Early College Trend

Teams that lost by more than 28+ points beyond the final posted spread are 6-1 ATS the following week this year. It is a small sample size but it might continue.

SJS, MN, UNLV, UAB, Marshall, BYU all covered their next game after being blown out the preceding week. Only Ole Miss did not cover vs GA. Not an advocate of chasing but might be worthy of keeping an eye on this possibility.

This trend applies only to normal board/lined teams vs other similar teams. Games like Oregon St losing to Sac St were not considered. Not even Hawaii losing SU at UNLV and then covering against a non-board team were considered. Hard to find books that take action on such games.

Army appears to the only play this week. Kansas got blown out two weeks ago but had a bye this past weekend. Could be a play if one wanted to expand the parameters this week.

Something to follow similar to the trend I posted (NFL section) last year about playing NFL teams that are on a two game roadie and not covering the first game. It was a good trend last year, and early indications  appear to be the same this year.

Good luck.

yeah, thanks dan, long time reader, infrequent poster, but saw the 2 game roadie last week which went a very cool 3-1 this past Sunday. Thanks bro!!

here's something that i've been tracking for the past 2 weeks in college. teams that lose by more than 3 tds and then go on the road.

teams for week 6

Hi there, I am quite interested at what you got here. But I don't really get it. Care to elaborate a little more? Thanks!

for example, yesterday MIN was +21 against MICH.  They lost 0-58.

Army was the only play this week and they easily won/covered.

This week:

Temple
Minnesota
Tulane

Season to date is 7-1 ATS.

Good luck

2-1 day. 9-2 ytd ats.

This week:

East Carolina
Ball St
Pitt
Navy
Fresno St
Wyoming

Good Luck.

These are plays on Oct 15?

great week 

5-1 week. 14-3 ats ytd.

This week:

Tulane
W Michigan
Troy


Good Luck.

Another Trend I was lookin that I took for THURSDAY games...

When the Fav wins the total has gone UNDER 5-0

When the Dog wins the total has gone OVER 4-0

Took the under on the Thursday night game Cal/USC game because I was leaning on UCS (fav) to win

hey luckydan 

PHA is a play on the 2nd game of a 2 NFL road trip system. This system has not taken off like last year yet it is still worth keeping an eye on. Big line move in this game.

Good Luck.

hey dan,

Troy will be a play on 10/25 vs Fla Int. Tulane and W. Michigan go this Saturday.

Good Luck.

Central Mich lost by 29 last week.  The final spread was +1.5 for CM which makes a difference of 27.5.  If the criteria is a difference of more than 28 how is C. Mich a play?

Central Mich is not a play. W Mich is. They lost by 29 in the game vs N Illinois, and their number was anywhere from -2 to +2.5. I took in consideration various closing numbers, and feel that a play on W Mich is warranted. Hopefully it will hit this week.

Good Luck

System results look great so far. 

Western Michigan appears to be a solid wager but Tulane is garbage...especially as a 12 point favorite vs. Memphis.  Memphis has covered the spread in the past 5 meetings in this match up.


...no line set for the Troy game at time of post

I meant W. Mich.  Just trying to get  a handle on what your parameters are.  You specifially mentioned you only go by the closing number and I checked at least 2 places (even Covers showed W. Mich closed at +1').

0-2 last saturday.....TROY +6 tomorrow

1-2 for the week. 15-5 ats ytd.

As noted above, plays this week:

UCLA
WVA
OKLAHOMA
TULANE

Good Luck.

3-1 for the week. 18-6 ats ydt.

This week:

UAB
TT
KANSAS ST
SMU
MTSU

Good Luck.