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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB 2015 RL Underdog Parlay 5-win chase

    «First Previous 456 ... 567 Next Last»
    JoeMahirap
    jellybean28
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    Views: 14855
    Posts: 167
    «First Previous 456 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2015 - 4:31 PM ET #76

    Plays for today: Friday-April 24, 2015

    NY Mets +1.5 -190 and Kansas City +1.5 -205 (+127) Risking 100 To Win 127.
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    Plays for today: Friday-April 24, 2015

    NY Mets +1.5 -190 and Kansas City +1.5 -205 (+127) Risking 100 To Win 127.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2015 - 12:28 AM ET #77

    Friday's Results:

    NY Yankees 6 NY Mets 1

    Kansas City 2 Chicago White Sox 2 (game suspended due to rain)

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 11-9 +907

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 140.

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    Friday's Results:

    NY Yankees 6 NY Mets 1

    Kansas City 2 Chicago White Sox 2 (game suspended due to rain)

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 11-9 +907

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 140.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2015 - 3:20 PM ET #78

    Plays for today: Saturday - April 25, 2015

    Houston +1.5 -205 and NY Mets +1.5 -200 (+123) Risking 140 To Win 172.
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    Plays for today: Saturday - April 25, 2015

    Houston +1.5 -205 and NY Mets +1.5 -200 (+123) Risking 140 To Win 172.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2015 - 8:57 PM ET #79

    Saturday's Results:

    NY Mets 8 NY Yankees 2

    Houston 9 Oakland 3

    Win +172

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-9 +1,079

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 100.

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    Saturday's Results:

    NY Mets 8 NY Yankees 2

    Houston 9 Oakland 3

    Win +172

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-9 +1,079

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 100.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2015 - 12:14 PM ET #80

    Plays for today: Sunday - April 26, 2015

    Texas +1.5 -160 and NY Mets +1.5 -175 (+155) Risking 100 To Win 155.
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    Plays for today: Sunday - April 26, 2015

    Texas +1.5 -160 and NY Mets +1.5 -175 (+155) Risking 100 To Win 155.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2015 - 9:57 AM ET #81

    Sunday's Results:

    Texas 5 LA Angels 4

    NY Yankees 6 NY Mets 4

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-10 +979

    Today's risk amount is 140.
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    Sunday's Results:

    Texas 5 LA Angels 4

    NY Yankees 6 NY Mets 4

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-10 +979

    Today's risk amount is 140.
     
    jellybean28
    jellybean28
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2015 - 11:39 AM ET #82

    Great amazing work.
    Thanks for sharing.
    Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
    Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
    Would like to be better at sports investing.
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    Great amazing work.
    Thanks for sharing.
    Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
    Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
    Would like to be better at sports investing.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2015 - 12:59 PM ET #83

    Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:

    Great amazing work.
    Thanks for sharing.
    Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
    Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
    Would like to be better at sports investing.

    Thanks. Basically it's taking into account basic handicapping. So we take into consideration individual pitching stats, key injuries, take a look if there are any slumps in producing runs lately. I also take into consideration run support for the starting pithcers, and see how the relief pitching staff has been all year as opposed to the last three to five games. Then I take into consideration how the RL Underdog team has trended as an RL Underdog all season as opposed to the favorite team and how that team has trended as an RL Favorite all season. And then we take a look at the hot teams. And which ones have been cold. I try to not take instinct into consideration. 

    Then I step back a little. And decide which teams will be picks. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:

    Great amazing work.
    Thanks for sharing.
    Are teams picked via a certain back tested system, or by basic handicapping?
    Apologies if this has been mentioned absurd number of times.
    Would like to be better at sports investing.

    Thanks. Basically it's taking into account basic handicapping. So we take into consideration individual pitching stats, key injuries, take a look if there are any slumps in producing runs lately. I also take into consideration run support for the starting pithcers, and see how the relief pitching staff has been all year as opposed to the last three to five games. Then I take into consideration how the RL Underdog team has trended as an RL Underdog all season as opposed to the favorite team and how that team has trended as an RL Favorite all season. And then we take a look at the hot teams. And which ones have been cold. I try to not take instinct into consideration. 

    Then I step back a little. And decide which teams will be picks. 
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2015 - 1:17 PM ET #84

    Plays for today: Monday - April 27, 2015

    Philadelphia +1.5 -175 and San Francisco +1.5 -175 (+147) Risking 140 To Win 206.
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    Plays for today: Monday - April 27, 2015

    Philadelphia +1.5 -175 and San Francisco +1.5 -175 (+147) Risking 140 To Win 206.
     
    jellybean28
    jellybean28
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2015 - 1:29 PM ET #85

    Great approach on selecting teams.
    Congrats on future success.
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    Great approach on selecting teams.
    Congrats on future success.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2015 - 3:06 AM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:

    Great approach on selecting teams.
    Congrats on future success.

    Thanks. It didn't happen tonight, but we're looking at the bigger picture which is the long run play and total amount of money won at the end of the season.


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    Quote Originally Posted by jellybean28:

    Great approach on selecting teams.
    Congrats on future success.

    Thanks. It didn't happen tonight, but we're looking at the bigger picture which is the long run play and total amount of money won at the end of the season.


     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2015 - 3:07 AM ET #87

    Monday's Results:

    Philadelphia 4 St Louis 1

    LA Dodgers 8 San Francisco 3

    Loss -140

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-11 +839

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 180.

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    Monday's Results:

    Philadelphia 4 St Louis 1

    LA Dodgers 8 San Francisco 3

    Loss -140

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-11 +839

    Tomorrow's risk amount is 180.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2015 - 5:29 PM ET #88

    Plays for today: Tuesday - April 28, 2015

    Tampa Bay +1.5 -210 and Houston +1.5 -175 (+132) Risking 180 To Win 238.
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    Plays for today: Tuesday - April 28, 2015

    Tampa Bay +1.5 -210 and Houston +1.5 -175 (+132) Risking 180 To Win 238.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2015 - 10:05 PM ET #89

    The game is about to start in a couple of minutes.

    Plays for today: Tuesday - April 28, 2015

    LA Angels +1.5 -170 and Houston +1.5 -170 (+152) Risking 220 To Win 334.
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    The game is about to start in a couple of minutes.

    Plays for today: Tuesday - April 28, 2015

    LA Angels +1.5 -170 and Houston +1.5 -170 (+152) Risking 220 To Win 334.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 11:29 AM ET #90

    Tuesday's Results:

    NY Yankees 4 Tampa Bay 2

    Houston 14 San Diego 3

    Loss -180

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-12 +659


    Tuesday's Results:

    Oakland 6 LA Angels 2

    Loss -220

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-13 +439


    The next risk amount is 260.
    Reply
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    Tuesday's Results:

    NY Yankees 4 Tampa Bay 2

    Houston 14 San Diego 3

    Loss -180

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-12 +659


    Tuesday's Results:

    Oakland 6 LA Angels 2

    Loss -220

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 12-13 +439


    The next risk amount is 260.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 12:20 PM ET #91

    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Tampa Bay +1.5 -175 and Houston +1.5 -240 (+123) Risking 260 To Win 320.
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    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Tampa Bay +1.5 -175 and Houston +1.5 -240 (+123) Risking 260 To Win 320.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 6:11 PM ET #92

    Houston is leading 7-1 at the bottom of the 9th inning. So this parlay would be a win already.

    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Kansas City +1.5 -230 and Toronto +1.5 -155 (+136) Risking 100 To Win 136.
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    Houston is leading 7-1 at the bottom of the 9th inning. So this parlay would be a win already.

    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Kansas City +1.5 -230 and Toronto +1.5 -155 (+136) Risking 100 To Win 136.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 7:22 PM ET #93

    Wednesday's Results:

    Tampa Bay 3 NY Yankees 2

    Houston 7 San Diego 2

    Win +320

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-13 +759

    The next risk amount is 100 which is pending on Kansas City +1.5 and Toronto +1.5 on tonight's games.

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    Wednesday's Results:

    Tampa Bay 3 NY Yankees 2

    Houston 7 San Diego 2

    Win +320

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-13 +759

    The next risk amount is 100 which is pending on Kansas City +1.5 and Toronto +1.5 on tonight's games.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 9:15 PM ET #94

    Wednesday's Results:

    Boston 4 Toronto 1

    Cleveland 7 Kansas City 5

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-14 +659

    The next risk amount is 140.

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    Wednesday's Results:

    Boston 4 Toronto 1

    Cleveland 7 Kansas City 5

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-14 +659

    The next risk amount is 140.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2015 - 9:19 PM ET #95

    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Colorado +1.5 -205 and San Francisco +1.5 -120 (+173) Risking 140 To Win 242.
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    Plays for today: Wednesday - April 29, 2015

    Colorado +1.5 -205 and San Francisco +1.5 -120 (+173) Risking 140 To Win 242.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2015 - 1:33 PM ET #96

    Wednesday's Results:

    Arizona 9 Colorado 1

    LA Dodgers 7 San Francisco 3

    Loss -140

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-15 +519

    Today's risk amount is 180.
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    Wednesday's Results:

    Arizona 9 Colorado 1

    LA Dodgers 7 San Francisco 3

    Loss -140

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-15 +519

    Today's risk amount is 180.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2015 - 1:35 PM ET #97

    Plays for today: Thursday-April 30, 2015

    Philadelphia +1.5 -110 and Detroit +1.5 -195 (+189) Risking 180 To Win 340.
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    Plays for today: Thursday-April 30, 2015

    Philadelphia +1.5 -110 and Detroit +1.5 -195 (+189) Risking 180 To Win 340.
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: May. 1, 2015 - 11:42 AM ET #98

    Thursday's results:

    St Louis 9 Philadelphia 3

    Kansas City 8 Detroit 1

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-16 +339

    Today's risk amount is 220.

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    Thursday's results:

    St Louis 9 Philadelphia 3

    Kansas City 8 Detroit 1

    Loss -100

    RL Underdog 5-win chase YTD 13-16 +339

    Today's risk amount is 220.

     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posted: May. 1, 2015 - 11:43 AM ET #99

    I figured out the problem after a months time. If I posted a play for the day. Okay. The problem is if that play for the day lost. Then there are still games left in the early evening. And even some in the late evening. And there are times to place the early evening plays. Then for some reason that loses too, and there is a chance to still place the late evening games. That is the problem. I've done it several times and it lost several times and I believe it only won twice. Once on the first day of baseball. The second was some time earlier in the week. So the best option is to just accept the loss, and limit to one play per day. At least as I get to choose the best plays for that day, and not limited choices which is bad for business.
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    I figured out the problem after a months time. If I posted a play for the day. Okay. The problem is if that play for the day lost. Then there are still games left in the early evening. And even some in the late evening. And there are times to place the early evening plays. Then for some reason that loses too, and there is a chance to still place the late evening games. That is the problem. I've done it several times and it lost several times and I believe it only won twice. Once on the first day of baseball. The second was some time earlier in the week. So the best option is to just accept the loss, and limit to one play per day. At least as I get to choose the best plays for that day, and not limited choices which is bad for business.
     
     
    JoeMahirap
    JoeMahirap
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    Posts: 2691
    Posted: May. 1, 2015 - 11:44 AM ET #100

    Plays for today: Friday-May 1, 2015

    NY Mets +1.5 -190 and Toronto +1.5 -210 (+125) Risking 220 To Win 275.
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    Plays for today: Friday-May 1, 2015

    NY Mets +1.5 -190 and Toronto +1.5 -210 (+125) Risking 220 To Win 275.
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