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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Creating best teaser using prediction sites

    Mtiger06
    dj_destroyer
    outsidelookingn
    SRTZEE
    grecycle99
    ...
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    Views: 1761
    Posts: 24
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:43 PM ET #1

    Basically what I am doing is testing out websites and their "predictions" and creating the best 4 team 10.5 point teaser each day. The sites I use are CBS Sportlines, Scoresline, ESPN/accuscore, and kenpom. Im looking for more respected websites that do predictions to create a better average.

    To give an example on how i pick a team:

    Memphis vs KU -11     The four sites have KU winning by an average of 10. So lets say thats exactly what they win by. With the teaser KU -.5, you have a 9.5 point cushion. However with Memphis +21.5, you have an 11.5 point cushion and thus it is the better play.

    Other rules of this system, as golden rule with all teasers, never cross into the zero. Also if any site has the favorite losing, they are automically disqualified and dont include games with point spreads under 3. Once you narrow down to your final 6, then use own capping to create your best teaser bet.

    So here we go, Day 1 play

    Syracuse +13.5
    Utah St. -2
    Northern Iowa +14
    Memphis +21.5

    Teaser Record 0-0

    Also two games prediction average were beating the spread and one dog winning straight up twice, I will play them straight up.

    Marshall -5
    Purdue -7
    Northern Iowa +3.5

    Straight record 0-0
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Basically what I am doing is testing out websites and their "predictions" and creating the best 4 team 10.5 point teaser each day. The sites I use are CBS Sportlines, Scoresline, ESPN/accuscore, and kenpom. Im looking for more respected websites that do predictions to create a better average.

    To give an example on how i pick a team:

    Memphis vs KU -11     The four sites have KU winning by an average of 10. So lets say thats exactly what they win by. With the teaser KU -.5, you have a 9.5 point cushion. However with Memphis +21.5, you have an 11.5 point cushion and thus it is the better play.

    Other rules of this system, as golden rule with all teasers, never cross into the zero. Also if any site has the favorite losing, they are automically disqualified and dont include games with point spreads under 3. Once you narrow down to your final 6, then use own capping to create your best teaser bet.

    So here we go, Day 1 play

    Syracuse +13.5
    Utah St. -2
    Northern Iowa +14
    Memphis +21.5

    Teaser Record 0-0

    Also two games prediction average were beating the spread and one dog winning straight up twice, I will play them straight up.

    Marshall -5
    Purdue -7
    Northern Iowa +3.5

    Straight record 0-0
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 11:54 PM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Basically what I am doing is testing out websites and their "predictions" and creating the best 4 team 10.5 point teaser each day. The sites I use are CBS Sportlines, Scoresline, ESPN/accuscore, and kenpom. Im looking for more respected websites that do predictions to create a better average.

    To give an example on how i pick a team:

    Memphis vs KU -11     The four sites have KU winning by an average of 10. So lets say thats exactly what they win by. With the teaser KU -.5, you have a 9.5 point cushion. However with Memphis +21.5, you have an 11.5 point cushion and thus it is the better play.

    Other rules of this system, as golden rule with all teasers, never cross into the zero. Also if any site has the favorite losing, they are automically disqualified and dont include games with point spreads under 3. Once you narrow down to your final 6, then use own capping to create your best teaser bet.

    So here we go, Day 1 play

    Syracuse +13.5
    Utah St. -2
    Northern Iowa +14
    Memphis +21.5

    Teaser Record 0-0

    Also two games prediction average were beating the spread and one dog winning straight up twice, I will play them straight up.

    Marshall -5
    Purdue -7
    Northern Iowa +3.5

    Straight record 0-0



    Nice start on the teaser bet! Will do it again tommorow
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Basically what I am doing is testing out websites and their "predictions" and creating the best 4 team 10.5 point teaser each day. The sites I use are CBS Sportlines, Scoresline, ESPN/accuscore, and kenpom. Im looking for more respected websites that do predictions to create a better average.

    To give an example on how i pick a team:

    Memphis vs KU -11     The four sites have KU winning by an average of 10. So lets say thats exactly what they win by. With the teaser KU -.5, you have a 9.5 point cushion. However with Memphis +21.5, you have an 11.5 point cushion and thus it is the better play.

    Other rules of this system, as golden rule with all teasers, never cross into the zero. Also if any site has the favorite losing, they are automically disqualified and dont include games with point spreads under 3. Once you narrow down to your final 6, then use own capping to create your best teaser bet.

    So here we go, Day 1 play

    Syracuse +13.5
    Utah St. -2
    Northern Iowa +14
    Memphis +21.5

    Teaser Record 0-0

    Also two games prediction average were beating the spread and one dog winning straight up twice, I will play them straight up.

    Marshall -5
    Purdue -7
    Northern Iowa +3.5

    Straight record 0-0



    Nice start on the teaser bet! Will do it again tommorow
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 11:57 PM ET #3

    What's the juice on these teasers? -130?
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    What's the juice on these teasers? -130?
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2010 - 12:03 AM ET #4

    -143
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    -143
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2010 - 6:19 PM ET #5

    Day 2
    Teaser Record 1-0 +.7units

    (1.7 units wager)

    St. Marys -9
    Air Force +18.5
    Providence +18
    Nova -5


    Straight bets (1-2)

    St. Marys Ca -19.5
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    Day 2
    Teaser Record 1-0 +.7units

    (1.7 units wager)

    St. Marys -9
    Air Force +18.5
    Providence +18
    Nova -5


    Straight bets (1-2)

    St. Marys Ca -19.5
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2010 - 11:56 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 2
    Teaser Record 1-0 +.7units

    (1.7 units wager)

    St. Marys -9
    Air Force +18.5
    Providence +18
    Nova -5


    Straight bets (1-2)

    St. Marys Ca -19.5


    2-0 start on teasers! 2-2 on straight bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 2
    Teaser Record 1-0 +.7units

    (1.7 units wager)

    St. Marys -9
    Air Force +18.5
    Providence +18
    Nova -5


    Straight bets (1-2)

    St. Marys Ca -19.5


    2-0 start on teasers! 2-2 on straight bets
     
    outsidelookingn
    outsidelookingn
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    Posts: 14
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 12:18 PM ET #7

    What book gives you 10.5pts teasers?  Both mine only go up to 5pts.
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    What book gives you 10.5pts teasers?  Both mine only go up to 5pts.
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 12:59 PM ET #8

    Sportsinteraction . They also have 13.5pt football teasers and alternate spreads. not bad.
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    Sportsinteraction . They also have 13.5pt football teasers and alternate spreads. not bad.
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 10, 2010 - 5:59 PM ET #9

    Day 3
    Teaser Record 2-0

    Dont feel all that great about this one as I only had 5 games to choose from. Saturday will be the real test.

    Utah +18.5
    Iowa St +12
    Wyoming + 13.5
    Santa Clara +13

    Straight Record 2-2

    Iowa St. ML
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    Day 3
    Teaser Record 2-0

    Dont feel all that great about this one as I only had 5 games to choose from. Saturday will be the real test.

    Utah +18.5
    Iowa St +12
    Wyoming + 13.5
    Santa Clara +13

    Straight Record 2-2

    Iowa St. ML
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 10, 2010 - 11:59 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 3
    Teaser Record 2-0

    Dont feel all that great about this one as I only had 5 games to choose from. Saturday will be the real test.

    Utah +18.5
    Iowa St +12
    Wyoming + 13.5 lost by 1.5
    Santa Clara +13

    Straight Record 2-2

    Iowa St. ML


    2-1 teasers, 3-2 straight up..will try 2 teasers tommorow, with all those games to choose from will feel much better about my chances
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 3
    Teaser Record 2-0

    Dont feel all that great about this one as I only had 5 games to choose from. Saturday will be the real test.

    Utah +18.5
    Iowa St +12
    Wyoming + 13.5 lost by 1.5
    Santa Clara +13

    Straight Record 2-2

    Iowa St. ML


    2-1 teasers, 3-2 straight up..will try 2 teasers tommorow, with all those games to choose from will feel much better about my chances
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 12:35 PM ET #11

    Day 4
    Teaser Record 2-1

    Bet 1
    Michigan State -.5
    Tennessee +18
    Kentucky -3
    LSU -.5

    Bet 2
    Charlotte +20.5
    TCU +19.5
    Wisconsin +12.5
    Rider +16

    Straight bets (3-2)

    Norther Iowa -3.5
    Detroit -5.5
    BYU -3
    Portland -4



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    Day 4
    Teaser Record 2-1

    Bet 1
    Michigan State -.5
    Tennessee +18
    Kentucky -3
    LSU -.5

    Bet 2
    Charlotte +20.5
    TCU +19.5
    Wisconsin +12.5
    Rider +16

    Straight bets (3-2)

    Norther Iowa -3.5
    Detroit -5.5
    BYU -3
    Portland -4



     
    SRTZEE
    SRTZEE
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    Posts: 281
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 2:57 PM ET #12

    If your willing to bet those 4 games as straight bets, then they should easily win as a teaser.

    GL!!!

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    If your willing to bet those 4 games as straight bets, then they should easily win as a teaser.

    GL!!!

     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 10:42 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by SRTZEE:

    If your willing to bet those 4 games as straight bets, then they should easily win as a teaser.

    GL!!!



    Very True! Looks like I would have won a teaser with those straight bets as well but I hate crossing over into the zero. Ive lost so many times doing that. But I know im gonna do it again eventually. cant help it
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    Quote Originally Posted by SRTZEE:

    If your willing to bet those 4 games as straight bets, then they should easily win as a teaser.

    GL!!!



    Very True! Looks like I would have won a teaser with those straight bets as well but I hate crossing over into the zero. Ive lost so many times doing that. But I know im gonna do it again eventually. cant help it
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 10:46 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 4
    Teaser Record 2-1

    Bet 1
    Michigan State -.5 that was a close one!
    Tennessee +18
    Kentucky -3
    LSU -.5 looking at fading them in the future

    WINNER

    Bet 2
    Charlotte +20.5
    TCU +19.5
    Wisconsin +12.5
    Rider +16

    Straight bets (3-2)

    Norther Iowa -3.5
    Detroit -5.5
    BYU -3
    Portland -4





    TEASER RECORD 4-1
    STRAIGHT UP RECORD 6-3

    Will probably do an NFL 13.5pt teaser tommorow along with an NCAA teaser. Regarding the teaser I lost on Friday, decided from here on out not to do a teaser unless there are at least 7-8 games on the board that day.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Day 4
    Teaser Record 2-1

    Bet 1
    Michigan State -.5 that was a close one!
    Tennessee +18
    Kentucky -3
    LSU -.5 looking at fading them in the future

    WINNER

    Bet 2
    Charlotte +20.5
    TCU +19.5
    Wisconsin +12.5
    Rider +16

    Straight bets (3-2)

    Norther Iowa -3.5
    Detroit -5.5
    BYU -3
    Portland -4





    TEASER RECORD 4-1
    STRAIGHT UP RECORD 6-3

    Will probably do an NFL 13.5pt teaser tommorow along with an NCAA teaser. Regarding the teaser I lost on Friday, decided from here on out not to do a teaser unless there are at least 7-8 games on the board that day.
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 12:56 PM ET #15

    Day 5
    TEASER RECORD 4-1

    Bet1
    Clemson +16.5
    Boston College +18.5
    FIU +14
    Princeton +17.5

    Bet2
    CS Fullerton +16
    Furman +15.5
    Akron +23
    Wake Forest +2.5 (decided to cross over the zero)

    STRAIGHT BETS 6-3
    Wake Forest -8
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    Day 5
    TEASER RECORD 4-1

    Bet1
    Clemson +16.5
    Boston College +18.5
    FIU +14
    Princeton +17.5

    Bet2
    CS Fullerton +16
    Furman +15.5
    Akron +23
    Wake Forest +2.5 (decided to cross over the zero)

    STRAIGHT BETS 6-3
    Wake Forest -8
     
    Mtiger06
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 1:07 PM ET #16

    Added straight wager

    FIU +3.5
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    Added straight wager

    FIU +3.5
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 8:06 PM ET #17

    Day 5
    TEASER RECORD 4-1

    Bet1
    Clemson +16.5 game not over yet but i think its safe
    Boston College +18.5
    FIU +14
    Princeton +17.5

    Bet2
    CS Fullerton +16
    Furman +15.5
    Akron +23
    Wake Forest +2.5 (decided to cross over the zero)

    STRAIGHT BETS 6-3
    Wake Forest -8

    Learned some lessons today.

    Teaser record 5-2
    Straight Record 6-5
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    Day 5
    TEASER RECORD 4-1

    Bet1
    Clemson +16.5 game not over yet but i think its safe
    Boston College +18.5
    FIU +14
    Princeton +17.5

    Bet2
    CS Fullerton +16
    Furman +15.5
    Akron +23
    Wake Forest +2.5 (decided to cross over the zero)

    STRAIGHT BETS 6-3
    Wake Forest -8

    Learned some lessons today.

    Teaser record 5-2
    Straight Record 6-5
     
    grecycle99
    grecycle99
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 194
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 8:14 PM ET #18

    great picks

    where do you get the predictions on those site?

    Thanks
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    great picks

    where do you get the predictions on those site?

    Thanks
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 3:00 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

    great picks

    where do you get the predictions on those site?

    Thanks


    scoresline has previews of every game with their predicted score, CBS sportsline, i actually found that through google. They are actually 70% on picking winners straight up for like 4 years straight or something like that. And im an espn insider so i get espn/accuscore projections.
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    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99:

    great picks

    where do you get the predictions on those site?

    Thanks


    scoresline has previews of every game with their predicted score, CBS sportsline, i actually found that through google. They are actually 70% on picking winners straight up for like 4 years straight or something like that. And im an espn insider so i get espn/accuscore projections.
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 3:01 PM ET #20

    Teaser Record 5-2

    Tennessee -1
    Cincinatti -15
    Santa Clara +17
    St. Marys -14.5

    Straight wager (6-5)

    Tennessee -11.5
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    Teaser Record 5-2

    Tennessee -1
    Cincinatti -15
    Santa Clara +17
    St. Marys -14.5

    Straight wager (6-5)

    Tennessee -11.5
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 3:22 PM ET #21

    Mtiger06, how many units are you up for your teaser plays.

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    Mtiger06, how many units are you up for your teaser plays.

     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
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    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 3:48 PM ET #22

    im only up less than an unit right now. But really that is because i have been using poor money management. For example, the first teaser, i won .7 units, and just added that to the next wager (1.7 units). Eventually when i lose its puts me back to square one.  Ive got to come up with a better plan on when to up my wagers.
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    im only up less than an unit right now. But really that is because i have been using poor money management. For example, the first teaser, i won .7 units, and just added that to the next wager (1.7 units). Eventually when i lose its puts me back to square one.  Ive got to come up with a better plan on when to up my wagers.
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 9:03 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Teaser Record 5-2

    Tennessee -1
    Cincinatti -15
    Santa Clara +17
    St. Marys -14.5

    Straight wager (6-5)

    Tennessee -11.5


    Tennessee ruins all action for the night, bringing record to 5-3 on teasers.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtiger06:

    Teaser Record 5-2

    Tennessee -1
    Cincinatti -15
    Santa Clara +17
    St. Marys -14.5

    Straight wager (6-5)

    Tennessee -11.5


    Tennessee ruins all action for the night, bringing record to 5-3 on teasers.
     
     
    Mtiger06
    Mtiger06
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 113
    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 5:46 PM ET #24

    Hopefully I can turn this around, confidence on this "system" is lowering

    Teaser record 5-3

    Oregon St. +18.5
    Wake Forest -6
    UTEP -7.5
    Auburn +22

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    Hopefully I can turn this around, confidence on this "system" is lowering

    Teaser record 5-3

    Oregon St. +18.5
    Wake Forest -6
    UTEP -7.5
    Auburn +22

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