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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Leprechaun's 2011 MLB System

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    dj_destroyer
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    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2011 - 12:51 PM ET #76

    I always just list my pitcher to start and the other team as action. If my pitcher gets changed, I want the bet to be cancelled but if the other starter gets switched, I like the bet to ride because very rarely do they put someone in who is better or more ready. GL.
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    I always just list my pitcher to start and the other team as action. If my pitcher gets changed, I want the bet to be cancelled but if the other starter gets switched, I like the bet to ride because very rarely do they put someone in who is better or more ready. GL.
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2011 - 10:40 AM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I always just list my pitcher to start and the other team as action. If my pitcher gets changed, I want the bet to be cancelled but if the other starter gets switched, I like the bet to ride because very rarely do they put someone in who is better or more ready. GL.


    Totally agree DJ...that's usually how I bet it as well.  It only happens to me a few times a year so I always forget to address it beforehand.  Maybe I'll start doing this way.  Usually I'll catch the change and repost but sometimes work gets in the way.

    Leprechaun
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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    I always just list my pitcher to start and the other team as action. If my pitcher gets changed, I want the bet to be cancelled but if the other starter gets switched, I like the bet to ride because very rarely do they put someone in who is better or more ready. GL.


    Totally agree DJ...that's usually how I bet it as well.  It only happens to me a few times a year so I always forget to address it beforehand.  Maybe I'll start doing this way.  Usually I'll catch the change and repost but sometimes work gets in the way.

    Leprechaun
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2011 - 10:41 AM ET #78

    Thursday, July 28 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Tex (-150) to win 1 unit


    ***Results from July 27***

    1. Mil (-150) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
    2. Tex RL (+105) risk 0.75 units.............lose 0.75 units

    Total for July 27: 1-1, -0.25 units

    Overall SU System Record: 92-81, +6.89 units


    ***Notes***

    Splitsville.  First negative day in awhile but it was minimal.  Let's see if we make it back today.  Hopefully we'll get a new batch of good games for Friday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Thursday, July 28 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Tex (-150) to win 1 unit


    ***Results from July 27***

    1. Mil (-150) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
    2. Tex RL (+105) risk 0.75 units.............lose 0.75 units

    Total for July 27: 1-1, -0.25 units

    Overall SU System Record: 92-81, +6.89 units


    ***Notes***

    Splitsville.  First negative day in awhile but it was minimal.  Let's see if we make it back today.  Hopefully we'll get a new batch of good games for Friday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2011 - 2:42 PM ET #79

    Personally... I think you should count the play if that's how you played it. That style is generally agreed upon and doesn't need to be said beforehand. It also would have made a good day great. Just my opinion.
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    Personally... I think you should count the play if that's how you played it. That style is generally agreed upon and doesn't need to be said beforehand. It also would have made a good day great. Just my opinion.
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2011 - 11:42 AM ET #80

    I agree with you, but on the forums, people can be big time sticklers.  No negativity in this thread so far and I want to keep it that way.  Also a unit or two one way or the other shouldn't make too big a difference in the long run.  I prefer to chalk it up to a lesson learned...it was my mistake and hopefully that will be enough to keep me on top of checking for pitching changes.  I got lazy, and this is right at the time of year you can't do that.  Let's get 'em today!

    Leprechaun
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    I agree with you, but on the forums, people can be big time sticklers.  No negativity in this thread so far and I want to keep it that way.  Also a unit or two one way or the other shouldn't make too big a difference in the long run.  I prefer to chalk it up to a lesson learned...it was my mistake and hopefully that will be enough to keep me on top of checking for pitching changes.  I got lazy, and this is right at the time of year you can't do that.  Let's get 'em today!

    Leprechaun
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 29, 2011 - 11:42 AM ET #81

    Friday, July 29 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units
    2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units
    3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units
    4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit
    5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit
    6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units
    6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from July 28***

    1. Tex (-150) to win 1 unit..........................win 1 unit

    Total for July 28: 1-0, +1.00 units

    Overall SU System Record: 93-81, +7.89 units


    ***Notes***

    Got another nice victory.  Lots of plays on the board today, but no room to really get aggressive with anything.  In fact, the value is low on a lot of these plays so there are several sub 1 unit plays today.  Unless there is a miraculous sweep, we'll hope to get ourselves about 3 units for this iweekend.  Btw, If you're looking for a great value play today, it doesn't get much better than the Pitt RL.  If we can end today positive, we'll be looking at crossing the 10 unit mark before the weekend is over!  Happy Friday!


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Friday, July 29 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units
    2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units
    3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units
    4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit
    5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit
    6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units
    6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from July 28***

    1. Tex (-150) to win 1 unit..........................win 1 unit

    Total for July 28: 1-0, +1.00 units

    Overall SU System Record: 93-81, +7.89 units


    ***Notes***

    Got another nice victory.  Lots of plays on the board today, but no room to really get aggressive with anything.  In fact, the value is low on a lot of these plays so there are several sub 1 unit plays today.  Unless there is a miraculous sweep, we'll hope to get ourselves about 3 units for this iweekend.  Btw, If you're looking for a great value play today, it doesn't get much better than the Pitt RL.  If we can end today positive, we'll be looking at crossing the 10 unit mark before the weekend is over!  Happy Friday!


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 30, 2011 - 12:55 PM ET #82

    Saturday, July 30 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units
    2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units

    2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units
    3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units
    4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit
    5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units
    6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units

    8. Conditional Play (ONLY goes if Yanks lose on RL in gm 1): Yanks RL gm2 (+100) risk 2 units



    ***Results from July 29***

    1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units...............lose 1.2 units
    2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units
    3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units....................lose 1.2 units
    4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit.................lose 1.05 units
    5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
    6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units...................win 0.5 units
    6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.83 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units....................lose 0.6 units

    Total for July 29: 2-5, -2.70 units

    Overall SU System Record: 95-88, +5.19 units


    ***Notes***

    Well, we took an absolute beating yesterday...good thing we kept our plays pretty small.  Minimized the damage and kept us in the positive for the week still.  We basically have the same plays today, but with much better value this time around on a few.  Still, I've heavily reduced what we would normally play on these today...I don't like the way the weekend is shaping up so we'll try to keep risk down.  If we get a win by Yanks and Red Sox today, we should be okay.  Yanks have a double header...almost no time in between games so I've listed a conditional play again in case I can't get to a computer.  Let's get back to our winning ways.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Saturday, July 30 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units
    2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units

    2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units
    3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units
    4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit
    5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units
    6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units

    8. Conditional Play (ONLY goes if Yanks lose on RL in gm 1): Yanks RL gm2 (+100) risk 2 units



    ***Results from July 29***

    1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units...............lose 1.2 units
    2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units
    3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units....................lose 1.2 units
    4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit.................lose 1.05 units
    5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
    6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units...................win 0.5 units
    6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.83 units
    7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units....................lose 0.6 units

    Total for July 29: 2-5, -2.70 units

    Overall SU System Record: 95-88, +5.19 units


    ***Notes***

    Well, we took an absolute beating yesterday...good thing we kept our plays pretty small.  Minimized the damage and kept us in the positive for the week still.  We basically have the same plays today, but with much better value this time around on a few.  Still, I've heavily reduced what we would normally play on these today...I don't like the way the weekend is shaping up so we'll try to keep risk down.  If we get a win by Yanks and Red Sox today, we should be okay.  Yanks have a double header...almost no time in between games so I've listed a conditional play again in case I can't get to a computer.  Let's get back to our winning ways.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 30, 2011 - 6:40 PM ET #83

    Off to a good start with the Yanks win.  There is an error in the plays listed above.  Arizona should be listed as such:

    Arizona (+120) risk 0.5 units

    I forgot to change the odds.  Looks like TB is about to lose so we might need that Arizona win now.  Hope everyone is enjoying Saturday and winning big!

    Leprechaun
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    Off to a good start with the Yanks win.  There is an error in the plays listed above.  Arizona should be listed as such:

    Arizona (+120) risk 0.5 units

    I forgot to change the odds.  Looks like TB is about to lose so we might need that Arizona win now.  Hope everyone is enjoying Saturday and winning big!

    Leprechaun
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2011 - 11:16 AM ET #84

    Sunday, July 31 MLB Series System Picks

    1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units
    2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from July 30***

    1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
    2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units ............................win 0.5 units
    2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units............................win 0.68 units
    3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units.............................win 1.5 units
    4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit..............................win 1 unit
    5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units...............................lose 0.5 units
    6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units.......................win 0.5 units
    7. Ari (+120) risk 0.5 units.............................win 0.6 units

    Total for July 30: 6-1, +5.78 units

    Overall SU System Record: 101-89, +10.97 units


    ***Notes***

    That's how you bounce back from a bad day!  I didn't see THAT big of a day coming.  I knew we had the value, but was a little afraid of dropping into the negative for the week.  In hindsight, I think we played everything exactly right here...although we didn't win as much as we should have on the day, we kept our risk low and were rewarded handsomely.  This system is meant to be a good balance between those two aspects and it looks so far like the adjustments we've made for the second half are leading us in the right direction.  Of course, we are getting more wins, which makes life happier, but I think our unit management has been even better.  This system is not where I want it to be unit wise, but the strides we've made let's me know the program is doing it's job well and identifying the value plays with better efficiency as more and more stats get poured in as the season grinds on.  That was exactly the design we set out for.  Too bad we didn't wait one more week to start this system...we'd be up 30 units.

    Just a couple small plays today.  No matter what, we finish another week in the positive...now 7 out of 9.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Sunday, July 31 MLB Series System Picks

    1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units
    2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from July 30***

    1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
    2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units ............................win 0.5 units
    2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units............................win 0.68 units
    3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units.............................win 1.5 units
    4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit..............................win 1 unit
    5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units...............................lose 0.5 units
    6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units.......................win 0.5 units
    7. Ari (+120) risk 0.5 units.............................win 0.6 units

    Total for July 30: 6-1, +5.78 units

    Overall SU System Record: 101-89, +10.97 units


    ***Notes***

    That's how you bounce back from a bad day!  I didn't see THAT big of a day coming.  I knew we had the value, but was a little afraid of dropping into the negative for the week.  In hindsight, I think we played everything exactly right here...although we didn't win as much as we should have on the day, we kept our risk low and were rewarded handsomely.  This system is meant to be a good balance between those two aspects and it looks so far like the adjustments we've made for the second half are leading us in the right direction.  Of course, we are getting more wins, which makes life happier, but I think our unit management has been even better.  This system is not where I want it to be unit wise, but the strides we've made let's me know the program is doing it's job well and identifying the value plays with better efficiency as more and more stats get poured in as the season grinds on.  That was exactly the design we set out for.  Too bad we didn't wait one more week to start this system...we'd be up 30 units.

    Just a couple small plays today.  No matter what, we finish another week in the positive...now 7 out of 9.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2011 - 8:50 PM ET #85

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    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2011 - 10:43 AM ET #86

    Monday, August 1 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units
    1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units
    2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units
    3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units
    4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit
    5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit


    ***Results from July 31***

    1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units
    2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units...................win 0.53 units

    Total for July 31: 2-0, +1.00 units

    Overall SU System Record: 103-89, +11.97 units


    ***Notes***

    Finished the week up 7.87 units and moving along smoothly.  That's two rock solid weeks in a row.  Now we hit August and it will become harder to find value.  We'll keep picking spots to go after more units and playing RL's to keep risk down.  Hopefully we get off on the right foot this week.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Monday, August 1 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units
    1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units
    2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units
    3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units
    4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit
    5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit


    ***Results from July 31***

    1. TB (-120) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units
    2. Bos (+105) risk 0.5 units...................win 0.53 units

    Total for July 31: 2-0, +1.00 units

    Overall SU System Record: 103-89, +11.97 units


    ***Notes***

    Finished the week up 7.87 units and moving along smoothly.  That's two rock solid weeks in a row.  Now we hit August and it will become harder to find value.  We'll keep picking spots to go after more units and playing RL's to keep risk down.  Hopefully we get off on the right foot this week.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2011 - 4:08 PM ET #87

    Total for July 31: 2-0, +1.00 units

    Should read +1.03 units
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    Total for July 31: 2-0, +1.00 units

    Should read +1.03 units
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 2, 2011 - 10:49 AM ET #88

    Thanks DJ.  Didn't catch that!  I need that .03 units after last night

    Leprechaun
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    Thanks DJ.  Didn't catch that!  I need that .03 units after last night

    Leprechaun
     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 2, 2011 - 11:00 AM ET #89

    Tuesday, August 2 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units
    2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units
    3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units
    4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 1***

    1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units.............lose 0.88 units
    1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units............lose 0.5 units
    2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units..............lose 1.95 units
    3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units..............win 0.53 units
    4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit............lose 1.15 units
    5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit...............win 1 unit

    Total for Aug. 1: 2-3, -2.95 units

    Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +9.05 units (adjustment: added 0.03 that I missed on Sunday)


    ***Notes***

    Got roughed up losing a couple late.  Look for a bounce back today.  Lock and Load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Tuesday, August 2 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units
    2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units
    3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units
    4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 1***

    1a. Bos (-175) to win 0.5 units.............lose 0.88 units
    1b. Bos RL (+105) risk 0.5 units............lose 0.5 units
    2. Pitt (-130) to win 1.5 units..............lose 1.95 units
    3. Fla (+105) risk 0.5 units..............win 0.53 units
    4. Cinci (-115) to win 1 unit............lose 1.15 units
    5. Mil (-120) to win 1 unit...............win 1 unit

    Total for Aug. 1: 2-3, -2.95 units

    Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +9.05 units (adjustment: added 0.03 that I missed on Sunday)


    ***Notes***

    Got roughed up losing a couple late.  Look for a bounce back today.  Lock and Load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 10:07 AM ET #90

    Wednesday, August 3 MLB Series System Picks

    1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit
    2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units
    3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units
    4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 2***

    1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units..................lose 1.44 units
    2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units.......................lose 2.8 units
    3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units..................win 1.8 units
    4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units

    Total for Aug. 2: 1-3, -3.42 units

    Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +5.63 units


    ***Notes***

    Taking a beating the last two days.  How we handle this is a measure of the system.  The only thing I would really change was the aggressive play on Pitt.  The numbers gave that series a ton of value and it looked like a spot to grab in extra unit in this particular group of series.  Hopefully they win today, but after giving up so much on the first 2 games of that series, we have to back off.  Unfortunately, we got beat on the RL for the first time in a while at the same time we lost two decent value plays in a row...it seems much worse than it is, but getting back to even this week will be a battle.  The favorites were on fire the last couple weeks so it's bound to turn around a little bit.  We'll keep trying to navigate the minefield.  I think this system can do that.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Wednesday, August 3 MLB Series System Picks

    1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit
    2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units
    3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units
    4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 2***

    1. Bos RL (-120) to win 1.2 units..................lose 1.44 units
    2. Pitt (-140) to win 2 units.......................lose 2.8 units
    3. Cinci (-115) to win 1.8 units..................win 1.8 units
    4. KC (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units

    Total for Aug. 2: 1-3, -3.42 units

    Overall SU System Record: 105-92, +5.63 units


    ***Notes***

    Taking a beating the last two days.  How we handle this is a measure of the system.  The only thing I would really change was the aggressive play on Pitt.  The numbers gave that series a ton of value and it looked like a spot to grab in extra unit in this particular group of series.  Hopefully they win today, but after giving up so much on the first 2 games of that series, we have to back off.  Unfortunately, we got beat on the RL for the first time in a while at the same time we lost two decent value plays in a row...it seems much worse than it is, but getting back to even this week will be a battle.  The favorites were on fire the last couple weeks so it's bound to turn around a little bit.  We'll keep trying to navigate the minefield.  I think this system can do that.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2011 - 10:18 AM ET #91

    Thursday, August 4 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units


    ***Results from August 3***

    1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
    2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.75 units
    3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units....................lose 1.5 units
    4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units..................lose 0.65 units

    Total for Aug. 3: 2-2, -0.40 units

    Overall SU System Record: 107-94, +5.23 units


    ***Notes***

    Still going the wrong way dang it.  Since we aren't chasing, it hasn't been catastrophic, but still a damaging series for us.  The Cubs are proving the old adage that the sun even shines on a dogs ass once in awhile.  Come to think of it, that saying makes no sense!  We still give it a shot with one more unit today.  Ironically, the Cubs play Cinci next...both the teams that have been raping us this week.  I'm not sure if that will fall into the system or not, but I'll play that series for a split for sure to get a couple units back.  I use that strategy a lot to recover losses.  No other plays for the system today, so will spend some time licking our wounds and get ready for the weekend.  We've got some ground to make up.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Thursday, August 4 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units


    ***Results from August 3***

    1. KC (-120) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
    2. Mil (+100) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.75 units
    3. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units....................lose 1.5 units
    4. Cin (-130) to win 0.5 units..................lose 0.65 units

    Total for Aug. 3: 2-2, -0.40 units

    Overall SU System Record: 107-94, +5.23 units


    ***Notes***

    Still going the wrong way dang it.  Since we aren't chasing, it hasn't been catastrophic, but still a damaging series for us.  The Cubs are proving the old adage that the sun even shines on a dogs ass once in awhile.  Come to think of it, that saying makes no sense!  We still give it a shot with one more unit today.  Ironically, the Cubs play Cinci next...both the teams that have been raping us this week.  I'm not sure if that will fall into the system or not, but I'll play that series for a split for sure to get a couple units back.  I use that strategy a lot to recover losses.  No other plays for the system today, so will spend some time licking our wounds and get ready for the weekend.  We've got some ground to make up.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2011 - 9:53 AM ET #92

    Friday, August 5 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units
    1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units
    2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit
    3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units
    4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 4***

    1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units...............lose 1.68 units

    Total for Aug. 4: 0-1, -1.68 units

    Overall SU System Record: 107-95, +3.55 units


    ***Notes***

    Four straight losing days.  Bad beat on the Pitt loss on Thursday.  Can't believe the Cubs swept a 4 game series...ON THE ROAD!  That's why they play the games.  Didn't calculate it but I think that series cost us about 7 units.  I had set up guidelines at the beginning of the season (never posted them) and my aim was not to let any series cost the system more than 5 units.  I guess 7 isn't too bad for a 4 game series if you think about it.  Let's hope the weekend turns things around.  Just a heads up before hand, I will not be able to post on Sunday, so we are down to today and tomorrow to gain a little ground back.  The plays are small today, but it's not because of the losses.  I'm not that upset about the Pitt series to be honest...we played what the system gave us and we lost.  Period.  We managed the units as the system dictated.  I guess the point is, this system obviously needs tinkering, but the Pitt series isn't the reason...it's how we've performed as a whole.  For the weekend, we keep the same approach...there just aren't any real value series for us to go after.  We gotta fight to get our cushion back.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Friday, August 5 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units
    1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units
    2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit
    3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units
    4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 4***

    1. Pitt (-140) to win 1.2 units...............lose 1.68 units

    Total for Aug. 4: 0-1, -1.68 units

    Overall SU System Record: 107-95, +3.55 units


    ***Notes***

    Four straight losing days.  Bad beat on the Pitt loss on Thursday.  Can't believe the Cubs swept a 4 game series...ON THE ROAD!  That's why they play the games.  Didn't calculate it but I think that series cost us about 7 units.  I had set up guidelines at the beginning of the season (never posted them) and my aim was not to let any series cost the system more than 5 units.  I guess 7 isn't too bad for a 4 game series if you think about it.  Let's hope the weekend turns things around.  Just a heads up before hand, I will not be able to post on Sunday, so we are down to today and tomorrow to gain a little ground back.  The plays are small today, but it's not because of the losses.  I'm not that upset about the Pitt series to be honest...we played what the system gave us and we lost.  Period.  We managed the units as the system dictated.  I guess the point is, this system obviously needs tinkering, but the Pitt series isn't the reason...it's how we've performed as a whole.  For the weekend, we keep the same approach...there just aren't any real value series for us to go after.  We gotta fight to get our cushion back.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 6, 2011 - 11:00 AM ET #93

    Saturday, August 6 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units

    1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 5***

    1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units......................win 0.5 units
    1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units....................win 0.94 units
    2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit........................win 1 unit
    3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units....................win 0.75 units
    4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units....................lose 1.01 units

    Total for Aug. 5: 3-1, +2.18 units

    Overall SU System Record: 110-96, +5.73 units


    ***Notes***

    That's better, but looking at a big loss this week no matter what.  No time for comments...got Mama and Papa Leprechaun in town and keeping me busy.  Will not post tomorrow but an Ariz win will probably result in no plays anyway.  Back on Monday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Saturday, August 6 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units

    1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 5***

    1a. TB (-170) to win 0.5 units......................win 0.5 units
    1b. TB RL (+125) risk 0.75 units....................win 0.94 units
    2. Tex (-130) to win 1 unit........................win 1 unit
    3. Atl (-120) to win 0.75 units....................win 0.75 units
    4. Ari (-135) to win 0.75 units....................lose 1.01 units

    Total for Aug. 5: 3-1, +2.18 units

    Overall SU System Record: 110-96, +5.73 units


    ***Notes***

    That's better, but looking at a big loss this week no matter what.  No time for comments...got Mama and Papa Leprechaun in town and keeping me busy.  Will not post tomorrow but an Ariz win will probably result in no plays anyway.  Back on Monday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2011 - 10:57 AM ET #94

    Monday, August 8 MLB Series System Picks

    1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit
    2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units
    3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit
    4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 6***

    1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units...................lose 0.73 units
    1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units...................lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 6: 0-1, -1.23 units

    Overall SU System Record: 111-100, +4.5 units (note: made a correction to w/l record...last Tues. 1-3 record was missed)


    ***Notes***

    The week ended on a loss.  Too bad I wasn't around Sunday as we would have gotten that unit back.  Very tough week for the system, going 8-11 and losing 7.5 units.  That's the third losing week for this system on the season.  This week will be better.  Let's turn her around today.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Monday, August 8 MLB Series System Picks

    1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit
    2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units
    3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit
    4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 6***

    1a. Ari (-145) to win 0.5 units...................lose 0.73 units
    1b. Ari RL (+140) risk 0.5 units...................lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 6: 0-1, -1.23 units

    Overall SU System Record: 111-100, +4.5 units (note: made a correction to w/l record...last Tues. 1-3 record was missed)


    ***Notes***

    The week ended on a loss.  Too bad I wasn't around Sunday as we would have gotten that unit back.  Very tough week for the system, going 8-11 and losing 7.5 units.  That's the third losing week for this system on the season.  This week will be better.  Let's turn her around today.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2011 - 12:04 PM ET #95

    Tuesday, August 9 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit
    2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit
    3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units
    4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 8***

    1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
    2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units..............win 0.75 units
    3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit....................win 1 unit
    4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units.............lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 8: 3-1, +2.25 units

    Overall SU System Record: 114-101, +6.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Good start to the week.  Let's keep sailing in the right direction.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Tuesday, August 9 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit
    2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit
    3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units
    4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 8***

    1. TB (-160) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
    2. Bos (-115) to win 0.75 units..............win 0.75 units
    3. Atl (-115) to win 1 unit....................win 1 unit
    4. Ari RL (+115) risk 0.5 units.............lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 8: 3-1, +2.25 units

    Overall SU System Record: 114-101, +6.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Good start to the week.  Let's keep sailing in the right direction.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2011 - 11:20 AM ET #96

    Wednesday, August 10 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units
    1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit
    2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units
    3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units
    4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 9***

    1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit................lose 1.15 units
    2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit................lose 1.4 units
    3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units.............lose 0.98 units
    4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 9: 1-3, -3.03 units

    Overall SU System Record: 115-104, +3.72 units


    ***Notes***

    Gave back Monday's winnings and then some.  Not sure what's pissing me off more the past week...this system or the stock market.  Very busy week for me with relatives visiting...no time for comments.  I'm going much bigger than posted on these today.  Lock and load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Wednesday, August 10 MLB Series System Picks

    1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units
    1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit
    2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units
    3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units
    4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units


    ***Results from August 9***

    1. Yanks (-115) to win 1 unit................lose 1.15 units
    2. Tor (-140) to win 1 unit................lose 1.4 units
    3. Cin (-130) to win 0.75 units.............lose 0.98 units
    4. Atl (-125) to win 0.5 units................win 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 9: 1-3, -3.03 units

    Overall SU System Record: 115-104, +3.72 units


    ***Notes***

    Gave back Monday's winnings and then some.  Not sure what's pissing me off more the past week...this system or the stock market.  Very busy week for me with relatives visiting...no time for comments.  I'm going much bigger than posted on these today.  Lock and load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2011 - 1:46 PM ET #97

    Thursday, August 11 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Big day yesterday.  Will do totals later.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Thursday, August 11 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Big day yesterday.  Will do totals later.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2011 - 11:57 AM ET #98

    Friday, August 12 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units
    2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units
    3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units
    4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit
    5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units
    6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units
    7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit
    8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Another win and we are probably somewhere around +10 units right now.  No time again.  Will update sometime between now and Sunday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Friday, August 12 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units
    2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units
    3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units
    4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit
    5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units
    6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units
    7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit
    8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units


    ***Notes***

    Another win and we are probably somewhere around +10 units right now.  No time again.  Will update sometime between now and Sunday.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
    Leprechaun
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    Posted: Aug. 13, 2011 - 1:34 PM ET #99

    Saturday, August 13 MLB Series System Picks

    1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units
    2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit
    3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit
    4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units
    4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit
    5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units
    6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125): 0.5 units to win 1.98 units


    ***Results from August 12***

    1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
    2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units.............lose 1.01 units
    3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units..................lose 0.5 units
    4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit..................win 1 unit
    5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units................lose 1.44 units
    6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
    7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit.................win 1.05 units
    8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units...........lose 0.94 units

    ***Results from August 11***

    1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units..................win 0.75 units

    ***Results from August 10***

    1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
    1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit.................win 1 unit
    2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units.............................win 2 units
    3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
    4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units.....................win 0.75 units

    Total for Aug. 10: 4-0, +5.55 units
    Total for Aug. 11: 1-0, +0.75 units
    Total for Aug. 12: 4-4, +0.16 units

    Overall SU System Record: 124-108, +10.18 units


    ***Notes***

    Finally had a few minutes to total everything.  We've had three winning days in a row, with a monster sweep back on Wednesday.  Looking good for this week and hopefully can recover all of last weeks losses.  There is still a lot on the line today, so we'll see where we are when the dust settles.  Hopefully we can pick up about 2 or 3 units.  Lock and load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Saturday, August 13 MLB Series System Picks

    1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units
    2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit
    3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit
    4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units
    4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit
    5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units
    6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125): 0.5 units to win 1.98 units


    ***Results from August 12***

    1. Cle (-150) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
    2. CHW (-135) to win 0.75 units.............lose 1.01 units
    3. Oak (+120) risk 0.5 units..................lose 0.5 units
    4. Bos (-145) to win 1 unit..................win 1 unit
    5. SF (-120) to win 1.2 units................lose 1.44 units
    6. Atl (-135) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
    7. Mil RL (+105) to win 1 unit.................win 1.05 units
    8. Phi RL (-125) to win 0.75 units...........lose 0.94 units

    ***Results from August 11***

    1. Cards (-130) to win 0.75 units..................win 0.75 units

    ***Results from August 10***

    1a. Yanks (-190) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
    1b. Yanks RL (-105) to win 1 unit.................win 1 unit
    2. Tor (+100) risk 2 units.............................win 2 units
    3. Cinci (-165) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
    4. Cubs (-120) to win 0.75 units.....................win 0.75 units

    Total for Aug. 10: 4-0, +5.55 units
    Total for Aug. 11: 1-0, +0.75 units
    Total for Aug. 12: 4-4, +0.16 units

    Overall SU System Record: 124-108, +10.18 units


    ***Notes***

    Finally had a few minutes to total everything.  We've had three winning days in a row, with a monster sweep back on Wednesday.  Looking good for this week and hopefully can recover all of last weeks losses.  There is still a lot on the line today, so we'll see where we are when the dust settles.  Hopefully we can pick up about 2 or 3 units.  Lock and load.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

     
     
    Leprechaun
    Leprechaun
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 324
    Posted: Aug. 14, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #100

    Sunday, August 14 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Atl (-155) to win 0.5 units
    2. Oak (+115) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 13***

    1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units......................win 1.5 units
    2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit.......................win 1 unit
    3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit.............................lose 1 unit
    4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
    4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit......................win 1.15 units
    5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
    6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125)........lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 12: 4-2, +3.95 units

    Overall SU System Record: 128-110, +14.13 units


    ***Notes***

    Great day and the system hits a new all time high.  Couple plays today might push us ahead a little further still.  No matter what, we finish the week WAY up and ahead of where we were two weeks ago.  Very nice.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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    Sunday, August 14 MLB Series System Picks

    1. Atl (-155) to win 0.5 units
    2. Oak (+115) risk 0.5 units


    ***Results from August 13***

    1. CHW (-150) to win 1.5 units......................win 1.5 units
    2. Yanks (-150) to win 1 unit.......................win 1 unit
    3. Oak (+105) risk 1 unit.............................lose 1 unit
    4a. Phi (-180) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
    4b. Phi RL (+115) risk 1 unit......................win 1.15 units
    5. SF (-145) to win 1.3 units......................win 1.3 units
    6. Special parlay- Atl RL (+120)/Mil RL (+125)........lose 0.5 units

    Total for Aug. 12: 4-2, +3.95 units

    Overall SU System Record: 128-110, +14.13 units


    ***Notes***

    Great day and the system hits a new all time high.  Couple plays today might push us ahead a little further still.  No matter what, we finish the week WAY up and ahead of where we were two weeks ago.  Very nice.


    Good luck,

    Leprechaun

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