Maybe a bit of a childish title. I dont care, this has gotten personal. This thread will "destroy" the profits being made by the top anti-martingale nerd on this site. And it will do it using a controlled Martingale progression (you know, the fatalistic one.). Sick and tired of pompous asses coming into everyones threads acting like they are smarter then everyone else, and their way is the only way. I have transferred roll of 4k for this project, each individual chase will use 5% of this roll...it will be the same progression I have been using 3 levels of betting 7% , 23% and 70%. The difference is that i will chase to 9 wins which will yield a 2.5% increase to my bankroll when reached. According to every streak odds calculator on the internet (but not the nerds math) I should bust about 7% of the time. Simple math that even i can understand states that if i win 2.5% of my roll 9 times out of 10,,and lose 5% 1 time out of 10 ..i will show a profit of 17.5% every 10 chases (on avg) because the nerds are programmed to say that it makes no sense to bet 70% ..they dont understand that ,,,70% of 5% of your roll is actually the same as a 3.5% play when flat betting. Please nerds dont come in here with links to your math textbooks,and incorrect math formulas.. "you use your methods, i will use mine"....First plays tommorow..
DESTROY THE NERDS !! ..DOUBLE YOUR BANKROLL
Maybe a bit of a childish title. I dont care, this has gotten personal. This thread will "destroy" the profits being made by the top anti-martingale nerd on this site. And it will do it using a controlled Martingale progression (you know, the fatalistic one.). Sick and tired of pompous asses coming into everyones threads acting like they are smarter then everyone else, and their way is the only way. I have transferred roll of 4k for this project, each individual chase will use 5% of this roll...it will be the same progression I have been using 3 levels of betting 7% , 23% and 70%. The difference is that i will chase to 9 wins which will yield a 2.5% increase to my bankroll when reached. According to every streak odds calculator on the internet (but not the nerds math) I should bust about 7% of the time. Simple math that even i can understand states that if i win 2.5% of my roll 9 times out of 10,,and lose 5% 1 time out of 10 ..i will show a profit of 17.5% every 10 chases (on avg) because the nerds are programmed to say that it makes no sense to bet 70% ..they dont understand that ,,,70% of 5% of your roll is actually the same as a 3.5% play when flat betting. Please nerds dont come in here with links to your math textbooks,and incorrect math formulas.. "you use your methods, i will use mine"....First plays tommorow..
You're kidding yourself thinking this will work, and I humbly implore you to reconsider your stance. A Chase System in itself is fatalistic enough.. but playing a Chase System based on this is suicidal.... It was all good when you were playing it for fun.. but this is a challenge you can't win. Even if you believe you CAN win.. you can't honestly tell me this is a solid way to "Double Your Bankroll" ??
Wish you all the best, as always, but please step back and re-think your stance.
Cheers
You're kidding yourself thinking this will work, and I humbly implore you to reconsider your stance. A Chase System in itself is fatalistic enough.. but playing a Chase System based on this is suicidal.... It was all good when you were playing it for fun.. but this is a challenge you can't win. Even if you believe you CAN win.. you can't honestly tell me this is a solid way to "Double Your Bankroll" ??
Wish you all the best, as always, but please step back and re-think your stance.
Cheers
Here we go ...after further review, i have concluded that I gain no advantage by chasing 4 bet for 5% as opposed to 2 bets for 10% each...so 2 chases at 10% it is,
Start Roll- $4,000
Completed chase= 0
Profit= 0
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 1-Sens/Pens ODD $28 to win $12.73
Level 1- Coyotes/Stars ODD $28 to win 12.73
Here we go ...after further review, i have concluded that I gain no advantage by chasing 4 bet for 5% as opposed to 2 bets for 10% each...so 2 chases at 10% it is,
Start Roll- $4,000
Completed chase= 0
Profit= 0
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 1-Sens/Pens ODD $28 to win $12.73
Level 1- Coyotes/Stars ODD $28 to win 12.73
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 1-Sens/Pens ODD $28 to win $12.73 ![]()
Level 1- Coyotes/Stars ODD $28 to win 12.73![]()
JBKizzle... generally i am looking for tight games..divisional games. and teams that play each other close //(like Sens and the Pens
.)
Dallas has been money at home for this, and is hitting at 100% or pretty cose to it ..so i take them every chance i get at home..
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 1-Sens/Pens ODD $28 to win $12.73 ![]()
Level 1- Coyotes/Stars ODD $28 to win 12.73![]()
JBKizzle... generally i am looking for tight games..divisional games. and teams that play each other close //(like Sens and the Pens
.)
Dallas has been money at home for this, and is hitting at 100% or pretty cose to it ..so i take them every chance i get at home..
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 2-Bruins/Panthers ODD $108 to win $49.09
Panthers are 10-3 on ODD at home..hitting about 77%, Bruins worry me a bit though, as they have played 13 straight ODDS, hopefully 1 more here before math catches up.
Level 1- Wild/Jackets ODD $28.89 to win 13.13
both teams hitting ODDS at about a 70% clip, like this game cos the wild have 3 straight road evens ..i think only one other team this year has had 4 in a row on the road
Late game - tonite Kings/Sharks will be a play, amount depends on how early bets go.Sharks are one of this systems top performers with a 16-1 record of ODD at home..
![]()
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 2-Bruins/Panthers ODD $108 to win $49.09
Panthers are 10-3 on ODD at home..hitting about 77%, Bruins worry me a bit though, as they have played 13 straight ODDS, hopefully 1 more here before math catches up.
Level 1- Wild/Jackets ODD $28.89 to win 13.13
both teams hitting ODDS at about a 70% clip, like this game cos the wild have 3 straight road evens ..i think only one other team this year has had 4 in a row on the road
Late game - tonite Kings/Sharks will be a play, amount depends on how early bets go.Sharks are one of this systems top performers with a 16-1 record of ODD at home..
![]()
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 2-Bruins/Panthers ODD $108 to win $49.09 ![]()
![]()
Panthers are 10-3 on ODD at home..hitting about 77%, Bruins worry me a bit though, as they have played 13 straight ODDS, hopefully 1 more here before math catches up.
Level 1- Wild/Jackets ODD $28.89 to win 13.13![]()
![]()
both teams hitting ODDS at about a 70% clip, like this game cos the wild have 3 straight road evens ..i think only one other team this year has had 4 in a row on the road
Late game - tonite Kings/Sharks will be a play, amount depends on how early bets go.Sharks are one of this systems top performers with a 16-1 record of ODD at home..
![]()
2 early winners !! ..will update stats later,..1 late play
Chase 1 - Level 1 - Kings/Sharks ODD $29.81 to win $13.55
- Chase 1 roll $400 - 9 wins left to complete
Level 2-Bruins/Panthers ODD $108 to win $49.09 ![]()
![]()
Panthers are 10-3 on ODD at home..hitting about 77%, Bruins worry me a bit though, as they have played 13 straight ODDS, hopefully 1 more here before math catches up.
Level 1- Wild/Jackets ODD $28.89 to win 13.13![]()
![]()
both teams hitting ODDS at about a 70% clip, like this game cos the wild have 3 straight road evens ..i think only one other team this year has had 4 in a row on the road
Late game - tonite Kings/Sharks will be a play, amount depends on how early bets go.Sharks are one of this systems top performers with a 16-1 record of ODD at home..
![]()
2 early winners !! ..will update stats later,..1 late play
Chase 1 - Level 1 - Kings/Sharks ODD $29.81 to win $13.55
- Chase 1 roll $421.09 - 7 wins left to complete
Level 2-Stars/Preds ODD - $96.85 to win $44.02
Preds are a perfect 16-0 on ODD at home this season and hitting ODDS at 92% over all (32-3) . Stars are 13-3 on ODD on the road and overall are hitting ODD at about 88%
Level 1- Flyers/Canucks ODD $29.81 to win 13.55
![]()
- Chase 1 roll $421.09 - 7 wins left to complete
Level 2-Stars/Preds ODD - $96.85 to win $44.02
Preds are a perfect 16-0 on ODD at home this season and hitting ODDS at 92% over all (32-3) . Stars are 13-3 on ODD on the road and overall are hitting ODD at about 88%
Level 1- Flyers/Canucks ODD $29.81 to win 13.55
![]()
I like the fact you're including the stats with these picks neilsy. I find them quite surprising and am actually more interested in following along with this now.
I would never bet along with it (you know, cuz it's fatalistic
HaHa), but it's fun to watch.
The fact you're only searching for 9 wins in each Chase might make this doable.
Keep up the work!
Cheers ![]()
I like the fact you're including the stats with these picks neilsy. I find them quite surprising and am actually more interested in following along with this now.
I would never bet along with it (you know, cuz it's fatalistic
HaHa), but it's fun to watch.
The fact you're only searching for 9 wins in each Chase might make this doable.
Keep up the work!
Cheers ![]()
I still maintain that chasing is the worst way to bet (so don't twist my words) but these plays are something of a gem which would explain why none of the 'main' books offer them. It would also suggest why you're having such an easy time chasing, because these plays are likely an edge every time. Then again, it could be best that you're chasing because no bookie is ever threatened by a chaser and thus won't pull these games even if you're turning a profit. If it were me, I'd crush these plays for big units while I could.
I still maintain that chasing is the worst way to bet (so don't twist my words) but these plays are something of a gem which would explain why none of the 'main' books offer them. It would also suggest why you're having such an easy time chasing, because these plays are likely an edge every time. Then again, it could be best that you're chasing because no bookie is ever threatened by a chaser and thus won't pull these games even if you're turning a profit. If it were me, I'd crush these plays for big units while I could.
what a night
.. what...6 evens last night ?..while you guys were saying this cant win, it was doing fine,..soon as you say maybe it can i hit 2 losses
...please go back to bashing me..![]()
anyway..
Tonites games
Chase 1 - Level 3 !! - Penguins -200 - $294.34 to win $147.14
Chase 2- Level 2 - Red Wings/Stars - ODD $97.95 to win $44.52
![]()
![]()
what a night
.. what...6 evens last night ?..while you guys were saying this cant win, it was doing fine,..soon as you say maybe it can i hit 2 losses
...please go back to bashing me..![]()
anyway..
Tonites games
Chase 1 - Level 3 !! - Penguins -200 - $294.34 to win $147.14
Chase 2- Level 2 - Red Wings/Stars - ODD $97.95 to win $44.52
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Not the start i was looking for ..losing my first chase and 10% of the roll. However, given the amount of Evens the past 2 days, i am hoping for a run of ODDS . undeterred we move on..
Start Roll : $4,000
Current Roll: $3600
Profit to date -$400
Chase record 0-1
With the anticipation of a few nights of ODDS, i am doubling up on chase 1 to recover the lost 10% and get this back on track..Chase till the bitter end baby !
Chase 1 - start roll $800
wins left 9 of 9
Level 1 - Jackets/Leafs ODD $56 to win $25.45
Chase 2 - Level 3 ! Thrashers/Bruins ODD $272.24 to win 123.75
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Not the start i was looking for ..losing my first chase and 10% of the roll. However, given the amount of Evens the past 2 days, i am hoping for a run of ODDS . undeterred we move on..
Start Roll : $4,000
Current Roll: $3600
Profit to date -$400
Chase record 0-1
With the anticipation of a few nights of ODDS, i am doubling up on chase 1 to recover the lost 10% and get this back on track..Chase till the bitter end baby !
Chase 1 - start roll $800
wins left 9 of 9
Level 1 - Jackets/Leafs ODD $56 to win $25.45
Chase 2 - Level 3 ! Thrashers/Bruins ODD $272.24 to win 123.75
![]()
![]()
Why did you play a ML on Penguins? That really defeats the purpose of all those percentages you figured out with the Odd system.
[/Qu
couldn't agree more, although if you saw that game it was extremely unlucky not to win . Hit posts, missed empty nets, missed penalty shots, no points from Crosby..and finally losing in a shootout..it happens ..I am at work now, so dont have access to my spreadsheet with the ODDS stats, but will start including those..
Why did you play a ML on Penguins? That really defeats the purpose of all those percentages you figured out with the Odd system.
[/Qu
couldn't agree more, although if you saw that game it was extremely unlucky not to win . Hit posts, missed empty nets, missed penalty shots, no points from Crosby..and finally losing in a shootout..it happens ..I am at work now, so dont have access to my spreadsheet with the ODDS stats, but will start including those..
$Chase 1 - start roll $800
wins left 9 of 9
Level 1 - Jackets/Leafs ODD $56 to win $25.45![]()
Chase 2 - Level 3 ! Thrashers/Bruins ODD $272.24 to win 123.75![]()
![]()
![]()
nice to hit a level 3..no more plays till Sunday probably..Happy New Year...!
$Chase 1 - start roll $800
wins left 9 of 9
Level 1 - Jackets/Leafs ODD $56 to win $25.45![]()
Chase 2 - Level 3 ! Thrashers/Bruins ODD $272.24 to win 123.75![]()
![]()
![]()
nice to hit a level 3..no more plays till Sunday probably..Happy New Year...!
Chase 1
- start roll - $800
current roll $825.45
Wins left to double -8
Level 1 - Yotes/Jackets ODD $57.78 to win $26.26
Chase 2
Start roll - $400
Current Roll - $395.99
Wins left to Double - 9
Level 1- Lightning/Caps ODD - $27.72 to win $12.60
![]()
Chase 1
- start roll - $800
current roll $825.45
Wins left to double -8
Level 1 - Yotes/Jackets ODD $57.78 to win $26.26
Chase 2
Start roll - $400
Current Roll - $395.99
Wins left to Double - 9
Level 1- Lightning/Caps ODD - $27.72 to win $12.60
![]()
Neilsy, where you been man?? Hope everything is ok.
If you're still around can you do a database search for me?
I'm wondering how many number of NHL games end on EXACTLY 5 Total Goals. Say for the past 3 years. Thanks.
Neilsy, where you been man?? Hope everything is ok.
If you're still around can you do a database search for me?
I'm wondering how many number of NHL games end on EXACTLY 5 Total Goals. Say for the past 3 years. Thanks.
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