The first tab on the bottom of spreadsheet has all plays listed in full detail. The rules tab is the 2nd on the bottom.
4/18
PIT- ROAD DOG LOSS (RDL)
Arizona ML
*The money line listed on the spreadsheet will always be the closing line. Be careful, some plays may be voided if the line movement changes a team from a favorite/dog.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This will be the thread for this system. I will only list the plays each day on this thread. The rest of the information is on the spreadsheet.
The first tab on the bottom of spreadsheet has all plays listed in full detail. The rules tab is the 2nd on the bottom.
4/18
PIT- ROAD DOG LOSS (RDL)
Arizona ML
*The money line listed on the spreadsheet will always be the closing line. Be careful, some plays may be voided if the line movement changes a team from a favorite/dog.
The System: Wait until a winning streak of 3 games or more as a home or road dog gets snapped. These are consecutive games as a Home Dog or Road Dog. You may have games as road favorites or home favorites mixed in. Those games don't count. The streak is either a winning streak or losing streak as a dog, not both combined. When the home or road winning or losing streak is snapped, wait 2 games (skip) (either as a home or road dog) and then start your chase. The result of the skipped games don't matter. So a total of 3 games waited before chase starts.
Play favorites at -110 or higher when playing against losing streak team. Skip game if not -110. Play dogs on the +1.5 runline Use runline to figure out favorite when odds are -103 or less for both teams
Home Dog Win Example:
WWWL (all games were as home dogs) skip 2 games when they are home dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a home dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO WIN
Road Dog Win Example:
WWWWWWL (all games were as road dogs) skip 2 games if the team were road dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a road dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO WIN
Home Dog Loss Example:
LLLLLW (all games were as home dogs) skip 2 games if it were as home dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a home dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO LOSE
Road Dog Loss Example:
LLLLLLLLLLW (all games were as road dogs) skip 2 games if the team were road dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a road dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO LOSE terms hdw - home dog winner (we tail) hdl - home dog loser (we fade) rdw - road dog winner (we tail) rdl - road dog loser (we fade)
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For all those who don't know the rules
The System: Wait until a winning streak of 3 games or more as a home or road dog gets snapped. These are consecutive games as a Home Dog or Road Dog. You may have games as road favorites or home favorites mixed in. Those games don't count. The streak is either a winning streak or losing streak as a dog, not both combined. When the home or road winning or losing streak is snapped, wait 2 games (skip) (either as a home or road dog) and then start your chase. The result of the skipped games don't matter. So a total of 3 games waited before chase starts.
Play favorites at -110 or higher when playing against losing streak team. Skip game if not -110. Play dogs on the +1.5 runline Use runline to figure out favorite when odds are -103 or less for both teams
Home Dog Win Example:
WWWL (all games were as home dogs) skip 2 games when they are home dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a home dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO WIN
Road Dog Win Example:
WWWWWWL (all games were as road dogs) skip 2 games if the team were road dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a road dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO WIN
Home Dog Loss Example:
LLLLLW (all games were as home dogs) skip 2 games if it were as home dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a home dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO LOSE
Road Dog Loss Example:
LLLLLLLLLLW (all games were as road dogs) skip 2 games if the team were road dogs again Chase up to 4 games as a road dog necessary to win 1 unit on that TEAM TO LOSE terms hdw - home dog winner (we tail) hdl - home dog loser (we fade) rdw - road dog winner (we tail) rdl - road dog loser (we fade)
*The
money line listed on the spreadsheet will always be the closing line.
Be careful, some plays may be voided if the line movement changes a team
from a favorite/dog.
*The
money line listed on the spreadsheet will always be the closing line.
Be careful, some plays may be voided if the line movement changes a team
from a favorite/dog.
In terms of the spreadsheet, we are using the run-line for dogs.
The spreadsheet is run following the rules exactly.
It is at your own discretion whether to follow exactly or play it differently (example skipping the GAME 4 loss if the units are too extreme). All I know is last year was more profitable using the run-line dogs than not. So that is what will be done with the spreadsheet and this thread.
The great Cisco said to play the run-line so that is what we'll do.
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stickbit,
In terms of the spreadsheet, we are using the run-line for dogs.
The spreadsheet is run following the rules exactly.
It is at your own discretion whether to follow exactly or play it differently (example skipping the GAME 4 loss if the units are too extreme). All I know is last year was more profitable using the run-line dogs than not. So that is what will be done with the spreadsheet and this thread.
The great Cisco said to play the run-line so that is what we'll do.
MY PLUS MONEY SYSTEM IN THE MLB FORUM is off to a terrible start as well. Blew a 2-0 lead with the Nats and a 9-0 lead with the BoSux today. Nowhere to go but up with these.
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For Sunday 4/22
HOU (HDW) GAME 2
CUBS (HDL) GAME 1
Play:
HOU +1.5
CINC ML
Lets pop the cherry and get the 1st W, huh?
MY PLUS MONEY SYSTEM IN THE MLB FORUM is off to a terrible start as well. Blew a 2-0 lead with the Nats and a 9-0 lead with the BoSux today. Nowhere to go but up with these.
Ya, fading Houston as a Road Dog will continue on to game 2 on Friday assuming they will be a dog.
I post the plays to be here the night before or the morning of the games. I will post the chase record and units here, but everything else is located on the spreadsheet which can the link is in POST #1.
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Ya, fading Houston as a Road Dog will continue on to game 2 on Friday assuming they will be a dog.
I post the plays to be here the night before or the morning of the games. I will post the chase record and units here, but everything else is located on the spreadsheet which can the link is in POST #1.
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