God bless Rick Ankiel! God bless Wil Venable's eyesight!
4/24
System-1
Athletics / White Sox U7 (-120) (W)
Cardinals / Cubs U7.5 (-115) (W)
Marlins / Mets U6.5 (+110) (W)
Nationals / Padres U6 (-115) (W)
Pirates / Rockies U7.5 (-105) (L)
System-10
Nationals -1.5 (+135) (W)
System-14
Astros +130 (L)
4/24
Record: 5-2
+$302.25
YTD
Record: 27-17 (61.4%)
+$1060.49
+24% ROI
What a night! Late inning drama in Chicago, Oakland, New York and San Diego all adds up to us cracking $1000! Let's keep this thing rolling everybody! Plays up in the morning.
0
God bless Rick Ankiel! God bless Wil Venable's eyesight!
4/24
System-1
Athletics / White Sox U7 (-120) (W)
Cardinals / Cubs U7.5 (-115) (W)
Marlins / Mets U6.5 (+110) (W)
Nationals / Padres U6 (-115) (W)
Pirates / Rockies U7.5 (-105) (L)
System-10
Nationals -1.5 (+135) (W)
System-14
Astros +130 (L)
4/24
Record: 5-2
+$302.25
YTD
Record: 27-17 (61.4%)
+$1060.49
+24% ROI
What a night! Late inning drama in Chicago, Oakland, New York and San Diego all adds up to us cracking $1000! Let's keep this thing rolling everybody! Plays up in the morning.
BCap, I have been following your plays for a while. I laid off the Oakland's game under today because they had a streak of 7 games under. Usually I would follow your picks, but I just didn't like to bet on a team with a streak of 7 unders. Do you think it is a good idea to take streaks into consideration?
0
BCap, I have been following your plays for a while. I laid off the Oakland's game under today because they had a streak of 7 games under. Usually I would follow your picks, but I just didn't like to bet on a team with a streak of 7 unders. Do you think it is a good idea to take streaks into consideration?
Ahhh I hadn't noticed that. That's not a bad idea. I think of it something like this with my opinionated probability of each event happening:
By Continuing:
Best-Case: We get one or maybe two more wins. (<30% chance)
Worst-Case: We lose 1 Unit. (>50% chance)
By Stopping:
Best-Case: We avoid a 1 Unit loss. (100% chance)
Worst-Case: The streak never ends. (<1%)
I think everyone would agree that discontinuing to bet the streak is a good idea. So what were you thinking, 5 games? 6? I don't know too much about totals streaks.
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Ahhh I hadn't noticed that. That's not a bad idea. I think of it something like this with my opinionated probability of each event happening:
By Continuing:
Best-Case: We get one or maybe two more wins. (<30% chance)
Worst-Case: We lose 1 Unit. (>50% chance)
By Stopping:
Best-Case: We avoid a 1 Unit loss. (100% chance)
Worst-Case: The streak never ends. (<1%)
I think everyone would agree that discontinuing to bet the streak is a good idea. So what were you thinking, 5 games? 6? I don't know too much about totals streaks.
Bcap when you back tested system #1, were your numbers from taking just the first game after a 2 game streak? I'm concerned that if we stay on the streaks that it may mess up your roi. But it may be for the better. I guess we don't know yet.
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Bcap when you back tested system #1, were your numbers from taking just the first game after a 2 game streak? I'm concerned that if we stay on the streaks that it may mess up your roi. But it may be for the better. I guess we don't know yet.
Well, the only parameters were that the last two games were under less than 10 when the current total is less than 8. You can see that any game that goes under 8 in the third game will again be a play if they are under 8 again. So as long as the LAST TWO games the team played fit the system it was counted.
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Well, the only parameters were that the last two games were under less than 10 when the current total is less than 8. You can see that any game that goes under 8 in the third game will again be a play if they are under 8 again. So as long as the LAST TWO games the team played fit the system it was counted.