MLB RPI SYSTEM

Tampa Bay C game

I think the juice in these games could possibly kill the entire system. However, betting the run line could be even worse. I am seeing like 40% of "A" bets covering the run line, and I am not seeing any basis for playing the run line in B games at a good winning rate either. Considering A games are slightly above 60% winning as well at B games, I gotta say laying more than -150 is kinda sketchy. A line like -250 for 3 bets could be just horrid.

However, I will say that I think betting against Seattle at -200 is risky. They are going to win one of 3 games against NYY, just which one is the key? I am going to advise against laying -200 with the yankees this one time. How many games can one team lose in a row?

 

btw, the system seems to work well, but somewhere, there has to be a limit for the money line. There just has to be.

This is only an issue if you bet beyond your means. The absolute number 1 rule is betting WITHIN your bankroll. If you place 1% to 2.5% of your bankroll on the presented plays you will NOT have an issue. If you do not have the discipline or have the necessity to place 15-20% of your bankroll on in a single game stop. Get in your car, drive down the nearest highway, get up to about 65MPH, roll down your window and throw your money out of it. Set your bankroll to unit ratio to conservative and sit back and enjoy the ride. This is a cross country marathon. Wouldn't you rather have VERY high probability to net $2000 at the end of the season as opposed to a slim chance in hell of netting $15K?

I dont want to jump the gun but i may be on to something....would love to verify if I am right. To do that though, I would need a list of picks from the last 2 seasons from bettor2win. if you have it saved somewhere please list/send it.

NYY A bet

You only pay juice if you lose. I understand your concern but with this system I think its irrelevant.
Just like 25cents said, the juice is high only if it is beyond your means.
We are chasing the better team hoping it just wins once in a series and hoping they dont get swept.
If the team we chase on gets swept, then high juice or not you will lose big.
I would not recommend this as you can not profit if it pushes but maybe playing the high juice team at -1, meaning you play both ml and rl.
If you are not familiar with betting a team at -1 all you are doing is bet whatever you want for the ml and whatever amount you are going to win with the ml you bet that amount on the rl so pretty much you break even if the team you bet wins by 1 and if they win by more than one you are a big winner. Less juice, less risk but if it ends up a one run game instead of being up you broke even.

Seattle can win 2 games and you'll still win the chase.

Are these the 'official' picks for the RPI system?

SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

JUICE
This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.





July 1 -
July 2 -
July 3 -
July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B GAME) WIN
July 22 - BOSTON -136 (H50 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - YANKEES -172 (H43 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 22 - TAMPA BAY -102 (V42 A GAME) LOSS
July 23 - PHILADELPHIA -137 (H55 A GAME) WIN
July 23 - SAN FRANCISCO -134 ("B" GAME) UNOFFICIAL WIN
July 23 - TAMPA BAY -118 ("B" GAME) LOSS
July 24 - TAMPA BAY -102 ("C" GAME) WIN
July 25 - YANKEES -214 (H56 "A" GAME) PENDING
July 25 - BOSTON -285 (H61 "A" GAME) PENDING
July 25 - ST. LOUIS -198 (V46 "A" GAME) PENDING
July 25 - PHILADELPHIA -243 (H59 "A" GAME) PENDING

Guys, I don't think Philly should be a play today. Even though it fits the strategy, its part of the last series I would say it's out.

July 25 - PHILADELPHIA -243 (H59 "A" GAME) PENDING

Hey guys.  Yeah, PHI is NOT a play. Last game of a 4 game series w/sd.

Does anyone have any thoughts on Min @ Tex and Pitt @ Atl?

They are both fairly close to being a play and both are 4 game series and they have a little less juice....

GET BETTOR SOON BETTOR!  <--- see what i did there?  

just a heads up,  St. Louis and Red Sox are in a 4 game series.    If they win the A game today.   Tomorrow will also be an A game chase.

I tried that, but my money kept flying back into the car. I must be running hot. 15k buys me a vacation, 2k just pays the mortgage.

Favorites of 250 or more are not profitable, much like the NFL laying 14 points or more is not profitable. That being said, I am not knocking the system, I just have a very strong indicator on Seattle, so I am going to do a reverse chase. I believe I can make better money on the dog here. Truth be told, "A" games only hit 62% ish. I'll take it here.

I ended up taking Tex and passed on Atl only because my bankroll isn't big enough.

Either follow the system or get out.  We're not interested in your ideas.  You can start your own thread for that.

Just ignore, if people can't see how the system benefits them, forget them. The juice on the Yanks ended up at -215. If you bet 100.00 you would win 21.50. Some say it's not worth the risk, but I say a win is a win and 21.50 is better than losing.

So far 2 of the 3 have hit so far. Only Boston is struggling tonight, but they should get it done.

I hammered the Yanks and took the RUN line ta boot. System works if you follow it.

BOS B bet

BOS B bet