I am not a huge fan of chase systems, but I was thinking about the likelihood of Boston, San Antonio, Dallas, or other top teams losing thre or four in a row. Would a chase system work in this case? Maybe wait until San Antonio loses. Then when they do lose, the next bet the moneyline for a unit. Then if they lose again, bet your losses plus a unit..... I know chase systems will risks a lot.....that is why I am asking the liklihood that a top NBA team loses 3 or 4 in a row. Would something like this work?
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I am not a huge fan of chase systems, but I was thinking about the likelihood of Boston, San Antonio, Dallas, or other top teams losing thre or four in a row. Would a chase system work in this case? Maybe wait until San Antonio loses. Then when they do lose, the next bet the moneyline for a unit. Then if they lose again, bet your losses plus a unit..... I know chase systems will risks a lot.....that is why I am asking the liklihood that a top NBA team loses 3 or 4 in a row. Would something like this work?
Lets take a look at it: The problem is i can't tell what the line is at. SPURS GAMES - 1st game following a loss = 5-4
2nd game following 2 losses = 4-0 never lost 3 games in a row Boston Games- 1st game following a loss = 5-1 2nd game following 2 losses = 1-0 Boston has only lost two in a row 1 time all season. Pistons games: 1sgame following a loss = 6-3 2nd game following 2 losses = 2-1 3rd game following 3 losses = 1-0 Detroit lost 2 games in a row 3 times but only had 1 three game losing skid. Phoenix games: 1st game after a loss = 9-2 2nd game after 2 losses 2-0 never loss 3 games in a row Dallas games: 1st game following a loss 6-3 2nd game following 2 losses = 2-1 3rd game following 3 losses = 1-0
These really are the only 5 teams you have the lowest risks with. other teams that started out great that had a long losing streak was a team like the Magic.
also should note that the amount you would have to put on some of these money lines are pretty outrageous and you don't even know if your book will have that money line.
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Lets take a look at it: The problem is i can't tell what the line is at. SPURS GAMES - 1st game following a loss = 5-4
2nd game following 2 losses = 4-0 never lost 3 games in a row Boston Games- 1st game following a loss = 5-1 2nd game following 2 losses = 1-0 Boston has only lost two in a row 1 time all season. Pistons games: 1sgame following a loss = 6-3 2nd game following 2 losses = 2-1 3rd game following 3 losses = 1-0 Detroit lost 2 games in a row 3 times but only had 1 three game losing skid. Phoenix games: 1st game after a loss = 9-2 2nd game after 2 losses 2-0 never loss 3 games in a row Dallas games: 1st game following a loss 6-3 2nd game following 2 losses = 2-1 3rd game following 3 losses = 1-0
These really are the only 5 teams you have the lowest risks with. other teams that started out great that had a long losing streak was a team like the Magic.
also should note that the amount you would have to put on some of these money lines are pretty outrageous and you don't even know if your book will have that money line.
If you played with Phoenix, Boston and the Pistons you would be 20-6 following the first game loses, assuming you follow the systems to win $20 unit you would be up approx. $280 if you followed the 6 loses through to the second and third round in the Pistons case. That is a long time to make $280. But as we did note it is guaranteed assuming your book will always have ML'S
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If you played with Phoenix, Boston and the Pistons you would be 20-6 following the first game loses, assuming you follow the systems to win $20 unit you would be up approx. $280 if you followed the 6 loses through to the second and third round in the Pistons case. That is a long time to make $280. But as we did note it is guaranteed assuming your book will always have ML'S
Well, it seems that most of those games were decided after the third loss. It would be a chase system which had a cutoff. But you are right. The price would be high. Well, it was a thought.
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Well, it seems that most of those games were decided after the third loss. It would be a chase system which had a cutoff. But you are right. The price would be high. Well, it was a thought.
For the 5 teams you mentioned, it does seem that game after a loss has a high winning percentage. You could only go 2 games deep...and if you don't win your money back by then, then reset.
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For the 5 teams you mentioned, it does seem that game after a loss has a high winning percentage. You could only go 2 games deep...and if you don't win your money back by then, then reset.
Lets see how this system works: Spurs ML -330 $66 to win $20 Celtics ML -350 $70 to win $20
Spurs are on game 3 of the chaise, they are 4-0 straight up they have yet to lose 3 games in a row this season Celtics are 5-1straight up when they are coming off a loss
you could even parlay this one with a good chance at covering.
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Lets see how this system works: Spurs ML -330 $66 to win $20 Celtics ML -350 $70 to win $20
Spurs are on game 3 of the chaise, they are 4-0 straight up they have yet to lose 3 games in a row this season Celtics are 5-1straight up when they are coming off a loss
you could even parlay this one with a good chance at covering.
Although I would not reccomend it right now but if you follow the system the Spurs game tonight you have interesting underdog ML situation.
+245
You take what you bet on the first game $66 +$20 to win =$86 x 2.45 = $210.70 would be your bet if this line was @ -245.
you just need to win $86 in this situation the bet would be $35.10 you can get this by dividing $86 (amount lost +units you need to win) divide that number by the +line of $2.45 = 35.10 to win $86
= +$20
However the Spurs are without T. Parker their MVP on the road against one of the other 4 teams we bet on in this system. System would be NO BET.
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Although I would not reccomend it right now but if you follow the system the Spurs game tonight you have interesting underdog ML situation.
+245
You take what you bet on the first game $66 +$20 to win =$86 x 2.45 = $210.70 would be your bet if this line was @ -245.
you just need to win $86 in this situation the bet would be $35.10 you can get this by dividing $86 (amount lost +units you need to win) divide that number by the +line of $2.45 = 35.10 to win $86
= +$20
However the Spurs are without T. Parker their MVP on the road against one of the other 4 teams we bet on in this system. System would be NO BET.
Next possible GAMES in the system will come tonight either with one of these outcomes below: (inevitable since 2 of the teams will lose since they play each other: tonight: SUNS LOSS.........Then bet SUNS ML vs CHAR 2/4 SPURS LOSS........Then bet SPURS ml @ IND PISTONS LOSS.......vs. mavericks ml 2/3 MAVERICKS LOSS vs. pistons ml 2/3 CELTICS LOSS ----------THEN BET CELTICS ML @ CAVS (2/5)
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Next possible GAMES in the system will come tonight either with one of these outcomes below: (inevitable since 2 of the teams will lose since they play each other: tonight: SUNS LOSS.........Then bet SUNS ML vs CHAR 2/4 SPURS LOSS........Then bet SPURS ml @ IND PISTONS LOSS.......vs. mavericks ml 2/3 MAVERICKS LOSS vs. pistons ml 2/3 CELTICS LOSS ----------THEN BET CELTICS ML @ CAVS (2/5)
There has not been plays because the top teams have been facing off against each other as well as I have been concentrating on Valience road trip strategy. as well as my ML parlay. Nothing tonight so I rolled tot his trategy and saw their are some plays. I will have to update the rest later tonight as far as the records go.
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There has not been plays because the top teams have been facing off against each other as well as I have been concentrating on Valience road trip strategy. as well as my ML parlay. Nothing tonight so I rolled tot his trategy and saw their are some plays. I will have to update the rest later tonight as far as the records go.
HAVE AN UPDATED SPREADSHEET ON THIS WRITE ON MY SPACE IF YOU WANT ME TO EMAIL IT TO YOU.
I added the Lakers and hornets to see how this would work
Lakers: Game 1 (9-3) Game 2 (1-2) Game 3 (2-0)
Hornets: Game 1 (5-4) Game 2 (2-2) Game 3 (2-0)
Spurs: game 1 (6-5) Game 2 (4-1) Game 3 (1-0)
Suns: Game 1 (11-2) Game 2 (2-0)
Celtics: Game 1 (7-1) Game 2 (1-0)
mavericks: Game 1 (6-5) Game 2 (3-1) Game 3(1-0)
Overall: Game 1 (44-20) 68.75% Game 2 (10-5) 66% Game 3 (9-0)
System so far this season 63-0 if you chase each bet to the 3rd game which is hard to do given the juice you are getting in some of these ML matchups and some ML you won't get them at all.
ANY THOUGHT OR CRITICISM OR ADVICE ON HOW TO IMPROVE LET ME KNOW.
CELTICS, SUNS, LAKERS GAME 1: (27-6) 82%
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HAVE AN UPDATED SPREADSHEET ON THIS WRITE ON MY SPACE IF YOU WANT ME TO EMAIL IT TO YOU.
I added the Lakers and hornets to see how this would work
Lakers: Game 1 (9-3) Game 2 (1-2) Game 3 (2-0)
Hornets: Game 1 (5-4) Game 2 (2-2) Game 3 (2-0)
Spurs: game 1 (6-5) Game 2 (4-1) Game 3 (1-0)
Suns: Game 1 (11-2) Game 2 (2-0)
Celtics: Game 1 (7-1) Game 2 (1-0)
mavericks: Game 1 (6-5) Game 2 (3-1) Game 3(1-0)
Overall: Game 1 (44-20) 68.75% Game 2 (10-5) 66% Game 3 (9-0)
System so far this season 63-0 if you chase each bet to the 3rd game which is hard to do given the juice you are getting in some of these ML matchups and some ML you won't get them at all.
ANY THOUGHT OR CRITICISM OR ADVICE ON HOW TO IMPROVE LET ME KNOW.
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