help/advice with nba

hello all, im 29 male from croatia (europe)

my knowledge of nba is not so great but i realize that this forum is full of nba expert so i come for advice :)

i was reading a lot of betting strats and for me  1-8 Parlay(2-team) + Dues looks like best cuz "juice" for chance is good, i know its a bit risky but im not here to discus about it :)

my local booky gives bet for how much point will score some nba player, for example;Wade D(-25,5+)

so, my guess was if i play 2 bets on one ticket its good that those bets are related , if some teams wanna win they need they star player to perform :)

2 play bet gives me like 25% chance to win, if those bet are relatet that chance increase in my favor, i guess 37,5%
1-8 Parlay start need min 12% hit rate if u dont wanna lose your serie :)

i m testing this strat some time with so-so results, for tonight i have Roy B.(-20,5+) under + Portland(h-10,5)-Detroit  2


any advice how to improve/analyze  team/player combo are much thankful 

Parlays sucks...

psarlays in genral are not good bet.

all is relative and depends about point of view :)
i dont wanna discus about it, all bet for his own money and should be free to choice system that suits him best

i choice Parlay(2-team) cuz atm i can only place bet in my local bookie,
and prices goes like this;
equal pay (or in this case point spreed) they offer for 1,85 or in american odds -117.65
+ they take 5% of my money for handling fee
so i risk 100 to get 75,75

i hope u get why i need to play 2 team ;)


to be honest i dont play for big money, my bank is maybe smaller then some of u place on one bet
but that dont mean that i dont need to try to do my best
thats why i come on this forum to learn from ppl with much more experience that i have

so, im interested in how to analyze  team/player combo

this is example how i choice my bets for today
i can only bet by statistic cuz i cant watch match
im on GMT+1 time zone (now is 16:37) and play are when im in bed :)

SanAnton(h-14,5)-LAClippe

LAC are 0-9 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

• Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• 
  
• Clippers are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games.
• Clippers are 17-37 ATS in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Clippers are 24-55 ATS in their last 79 vs. Western Conference.

looks like trend is on SAS side, but i know thats statistic is not all, i would like if can input me on what stats to look, whats more inportant, what to avoid , etc

now players:
they play vs 15 defense in league

Pts.

Fg.%

3pt.%

102.0

46.0

37.65

Duncan T(-17,5+)
Avg 17,
Fg.% 58.1,
 3pt.% 0
3 times had more then 17,5 points ,6 times less
at LAC 14 points
last 3 games U,O,O

Parker T(-17,5+)
Avg 16.0,
Fg.% 46.0
3pt.% 0
4 times had more then 17,5 points ,5 times less
at LAC 19 points
last 3 games U,O,U

GinobiliM(-19,5+)
 Avg 21.8
Fg.% 45.8
3pt.% 36.7
5 times had more then 19,5 points ,4 times less
at LAC 14 points
last 3 games O,O,U

i picked GinobiliM(-19,5+)
____________________

"Very few people who are great at what they do can resist talking about it. And even fewer can keep a secret."

TRUE or FALSE =? :)

looks like noone wanna give me some tips :(
but i dont give up that easy :)

was reading in this forum and found a lot of topics about chase,
but noone explains whats are filters for it

i get cofnused in stats, cuz in almost all u can have some for and some against, just wanna know on what to pay attention more, whats important, etc

for my play tonight i go with public flow ;
lakers and kobe

looks like u guys dont analyze games and bet only on hunch =?
:)

public flow again;
orlando and howard