is allowing 98/game.  Or maybe the Raps are due for a low total on offense and SA's D puts it together.

    I would just see how it plays out, or play it small.  Just fun take keep track considering the goofy way of deriving the play.

    Updated total so far: 9-2 @ 82%
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    Sorry did not post the play, but you all knew what it would have been (NO-LAL Under).  Another hit, how about that?

    Yes the play tomorrow looks like TOR-SA Under 202.

    That line looks a little low considering TOR has not gone 100 pts yet this season and SA is allowing 98/game.  Or maybe the Raps are due for a low total on offense and SA's D puts it together.

    I would just see how it plays out, or play it small.  Just fun take keep track considering the goofy way of deriving the play.

    Updated total so far: 9-2 @ 82%
     
    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 1:29 AM ET #23

    Sorry that should read the "TOR has not gone UNDER 100 pts yet this season".
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    Sorry that should read the "TOR has not gone UNDER 100 pts yet this season".
     
    softballmaniac
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 7:58 PM ET #24

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    the_vig
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2009 - 12:22 AM ET #25

    Had a feeling the TOR-SA was too low.  Alot of 200+ totals tonight...maybe those nights should be weeded out.  Still experimental at this point.

    Updated total on the year:  9-3 @ 75%
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    Had a feeling the TOR-SA was too low.  Alot of 200+ totals tonight...maybe those nights should be weeded out.  Still experimental at this point.

    Updated total on the year:  9-3 @ 75%
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    • Take the Giants Moneyline tonight - Really 2,793 Covers arrow

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