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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    fading hot losers

    «First Previous 12
    sergio1994
    BigChris51
    wdtemacg
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    Posts: 47
    «First Previous 12
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2012 - 9:34 PM ET #26

    10-10

    phean is in tonight with AL -4.5 If she gets this, you can continue to fade her at your own risk but she'll be at .500 with this win. no others on the board have a losing record.
    Reply
    10-10

    phean is in tonight with AL -4.5 If she gets this, you can continue to fade her at your own risk but she'll be at .500 with this win. no others on the board have a losing record.
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2012 - 9:16 PM ET #27

    10-11 

    Phean's streak ended tonight with her selection of Duke -7.5 losing outright. oto was another streaker on the fade watch that went down with his pick of Ill/NW over 133.5

    12-11 fading these picks after tonight.

    We'll have to see how many new streakers there are tomorrow. 
    Reply
    10-11 

    Phean's streak ended tonight with her selection of Duke -7.5 losing outright. oto was another streaker on the fade watch that went down with his pick of Ill/NW over 133.5

    12-11 fading these picks after tonight.

    We'll have to see how many new streakers there are tomorrow. 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2012 - 8:02 PM ET #28

    how sweet, fresh meat 


    anikil: byu/loyola marymount over 153
    Reply
    how sweet, fresh meat 


    anikil: byu/loyola marymount over 153
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2012 - 7:34 PM ET #29

    13-11

    Eugene likes chicago -127
    Reply
    13-11

    Eugene likes chicago -127
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2012 - 2:47 PM ET #30

    14-11 

    no one worth fading from the big board today. Guess we can start watching the monthly leaderboard with those that have logged-in 9 straight winners. There, we have:

    tjhous: lasalle/penn over 136.5
    Reply
    14-11 

    no one worth fading from the big board today. Guess we can start watching the monthly leaderboard with those that have logged-in 9 straight winners. There, we have:

    tjhous: lasalle/penn over 136.5
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2012 - 2:58 PM ET #31

    had one more from last night that i forgot to post:

    toyowar: LSU+2 

    15-11 ytd fading these picks
    Reply
    had one more from last night that i forgot to post:

    toyowar: LSU+2 

    15-11 ytd fading these picks
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 12, 2012 - 7:54 PM ET #32

    16-11

    Didn't get around to checking out yesterdays fades. 


    For tonight, Trance, who is one of the monthly leaders so far likes: 

    VA/Duke over 129 
    Reply
    16-11

    Didn't get around to checking out yesterdays fades. 


    For tonight, Trance, who is one of the monthly leaders so far likes: 

    VA/Duke over 129 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 2:48 PM ET #33

    17-11

    one so far today:

    junction likes: Den/NE over 50 
    Reply
    17-11

    one so far today:

    junction likes: Den/NE over 50 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 12:26 PM ET #34

    17-12 

    fuzzyface: DEN over 203.5

    monthly leaders

    trance: NYG+7.5
    Junction: Georgia Tech +2 
    Reply
    17-12 

    fuzzyface: DEN over 203.5

    monthly leaders

    trance: NYG+7.5
    Junction: Georgia Tech +2 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2012 - 6:49 PM ET #35

    18-14

    trance: Baylor/Kansas over 139 
    Reply
    18-14

    trance: Baylor/Kansas over 139 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2012 - 2:30 PM ET #36

    19-15 

    trance got the win with kansas but lost with yesterday's OK -13 pick 

    No updates so far. More streakers need to check in...
    Reply
    19-15 

    trance got the win with kansas but lost with yesterday's OK -13 pick 

    No updates so far. More streakers need to check in...
     
    BigChris51
    BigChris51
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    Posts: 1096
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2012 - 11:49 PM ET #37

    Reply
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2012 - 8:03 PM ET #38

    m33: Dallas +2.5
    Reply
    m33: Dallas +2.5
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2012 - 10:31 PM ET #39

    ewdent: N.O. +9.5 
    Reply
    ewdent: N.O. +9.5 
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2012 - 8:03 PM ET #40

    19-17 

    streakers staying alive...

    m33: Wash -116
    ooal: Phx +7 

    monthly streaker:

    clepto: Carolina +107  
    Reply
    19-17 

    streakers staying alive...

    m33: Wash -116
    ooal: Phx +7 

    monthly streaker:

    clepto: Carolina +107  
     
    wdtemacg
    wdtemacg
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2012 - 11:42 PM ET #41

    Question: if you have two losers who have picked opposite sides of a game, what happens? No play?

    Reply

    Question: if you have two losers who have picked opposite sides of a game, what happens? No play?

     
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2012 - 8:15 PM ET #42

    wdt - dunno, I'm just tracking these picks. off-setting picks = no play. 

    Good group of streakers right now. not many worth fading. there are 3 tonight:

    gdawg: AP/SE Missouri St under 148 
    venisse: WM/JMU over 131
    ooal: Gonzaga -15
    Reply
    wdt - dunno, I'm just tracking these picks. off-setting picks = no play. 

    Good group of streakers right now. not many worth fading. there are 3 tonight:

    gdawg: AP/SE Missouri St under 148 
    venisse: WM/JMU over 131
    ooal: Gonzaga -15
     
    wdtemacg
    wdtemacg
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2012 - 10:53 AM ET #43

    I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters

    * the current streak has to be their longest ever

    * the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time

    * the player must have less wins than losses

    3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this.

    Reply

    I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters

    * the current streak has to be their longest ever

    * the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time

    * the player must have less wins than losses

    3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this.

     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2012 - 3:05 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by wdtemacg:

    I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters

    * the current streak has to be their longest ever

    * the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time

    * the player must have less wins than losses

    3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this.


    20-20 right here with these fades. If I took out one hot loser "phean" this would be a better record. not sure if there are more tweaks to do. still under observation. 



    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wdtemacg:

    I have been doing a variation of this system that begins tracking the player at "level 6" but with some filters

    * the current streak has to be their longest ever

    * the player has to has less than 500 wins all-time

    * the player must have less wins than losses

    3-0 last night but admittedly I have been hovering around .500 myself with this.


    20-20 right here with these fades. If I took out one hot loser "phean" this would be a better record. not sure if there are more tweaks to do. still under observation. 



     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2012 - 9:30 PM ET #45

    Randy1183: OR/OR St Under 151.5

    Reply
    Randy1183: OR/OR St Under 151.5

     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2012 - 2:54 PM ET #46

    20-21

    tazman: Massachusetts -4


    Reply
    20-21

    tazman: Massachusetts -4


     
     
    sergio1994
    sergio1994
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2012 - 7:57 PM ET #47

    21-21 

    dominike:  Den/LAC over 206.5
    Reply
    21-21 

    dominike:  Den/LAC over 206.5
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