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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    HFOUDL System

    Tomspeople
    rome1
    gasman33
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    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2008 - 3:12 PM ET #1

    Well I've been working on a system .(needs a cooler name, so help with that lol) HFOUDL is short for "Home Favourite Off UnderDog Loss" The system says to bet on a team that is a home favourite in the FIRST game of a series. The Team must be coming off a loss as an underdog in the LAST game of the previous series. You can chase for the whole series or play each single game (all 3 or 4) Both the series' must be at least 3 games. I've only tested this for last season and so far this season, but it seems pretty good. Last Season (betting each game of series) AL = 87-38 (69.60%) +39.50u NL = 114-97 (54.03%) -7.25u Total = 201-135 (59.82%) +32.35u (Chase) AL = 39-0 (100.00%) +39.00u NL = 62-3 (95.38%) +32.23u Total = 101-3 (97.12%) +71.23u This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 69-35 (66.35%) +20.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 144-88 (62.07%) +37.72u (Chase) AL = 32-1 (96.97%) +21.31u NL = 36-6 (85.71%) -28.96u Total = 68-7 (90.67%) -7.65u Went 2-0 yesterday with Toronto and Cleveland <--scary game to bet on. Tonights games are.. Cleveland -106 (single only, we won the chase last night)
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    Well I've been working on a system .(needs a cooler name, so help with that lol) HFOUDL is short for "Home Favourite Off UnderDog Loss" The system says to bet on a team that is a home favourite in the FIRST game of a series. The Team must be coming off a loss as an underdog in the LAST game of the previous series. You can chase for the whole series or play each single game (all 3 or 4) Both the series' must be at least 3 games. I've only tested this for last season and so far this season, but it seems pretty good. Last Season (betting each game of series) AL = 87-38 (69.60%) +39.50u NL = 114-97 (54.03%) -7.25u Total = 201-135 (59.82%) +32.35u (Chase) AL = 39-0 (100.00%) +39.00u NL = 62-3 (95.38%) +32.23u Total = 101-3 (97.12%) +71.23u This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 69-35 (66.35%) +20.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 144-88 (62.07%) +37.72u (Chase) AL = 32-1 (96.97%) +21.31u NL = 36-6 (85.71%) -28.96u Total = 68-7 (90.67%) -7.65u Went 2-0 yesterday with Toronto and Cleveland <--scary game to bet on. Tonights games are.. Cleveland -106 (single only, we won the chase last night)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2008 - 1:04 AM ET #2

    1-0 Today, here's the new record for the season. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 70-35 (66.67%) +21.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 145-88 (62.23%) +38.72u July 12th - Cleveland +128
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    1-0 Today, here's the new record for the season. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 70-35 (66.67%) +21.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 145-88 (62.23%) +38.72u July 12th - Cleveland +128
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2008 - 11:45 PM ET #3

    And another win today, updating! This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 71-35 (66.98%) +22.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 146-88 (62.39%) +39.72u July 13th - Cleveland +132 Let's finish this series with a 4-0 sweep!
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    And another win today, updating! This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 71-35 (66.98%) +22.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 146-88 (62.39%) +39.72u July 13th - Cleveland +132 Let's finish this series with a 4-0 sweep!
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2008 - 5:15 PM ET #4

    Cleveland finishes the sweep! This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 72-35 (67.29%) +23.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 147-88 (62.55%) +40.72u Time to take a break for the AS break, good luck to everyone!
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    Cleveland finishes the sweep! This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 72-35 (67.29%) +23.79u NL = 75-53 (58.59%) +16.93u Total = 147-88 (62.55%) +40.72u Time to take a break for the AS break, good luck to everyone!
     
    rome1
    rome1
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2008 - 11:19 AM ET #5

    Very nice work I'm gonna use this for second half see how it fits with the system I'm using GOOOD LUCK !!
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    Very nice work I'm gonna use this for second half see how it fits with the system I'm using GOOOD LUCK !!
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2008 - 8:31 PM ET #6

    Thanks rome :) Now that the all start break is up (glad I played AL, scary though) we can continue the system! July 17th (For singles and start of chase) : Baltimore -111 Colorado - 142
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    Thanks rome :) Now that the all start break is up (glad I played AL, scary though) we can continue the system! July 17th (For singles and start of chase) : Baltimore -111 Colorado - 142
     
    rome1
    rome1
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2008 - 1:47 AM ET #7

    Had Balt at even money, are you betting same 2 again or just chasing Balt.. ??
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    Had Balt at even money, are you betting same 2 again or just chasing Balt.. ??
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2008 - 5:01 PM ET #8

    1-1 yesterday Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -125 Colorado -117 Florida -108 Minnesota -119 ChicagoWS -143 Arizona +109 (Opened as fav) Games for today (Chase!) Game 2's Baltimore -125 (Bet 2.64u) Game 1's Florida -108 Minnesota -119 ChicagoWS -143 Arizona +109 (Opened as fav) Oh yes, and updated stats.. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 72-36 (66.67%) +22.68u NL = 76-53 (58.91%) +17.93u Total = 148-89 (62.45%) +40.61u (Chase) AL = 32-1 (96.97%) +21.31u NL = 37-6 (86.05%) -27.96u Total = 69-7 (90.79%) -6.65u
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    1-1 yesterday Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -125 Colorado -117 Florida -108 Minnesota -119 ChicagoWS -143 Arizona +109 (Opened as fav) Games for today (Chase!) Game 2's Baltimore -125 (Bet 2.64u) Game 1's Florida -108 Minnesota -119 ChicagoWS -143 Arizona +109 (Opened as fav) Oh yes, and updated stats.. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 72-36 (66.67%) +22.68u NL = 76-53 (58.91%) +17.93u Total = 148-89 (62.45%) +40.61u (Chase) AL = 32-1 (96.97%) +21.31u NL = 37-6 (86.05%) -27.96u Total = 69-7 (90.79%) -6.65u
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2008 - 6:12 AM ET #9

    4-2 yesterday, that's nice :) This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 75-36 (67.57%) +25.68u NL = 77-55 (58.33%) +16.85u Total = 152-91 (62.55%) +42.53u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 37-6 (86.05%) -27.96u Total = 72-7 (91.14%) -3.65u Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -119 Colorado -152 Florida -101 Minnesota -110 ChicagoWS -146 Arizona -123 Games for today (Chase!) Game 2's Florida (Bet 2.10u) Arizona (Bet 2.46u)
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    4-2 yesterday, that's nice :) This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 75-36 (67.57%) +25.68u NL = 77-55 (58.33%) +16.85u Total = 152-91 (62.55%) +42.53u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 37-6 (86.05%) -27.96u Total = 72-7 (91.14%) -3.65u Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -119 Colorado -152 Florida -101 Minnesota -110 ChicagoWS -146 Arizona -123 Games for today (Chase!) Game 2's Florida (Bet 2.10u) Arizona (Bet 2.46u)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2008 - 11:40 PM ET #10

    Another very profitable day today, going 5-1 This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 77-37 (67.54%) +26.31u NL = 80-55 (59.26%) +19.85u Total = 157-92 (63.05%) +46.16u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 74-7 (91.36%) -1.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore +122 Colorado -179 Florida +136 Minnesota -128 ChicagoWS -161 Arizona -142 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) None!
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    Another very profitable day today, going 5-1 This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 77-37 (67.54%) +26.31u NL = 80-55 (59.26%) +19.85u Total = 157-92 (63.05%) +46.16u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 74-7 (91.36%) -1.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore +122 Colorado -179 Florida +136 Minnesota -128 ChicagoWS -161 Arizona -142 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) None!
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 20, 2008 - 9:39 PM ET #11

    Eh, an off day, we all have them. Went 2-4, it happens. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 77-40 (65.81%) +22.42u NL = 82-56 (59.42%) +20.79u Total = 157-92 (63.05%) +43.21u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 74-7 (91.36%) -1.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -109 Houston -147 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) Baltimore - 109 Houston -147
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    Eh, an off day, we all have them. Went 2-4, it happens. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 77-40 (65.81%) +22.42u NL = 82-56 (59.42%) +20.79u Total = 157-92 (63.05%) +43.21u (Chase) AL = 35-1 (97.22%) +24.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 74-7 (91.36%) -1.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -109 Houston -147 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) Baltimore - 109 Houston -147
     
    gasman33
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2008 - 12:19 PM ET #12

    ....the Peoples System...||thumbs_up.gif' border=0>
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    ....the Peoples System...||thumbs_up.gif' border=0>
     
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2008 - 4:42 PM ET #13

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 78-40 (66.10%) +23.42u NL = 82-57 (58.99%) +19.32u Total = 158-93 (62.95%) +42.74u (Chase) AL = 36-1 (97.30%) +25.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 75-7 (91.46%) -0.65u Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -114 Houston -102 Games for today (Chase!) Game 2 Houston -147 (2.52u)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 78-40 (66.10%) +23.42u NL = 82-57 (58.99%) +19.32u Total = 158-93 (62.95%) +42.74u (Chase) AL = 36-1 (97.30%) +25.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 75-7 (91.46%) -0.65u Games for today (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -114 Houston -102 Games for today (Chase!) Game 2 Houston -147 (2.52u)
     
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2008 - 6:17 AM ET #14

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 78-41 (65.55%) +22.28u NL = 82-58 (58.57%) +18.30u Total = 158-95 (62.45%) +40.58u (Chase) AL = 36-1 (97.30%) +25.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 75-7 (91.46%) -0.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -110 Houston -128 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) Game 2 Houston -128 (4.51u)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 78-41 (65.55%) +22.28u NL = 82-58 (58.57%) +18.30u Total = 158-95 (62.45%) +40.58u (Chase) AL = 36-1 (97.30%) +25.31u NL = 39-6 (86.67%) -25.96u Total = 75-7 (91.46%) -0.65u Games for tomorrow (If you're playing every game is series) Baltimore -110 Houston -128 Games for tomorrow (Chase!) Game 2 Houston -128 (4.51u)
     
    rome1
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2008 - 6:38 PM ET #15

    39-6 and your in the neg not a good sign
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    39-6 and your in the neg not a good sign
     
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2008 - 10:57 AM ET #16

    sorry about not posting yesterday, was busy This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 79-44 (64.23%) +19.94u NL = 82-60 (57.75%) +16.84u Total = 159-100 (61.39%) +36.78u (Chase) AL = 37-1 (97.37%) +26.31u NL = 39-7 (84.78%) -34.36u Total = 76-8 (90.48%) -8.05u Games for 7/26 (If you're playing every game is series) Cleveland -110 Philadelphia -220 Oakland -192 Games for 7/26 (Chase!) Game 2's Philadelphia -220 (4.80u) Oakland -124 (4.30u)
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    sorry about not posting yesterday, was busy This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 79-44 (64.23%) +19.94u NL = 82-60 (57.75%) +16.84u Total = 159-100 (61.39%) +36.78u (Chase) AL = 37-1 (97.37%) +26.31u NL = 39-7 (84.78%) -34.36u Total = 76-8 (90.48%) -8.05u Games for 7/26 (If you're playing every game is series) Cleveland -110 Philadelphia -220 Oakland -192 Games for 7/26 (Chase!) Game 2's Philadelphia -220 (4.80u) Oakland -124 (4.30u)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2008 - 11:35 AM ET #17

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 79-46 (63.20%) +16.92u NL = 83-60 (58.04%) +17.84u Total = 160-102 (61.07%) +34.76u (Chase) AL = 37-1 (97.37%) +26.31u NL = 40-7 (85.11%) -33.36u Total = 77-8 (90.59%) -7.05u Games for 7/27 (If you're playing every game is series) Cleveland -105 Philadelphia -141 Oakland -116 Games for 7/27 (Chase!) Game 3's Oakland -116 (7.59u)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 79-46 (63.20%) +16.92u NL = 83-60 (58.04%) +17.84u Total = 160-102 (61.07%) +34.76u (Chase) AL = 37-1 (97.37%) +26.31u NL = 40-7 (85.11%) -33.36u Total = 77-8 (90.59%) -7.05u Games for 7/27 (If you're playing every game is series) Cleveland -105 Philadelphia -141 Oakland -116 Games for 7/27 (Chase!) Game 3's Oakland -116 (7.59u)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 28, 2008 - 6:04 PM ET #18

    Sorry about the lateish post. It's still an hour before game time so it's not "late" but I usually like to post earlier in case anyone wants to play them. 2-1 yesterday is alright :P And thanks god Oakland won to save the chase. Just a note, you will see Atlanta and Pittsburgh listed in the plays as dogs even though it's the first game of the series. This is because they opened as the favourite, that's just the line now, and of course we should always shop for the best line, right boys? This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 80-47 (62.99%) +16.87u NL = 84-60 (58.33%) +18.84u Total = 162-103 (61.13%) +35.71u (Chase) AL = 38-1 (97.44%) +27.31u NL = 40-7 (85.11%) -33.36u Total = 78-8 (90.70%) -6.05u Games for 7/28 (If you're playing every game is series) Atlanta +107 Pittsburgh +102 NY Yankees -160 Games for 7/28 (Chase!) Atlanta +107 Pittsburgh +102 NY Yankees -160 Last Season (betting each game of series) AL = 87-38 (69.60%) +39.50u NL = 114-97 (54.03%) -7.25u Total = 201-135 (59.82%) +32.35u (Chase) AL = 39-0 (100.00%) +39.00u NL = 62-3 (95.38%) +32.23u Total = 101-3 (97.12%) +71.23u
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    Sorry about the lateish post. It's still an hour before game time so it's not "late" but I usually like to post earlier in case anyone wants to play them. 2-1 yesterday is alright :P And thanks god Oakland won to save the chase. Just a note, you will see Atlanta and Pittsburgh listed in the plays as dogs even though it's the first game of the series. This is because they opened as the favourite, that's just the line now, and of course we should always shop for the best line, right boys? This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 80-47 (62.99%) +16.87u NL = 84-60 (58.33%) +18.84u Total = 162-103 (61.13%) +35.71u (Chase) AL = 38-1 (97.44%) +27.31u NL = 40-7 (85.11%) -33.36u Total = 78-8 (90.70%) -6.05u Games for 7/28 (If you're playing every game is series) Atlanta +107 Pittsburgh +102 NY Yankees -160 Games for 7/28 (Chase!) Atlanta +107 Pittsburgh +102 NY Yankees -160 Last Season (betting each game of series) AL = 87-38 (69.60%) +39.50u NL = 114-97 (54.03%) -7.25u Total = 201-135 (59.82%) +32.35u (Chase) AL = 39-0 (100.00%) +39.00u NL = 62-3 (95.38%) +32.23u Total = 101-3 (97.12%) +71.23u
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Jul. 30, 2008 - 5:30 PM ET #19

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 80-49 (62.02%) +13.66u NL = 86-62 (55.41%) +18.41u Total = 166-111 (59.93%) +32.07u (Chase) AL = 38-1 (97.44%) +27.31u NL = 41-7 (85.42%) -32.36u Total = 79-8 (90.80%) -5.05u Games for 7/30 (If you're playing every game is series) Atlanta -116 Pittsburgh +154 NY Yankees -301 Games for 7/30 (Chase!) Game 3's Atlanta -116 (4.87u) NY Yankees -301 (15.61u)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 80-49 (62.02%) +13.66u NL = 86-62 (55.41%) +18.41u Total = 166-111 (59.93%) +32.07u (Chase) AL = 38-1 (97.44%) +27.31u NL = 41-7 (85.42%) -32.36u Total = 79-8 (90.80%) -5.05u Games for 7/30 (If you're playing every game is series) Atlanta -116 Pittsburgh +154 NY Yankees -301 Games for 7/30 (Chase!) Game 3's Atlanta -116 (4.87u) NY Yankees -301 (15.61u)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2008 - 2:35 AM ET #20

    I haven't posted in the last couple days because there hasn't been any plays. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 81-49 (62.31%) +14.66u NL = 87-64 (57.62%) +17.41u Total = 168-113 (59.79%) +32.07u (Chase) AL = 39-1 (97.50%) +28.31u NL = 42-7 (85.71%) -31.36u Total = 81-8 (91.01%) -3.05u Games for 8/04 (If you're playing every game is series) Toronto -204 Arizona -280 San Francisco -114 Games for 8/04 (Chase!) Toronto -204 Arizona -280 San Francisco -114
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    I haven't posted in the last couple days because there hasn't been any plays. This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 81-49 (62.31%) +14.66u NL = 87-64 (57.62%) +17.41u Total = 168-113 (59.79%) +32.07u (Chase) AL = 39-1 (97.50%) +28.31u NL = 42-7 (85.71%) -31.36u Total = 81-8 (91.01%) -3.05u Games for 8/04 (If you're playing every game is series) Toronto -204 Arizona -280 San Francisco -114 Games for 8/04 (Chase!) Toronto -204 Arizona -280 San Francisco -114
     
    rome1
    rome1
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2008 - 1:31 AM ET #21

    GREAT NIGHT, ||moneybag.gif' border=0> and I don't mind saying dug me out of a hole $$$
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    GREAT NIGHT, ||moneybag.gif' border=0> and I don't mind saying dug me out of a hole $$$
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Aug. 6, 2008 - 2:26 PM ET #22

    Another good day, 3-1 :) This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 84-49 (63.16%) +17.66u NL = 90-65 (58.06%) +19.05u Total = 174-114 (60.42%) +36.71u (Chase) AL = 41-1 (97.62%) +30.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 84-8 (91.30%) +0.95u Games for 8/06 (If you're playing every game is series) Toronto -131 Arizona -225 San Francisco -171 Chicago WS -112 Games for 8/06 (Chase!) None!
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    Another good day, 3-1 :) This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 84-49 (63.16%) +17.66u NL = 90-65 (58.06%) +19.05u Total = 174-114 (60.42%) +36.71u (Chase) AL = 41-1 (97.62%) +30.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 84-8 (91.30%) +0.95u Games for 8/06 (If you're playing every game is series) Toronto -131 Arizona -225 San Francisco -171 Chicago WS -112 Games for 8/06 (Chase!) None!
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2008 - 11:22 AM ET #23

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 89-51 (63.57%) +20.36u NL = 91-68 (57.23%) +15.05u Total = 180-119 (60.20%) +35.41u (Chase) AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series) Arizona -160 Seattle +130 Baltimore -114 Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 89-51 (63.57%) +20.36u NL = 91-68 (57.23%) +15.05u Total = 180-119 (60.20%) +35.41u (Chase) AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series) Arizona -160 Seattle +130 Baltimore -114 Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
     
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2008 - 10:56 AM ET #24

    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 90-52 (63.38%) +20.36u NL = 91-69 (56.86%) +13.45u Total = 181-121 (59.93%) +33.81u (Chase) AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series) Arizona -206 Seattle +123 Baltimore -130 Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
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    This Season (betting each game of series) AL = 90-52 (63.38%) +20.36u NL = 91-69 (56.86%) +13.45u Total = 181-121 (59.93%) +33.81u (Chase) AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series) Arizona -206 Seattle +123 Baltimore -130 Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
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