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mlb dog system

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Posted: #1
mlb dog system

bet against HOME teams that start a series -150 to -195

home teams must have 5 wins or more out of the last 10 games before the start of a series.

road team must have 5 wins or more out of the last 10 games before the start of a series.
 
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Posted: #2
plays for april 30th

bal  A  bet
 
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Posted: #3
GL jv040 
 
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Posted: #4
This is an experiment or is this an old system?
 
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Posted: #5
this is one I recently came up with and back tested for 3 years. it did pretty well. only 1 or 2 c bet losses a year.
 
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Posted: #6
may 1st

bal  b  bet

chc  a bet

pit  a  bet
 
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Posted: #7
I have question about your filters.  If the home team has less then 5 wins in their last 10 your saying it is not a play even though we are betting on the road dog to win one game in this series?
 
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Posted: #8
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by akell09:

I have question about your filters.  If the home team has less then 5 wins in their last 10 your saying it is not a play even though we are betting on the road dog to win one game in this series?


no play

I don't have any idea how it would turn out either cause I didn't back test it that way.  it wouldn't be that difficult to go back and do that.
 
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Posted: #10
current series  

 1  b bet    1 pending

I dropped chc cause they got post poned last night,  I'm not sure wether to bet chc or not. 


may 2nd plays

pit  b  bet

pit
 
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Posted: #11
What were the results of the 3 years you back tested this?
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by akell09:

What were the results of the 3 years you back tested this?


I don't know how many a b or c games. or how many games there are a year but I'm guessing around 30.

I do know there's profit when played on the labby line.
 
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Posted: #13
Even if you would only win 10 to 20 units a year, it would be worth it.  I like the fact that the team your playing is probably going to be a dog in each game of the series.  So if you lose a series, you only lose 7 units.  Where in some of these home favorite chases you could lose anywhere from 9 to 15 units on a loss.  I'll be watching this one and hope it works for you.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by akell09:

Even if you would only win 10 to 20 units a year, it would be worth it.  I like the fact that the team your playing is probably going to be a dog in each game of the series.  So if you lose a series, you only lose 7 units.  Where in some of these home favorite chases you could lose anywhere from 9 to 15 units on a loss.  I'll be watching this one and hope it works for you.


if the labby method is used then it would only be 4.5 units lost on a c bet. unless aggressive labby is used then it's 6 units on a c bet.
 
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Posted: #15
Amen JV...Been waiting for this system to show up! I didn't realize you had started it already.
 
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Posted: #16
I will try to set up labby line and excel sheet tomorrow to track profit.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Amen JV...Been waiting for this system to show up! I didn't realize you had started it already.


sorry I didn't pm you back.  this is it so hopefully profitable. you only missed 2 games it looks like pitsburg is going to a C bet.
 
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Posted: #18
forgot to add only three game series and no interleague play. I'm checking out another system I picked up for interleague to see if it's still profitable.
 
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Posted: #19
series wins 1-0   1 pending    0-A    1-B   0-C

may 3rd

pit C  bet
 
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Posted: #20
update using labby line

 april 30  bal  152  bet  A  10 units   loss

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5


may 1  bal 159  bet B 15 units won   pit 156  bet A 10 units  loss

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5-10

5-5-5-5

may 2  pit 157 bet B  15 units loss

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-10

5-5-5-5

may 3 pit  141  bet C  20 units won

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-10

5-5-5-5-15

current labby line may 3rd

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-10

5-5-5

mlbdogsystem2012








 
 
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Posted: #21
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aqn-cwW9X-z6dHowV0VwamhsTVUzR1pOS3F5OTAySnc#gid=0


 
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Posted: #22
I'm not sure how to create a link to my spread sheet hopfully the one above works. it brings up the wrong sheet.

going to try again

mlbdog2012
 
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Posted: #23
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aqn-cwW9X-z6dE5MeTRkQ251VHlRaEJqSS02LVRPT0E#gid=0
 
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Posted: #24

trying this one more time

mlbdogsystem2012

 
 
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trying this one more time

mlbdogsystem2012

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