Okay. I'm going to try something new. Basically, I have to wager on the first game of a series (3-game series or 4-game series). If I win the first game, then I double down on the 2nd game and 3rd game. If I lose the first game, then there is no action on the 2nd game and 3rd game. If there is a Push on the 2nd or 3rd game, then it doubles down on the 4th game, if there is only 3 games, then that's it.
OVER 3-Win Streak YTD: 0-0 +000
Play for Thursday - May 1, 2014
NY Mets/Colorado Over 9.5 +105 Risking 100 To Win 105
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Okay. I'm going to try something new. Basically, I have to wager on the first game of a series (3-game series or 4-game series). If I win the first game, then I double down on the 2nd game and 3rd game. If I lose the first game, then there is no action on the 2nd game and 3rd game. If there is a Push on the 2nd or 3rd game, then it doubles down on the 4th game, if there is only 3 games, then that's it.
OVER 3-Win Streak YTD: 0-0 +000
Play for Thursday - May 1, 2014
NY Mets/Colorado Over 9.5 +105 Risking 100 To Win 105
That's right. Colorado games at home are ridiculously 19 Over 9 Under and 2 Push so far this season.
Final Score Colorado 7 NY Mets 4
Updated OVER 3-Win Streak YTD: 1-0 +105
Tomorrow's wager is on the second game of the series with the money won and initial risk money of 100. So it's 105 + 100, making the wager 205 on Friday's (May 2nd) NY Mets/Colorado game. Right now that is at O/U 9.5
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Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
over at Colorado is almost guaranteed?!?!?!
That's right. Colorado games at home are ridiculously 19 Over 9 Under and 2 Push so far this season.
Final Score Colorado 7 NY Mets 4
Updated OVER 3-Win Streak YTD: 1-0 +105
Tomorrow's wager is on the second game of the series with the money won and initial risk money of 100. So it's 105 + 100, making the wager 205 on Friday's (May 2nd) NY Mets/Colorado game. Right now that is at O/U 9.5
I see where your angle is coming from here. Could be interesting. Say if you win tomorrow, what happens for game 3?
Yeah basically that's the angle. If they win tomorrow, which is if the game goes OVER tomorrow, (2nd game in the series) then the 3rd game on Sunday will be the wager on the OVER for the amount of the initial 100 plus the winning amounts of game 1 and game 2. So this is like winning approximately 7x the initial cash lay. If not then you just lose the initial 1x cash layout.
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Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:
I see where your angle is coming from here. Could be interesting. Say if you win tomorrow, what happens for game 3?
Yeah basically that's the angle. If they win tomorrow, which is if the game goes OVER tomorrow, (2nd game in the series) then the 3rd game on Sunday will be the wager on the OVER for the amount of the initial 100 plus the winning amounts of game 1 and game 2. So this is like winning approximately 7x the initial cash lay. If not then you just lose the initial 1x cash layout.
What is your method for picking? Just handicapping or previous years stats and results?
For this one I took into consideration the team's batting average. Colorado leads the league in batting at .293 and is third in on base percentage at .343 so that is a big plus if you want to go Over. Colorado's relief pitching is 22nd overall in the league with a 4.30 ERA so that's good for late inning scores for the opposing team. And the ballpark... it is the most hitter friendly ballpark in the league this year so far, the batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage is the highest in the league in all the 30 ballparks.
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Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:
What is your method for picking? Just handicapping or previous years stats and results?
For this one I took into consideration the team's batting average. Colorado leads the league in batting at .293 and is third in on base percentage at .343 so that is a big plus if you want to go Over. Colorado's relief pitching is 22nd overall in the league with a 4.30 ERA so that's good for late inning scores for the opposing team. And the ballpark... it is the most hitter friendly ballpark in the league this year so far, the batting average, on base percentage, and slugging percentage is the highest in the league in all the 30 ballparks.
It's the top of the 6th inning, and the NY Mets just scored 2 runs and is trailing Colorado with a score of 7-3. The game just went Over 9.5 runs so it's a win already.
Updated OVER 3-win Streak YTD: 2-0 +291
Sorry about that guys, I posted the wrong amount on the risk and to win amount. As indicated on my previous posts and initial strategy post, after a win, the following bet will be the initial 100 outlay along with the winning money from the previous win. And as indicated on my post above on Post #3, tonight's NY Mets/Colorado Over bet would have been Risk 205. So that would have been tonight's Risk 205 To Win 186. Right now we are at +291.
So tomorrow's final bet will be Risking initial 100 capital money plus wins of +105 and +186. So on tomorrow's NY Mets/Colorado Over bet will be Risking 391. Right now tomorrow's Over line is at 10.5 so let's see what happens tomorrow.
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It's the top of the 6th inning, and the NY Mets just scored 2 runs and is trailing Colorado with a score of 7-3. The game just went Over 9.5 runs so it's a win already.
Updated OVER 3-win Streak YTD: 2-0 +291
Sorry about that guys, I posted the wrong amount on the risk and to win amount. As indicated on my previous posts and initial strategy post, after a win, the following bet will be the initial 100 outlay along with the winning money from the previous win. And as indicated on my post above on Post #3, tonight's NY Mets/Colorado Over bet would have been Risk 205. So that would have been tonight's Risk 205 To Win 186. Right now we are at +291.
So tomorrow's final bet will be Risking initial 100 capital money plus wins of +105 and +186. So on tomorrow's NY Mets/Colorado Over bet will be Risking 391. Right now tomorrow's Over line is at 10.5 so let's see what happens tomorrow.
Texas/Colorado Over 10.5 -125 Risking 100 To Win 80
The best hitting team in The Major Leagues and the 2nd best hitting team in the American League. Colorado is a hitter friendly ballpark, and has been almost on top as the hitter friendly ballpark in the last 14 years. The two pitchers tonight boasts under 3.00 ERAs, but I'm leaning towards the Over, as Texas had a hitting frenzy yesterday, and Colorado had a power outage, and looks to burn the bats today.
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Play for Monday-May 5, 2014
Texas/Colorado Over 10.5 -125 Risking 100 To Win 80
The best hitting team in The Major Leagues and the 2nd best hitting team in the American League. Colorado is a hitter friendly ballpark, and has been almost on top as the hitter friendly ballpark in the last 14 years. The two pitchers tonight boasts under 3.00 ERAs, but I'm leaning towards the Over, as Texas had a hitting frenzy yesterday, and Colorado had a power outage, and looks to burn the bats today.
thinking this could work with wins on good teams and losses on bad teams too I think. maybe chasing teams all 3 games to lose under 375 pct and over 525 pct for win. money line chase.
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thinking this could work with wins on good teams and losses on bad teams too I think. maybe chasing teams all 3 games to lose under 375 pct and over 525 pct for win. money line chase.
thinking this could work with wins on good teams and losses on bad teams too I think. maybe chasing teams all 3 games to lose under 375 pct and over 525 pct for win. money line chase.
You have a valid point there. I've been comparing regarding trends for unders, as well as other combinations of bad teams vs good teams, or good pitchers vs bad pitchers, etc.
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Quote Originally Posted by coolspot:
thinking this could work with wins on good teams and losses on bad teams too I think. maybe chasing teams all 3 games to lose under 375 pct and over 525 pct for win. money line chase.
You have a valid point there. I've been comparing regarding trends for unders, as well as other combinations of bad teams vs good teams, or good pitchers vs bad pitchers, etc.
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