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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    My NHL "almost" system

    boomersooner13
    parlayking3
    ERBATIZ
    dvw5bf
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 803
    Posts: 11
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
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    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 12:30 AM ET #1

    I've developed a system and back tracked it through this season and last season.  It has hit 76.8%.  
    This is where I'll be posting the system picks and watching it for a while.

    I DO WANT TO SAY THIS: Please do not follow this system yet.  I'm merely posting all of the picks so that i can keep track of how it does and what percentage it hits at.  I strongly advise you NOT to follow the system, as I will not either, for another few weeks until i can get some hard numbers on its performance.  

    This "almost" system (i'm not ready to call it a system yet) has gone 27-6 through this week and it went 7-0 tonight. Here's the link to the thread for proof for all of those who want to see:
    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=100982725

    I'll be back tomorrow to place the picks and I'll follow it for a few weeks to see how it goes.  If it turns into a system then i'm going to be selfless and release it to everyone and explain it step by step.  We're all in this together and I strongly believe in everyone helping each other out for some wealth.  

    Wish me luck!
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I've developed a system and back tracked it through this season and last season.  It has hit 76.8%.  
    This is where I'll be posting the system picks and watching it for a while.

    I DO WANT TO SAY THIS: Please do not follow this system yet.  I'm merely posting all of the picks so that i can keep track of how it does and what percentage it hits at.  I strongly advise you NOT to follow the system, as I will not either, for another few weeks until i can get some hard numbers on its performance.  

    This "almost" system (i'm not ready to call it a system yet) has gone 27-6 through this week and it went 7-0 tonight. Here's the link to the thread for proof for all of those who want to see:
    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=100982725

    I'll be back tomorrow to place the picks and I'll follow it for a few weeks to see how it goes.  If it turns into a system then i'm going to be selfless and release it to everyone and explain it step by step.  We're all in this together and I strongly believe in everyone helping each other out for some wealth.  

    Wish me luck!
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 12:51 AM ET #2

    I do want to say that this system is for Over/Under's only.  I forgot to mention that in the previous message
    Reply
    I do want to say that this system is for Over/Under's only.  I forgot to mention that in the previous message
     
    parlayking3
    parlayking3
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 494
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 1:13 AM ET #3

    hey man found your threaad cause was looking for some info on NHL cause NBA will be on hiatus cause of all star game .i did 2 of your overs cause those were 2 i liked myself so thought well the system cant go 7-0 ,WRONG! great job,dont jinx yourself by stating system will tank after today .i think you might be on to something from your numbers for previous 10. hope you keep posting on here and i hope to tail you for a couple of days ,even if i was not to make money it is still better than i would do on my own so your help is very appreciated.thanks ,best of luck.
    Reply
    hey man found your threaad cause was looking for some info on NHL cause NBA will be on hiatus cause of all star game .i did 2 of your overs cause those were 2 i liked myself so thought well the system cant go 7-0 ,WRONG! great job,dont jinx yourself by stating system will tank after today .i think you might be on to something from your numbers for previous 10. hope you keep posting on here and i hope to tail you for a couple of days ,even if i was not to make money it is still better than i would do on my own so your help is very appreciated.thanks ,best of luck.
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
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    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 10:27 AM ET #4

    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under 
    Bruins/Sens - Under
    Wings/florida - Over
    *StL/Buffalo - Over
    *Ducks/WIld - Under
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over
    Columbus/Chi - Over

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.
    Reply
    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under 
    Bruins/Sens - Under
    Wings/florida - Over
    *StL/Buffalo - Over
    *Ducks/WIld - Under
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over
    Columbus/Chi - Over

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.
     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 2179
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 11:32 AM ET #5

    Reply
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 1:06 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under @ -105 (1.05 U)
    Bruins/Sens - Under @ -125 (1.25 U)
    Wings/florida - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)
    *StL/Buffalo - Over @ -105 (1.05 U)
    *Ducks/WIld - Under @ -130 (1.30 U) 
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)
    Columbus/Chi - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.

    Just doing an update to keep track of units this system would win or lose.  

    Recap: (since SJ went Under) 7-0, +7 units

    Would be risking 8.1 Units to win 7.  

    Now, I've been doing some thinking and have realized that in order for this system to return profit, it'd have to hit over 60% on a given night (or around that number).  This is what troubles me.  It's had a great week but i don't know how it's going to turn out from here.  A lot of people, including myself, are against some of these picks which is why I won't be playing them.  

    I'll continue to try to add or subtract things from the formula to make the system as close to perfect as possible, but it's going to be tough.  

    Don't play this as a system yet.  go about your regular betting ways and let me try to figure out if this would be profitable or not.  I'm doing some hard work with figuring out cut off points, percentage effectiveness, and other stuff like that, so be patient with me.  

    BOL
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under @ -105 (1.05 U)
    Bruins/Sens - Under @ -125 (1.25 U)
    Wings/florida - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)
    *StL/Buffalo - Over @ -105 (1.05 U)
    *Ducks/WIld - Under @ -130 (1.30 U) 
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)
    Columbus/Chi - Over @ -115 (1.15 U)

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.

    Just doing an update to keep track of units this system would win or lose.  

    Recap: (since SJ went Under) 7-0, +7 units

    Would be risking 8.1 Units to win 7.  

    Now, I've been doing some thinking and have realized that in order for this system to return profit, it'd have to hit over 60% on a given night (or around that number).  This is what troubles me.  It's had a great week but i don't know how it's going to turn out from here.  A lot of people, including myself, are against some of these picks which is why I won't be playing them.  

    I'll continue to try to add or subtract things from the formula to make the system as close to perfect as possible, but it's going to be tough.  

    Don't play this as a system yet.  go about your regular betting ways and let me try to figure out if this would be profitable or not.  I'm doing some hard work with figuring out cut off points, percentage effectiveness, and other stuff like that, so be patient with me.  

    BOL
     
    dvw5bf
    dvw5bf
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 2:31 PM ET #7

    Some of the picks I am not sure of but will definately be keeping an eye on this to see how the % is over time. Keep up the good work 
    Reply
    Some of the picks I am not sure of but will definately be keeping an eye on this to see how the % is over time. Keep up the good work 
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 10:01 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under 
    Bruins/Sens - Under
    Wings/florida - Over 
    *StL/Buffalo - Over 
    *Ducks/WIld - Under 
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over 
    Columbus/Chi - Over

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.

    The ones i thought were for sure turned out badly.  gonna have to do some serious tweaking of the system.  I'll be back tomorrow to see if the changes help any.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner13:

    Kind of scared today.  Took a look at the games and wrote down my initial leans, then threw them into the system and got pretty different results.  

    AGAIN, I ADVISE YOU NOT TO PLAY THIS AS A SYSTEM.  I WILL NOT BE PLAYING IT MYSELF, THIS IS SIMPLY TO RECORD THE PICKS AND THE PROGRESS OF THE "SYSTEM"

    NYR/NJD -Under 
    Bruins/Sens - Under
    Wings/florida - Over 
    *StL/Buffalo - Over 
    *Ducks/WIld - Under 
    *Philadelphia/Carolina - Over 
    Columbus/Chi - Over

    The three strongest % plays are StL/Buff, Philadelphia/Carolina, and Ducks/Wild, all in order.

    The ones i thought were for sure turned out badly.  gonna have to do some serious tweaking of the system.  I'll be back tomorrow to see if the changes help any.
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 10:39 PM ET #9

    -4.7 Units on the night.  Total of +3.3 Units since record being kept
    Reply
    -4.7 Units on the night.  Total of +3.3 Units since record being kept
     
    boomersooner13
    boomersooner13
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 3563
    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 11:14 PM ET #10

    I'm going to keep track of this over the weekend.  a system doesn't go 3-4 and when i did the calculations for saturday it gave me 7 out of 9 games as overs, and that's not going to happen.  

    I'll keep track of this, won't claim any records, but i'll come back with a more updated version.  sorry for this needed hiatus
    Reply
    I'm going to keep track of this over the weekend.  a system doesn't go 3-4 and when i did the calculations for saturday it gave me 7 out of 9 games as overs, and that's not going to happen.  

    I'll keep track of this, won't claim any records, but i'll come back with a more updated version.  sorry for this needed hiatus
     
     
    dvw5bf
    dvw5bf
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 12:56 AM ET #11

    A system doesn't become a playable system without a tweak here and there... today may have been a little discouraging but it doesn't mean your not on the right track... GL
    Reply
    A system doesn't become a playable system without a tweak here and there... today may have been a little discouraging but it doesn't mean your not on the right track... GL
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