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Improved YPPT Predictive Model to be out in a few days

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Participants:

Posts: 14

roughshod31

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 680

Posted: Aug. 23, 2010 - 11:40 PM ET #1

A number of you may remember last years YPPT thread. I have been giving a great deal of thought as to how to improve that model. Some of these ideas are: 1. An improved Strength of Schedule multiplier. 2. A Home Field Advantage multiplier for each team varying from 2.0 pts. to 6.0 pts.( taken from Phil Steeles Magazine). Any additional ideas for improvement are welcome. I shall be checking in over the next few days. Until then good luck all.

jaybosstein

Veteran

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 1174

Posted: Aug. 24, 2010 - 6:51 PM ET #2

Quote Originally Posted by roughshod31:

A number of you may remember last years YPPT thread. I have been giving a great deal of thought as to how to improve that model. Some of these ideas are: 1. An improved Strength of Schedule multiplier. 2. A Home Field Advantage multiplier for each team varying from 2.0 pts. to 6.0 pts.( taken from Phil Steeles Magazine). Any additional ideas for improvement are welcome. I shall be checking in over the next few days. Until then good luck all.

Man, I Am One Of The Few That Has Been Looking For U To Pop Back Here This Season! Still Waiting To See What This Season And What You Got Brings!

roughshod31

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 680

Posted: Aug. 25, 2010 - 9:04 PM ET #3

First Projection of 2010 CFB season.

Marshall 16

OhioSt. 34

Play Marshall +28.5

roughshod31

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 680

Posted: Aug. 25, 2010 - 9:14 PM ET #4

Minnesota 28

Mid Tenn St. 31

Play OVER 52.0

roughshod31

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 680

Posted: Aug. 25, 2010 - 9:17 PM ET #5

Florida Atl. 24

UAB 30

Play Florida Atl. +15.5

roughshod31

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 680

Posted: Aug. 25, 2010 - 9:21 PM ET #6

USC 30

Hawaii 20

Play Hawaii +21.0

ldusing

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 299

Posted: Aug. 25, 2010 - 9:40 PM ET #7

Look forward to this thread!

MaineRoad

All-Star

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 12254

Posted: Aug. 27, 2010 - 12:20 PM ET #8

Is there any way to adjust over time to account for so many teams playing crap teams early in the season?

fts1409

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 4015

Posted: Aug. 27, 2010 - 6:23 PM ET #9

How did u do last season ? Thx.

fts1409

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 4015

Posted: Aug. 27, 2010 - 6:24 PM ET #10

Also...how do u compensate for loss of key players,coaching change,etc... ?

ws1975

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 6

Posted: Aug. 31, 2010 - 10:41 PM ET #11

I enjoyed reading last year's thread on this and I'm looking very foward to see what the improvements are to this predictive model. Is there anyway the model can be more simplified and less time consuming? Also, could turnover margin be included in this model?