Tex AM another winner Utah and Illinois winner winner too.... Thank Gawd you came along The local is asking for a payout and I need to receive not give...
What is ur secret?
Vandy a 3 star loser. Rrrgh
Monday to tail u for sure
0
Tex AM another winner Utah and Illinois winner winner too.... Thank Gawd you came along The local is asking for a payout and I need to receive not give...
Your supposed to explain your system and how you get your picks.
OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.
For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
Find what works best for you.
0
Quote Originally Posted by HECTAR:
Your supposed to explain your system and how you get your picks.
OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.
For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
This is obviously a great system and I wish I had found it sooner but, glad I did tonight.
Just looking for a little clarification on your method if you are willing to provide it. What do you mean by filtering stats out through the last 5 games? How do you do that?
Thanks
0
Hi there,
This is obviously a great system and I wish I had found it sooner but, glad I did tonight.
Just looking for a little clarification on your method if you are willing to provide it. What do you mean by filtering stats out through the last 5 games? How do you do that?
This is obviously a great system and I wish I had found it sooner but, glad I did tonight.
Just looking for a little clarification on your method if you are willing to provide it. What do you mean by filtering stats out through the last 5 games? How do you do that?
Thanks
I just run the same method on the last 5 games, H/A not withstanding, and then see if the the same side has a net positive
result...if so, then by how much? 3 points or more is a top play for me. Less than 3 points is still doing well.
WVa just scored...56-20...wow!
0
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:
Hi there,
This is obviously a great system and I wish I had found it sooner but, glad I did tonight.
Just looking for a little clarification on your method if you are willing to provide it. What do you mean by filtering stats out through the last 5 games? How do you do that?
Thanks
I just run the same method on the last 5 games, H/A not withstanding, and then see if the the same side has a net positive
result...if so, then by how much? 3 points or more is a top play for me. Less than 3 points is still doing well.
Did you or have you tried applying this strategy to other sports?
Yes, NFL. Been doing ok with it, but last week, after applying the same adjustments that I made to the bowl games the prior week, I went 9-1-2...maybe just a coincidence, after all, it is a very small sample.
This week:
Cin +3*
NO -10***
Atl +3
0
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:
Did you or have you tried applying this strategy to other sports?
Yes, NFL. Been doing ok with it, but last week, after applying the same adjustments that I made to the bowl games the prior week, I went 9-1-2...maybe just a coincidence, after all, it is a very small sample.
Hot Forum Topics
