Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
Would like to be better at sports investing.
Thanks. Basically it's taking into account basic handicapping. So we take into consideration individual pitching stats, key injuries, take a look if there are any slumps in producing runs lately. I also take into consideration run support for the starting pithcers, and see how the relief pitching staff has been all year as opposed to the last three to five games. Then I take into consideration how the RL Underdog team has trended as an RL Underdog all season as opposed to the favorite team and how that team has trended as an RL Favorite all season. And then we take a look at the hot teams. And which ones have been cold. I try to not take instinct into consideration.
Then I step back a little. And decide which teams will be picks.
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Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:
Great amazing work.
Thanks for sharing.
Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
Would like to be better at sports investing.
Thanks. Basically it's taking into account basic handicapping. So we take into consideration individual pitching stats, key injuries, take a look if there are any slumps in producing runs lately. I also take into consideration run support for the starting pithcers, and see how the relief pitching staff has been all year as opposed to the last three to five games. Then I take into consideration how the RL Underdog team has trended as an RL Underdog all season as opposed to the favorite team and how that team has trended as an RL Favorite all season. And then we take a look at the hot teams. And which ones have been cold. I try to not take instinct into consideration.
Then I step back a little. And decide which teams will be picks.
Thanks. It didn't happen tonight, but we're looking at the bigger picture which is the long run play and total amount of money won at the end of the season.
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Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:
Great approach on selecting teams.
Congrats on future success.
Thanks. It didn't happen tonight, but we're looking at the bigger picture which is the long run play and total amount of money won at the end of the season.
I figured out the problem after a months time. If I posted a play for the day. Okay. The problem is if that play for the day lost. Then there are still games left in the early evening. And even some in the late evening. And there are times to place the early evening plays. Then for some reason that loses too, and there is a chance to still place the late evening games. That is the problem. I've done it several times and it lost several times and I believe it only won twice. Once on the first day of baseball. The second was some time earlier in the week. So the best option is to just accept the loss, and limit to one play per day. At least as I get to choose the best plays for that day, and not limited choices which is bad for business.
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I figured out the problem after a months time. If I posted a play for the day. Okay. The problem is if that play for the day lost. Then there are still games left in the early evening. And even some in the late evening. And there are times to place the early evening plays. Then for some reason that loses too, and there is a chance to still place the late evening games. That is the problem. I've done it several times and it lost several times and I believe it only won twice. Once on the first day of baseball. The second was some time earlier in the week. So the best option is to just accept the loss, and limit to one play per day. At least as I get to choose the best plays for that day, and not limited choices which is bad for business.