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IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY

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Posted: #276

Nice call on the Pads! RPI system had a bet on SF. I decided to tail you.

 
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Posted: #277

Hey guys - if I read the thread correctly - the odds are taken from Covers.  I looked on covers but it only has the home team odds in real time - unless i'm looking in the wrong place

https://www.covers.com/odds/baseball/mlb-odds.aspx

Even the line history only shows the home team odds - where do you guys get the visiting team odd?

For example: The "Covers" columns says the CWS odds is currenly EVEN or 100, but it does not indicate what the Toronto odds are.....unless you click on the full odds tab - but i don't think they are real time.

So which page are you guys looking at - also I assume you are only looking at the odds in the "Covers" column - correct?  you are not looking at the other online books columns?

 
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Posted: #278

I use the MLB scores page. I know this isn't the best method for tracking odds, but  it's where I found the play and yesterday I hit both plays.

https://scores.covers.com/baseball-scores-matchups.aspx

 

THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.

6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN

6/6 - No plays today. Dodgers are the only play right now and filters don't support this play. It's close, but I would pass.

I personally think the RPI Giants "B" is the best pick today.

 
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Posted: #279
 
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Posted: #280

LAD EVEN now. Still no play?

 
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Posted: #281
Still no play, now that we are in the 7th, they might pull it off, but it was a pass for me.

But hey, I gave you another winner with the Giants. Thanks B2W.
 
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Posted: #282
No plays again today, so far.
 
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Posted: #283
Irage, I know interleague will have a small sample size, but do you know what the record was?
 
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Posted: #284
 
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Posted: #285

Irage

I don't know all the filters for system - but what you posted in the thread I put it in a spreadhseet and automated it.  I threw in a couple of bells and whistles I had from another project - which shows the linups for each team and the starting pitcher which I get from Baseball Press.com

So basically - click the "Update Lineup" button to update the lineup for the games and click the "Refresh Lines" button to update the lines from the Covers Scoreboard page

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbNnFjSmt3VzJ1R0k

So check it out and let me know if you want anything updated, changed, or added......and it also looks like BOS and LAD could be potential plays today

 
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Posted: #286
[Quote: Originally Posted by DegenGamble]

Irage

I don't know all the filters for system - but what you posted in the thread I put it in a spreadhseet and automated it.  I threw in a couple of bells and whistles I had from another project - which shows the linups for each team and the starting pitcher which I get from Baseball Press.com

So basically - click the "Update Lineup" button to update the lineup for the games and click the "Refresh Lines" button to update the lines from the Covers Scoreboard page

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbNnFjSmt3VzJ1R0k

So check it out and let me know if you want anything updated, changed, or added......and it also looks like BOS and LAD could be potential plays today

Check out this site for updayed odds.

https://www.madduxsports.com/baseball-odds.php

 
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Posted: #287
Quote Originally Posted by fkulak888:

Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Check out this site for updayed odds.

https://www.madduxsports.com/baseball-odds.php

My spreadsheet updates the odds from the Covers site as Irage does.  But that being said - after clicking refresh on the spreadsheet - the LAD game fell off.  But who knows - the lines move all the way to game time

 
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Posted: #288
fkulak,

that's some good work but is there any way to can use Covers odds instead of Maddux because Irage's system is solely based on Covers lines.

https://scores.covers.com/baseball-scores-matchups.aspx
 
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Posted: #289
Feel free to try anything site you want.

Today we have a couple of potentials.

Washington 100
Tampa Bay 106 is not a play yet, it's right on the edge. If the line for Miami drops below -110 it will be on. I would even consider this a play if it drops to -111.
 
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Posted: #290
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Irage

I don't know all the filters for system - but what you posted in the thread I put it in a spreadhseet and automated it.  I threw in a couple of bells and whistles I had from another project - which shows the linups for each team and the starting pitcher which I get from Baseball Press.com

So basically - click the "Update Lineup" button to update the lineup for the games and click the "Refresh Lines" button to update the lines from the Covers Scoreboard page

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbNnFjSmt3VzJ1R0k

So check it out and let me know if you want anything updated, changed, or added......and it also looks like BOS and LAD could be potential plays today

 

Great job on the spreadsheet Degen! 

 
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Posted: #291
Friday's DOG and PONY show!

OK, as long as the plays stay under -110 these are plays.

Washington - I like the Natty's in this situation.
Tampa Bay -

I also like the Yanks today. I have to check out for a couple of hours, so watch the lines just before post time.
 
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Posted: #292
Quote Originally Posted by CanisMajor:

 

Great job on the spreadsheet Degen! 

Thank Canis

 
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Posted: #293

Rule #3 take the DOG

Sooooo....hypothetically what is Visiting Team (WAS) is -103 and Home Team (BOS) is -103.  Would the play still be WAS since the are the Visiting team and typically the visiting team is the DOG if the odds are the same.

And I assume if BOS turns out to be a home dog by game time - we would then pick BOS instead at game time . - correct?

 
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Posted: #294
Are Was and the Rays a play irage? I played them cause the Nats were at 100 and Rays were even at -103. 
 
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Posted: #295
I took em too.....hope it pans out.....BOS and WAS were going back and forth

Took the yanks too - looks good so far - thanks IRage
 
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Posted: #296
I'm hoping they really do as Bal is already a loss for me. Saw that one coming though as Phillies lost 6 already but I just can't go against the RPI system
 
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Posted: #297
A minute before the TB/MIA game is was -103 for each team. Irage goes with the visiting team if that's the case. However, I went back to the odds after the first inning and the odds are TB -106, MIA 100... so does that mean that MIA was actually the play?
 
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Posted: #298
I actually saw that too but I would assume that the play counts before the game starts and not if it already started. I placed my bet 1 minute before 7:05 and the line was still the same then. If I'm not mistaken, the line moved right after the first pitch was thrown and thus making the Marlins the dogs. On a side note matty, the lines were -105 and -101 after the first pitch and it still moved after that
 
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Posted: #299
Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

I placed my bet 1 minute before 7:05 and the line was still the same then. If I'm not mistaken, the line moved right after the first pitch was thrown and thus making the Marlins the dogs. On a side note matty, the lines were -105 and -101 after the first pitch and it still moved after that


In conclusion?  We're all fucked.
 
 
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Posted: #300
This is where the system is flawed. The back tested results are based on a closing line which will adjust based on the action. There must have been alot of action before game time.

I took the Nats and Yanks.

I still think I can find value games, but I think I have just gotten lucky.

But hey the Yanks were a pure cap.
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