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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    my theory, with a decent bankroll, VERY hard to lose, have been winning for years

    KVEGAS
    HeaVin-Cent
    Redlad
    Lippsman
    powerade
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    KVEGAS
    KVEGAS
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2008 - 1:45 AM ET #1

    only take this into affect when wagering on MLB baseball.
    not any other sort of baseball, not hockey, not any other sort of money line. this is still affective after the all star break but previously to the all star break this is good as gold.
     
    bet only underdogs, i dont wanna hear it, only underdogs
     
    theres 15 games a day for god sake, be selective, don't bet only your local team so you can see them on tv.
     
    this is the mistake i did for years i would win 5-6 in a row, for like 2-3 units, and then blow it all on one game that i 'liked a lot' or was a huge favorite, no favorites, always and i mean ALWAYS, bet the same UNITS! i dont  care how hot you are, and you will get hot trust me
     
    heres why the theory is so amazing, if you are selective and do your homework, though i will admit its not all THAT important, and you bet the same amount of units on every game, you will need to win only 1 of 2 games to make money, if you win 2 in a row you're rolling, and so on and so forth, vegas seldomly bites you in the butt when using this technique.
     
    this year since opening day i've been 15-5 and have won 9 of my past 11!
     
    follow me to the promise land...or try it out and see without betting any money yet!
    SELECTIVENESS=SUCCESS
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    only take this into affect when wagering on MLB baseball.
    not any other sort of baseball, not hockey, not any other sort of money line. this is still affective after the all star break but previously to the all star break this is good as gold.
     
    bet only underdogs, i dont wanna hear it, only underdogs
     
    theres 15 games a day for god sake, be selective, don't bet only your local team so you can see them on tv.
     
    this is the mistake i did for years i would win 5-6 in a row, for like 2-3 units, and then blow it all on one game that i 'liked a lot' or was a huge favorite, no favorites, always and i mean ALWAYS, bet the same UNITS! i dont  care how hot you are, and you will get hot trust me
     
    heres why the theory is so amazing, if you are selective and do your homework, though i will admit its not all THAT important, and you bet the same amount of units on every game, you will need to win only 1 of 2 games to make money, if you win 2 in a row you're rolling, and so on and so forth, vegas seldomly bites you in the butt when using this technique.
     
    this year since opening day i've been 15-5 and have won 9 of my past 11!
     
    follow me to the promise land...or try it out and see without betting any money yet!
     
    HeaVin-Cent
    HeaVin-Cent
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2008 - 3:48 AM ET #2

    Are you going to start posting your plays from here on out and document the season? Im interested in the results
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    Are you going to start posting your plays from here on out and document the season? Im interested in the results
     
    Redlad
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2008 - 5:44 AM ET #3

    This sounds like a post of someone who has just started gambling. No offense. If you could profit by just simply betting dogs every gambler would be rich. Try the better team with better pitcher as a dog & you might be on to something.
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    This sounds like a post of someone who has just started gambling. No offense. If you could profit by just simply betting dogs every gambler would be rich. Try the better team with better pitcher as a dog & you might be on to something.
     
    KVEGAS
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2008 - 12:57 PM ET #4

    thanks for the interest heaven cent
    redlad let me make you a believer
    here are the picks for 4/5 early games (1-3:30)
     
    the lowly giants 400/680
    the mets 400/440
    the dodgers 400/ 560
     
    SELECTIVENESS=SUCCESS
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    thanks for the interest heaven cent
    redlad let me make you a believer
    here are the picks for 4/5 early games (1-3:30)
     
    the lowly giants 400/680
    the mets 400/440
    the dodgers 400/ 560
     
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2008 - 10:08 PM ET #5

    Redlad, are you a believer yet??
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    Redlad, are you a believer yet??
     
    Redlad
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2008 - 6:30 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    Redlad, are you a believer yet??

     

    0-3 is not a good way to make too many believers .

     

    But as I said === If you have the better team & pitcher, and can take a price==== you'll cash more times then not.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    Redlad, are you a believer yet??

     

    0-3 is not a good way to make too many believers .

     

    But as I said === If you have the better team & pitcher, and can take a price==== you'll cash more times then not.

     
    powerade
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2008 - 2:29 PM ET #7

     this thread has me rolling....
     
    i agree with redlad that this seems like someone who hasn't been gambling very long....
     
    the best line he had was vegas seldomly bites you in the butt when using this technique
     
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     this thread has me rolling....
     
    i agree with redlad that this seems like someone who hasn't been gambling very long....
     
    the best line he had was vegas seldomly bites you in the butt when using this technique
     
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2008 - 2:30 PM ET #8

    also who puts a pic of themself as their avatar
     
     
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    also who puts a pic of themself as their avatar
     
     
     
    lanastasis
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2008 - 5:56 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:

    This sounds like a post of someone who has just started gambling. No offense. If you could profit by just simply betting dogs every gambler would be rich. Try the better team with better pitcher as a dog & you might be on to something.


    Yeah, no kidding. There are a lot of positives to be gleaned from betting dogs but not exclusively and certainly not blindly. So many people think they have some aspect of betting all figured out and it takes a nasty fall to realize nothing comes so easy.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:

    This sounds like a post of someone who has just started gambling. No offense. If you could profit by just simply betting dogs every gambler would be rich. Try the better team with better pitcher as a dog & you might be on to something.


    Yeah, no kidding. There are a lot of positives to be gleaned from betting dogs but not exclusively and certainly not blindly. So many people think they have some aspect of betting all figured out and it takes a nasty fall to realize nothing comes so easy.
     
    lanastasis
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2008 - 5:57 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

    also who puts a pic of themself as their avatar
     
     


    I don't know. It looks like he might straight thug whack me through my computer if I bet any favorites today.
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    Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

    also who puts a pic of themself as their avatar
     
     


    I don't know. It looks like he might straight thug whack me through my computer if I bet any favorites today.
     
    Goatmeat
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2008 - 4:21 PM ET #11

    Yeah I agree...dogs exclusively just doesn't work....I've tried it when I FIRST STARTED betting on baseball 3 years ago.  You have to pick your spots....like a dog play that I have used this year and last is betting against the Yanks at home when a top 20 pitcher is not on the mound for NYY....this year it has been basically when Mr Wang has not been on the bump.  3-1, +3.9 units.
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    Yeah I agree...dogs exclusively just doesn't work....I've tried it when I FIRST STARTED betting on baseball 3 years ago.  You have to pick your spots....like a dog play that I have used this year and last is betting against the Yanks at home when a top 20 pitcher is not on the mound for NYY....this year it has been basically when Mr Wang has not been on the bump.  3-1, +3.9 units.
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2008 - 1:07 AM ET #12

    Wow Redlad,
     
    I guess he doesn't want to take us to the promised land anymore.
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    Wow Redlad,
     
    I guess he doesn't want to take us to the promised land anymore.
     
    Coverdatspred
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2008 - 2:23 PM ET #13

    This thread has me cracking up....0-3 then he hits the road for good
     
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    This thread has me cracking up....0-3 then he hits the road for good
     
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2008 - 5:28 PM ET #14

    hahaha and now he changed his avatar
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    hahaha and now he changed his avatar
     
    Redlad
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2008 - 6:33 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

    hahaha and now he changed his avatar

     

    Can you blame him with that ugly Mug? 

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    Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

    hahaha and now he changed his avatar

     

    Can you blame him with that ugly Mug? 

     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2008 - 1:15 PM ET #16

    So which avatar is the pic of him. 
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    So which avatar is the pic of him. 
     
    Rampage23
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 12:27 AM ET #17

    Thread of the year right here!!
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    Thread of the year right here!!
     
    lanastasis
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2008 - 8:59 PM ET #18

    Arrogant squares.
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    Arrogant squares.
     
    nomadatoll
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2008 - 3:53 PM ET #19

    I've done the research. Not only done the research, but tracked it in real time. Not using slightly skewed closing lines posted on Covers, but lines taken from 3 different books every day for 2000 thru 2005. Like any system, it come down to greed and money management. If you set a goal, for example, of 20 units, you would have been successful every year. However, like in 2004, betting only Dogs would have peaked on 5/18 @ +61.13 units and ended the season -9.69 units. When would you have pulled the plug? If you were perfect at buying low and selling high, you'd be trading on the NY Stock Exchange; not betting sports. Would you have gone all the way to the end hoping for that late season rally and lost all your profits? What are your Profit/Loss targets for the 2008 season? How many units in your bankroll? Without a plan you are at a disadvantage. Best of luck to you.
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    I've done the research. Not only done the research, but tracked it in real time. Not using slightly skewed closing lines posted on Covers, but lines taken from 3 different books every day for 2000 thru 2005. Like any system, it come down to greed and money management. If you set a goal, for example, of 20 units, you would have been successful every year. However, like in 2004, betting only Dogs would have peaked on 5/18 @ +61.13 units and ended the season -9.69 units. When would you have pulled the plug? If you were perfect at buying low and selling high, you'd be trading on the NY Stock Exchange; not betting sports. Would you have gone all the way to the end hoping for that late season rally and lost all your profits? What are your Profit/Loss targets for the 2008 season? How many units in your bankroll? Without a plan you are at a disadvantage. Best of luck to you.
     
    Rampage23
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2008 - 6:27 PM ET #20

    I guess he is done posting his picks on here.....
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    I guess he is done posting his picks on here.....
     
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2008 - 7:02 PM ET #21

    Oh yeah he is......I'm sure off to another board to post the same thing.
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    Oh yeah he is......I'm sure off to another board to post the same thing.
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